Allotment Backtest

Allotment Backtest

Data as of 2026-09-22 · Sample covers stocks listed in 2025 and later

Per-stock predicted lots error

Code Name Listed Actual Multiple Pool A lots for expected 1 lot Pool B lots for expected 1 lot Pool A Bucket Hit Rate Pool B Bucket Hit Rate
Predicted Actual Error Predicted Actual Error
09856 Ligent 2026-09-22 35.2 20 30 33.3% 2000 2000 0.0% 64.3% 54.5%
06727 Transwarp 2026-09-21 73.9 70 20 250.0% 900 900 0.0% 46.7% 0.0%
03231 Excelland Robot 2026-09-09 140.0 300 — — 1500 1500 0.0% 93.3% 80.0%
09976 Longsys 2026-09-08 40.3 40 40 0.0% 600 600 0.0% 80.0% 60.0%
02041 Medcaptain 2026-09-07 436.4 300 400 25.0% 4000 4000 0.0% 97.1% 88.9%
00625 Shein-W 2026-09-01 5.6 2 6 66.7% 1500 1500 0.0% 50.0% 36.4%
09615 Mech-Mind Robot 2026-09-01 3835.4 — — — 7500 1000 650.0% 100.0% 0.0%
03223 Ingenic 2026-08-25 927.4 — 400 — 1000 2000 50.0% 100.0% 70.6%
02261 Nasn Tech 2026-08-07 2513.5 — — — 5000 5000 0.0% 100.0% 87.5%
03308 ZJ Innolight 2026-07-30 16.8 40 16 150.0% 100 100 0.0% 94.4% 31.8%
02249 Nexchip 2026-07-10 344.3 400 200 100.0% 2000 2000 0.0% 89.3% 58.3%
06745 Befar Group 2026-07-10 227.6 300 200 50.0% 1500 1500 0.0% 96.4% 83.3%
00537 Rigol 2026-07-09 356.9 700 — — 2000 2000 0.0% 100.0% 72.7%
01377 Dtech 2026-07-09 354.6 — — — 400 500 20.0% 100.0% 71.4%
01770 Dke 2026-07-09 1067.5 — — — 1200 2000 40.0% 100.0% 100.0%
02475 Luxshare Ict 2026-07-09 3.8 2 1 100.0% 800 800 0.0% 37.9% 6.2%
02797 Qiyunshan Food 2026-07-09 1688.1 — — — 2500 2500 0.0% 100.0% 100.0%
03752 Rokae Robotics 2026-07-09 156.6 200 800 75.0% 2000 2000 0.0% 78.1% 90.0%
06951 CCTC 2026-07-09 327.5 — 200 — 500 500 0.0% 92.3% 71.4%
06880 Momenta-W 2026-07-08 413.6 — — — 1000 500 100.0% 100.0% 14.3%
07656 Reconova 2026-07-08 3646.1 — — — — 1250 — 100.0% 12.5%
07687 Eacon 2026-07-08 157.8 160 180 11.1% 2000 2000 0.0% 96.9% 87.5%
08090 Baogai 2026-07-08 3015.7 — — — — — — 100.0% —
09971 Basicsemi 2026-07-08 4812.7 — 600 — — 1750 — 100.0% 69.2%
02667 Tongrentangcare 2026-07-07 2.8 1 600 99.8% 1800 1800 0.0% 2.9% 0.0%
00668 Anker 2026-07-02 27.6 15 50 70.0% 1000 1000 0.0% 59.3% 45.5%
02697 TH Medical-B 2026-06-30 1790.4 — — — 2000 2000 0.0% 100.0% 81.8%
03952 Laifual 2026-06-30 4572.0 — — — — 2500 — 100.0% 100.0%
06715 Xunlong Scitech 2026-06-30 2134.8 — — — 5000 5000 0.0% 100.0% 100.0%
06915 Jiangxi Bio 2026-06-30 476.6 — — — 800 800 0.0% 100.0% 63.6%
01191 Crealights 2026-06-29 1296.9 — — — 2000 2000 0.0% 100.0% 90.0%
02672 Baige Digital 2026-06-29 242.1 1000 200 400.0% 1500 1500 0.0% 92.9% 50.0%
09637 Alebund-B 2026-06-29 963.6 2000 1000 100.0% 3000 3000 0.0% 100.0% 100.0%
01688 Lingyi Itech 2026-06-26 96.2 90 90 0.0% 800 800 0.0% 80.0% 42.9%
