Anker 00668Expected Lots

Anker (00668) Expected Lots
Offering Mechanism: Mechanism B | Min Subscription: HK$9,932  |  Public Offering Lots: Pool A 23,316lots / Pool B 23,317lots  |  Offer Price: HK$99.32  |  Lot Size: 100shares  |  Public Offering Size: HK$463.2M
1x2159.0x
Recent first-day return
+4.6%
→
Participants
10,561
→
Avg lots
30.2
→
Oversubscription
7x
7x = 10,561 × 30.2 ÷ 46,633 A+H secondary · participants ×0.44 H-share discount 9.0% margin-weighted 100% → 29.3x
Margin dynamics · 2026-06-26 17:03 Margin multiple20.2x Margin funds93.6100M TradeGo forecast multiple29.29x
Rank Broker Margin funds
1 富途证券富途 51.5100M
2 辉立证券辉立 14.0100M
3 老虎国际老虎 9.2100M
4 华泰国际华泰 4.6100M
5 盈立证券盈立 4.3100M
6 复星国际复星 3.6100M
7 致富证券致富 2.7100M
8 华盛证券华盛 1.0100M
9 长桥证券长桥 918310K
Margin multiple
TimeMultiple
2026-06-23T06:00:00+08:000
2026-06-23T10:10:10+08:000.0010795405475429658
2026-06-23T10:13:16+08:000.0024181708264962433
2026-06-23T10:14:57+08:000.004577251921582174
2026-06-23T11:02:43+08:000.007427238967095604
2026-06-23T11:11:37+08:000.008420416270835132
2026-06-23T11:12:21+08:000.010881768719233095
2026-06-23T11:13:21+08:000.14474479661456086
2026-06-23T12:13:12+08:000.1469902409534502
2026-06-23T12:14:26+08:000.14703342257535193
2026-06-23T12:15:30+08:000.149019777182831
2026-06-23T12:15:44+08:000.15130840314362207
2026-06-23T12:16:34+08:000.15392089126867606
2026-06-23T12:17:07+08:000.24244321616719924
2026-06-23T13:40:22+08:000.2431557129285776
2026-06-23T13:40:44+08:000.24332843941618448
2026-06-23T13:41:47+08:000.24414889023231712
2026-06-23T13:42:13+08:000.25500906814059937
2026-06-23T13:42:49+08:000.2558079281457812
2026-06-23T13:44:04+08:000.26444425252612486
2026-06-23T14:02:04+08:000.26552379307366786
2026-06-23T14:02:46+08:000.2648544779341912
2026-06-23T14:04:52+08:000.26561015631747126
2026-06-23T14:05:55+08:000.2660419725364885
2026-06-23T14:06:40+08:000.27603851800673634
2026-06-23T14:07:40+08:000.30194749114776753
2026-06-23T14:08:45+08:000.3128724414889023
2026-06-23T15:14:03+08:000.3154633388030054
2026-06-23T15:14:52+08:000.3154849296139563
2026-06-23T15:15:20+08:000.31801105449520684
2026-06-23T15:16:40+08:000.3183349166594697
2026-06-23T15:18:12+08:000.32697124103981345
2026-06-23T15:18:38+08:000.3283314621297176
2026-06-23T16:34:56+08:000.32874168753778393
2026-06-23T16:35:45+08:000.3296916832196217
2026-06-23T16:36:40+08:000.3303609983590984
2026-06-23T16:39:40+08:000.3329950772951032
2026-06-23T16:40:26+08:000.33530529406684517
2026-06-23T16:41:26+08:000.3525779428275326
2026-06-23T17:01:51+08:000.3556006563606529
2026-06-23T17:02:23+08:000.35635633474393297
2026-06-23T17:06:01+08:000.3591415493565938
2026-06-23T17:07:04+08:000.35933586665515155
2026-06-23T17:08:31+08:000.3594654115208567
2026-06-23T17:09:35+08:000.37673806028154416
2026-06-23T18:07:00+08:000.37712669487865963
2026-06-23T18:09:59+08:000.7074661024268072
2026-06-23T18:10:54+08:000.7080274635115295
2026-06-23T18:11:54+08:000.7082433716210381
2026-06-23T18:14:59+08:000.7089126867605148
2026-06-23T18:16:45+08:000.7110717678556007
2026-06-23T18:16:55+08:000.7115683565074704
2026-06-23T18:18:02+08:000.7115035840746179
2026-06-23T20:16:21+08:000.7123024440797996
2026-06-23T20:17:51+08:000.7127774419207186
2026-06-23T20:19:20+08:000.715627428966232
2026-06-23T20:20:06+08:000.7177865100613179
2026-06-23T20:20:53+08:000.719924000345453
2026-06-23T20:22:15+08:000.7156058381552811
2026-06-23T21:06:30+08:000.715627428966232
2026-06-23T22:04:25+08:000.7172035581656447
2026-06-23T22:05:31+08:000.7192978668278781
2026-06-24T08:32:54+08:000.7452068399689092
2026-06-24T08:35:38+08:000.7461352448397962
2026-06-24T08:36:00+08:000.7558079281457811
2026-06-24T08:39:37+08:000.7558079281457811
2026-06-24T09:15:48+08:000.7668408325416702
2026-06-24T09:17:20+08:000.7674021936263926
2026-06-24T09:18:05+08:000.7708999050004318
2026-06-24T09:19:19+08:000.7749805682701443
2026-06-24T09:20:41+08:000.7771396493652302
2026-06-24T09:27:51+08:000.7790828223508075
