EKH 02523Expected Lots

EKH (02523) Expected Lots
Offering Mechanism: Mechanism B | Min Subscription: HK$5,360  |  Public Offering Lots: Pool A 1,290lots / Pool B 1,290lots  |  Offer Price: HK$2.68  |  Lot Size: 2000shares  |  Public Offering Size: HK$13.8M
1x72312.0x
Recent first-day return
-0.2%
→
Participants
7,956
→
Avg lots
114.9
→
Oversubscription
354x
354x = 7,956 × 114.9 ÷ 2,580 margin-weighted 100% → 6370.2x
Margin dynamics · 2026-07-08 11:07 Margin multiple6370.247288503253x Margin funds881.0100M
Rank Broker Margin funds
1 富途证券富途 611.3100M
2 老虎国际老虎 121.9100M
3 辉立证券辉立 38.0100M
4 华泰国际华泰 24.5100M
5 盈立证券盈立 24.2100M
6 致富证券致富 20.8100M
7 华盛证券华盛 15.2100M
8 复星国际复星 11.2100M
9 熊猫证券熊猫 9.2100M
Margin multiple
TimeMultiple
2026-06-30T06:00:00+08:000
2026-06-30T11:22:17+08:000.0014461315979754157
2026-06-30T11:22:23+08:000.011569052783803326
2026-06-30T11:22:29+08:000.5177151120751988
2026-06-30T12:14:41+08:000.5206073752711496
2026-06-30T12:18:37+08:000.5986984815618221
2026-06-30T12:21:23+08:000.6023138105567607
2026-06-30T12:24:33+08:000.6088214027476501
2026-06-30T12:26:41+08:000.6811279826464208
2026-06-30T14:02:18+08:000.6832971800433839
2026-06-30T14:02:21+08:000.6876355748373102
2026-06-30T14:06:32+08:000.6898047722342733
2026-06-30T14:12:12+08:000.7093275488069414
2026-06-30T14:12:14+08:000.7411424439624006
2026-06-30T14:16:34+08:000.7519884309472162
2026-06-30T14:18:38+08:000.824295010845987
2026-06-30T14:28:20+08:000.848879248011569
2026-06-30T15:03:24+08:000.8524945770065075
2026-06-30T15:05:33+08:000.8792480115690527
2026-06-30T15:17:27+08:000.8814172089660159
2026-06-30T16:29:23+08:000.8864786695589298
2026-06-30T16:33:15+08:000.8872017353579176
2026-06-30T16:34:31+08:000.8908170643528561
2026-06-30T16:40:06+08:000.8915401301518439
2026-06-30T17:07:09+08:000.8994938539407086
2026-06-30T17:11:00+08:000.9067245119305857
2026-06-30T17:12:55+08:000.953000723065799
2026-06-30T18:03:33+08:000.9624005784526392
2026-06-30T18:14:56+08:000.9638467100506146
2026-06-30T18:17:34+08:000.9645697758496024
2026-06-30T18:21:36+08:000.9775849602313811
2026-06-30T18:22:46+08:003.8698481561822127
2026-06-30T20:09:18+08:003.875632682574114
2026-06-30T20:17:41+08:003.8799710773680407
2026-06-30T22:04:21+08:003.883586406362979
2026-06-30T22:07:52+08:003.8872017353579174
2026-07-01T08:42:46+08:003.9088937093275486
2026-07-01T08:42:49+08:003.93998553868402
2026-07-01T08:53:07+08:003.9045553145336225
2026-07-01T08:53:10+08:003.89587852494577
2026-07-01T09:05:22+08:003.9240780911062907
2026-07-01T09:07:59+08:003.927693420101229
2026-07-01T09:12:19+08:003.945770065075922
2026-07-01T09:17:51+08:003.9587852494577005
2026-07-01T09:21:54+08:003.9696312364425164
2026-07-01T10:18:30+08:003.9725234996384673
2026-07-01T10:21:44+08:003.9732465654374547
2026-07-01T10:28:14+08:003.9746926970354304
2026-07-01T11:09:19+08:003.9761388286334056
2026-07-01T11:16:01+08:003.9768618944323935
2026-07-01T12:14:08+08:003.977584960231381