01956 Wenge AI 2026-06-26 5966.8 — — — — — — 100.0% 100.0%
02272 Keytop Parking 2026-06-26 2115.2 — — — 2500 2500 0.0% 100.0% 80.0%
03661 SG Micro 2026-06-26 251.7 500 — — 600 600 0.0% 100.0% 64.7%
06228 Merdekagold-DRS 2026-06-26 4.4 2 1 100.0% 2000 2000 0.0% 85.7% 57.1%
09630 Cfmee 2026-06-26 1007.2 — — — 1400 1800 22.2% 100.0% 92.9%
02335 Micot Pharma-B 2026-06-24 1032.9 — — — 1500 1500 0.0% 100.0% 80.0%
06106 Seer Tech 2026-06-24 5934.6 — — — — 2000 — 100.0% 66.7%
06067 Senior Material 2026-06-23 1563.2 — 1000 — 2000 2000 0.0% 100.0% 83.3%
06132 HJ Science-B 2026-06-23 2007.6 — — — 3500 5000 30.0% 100.0% 100.0%
01392 HQVT 2026-06-22 7181.2 — — — — — — 100.0% 100.0%
06675 Senasic 2026-06-17 5145.0 — — — 13352 10000 33.5% 100.0% 100.0%
06658 Liuliumei 2026-06-15 6586.7 — — — — — — 100.0% 100.0%
01081 Dajin 2026-06-05 134.4 200 60 233.3% 800 800 0.0% 79.3% 46.7%
01779 Longbio-B 2026-06-05 4762.6 — — — 12000 10000 20.0% 100.0% 100.0%
02290 Lung Fung Group 2026-06-05 664.9 — 100 — 1836 — — 100.0% —
02553 Shougang Lanza 2026-06-03 1421.5 — 1000 — 1500 1500 0.0% 100.0% 55.6%
03388 Creality 2026-05-29 3829.4 — — — 6000 5000 20.0% 100.0% 81.8%
00901 SDMC 2026-05-27 1972.0 — — — 3000 2000 50.0% 100.0% 75.0%
02723 Deepzero 2026-05-27 5480.2 — — — — — — 100.0% 100.0%
03310 Viewtrix Tech 2026-05-27 3559.7 — — — 6250 5000 25.0% 100.0% 91.7%
06872 Tennor Therap-B 2026-05-22 9015.1 — — — — — — 100.0% 100.0%
01511 Uisee Tech 2026-05-20 6777.3 — — — — 1800 — 100.0% 40.0%
07688 Topnc 2026-05-20 3764.6 — — — 5000 5000 0.0% 100.0% 81.8%
06871 Robotphoenix 2026-05-18 14855.4 — — — — 5000 — 100.0% 100.0%
07630 Impact Therap-B 2026-05-13 2282.4 — — — 3000 3500 14.3% 100.0% 100.0%
07666 Metis Techbio-P 2026-05-13 6911.0 — 800 — — 3000 — 100.0% 33.3%
01236 Ldrobot 2026-05-11 6707.7 — — — — — — 100.0% 100.0%
01187 Cofoe Medical 2026-05-06 399.1 600 — — 2000 2000 0.0% 100.0% 100.0%
01609 Star Sports Med 2026-05-05 7823.1 — — — — — — 100.0% 100.0%
06810 Sunmi Tech-W 2026-04-29 2003.2 — 1500 — 2500 2500 0.0% 100.0% 84.6%
01879 Xizhi Tech-P 2026-04-28 5784.7 — — — 20000 2000 900.0% 100.0% 0.0%
02493 Mabwell-B 2026-04-28 481.7 — 350 — 1000 1000 0.0% 100.0% 90.9%
03296 Huaqin 2026-04-23 531.3 — — — 700 700 0.0% 100.0% 52.9%
02476 VGT 2026-04-21 431.1 — — — 400 700 42.9% 100.0% 68.8%
00068 Manycore Tech 2026-04-17 1590.6 — — — 1800 1800 0.0% 100.0% 90.9%
03277 Gpixel 2026-04-17 1138.2 — 1000 — 2000 2000 0.0% 100.0% 72.7%
06656 Sigenergy 2026-04-17 1102.0 — — — 3000 5000 40.0% 100.0% 80.0%
00664 Tongshifu 2026-03-31 59.5 60 45 33.3% 900 900 0.0% 73.3% 40.0%
03625 Foursemi 2026-03-31 3118.4 — 800 — — 1250 — 100.0% 12.5%
01021 Huayan Robotics 2026-03-30 5059.4 — — — — 1500 — 100.0% 30.0%