2026-06-24T10:07:38+08:000.7892520943086623
2026-06-24T10:08:37+08:000.7895111840400726
2026-06-24T10:09:08+08:000.7897270921495811
2026-06-24T10:09:41+08:000.7917566283789619
2026-06-24T10:10:21+08:000.7926418516279471
2026-06-24T10:11:24+08:000.8163917436738924
2026-06-24T11:22:48+08:000.8258701096813196
2026-06-24T11:23:18+08:000.8252439761637447
2026-06-24T11:24:18+08:000.8258917004922705
2026-06-24T11:25:26+08:000.8304041799810001
2026-06-24T11:26:05+08:000.8779039640728906
2026-06-24T12:10:43+08:000.8784005527247604
2026-06-24T12:11:55+08:000.8773641937991191
2026-06-24T12:12:59+08:000.8794585024613525
2026-06-24T12:13:57+08:000.8803653165212886
2026-06-24T12:15:10+08:000.8825243976163745
2026-06-24T13:47:39+08:000.8825675792382762
2026-06-24T13:48:20+08:000.8825891700492271
2026-06-24T13:48:49+08:000.8869073322393989
2026-06-24T13:49:21+08:000.8874039208912686
2026-06-24T13:49:45+08:000.8877061922445807
2026-06-24T13:50:35+08:000.8898652733396666
2026-06-24T14:03:43+08:000.891182312807669
2026-06-24T14:04:14+08:000.8913766301062268
2026-06-24T14:04:48+08:000.9130753951118404
2026-06-24T14:06:05+08:000.9133992572761033
2026-06-24T14:07:07+08:000.919876500561361
2026-06-24T14:07:40+08:000.9241730719405821
2026-06-24T15:11:53+08:000.9250151135676656
2026-06-24T15:12:14+08:000.9269151049313412
2026-06-24T15:12:46+08:000.9390059590638224
2026-06-24T15:13:35+08:000.9397184558252007
2026-06-24T15:14:22+08:000.9398048190690043
2026-06-24T15:15:00+08:000.9678728733051214
2026-06-24T16:17:41+08:000.9669012868123327
2026-06-24T16:19:14+08:000.9704853614301753
2026-06-24T16:20:35+08:000.9716512652215217
2026-06-24T16:21:42+08:000.9758830641678902
2026-06-24T16:23:27+08:000.9888375507384057
2026-06-24T16:23:53+08:000.9900898177735555
2026-06-24T17:01:14+08:001.0365964245617065
2026-06-24T17:01:47+08:001.03743846618879
2026-06-24T17:04:05+08:001.1095517747646602
2026-06-24T17:04:31+08:001.1107392693669573
2026-06-24T17:04:38+08:001.1111926763969255
2026-06-24T17:05:42+08:001.348691596856378
2026-06-24T18:05:48+08:001.402690215044477
2026-06-24T18:10:34+08:001.6768935141203904
2026-06-24T18:16:47+08:001.71733310303135
2026-06-24T18:16:59+08:001.768568097417739
2026-06-24T18:18:34+08:001.8192633215303566
2026-06-24T18:19:02+08:001.8217894464116071
2026-06-24T18:19:36+08:001.827208739960273
2026-06-24T18:20:58+08:001.9049356593833664
2026-06-24T20:13:52+08:001.9176310562224717
2026-06-24T20:14:37+08:001.9371491493220485
2026-06-24T20:16:01+08:001.9446411607219967
2026-06-24T20:17:17+08:001.9950341134813023
2026-06-24T20:17:59+08:002.066283789619138
2026-06-24T21:41:34+08:002.0720917177649194
2026-06-24T22:04:38+08:002.086557561101995
2026-06-24T22:06:14+08:002.1204119526729426
2026-06-24T22:07:04+08:002.2521158994731842
2026-06-25T08:41:47+08:002.2568011054495205
2026-06-25T08:42:08+08:002.2872225580792813
2026-06-25T08:44:50+08:002.764379480093272
2026-06-25T08:48:39+08:002.764379480093272
2026-06-25T09:04:07+08:002.7859702910441317
2026-06-25T09:05:33+08:002.797435011659038
2026-06-25T09:06:42+08:002.8829346230244406
2026-06-25T09:07:09+08:002.9217980827359877
2026-06-25T09:07:32+08:002.9482036445288884
2026-06-25T09:08:08+08:002.9951636583470074
2026-06-25T09:09:42+08:003.1557777010104497
2026-06-25T10:07:51+08:003.269388548233872
2026-06-25T10:08:17+08:003.3148156144744796
2026-06-25T10:08:33+08:003.3564426979877364
2026-06-25T10:08:50+08:003.3596381380084637
2026-06-25T10:09:27+08:003.4891830037136193
2026-06-25T10:09:35+08:003.51960445634338
2026-06-25T11:05:56+08:003.5592020036272562
2026-06-25T11:06:21+08:003.5754382934623026
2026-06-25T11:06:30+08:003.57211330857587
2026-06-25T11:06:58+08:003.59096208653597
2026-06-25T11:07:03+08:003.6282062354262026
2026-06-25T11:07:09+08:003.8441143449347956
2026-06-25T12:07:08+08:003.8630494861386993
2026-06-25T12:07:18+08:003.88492097763192
2026-06-25T12:07:33+08:003.9264401070904222
2026-06-25T12:07:37+08:003.9574013299939548
2026-06-25T12:07:41+08:003.958739960272908