2026-07-01T14:11:13+08:003.9790310918293565
2026-07-01T14:14:45+08:003.984815618221258
2026-07-01T14:18:29+08:004.0571221981200285
2026-07-01T14:25:47+08:004.057845263919017
2026-07-01T14:29:01+08:004.071583514099783
2026-07-01T15:09:58+08:004.073029645697758
2026-07-01T15:20:25+08:004.145336225596529
2026-07-01T16:14:41+08:004.153289949385394
2026-07-01T16:23:52+08:004.154013015184382
2026-07-01T17:03:38+08:004.156182212581345
2026-07-01T17:06:18+08:004.161243673174259
2026-07-01T18:03:00+08:004.161966738973247
2026-07-01T18:14:52+08:004.172812725958062
2026-07-01T20:58:52+08:004.216196673897325
2026-07-01T21:00:25+08:004.225596529284165
2026-07-01T21:03:37+08:004.226319595083153
2026-07-01T22:06:34+08:004.2299349240780915
2026-07-01T22:10:37+08:004.231381055676066
2026-07-02T08:42:04+08:004.237165582067968
2026-07-02T08:42:07+08:004.240780911062907
2026-07-02T08:47:24+08:004.268980477223427
2026-07-02T09:13:23+08:004.285610990600144
2026-07-02T09:29:29+08:004.281995661605206
2026-07-02T09:49:36+08:004.397686189443239
2026-07-02T10:14:43+08:004.394070860448301
2026-07-02T10:19:02+08:004.396240057845264
2026-07-02T10:21:31+08:004.396963123644252
2026-07-02T11:13:48+08:004.652205350686913
2026-07-02T11:16:49+08:004.655097613882863
2026-07-02T12:11:57+08:004.657266811279826
2026-07-02T12:16:36+08:004.663051337671728
2026-07-02T14:07:29+08:004.6717281272595805
2026-07-02T14:07:32+08:004.67823571945047
2026-07-02T14:12:36+08:004.681851048445409
2026-07-02T14:12:39+08:004.682574114244396
2026-07-02T14:19:17+08:004.683297180043384
2026-07-02T14:19:19+08:004.684743311641359
2026-07-02T14:23:01+08:004.6999276934201015
2026-07-02T14:23:04+08:004.701373825018076
2026-07-02T14:23:07+08:004.773680404916847
2026-07-02T14:34:57+08:004.801879971077368
2026-07-02T15:01:31+08:004.804049168474331
2026-07-02T15:03:39+08:004.811279826464208
2026-07-02T15:06:23+08:004.968185104844541
2026-07-02T15:12:01+08:004.973969631236442
2026-07-02T16:05:04+08:004.978308026030369
2026-07-02T16:07:18+08:004.982646420824295
2026-07-02T16:08:53+08:004.986261749819233
2026-07-02T16:14:43+08:005.020245842371656
2026-07-02T17:04:13+08:005.022415039768619
2026-07-02T17:06:09+08:005.023861171366594
2026-07-02T17:10:24+08:005.026030368763558
2026-07-02T17:15:48+08:007.918293564714389
2026-07-02T18:06:38+08:007.921908893709327
2026-07-02T18:18:05+08:007.9226319595083154
2026-07-02T18:26:50+08:009.368763557483732
2026-07-02T20:42:18+08:009.370209689081706
2026-07-02T20:44:37+08:009.37816341287057
2026-07-02T20:45:55+08:009.415039768618945
2026-07-02T20:47:43+08:009.418655097613883
2026-07-02T20:50:18+08:009.420101229211859
2026-07-02T21:50:04+08:009.420824295010846
2026-07-02T22:10:27+08:0010.425162689804772
2026-07-03T08:38:23+08:0010.370932754880695
2026-07-03T08:38:26+08:0010.218365871294289
2026-07-03T08:43:17+08:0010.219088937093275
2026-07-03T08:48:18+08:0010.074475777295733
2026-07-03T09:02:36+08:0010.082429501084599