02526 Diagens-B 2026-03-30 1073.4 — — — 1200 1600 25.0% 100.0% 70.0%
02726 Epiworld 2026-03-30 50.7 50 40 25.0% 2000 2000 0.0% 81.2% 60.0%
06636 Extreme Vision 2026-03-30 4591.4 — — — — 3000 — 100.0% 0.0%
02632 New Vision Co 2026-03-24 68.9 40 60 33.3% 4000 4000 0.0% 51.4% 57.1%
02729 Galaxis Tech 2026-03-24 2153.3 — — — 2500 3500 28.6% 100.0% 63.6%
02701 Nsing Tech 2026-03-23 131.8 200 350 42.9% 2500 2500 0.0% 83.3% 70.0%
03355 Fs.com 2026-03-23 1579.7 — 900 — 2000 2000 0.0% 96.9% 90.0%
01989 Delton 2026-03-20 1070.7 — — — 2000 2000 0.0% 100.0% 87.5%
03268 Meig 2026-03-10 174.1 200 100 100.0% 2000 2000 0.0% 93.8% 75.0%
02649 Alsco Pooling 2026-03-09 5297.2 — — — — — — 100.0% 100.0%
02692 Zhaowei 2026-03-09 1536.8 — — — 2000 3000 33.3% 100.0% 86.7%
02715 Estun 2026-03-09 19.7 15 25 40.0% 1500 1500 0.0% 67.9% 66.7%
02706 Haizhi Tech GP 2026-02-13 5065.1 — — — — — — 100.0% 100.0%
09981 Woer 2026-02-13 569.6 1000 350 185.7% 1500 1500 0.0% 92.9% 64.3%
00470 Wuxi Lead 2026-02-11 79.5 50 40 25.0% 1500 1500 0.0% 82.1% 60.0%
00600 Axera 2026-02-10 104.8 70 50 40.0% 2000 2000 0.0% 92.9% 66.7%
02720 Ridge Outdoor 2026-02-10 3654.2 — — — — — — 100.0% 100.0%
06809 Montage Tech 2026-02-09 707.3 — — — 600 1000 40.0% 100.0% 84.2%
02677 Distinct Health 2026-02-06 2730.7 — — — 4750 — — 100.0% 100.0%
02714 Muyuan 2026-02-06 5.9 2 1 100.0% 2000 2000 0.0% 6.2% 0.0%
03200 Hans CNC 2026-02-06 446.4 — — — 600 600 0.0% 100.0% 47.1%
02768 Gon Technology 2026-02-04 2251.8 — — — 4500 5000 10.0% 100.0% 100.0%
09980 Eastroc 2026-02-03 57.5 70 60 16.7% 300 300 0.0% 95.8% 56.2%
01768 Busyming 2026-01-28 1899.5 — — — 5000 — — 100.0% 100.0%
09611 Longcheer 2026-01-22 1149.8 — 500 — 2000 2000 0.0% 89.3% 75.0%
01641 HX Coldchain 2026-01-13 2309.2 — — — — — — 100.0% 100.0%
03986 Gigadevice 2026-01-13 542.2 — — — 500 600 16.7% 100.0% 61.1%
08610 BBSB Intl 2026-01-13 10745.1 — — — — — — 100.0% —
00501 Omnivision 2026-01-12 9.3 5 1 400.0% 500 500 0.0% 73.1% 33.3%
00100 Minimax-W 2026-01-09 1837.2 — 500 — 3333 667 399.7% 100.0% 0.0%
03636 Jinxun Resource 2026-01-09 143.5 — — — 56 — — 100.0% —
06938 Ribolife-B 2026-01-09 101.1 200 100 100.0% 450 450 0.0% 72.0% 60.0%
02513 Z.ai 2026-01-08 1159.5 — 200 — 2000 500 300.0% 100.0% 0.0%
02675 Edge Medical-B 2026-01-08 1091.9 — 1000 — 2000 2000 0.0% 100.0% 90.0%
09903 Iluvatar Corex 2026-01-08 10.7 4 — — 400 400 0.0% 28.0% 0.0%
06082 Biren Tech 2026-01-02 2347.5 — 250 — 2500 1500 66.7% 92.9% 0.0%
02657 Forest Cabin 2025-12-30 1235.8 — — — 1400 1400 0.0% 100.0% 70.0%
02671 Usas Building 2025-12-30 146.2 300 200 50.0% 2800 2800 0.0% 61.1% 75.0%
03317 Xunce 2025-12-30 7.2 4 8 50.0% 1200 1200 0.0% 56.7% 71.4%