2026-06-25T12:07:50+08:004.308511097676829
2026-06-25T13:38:26+08:004.322501943172986
2026-06-25T13:38:29+08:004.336859832455307
2026-06-25T13:38:32+08:004.35177908282235
2026-06-25T13:38:35+08:004.364927886691424
2026-06-25T13:38:38+08:004.379307366784697
2026-06-25T13:38:43+08:004.426807150876587
2026-06-25T14:00:40+08:004.510752223853528
2026-06-25T14:01:09+08:004.614388116417652
2026-06-25T14:01:28+08:004.621016495379567
2026-06-25T14:08:44+08:004.7689999136367565
2026-06-25T14:08:47+08:004.789683910527679
2026-06-25T14:08:50+08:004.792620260816996
2026-06-25T14:08:56+08:004.969664910614043
2026-06-25T15:12:01+08:004.978625097158649
2026-06-25T15:12:07+08:005.007427238967096
2026-06-25T15:12:10+08:005.0790007772691945
2026-06-25T15:12:13+08:005.11732446670697
2026-06-25T15:12:16+08:005.108580188271872
2026-06-25T15:12:21+08:005.311533811209949
2026-06-25T16:00:49+08:005.322976941013905
2026-06-25T16:24:42+08:005.337313239485275
2026-06-25T16:24:48+08:005.378422143535711
2026-06-25T16:24:52+08:005.397184558252008
2026-06-25T16:25:00+08:005.561274721478538
2026-06-25T16:48:29+08:005.604456343380257
2026-06-25T17:02:21+08:005.83368598324553
2026-06-25T17:02:24+08:005.908519734001209
2026-06-25T17:05:40+08:006.663960618360826
2026-06-25T17:05:43+08:006.7455954745660245
2026-06-25T17:05:49+08:007.9827489420502635
2026-06-25T17:35:38+08:007.995703428620779
2026-06-25T17:45:17+08:0010.413874255117022
2026-06-25T18:13:43+08:0010.762501079540547
2026-06-25T18:14:01+08:0011.008204508161327
2026-06-25T18:14:12+08:0011.138375507384056
2026-06-25T18:14:17+08:0011.03167371966491
2026-06-25T18:14:28+08:0011.07286898695915
2026-06-25T18:14:38+08:0011.94297866827878
2026-06-25T20:18:43+08:0012.004685205976337
2026-06-25T20:18:48+08:0012.049097504102255
2026-06-25T20:18:52+08:0012.215864927886692
2026-06-25T20:18:56+08:0012.254728387598238
2026-06-25T20:19:05+08:0012.781544174799205
2026-06-25T20:19:27+08:0012.802897486829606
2026-06-25T20:19:36+08:0012.903661801537266
2026-06-25T20:19:40+08:0013.004620433543485
2026-06-25T20:19:50+08:0013.22916486743242
2026-06-25T21:25:20+08:0013.2650703860437
2026-06-25T21:25:25+08:0013.318291735037567
2026-06-25T21:25:37+08:0013.34722342171172
2026-06-25T21:25:50+08:0013.576086017790828
2026-06-25T22:05:52+08:0013.64398911823128
2026-06-25T22:05:57+08:0013.701874082390535
2026-06-25T22:06:08+08:0013.991190949132049
2026-06-26T08:57:49+08:0013.991190949132049
2026-06-26T08:59:03+08:0014.02865100613179
2026-06-26T08:59:06+08:0014.154914068572415
2026-06-26T08:59:26+08:0016.91206062699715
2026-06-26T08:59:44+08:0017.048082735987563
2026-06-26T09:02:24+08:0017.13591415493566
2026-06-26T09:04:20+08:0016.944554797478194
2026-06-26T09:04:23+08:0017.02208739960273
2026-06-26T09:11:49+08:0018.03037827100786
2026-06-26T09:12:13+08:0018.331764401070906
2026-06-26T10:06:15+08:0018.349641592538216
2026-06-26T10:06:30+08:0018.55799291821401
2026-06-26T10:06:32+08:0019.7562829259867
2026-06-26T11:07:10+08:0019.818529233958028
2026-06-26T17:03:34+08:0020.2
TradeGo forecast multiple
TimeMultiple
Broker margin funds trend
TimeBrokerMargin funds
Pool A α=
Allocation Strategy Coefficient α
Allocation Strategy Coefficient
Reflects the issuer's allocation preference across different subscription sizes.
α → 0  Per-capita allocation — every allottee receives the same number of shares, regardless of lots subscribed.
α → 1  Proportional allocation — the more lots subscribed, the more shares allotted.
Historical α range (P10–P90): Pool A 0.3–0.9, Pool B 0.4–1.0
0.59
Pool B α=
Allocation Strategy Coefficient α
Allocation Strategy Coefficient
Reflects the issuer's allocation preference across different subscription sizes.
α → 0  Per-capita allocation — every allottee receives the same number of shares, regardless of lots subscribed.
α → 1  Proportional allocation — the more lots subscribed, the more shares allotted.
Historical α range (P10–P90): Pool A 0.3–0.9, Pool B 0.4–1.0
0.69
This model does not support allocation strategy adjustment