2026-07-03T09:06:53+08:0010.059291395516992
2026-07-03T09:09:43+08:0010.056399132321042
2026-07-03T09:12:58+08:0010.067968185104844
2026-07-03T09:14:32+08:0010.718727404193782
2026-07-03T09:17:39+08:0010.759219088937094
2026-07-03T10:16:15+08:0010.764280549530007
2026-07-03T10:17:16+08:0010.765003615328995
2026-07-03T10:20:19+08:0011.198843094721619
2026-07-03T10:29:51+08:0011.201012292118582
2026-07-03T11:14:21+08:0011.205350686912508
2026-07-03T11:15:33+08:0011.208966015907448
2026-07-03T11:16:29+08:0010.847433116413594
2026-07-03T11:18:07+08:0010.851048445408532
2026-07-03T11:19:04+08:0010.853940708604483
2026-07-03T12:28:52+08:0010.857556037599421
2026-07-03T12:33:10+08:0010.862617498192336
2026-07-03T12:34:54+08:0010.890817064352856
2026-07-03T13:40:46+08:0010.895155459146782
2026-07-03T13:44:25+08:0010.89587852494577
2026-07-03T14:01:17+08:0010.898047722342733
2026-07-03T14:02:21+08:0010.926247288503253
2026-07-03T14:07:50+08:0010.937816341287057
2026-07-03T14:13:04+08:0010.938539407086045
2026-07-03T15:20:09+08:0010.943600867678958
2026-07-03T15:21:53+08:0011.01590744757773
2026-07-03T15:25:07+08:0011.02530730296457
2026-07-03T16:04:51+08:0011.049891540130151
2026-07-03T16:07:53+08:0011.061460592913955
2026-07-03T16:09:07+08:0011.062183658712943
2026-07-03T17:09:37+08:0011.483007953723789
2026-07-03T17:11:00+08:0011.483731019522777
2026-07-03T17:13:33+08:0011.553868402024584
2026-07-03T18:34:47+08:0011.556037599421547
2026-07-03T18:39:22+08:0011.574837310195228
2026-07-03T18:41:01+08:0011.579898770788141
2026-07-03T18:41:33+08:0011.582067968185104
2026-07-03T18:43:26+08:0011.654374548083876
2026-07-03T18:46:13+08:0011.67172812725958
2026-07-03T21:05:48+08:0011.675343456254518
2026-07-03T21:06:51+08:0011.678958785249458
2026-07-03T21:08:39+08:0011.684020245842373
2026-07-03T21:11:11+08:0011.691973969631237
2026-07-03T21:13:01+08:0011.6999276934201
2026-07-03T21:14:53+08:0011.989154013015185
2026-07-04T09:36:29+08:0011.986261749819233
2026-07-04T09:37:37+08:0011.986984815618221
2026-07-04T09:38:38+08:0011.997830802603037
2026-07-04T09:40:17+08:0011.998553868402025
2026-07-04T09:41:50+08:0012.023138105567607
2026-07-04T09:43:46+08:0012.095444685466378
2026-07-04T10:27:19+08:0012.096890817064352
2026-07-04T10:30:11+08:0012.100506146059292
2026-07-04T12:02:33+08:0012.101229211858278
2026-07-04T12:10:48+08:0012.107736804049168
2026-07-04T15:37:01+08:0012.114244396240057
2026-07-04T15:39:30+08:0012.114967462039045
2026-07-04T18:35:08+08:0012.117136659436008
2026-07-04T18:36:19+08:0012.120751988430948
2026-07-04T18:39:51+08:0012.121475054229935
2026-07-04T20:04:26+08:0012.122198120028923
2026-07-04T20:05:54+08:0012.123644251626898
2026-07-04T20:08:06+08:0012.162689804772235
2026-07-05T09:41:56+08:0012.164859002169198
2026-07-05T09:45:02+08:0012.180766449746926
2026-07-05T12:19:09+08:0012.108459869848156
2026-07-05T12:23:36+08:0012.109182935647144
2026-07-05T12:24:15+08:0012.111352133044107