03696 Insilico 2025-12-30 1427.4 — — — 4000 2000 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
06651 51World 2025-12-30 256.0 800 100 700.0% 900 900 0.0% 63.3% 0.0%
02635 Nuobikan 2025-12-23 188.7 400 400 0.0% 1000 1000 0.0% 96.8% 80.0%
02661 Qingsong Health 2025-12-23 1421.5 — — — 1750 1250 40.0% 100.0% 53.3%
03378 Hanxbio-B 2025-12-23 3074.1 — — — 5000 4000 25.0% 100.0% 87.5%
02396 B&K Corp-B 2025-12-22 792.0 — — — 750 1250 40.0% 100.0% 72.7%
02581 Benq Holding 2025-12-22 6.3 5 8 37.5% 1400 1400 0.0% 59.4% 100.0%
02691 Nanhua Futures 2025-12-22 1.9 1 2 50.0% 1000 1000 0.0% 29.0% 100.0%
02546 Zhihui Mining 2025-12-19 5248.1 — — — — — — 100.0% 100.0%
03881 Cidi 2025-12-19 22.6 15 4 275.0% 2000 2000 0.0% 18.8% 20.0%
03887 Hashkey HLDGS 2025-12-17 393.7 500 250 100.0% 2000 2000 0.0% 100.0% 76.9%
02655 Guoxia Tech 2025-12-16 1890.7 — — — 2500 2500 0.0% 100.0% 71.4%
07618 JD Industrials 2025-12-11 60.5 35 50 30.0% 2000 2000 0.0% 89.7% 81.2%
02659 Bao Pharma-B 2025-12-10 3526.3 — — — 5000 5000 0.0% 100.0% 83.3%
02676 Novosense 2025-12-08 25.3 25 25 0.0% 500 500 0.0% 76.9% 57.1%
02687 Able Digital 2025-12-08 4813.4 — — — — — — 100.0% 100.0%
02408 Xiao Noodles 2025-12-05 426.0 600 400 50.0% 1600 1600 0.0% 94.1% 85.7%
02658 Tianyu Semi 2025-12-05 60.6 40 30 33.3% 1800 1800 0.0% 80.0% 75.0%
02539 Lemo Services 2025-12-03 7324.3 — — — — — — 100.0% 100.0%
02693 Jinyan Kaolin 2025-12-03 6876.2 — — — — — — 100.0% 100.0%
09609 Haiwei Elec 2025-11-28 5426.3 — — — — — — 100.0% 100.0%
02685 Quantgroup 2025-11-27 9366.3 — — — — — — 100.0% 100.0%
02788 Chuangxin Ind 2025-11-24 447.2 600 180 233.3% 1000 1000 0.0% 93.5% 35.3%
02579 CNGR 2025-11-17 27.9 20 25 20.0% 1000 1000 0.0% 88.9% 83.3%
02698 Softcare 2025-11-10 1813.8 — — — 2000 2500 20.0% 100.0% 68.8%
00699 Joyson Elec 2025-11-06 147.7 400 — — 600 600 0.0% 100.0% 18.2%
00800 Weride-W 2025-11-06 73.4 80 20 300.0% 2000 2000 0.0% 37.5% 0.0%
02026 Pony-W 2025-11-06 15.9 15 — — 300 300 0.0% 58.3% 17.6%
02630 Vigonvita-B 2025-11-06 6238.4 — — — — — — 100.0% 100.0%
09927 Seres 2025-11-05 132.7 300 100 200.0% 400 400 0.0% 96.0% 50.0%
02718 Mininglamp-W 2025-11-03 4452.9 — — — — — — 100.0% 100.0%
01384 Deepexi Tech 2025-10-28 7569.8 — — — — 2500 — 100.0% 100.0%
06031 Sany Heavy Ind 2025-10-28 52.9 30 8 275.0% 1500 1500 0.0% 46.4% 31.6%
06166 Cig 2025-10-28 338.7 400 160 150.0% 1600 1600 0.0% 88.2% 71.4%
06980 Bama Tea 2025-10-28 2680.0 — — — — 3500 — 100.0% 100.0%
00638 Fibocom 2025-10-22 551.0 1000 350 185.7% 1500 1500 0.0% 93.8% 61.5%
06687 JST Group 2025-10-21 1953.0 — 900 — 2000 4000 50.0% 100.0% 62.5%
02637 Haixi Pharma 2025-10-20 3165.1 — — — 6000 6000 0.0% 100.0% 90.0%
02670 Yunji 2025-10-16 5657.2 — — — — 1800 — 100.0% 87.5%
02575 Xuanzhubio-B 2025-10-15 4908.3 — — — — — — 100.0% 100.0%