Actual vs Predicted Comparison

Using the actual oversubscription ratio 27.57x and current allocation strategy (Pool A α=0.593, Pool B α=0.693) as the baseline, comparing actual vs predicted expected allotment lots per tier

Lots Subscription Amount (HKD) Actual Expected Lots Predicted Expected Lots Error

LogoAnker Allotment Prediction Matrix

Rows are subscription tiers, columns are different oversubscription ratios, values are expected allotment lots; green indicates guaranteed allotment (≥1 lot)

Pool A

Oversubscription
29.3x
Allocation Strategy
α=
Allocation Strategy Coefficient α
Allocation Strategy Coefficient
Reflects the issuer's allocation preference across different subscription sizes.
α → 0  Per-capita allocation — every allottee receives the same number of shares, regardless of lots subscribed.
α → 1  Proportional allocation — the more lots subscribed, the more shares allotted.
Historical α range (P10–P90): Pool A 0.3–0.9, Pool B 0.4–1.0
0.59

Pool B

Oversubscription
29.3x
Allocation Strategy
α=
Allocation Strategy Coefficient α
Allocation Strategy Coefficient
Reflects the issuer's allocation preference across different subscription sizes.
α → 0  Per-capita allocation — every allottee receives the same number of shares, regardless of lots subscribed.
α → 1  Proportional allocation — the more lots subscribed, the more shares allotted.
Historical α range (P10–P90): Pool A 0.3–0.9, Pool B 0.4–1.0
0.69
Offering Mechanism

Mechanism B

Flexible offering mechanism under HKEX Practice Note 18. Minimum initial allocation to the public offer tranche is 10% of offering shares, with no clawback mechanism. Maximum initial allocation is 60% (as at least 40% of total offering shares must be allocated to the placing tranche, excluding cornerstones).

Allocation Strategy Coefficient α

α is the issuer's allocation preference coefficient, describing the issuer's allocation tendency across subscription sizes. α ranges [0, 1].