02650 Zhida Tech 2025-10-10 5440.8 — — — — — — 100.0% 100.0%
08549 Golden Leaf Int 2025-10-09 11464.7 — — — — — — 100.0% —
02652 CF Pharmtech 2025-10-08 6697.8 — — — — — — 100.0% 100.0%
02259 Zijin Gold Intl 2025-09-30 240.7 300 — — 700 700 0.0% 96.4% 80.0%
02889 Pateo 2025-09-29 529.8 500 400 25.0% 2500 2500 0.0% 93.3% 80.0%
09973 Chery Auto 2025-09-25 308.2 300 200 50.0% 2000 2000 0.0% 75.0% 53.3%
06090 Butong Group 2025-09-23 3317.5 — — — — 5000 — 100.0% 100.0%
02595 Genfleet-B 2025-09-19 2662.8 — — — 3500 5000 30.0% 100.0% 93.8%
02656 160 Health 2025-09-17 751.8 — — — 1600 1600 0.0% 100.0% 100.0%
02525 Hesai-W 2025-09-16 168.7 200 100 100.0% 1500 1500 0.0% 96.4% 53.3%
02543 Dahon Tech 2025-09-09 7558.4 — — — — — — 100.0% 100.0%
03858 Jiaxin Intl Res 2025-08-28 2041.6 — — — 2500 3750 33.3% 100.0% 86.7%
06960 Shuangdeng 2025-08-26 3876.2 — — — — 5856 — 100.0% 100.0%
02631 Sicc 2025-08-20 2809.2 — 500 — 4000 2000 100.0% 100.0% 0.0%
02591 Innogen-B 2025-08-15 5341.7 — — — — — — 100.0% 100.0%
02627 Ab&b Bio-Tech-B 2025-08-11 4007.6 — — — 8361 5000 67.2% 100.0% 90.0%
09887 Leads Biolabs-B 2025-07-25 3494.8 — 400 — 5000 2000 150.0% 84.4% 0.0%
01304 Fortior 2025-07-09 138.3 400 20 1900.0% 500 500 0.0% 61.5% 0.0%
02590 Geekplus-W 2025-07-09 133.6 150 25 500.0% 1500 1500 0.0% 53.6% 0.0%
02597 Xunzhong 2025-07-09 12.8 14 40 65.0% 1000 1000 0.0% 51.5% 25.0%
06613 Lens 2025-07-09 462.8 500 20 2400.0% 2500 2500 0.0% 53.8% 0.0%
01828 FWD 2025-07-07 37.1 20 10 100.0% 2000 2000 0.0% 34.4% 0.0%
02648 Anjoy Food 2025-07-04 44.2 35 8 337.5% 900 900 0.0% 33.3% 14.3%
02592 Cloudbreak-B 2025-07-03 78.8 100 50 100.0% 1000 1000 0.0% 71.0% 0.0%
03880 Medtide 2025-06-30 301.1 500 200 150.0% 2000 2000 0.0% 75.8% 0.0%
09678 Unisound 2025-06-30 91.7 150 25 500.0% 1500 1500 0.0% 46.9% 0.0%
02508 Saint Bella GP 2025-06-26 193 400 50 700.0% 1600 1600 0.0% 55.9% 0.0%
06883 Eternal Beauty 2025-06-26 35.8 25 15 66.7% 2000 2000 0.0% 37.5% 0.0%
02619 XJ Electrics 2025-06-25 852.4 — 200 — 2000 2000 0.0% 75.8% 0.0%
02643 Caocao Inc 2025-06-25 21.1 9 4 125.0% 2000 2000 0.0% 18.8% 0.0%
02609 Bayzed Health 2025-06-23 25.9 20 15 33.3% 2000 2000 0.0% 87.5% 66.7%
03288 Haitian Flav 2025-06-19 918.1 — 80 — 2000 2000 0.0% 71.9% 0.0%
02605 Metalight 2025-06-10 274.4 625 250 150.0% 1500 1500 0.0% 100.0% 0.0%
09881 Rongta Tech 2025-06-10 276.0 — — — 1000 1000 0.0% 100.0% 20.0%
02621 Shouhui Group 2025-05-30 990 — 250 — 1750 1750 0.0% 83.9% 0.0%
02565 Pegbio Co-B 2025-05-27 743.8 — 200 — 900 700 28.6% 93.8% 0.0%
02603 Jihong Co 2025-05-27 49.4 40 14 185.7% 1400 1400 0.0% 51.5% 0.0%
01276 Hengrui Pharma 2025-05-23 454.9 — 50 — 1000 1000 0.0% 70.4% 0.0%
02629 Mirxes-B 2025-05-23 25.5 20 4 400.0% 2500 2500 0.0% 84.6% 58.3%
03750 Catl 2025-05-20 15.2 20 — — 200 200 0.0% 57.9% 0.0%
06831 Green Tea Group 2025-05-16 317.5 67 67 0.0% 116667 116667 0.0% 3.6% 0.0%
02589 Auntea Jenny 2025-05-08 3616.8 — — — — 1500 — 100.0% 0.0%
02865 Drinda 2025-05-08 3.5 2 5 60.0% 3000 3000 0.0% 36.4% 50.0%
01333 Breton 2025-05-07 198.7 350 150 133.3% 1500 1500 0.0% 69.4% 0.0%
09606 Dualitybio-B 2025-04-15 115.1 200 10 1900.0% 600 600 0.0% 44.4% 0.0%
03677 Zenergy 2025-04-14 3.5 2 1 100.0% 2500 2500 0.0% 34.5% 50.0%
02625 Jiangsu Horizon 2025-03-31 47.0 35 35 0.0% 2250 2250 0.0% 87.2% 0.0%
02569 Soft Intl 2025-03-27 167.1 400 40 900.0% 2000 2000 0.0% 75.0% 0.0%
02610 Nanshan Al Intl 2025-03-25 3.9 2 1 100.0% 2000 2000 0.0% 75.0% 100.0%
02561 Visen Pharma-B 2025-03-21 72.6 80 20 300.0% 800 800 0.0% 41.4% 0.0%
06693 Chifeng Gold 2025-03-10 9.5 4 4 0.0% 3509 3509 0.0% 79.2% 50.0%
02097 Mixue Group 2025-03-03 5258.2 — — — — 2000 — 100.0% 36.4%
01364 Guming 2025-02-12 194.9 150 1 14900.0% 1500 1500 0.0% 3.3% 33.3%
02571 Saimo 2025-01-15 2.7 2 1 100.0% 1905 — — 18.8% —
00805 New Gonow RV 2025-01-13 2.5 2000 2000 0.0% 4000000 4000000 0.0% 82.8% 100.0%
02596 Yibin Bank 2025-01-13 0.2 1 1 0.0% 12 — — 100.0% —
00325 Bloks 2025-01-10 6000.0 — — — — — — 100.0% 100.0%
02530 Numans 2025-01-10 65.2 80 25 220.0% 800 800 0.0% 93.1% 0.0%
02560 Conch Mat Tech 2025-01-09 25.8 15 4 275.0% 2000 2000 0.0% 31.2% 0.0%
02613 Contiocean 2025-01-09 55.3 35 20 75.0% 2000 2000 0.0% 75.0% 0.0%
06681 Brainaurora-B 2025-01-08 11.4 7 10 30.0% 2000 2000 0.0% 48.4% 33.3%

Methodology

  • Allotment-structure metrics are computed at each stock's actual oversubscription multiple, without compounding the oversubscription forecast error.
  • Expected 1-lot lots = the smallest application tier whose expected allocation first reaches one lot, computed separately for Pool A and Pool B; relative error = |predicted − actual| ÷ actual. Bucket hit rate = the share of tiers whose expected lot count, rounded into log2 bins (0–1, 2–3, 4–7, 8–15…), falls in the same bin as actual.
About this page

This page publishes the backtest of cibo's allotment forecast. For each of 214 listed HK IPOs, expected lots per application tier are predicted at the stock's actual oversubscription multiple (no multiple-forecast error stacked on top) and compared with the actual allotment. It shows the median relative error of the lots needed for one expected lot in Pool A and B, the expected-lots bucket hit rate, and per-stock predicted vs actual lots. Data comes from the prediction_history table and covers stocks listed from 2025 onward.

Cibo — HK IPO Allotment Forecasts, Allottee Profiling & Stock Connect