  • α → 0: Per-capita allocation — regardless of lots subscribed, every allottee receives the same number of shares. More favorable to retail (small) applications.
  • α → 1: Proportional allocation — allotted shares are proportional to lots subscribed. More favorable to large applications.
  • Historical actual α range (P10–P90): Pool A 0.3–0.9, Pool B 0.4–1.0. α varies widely across IPOs, reflecting each issuer's allocation strategy.
Allotment Rate Definition

The "allotment rate" on this page follows the exact HKEX allotment results announcement definition: Allotment rate = total shares allotted to the tier ÷ total valid shares applied in the tier × 100%. This is the official HKEX standard and is fundamentally different from other definitions used elsewhere (e.g. "ratio of applicants who got allotted").

Expected Allotment Lots

Expected allotment lots = total shares allotted to the tier ÷ lot size ÷ number of applicants in the tier

Example: a tier with 50,000 total allotted shares, 100 shares per lot, and 500 applicants → expected allotment lots = 50,000 ÷ 100 ÷ 500 = 1.0 lots.

// About this page //

This page shows expected-lot forecasts for Anker (00668): expected hit rate based on similar-IPO matching and Pool A/B capital-efficiency comparison.
The default oversubscription multiple follows the chain recent first-day return → participant count → average lots per participant → multiple, i.e. multiple = participants × average lots ÷ public-offer lots; participant count and average lots are anchored on the recent IPO median and adjusted by offering size, A+H status, H-share premium/discount, industry, concurrent IPOs, sponsor track record and recent HSI moves.
Early in the subscription window the default multiple relies on the model; as subscription progresses it blends in the margin multiple; near the deadline (roughly 90% through) it follows the margin multiple.
Hit-rate forecasts fit 10,897 allotment-tier records across 356 historical IPOs via regression and KNN similar-IPO matching, estimating expected lots per application tier and applying the allocation-strategy coefficient α (equal-per-person to proportional allocation).
Data sources: HKEXnews public-offer allotment result announcements, prospectuses and FINI announcements; margin data (margin multiple, TradeGo forecast multiple and broker breakdown) comes from 捷利交易宝 (TradeGo), where the margin multiple covers only reporting brokers and the TradeGo forecast multiple is a full-market extrapolation.
The margin multiple updates intraday in real time; the hit-rate model is refreshed as new IPO allotment data is ingested.

Disclaimer

Site Nature: This website (cibo.hk) is an independent technology product showcase platform established by Panda Securities Limited (“the Company”), dedicated to demonstrating the data analysis capabilities of AI technology products and facilitating research exchange. This website itself and all data analysis content displayed herein do not constitute, and are not involved in, any regulated activity or licensed service requiring approval by the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (“SFC”) under the Securities and Futures Ordinance. Browsing or using the content of this website does not establish any regulated client relationship with the Company.

Not Investment Advice: Any information contained on this website (including but not limited to data analysis charts, statistical results, allotment rate comparisons, etc.) is provided solely for AI tool analysis learning exchange and technical reference purposes, and absolutely does not constitute any investment advice, offer to buy or sell, solicitation, recommendation, guarantee, or endorsement of any investment product or strategy. The output of this AI analysis tool should not be interpreted as investment opinion.

Decision Responsibility: Users should understand that all investment decisions involve risk. Users should make investment decisions based on their own independent judgment, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance, and consult independent licensed financial advisors or professional advice when needed. Neither the Company nor this AI analysis tool shall bear any responsibility for any investment decisions or actions made by users based on the information on this website.

Technical Limitations: This AI analysis tool is algorithm-driven and data-based. Its analysis results are limited by model capability, data quality, market conditions, and other factors. Past analysis results are not reliable indicators of future performance. The Company does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, timeliness, or suitability of the analysis results of this tool. All analysis results are automatically generated by AI algorithms, and have not been manually reviewed or verified by the publisher. Analysis charts, statistical data, and trend assessments may contain errors or biases.

Data Sources: The data on this page is sourced from publicly disclosed documents published by HKEX News and other institutions. The relevant institutions make no warranty regarding the accuracy, timeliness, or completeness of such data, nor do they endorse the analysis conclusions derived from such data.

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Panda Securities Limited is a licensed corporation regulated by the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (CE Number: BNC380) and a Hong Kong Exchange Participant (Participant ID: 02229). The publisher of this website shall not be liable for any direct or indirect losses arising from the use of this website or its analysis results. Use of this website constitutes acceptance of this disclaimer.

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