2026-07-05T12:24:49+08:0012.133767172812727
2026-07-05T12:27:36+08:0012.13593637020969
2026-07-05T12:30:42+08:0012.136659436008676
2026-07-05T12:36:14+08:0012.148951554591468
2026-07-05T12:36:51+08:0012.138105567606653
2026-07-05T12:39:00+08:0012.13882863340564
2026-07-05T12:40:45+08:0012.140274765003616
2026-07-05T14:42:19+08:0012.14172089660159
2026-07-05T14:50:14+08:0012.143167028199565
2026-07-05T17:20:02+08:0012.143890093998554
2026-07-05T17:20:38+08:0012.146059291395517
2026-07-05T17:23:03+08:0012.198843094721619
2026-07-05T17:29:58+08:0012.206073752711497
2026-07-05T17:49:26+08:0012.207519884309471
2026-07-05T20:06:51+08:0011.859002169197398
2026-07-05T20:08:09+08:0011.863340563991324
2026-07-05T20:21:06+08:0011.869848156182213
2026-07-05T20:25:34+08:0012.809833694866233
2026-07-05T21:16:48+08:0012.821402747650037
2026-07-06T08:39:37+08:0012.840925524222705
2026-07-06T08:40:06+08:0012.845263919016631
2026-07-06T08:40:30+08:0012.849602313810557
2026-07-06T08:42:01+08:0012.845986984815617
2026-07-06T08:45:46+08:0013.062906724511931
2026-07-06T09:01:51+08:0013.08170643528561
2026-07-06T09:02:50+08:0013.088937093275488
2026-07-06T09:05:29+08:0013.102675343456255
2026-07-06T09:05:59+08:0013.107736804049168
2026-07-06T09:06:44+08:0013.10412147505423
2026-07-06T09:09:19+08:0013.398409255242226
2026-07-06T10:26:16+08:0013.442516268980476
2026-07-06T10:27:52+08:0013.446854663774403
2026-07-06T10:28:00+08:0013.452639190166305
2026-07-06T10:28:19+08:0013.464931308749096
2026-07-06T10:29:10+08:0014.043383947939262
2026-07-06T11:00:48+08:0014.11352133044107
2026-07-06T11:02:12+08:0014.125090383224874
2026-07-06T11:10:26+08:0014.151120751988431
2026-07-06T11:11:01+08:0014.202458423716559
2026-07-06T11:11:20+08:0014.274765003615329
2026-07-06T12:15:24+08:0014.283441793203181
2026-07-06T12:15:40+08:0014.284887924801158
2026-07-06T12:16:06+08:0014.286334056399133
2026-07-06T12:16:38+08:0014.720173535791757
2026-07-06T12:22:50+08:0014.840202458423716
2026-07-06T12:23:03+08:0014.888647866955893
2026-07-06T13:39:55+08:0014.945770065075921
2026-07-06T13:40:15+08:0014.950831525668836
2026-07-06T13:40:46+08:0014.986261749819233
2026-07-06T13:41:01+08:0014.989877078814173
2026-07-06T13:41:20+08:0015.02530730296457
2026-07-06T13:41:40+08:0015.748373101952277
2026-07-06T14:06:23+08:0015.885755603759943
2026-07-06T14:06:57+08:0016.09833694866233
2026-07-06T14:07:25+08:0016.10195227765727
2026-07-06T14:07:48+08:0016.248011569052785
2026-07-06T14:08:08+08:0016.537237888647866
2026-07-06T14:08:48+08:0016.396240057845265
2026-07-06T15:16:12+08:0016.57194504699928
2026-07-06T15:16:28+08:0016.59291395516992
2026-07-06T15:17:02+08:0016.6117136659436
2026-07-06T15:17:46+08:0016.684020245842373
2026-07-06T15:18:04+08:0016.814172089660158
2026-07-06T15:18:19+08:0016.819233550253074
2026-07-06T16:16:31+08:0016.90527838033261
2026-07-06T16:17:44+08:0016.98481561822126
2026-07-06T16:18:25+08:0016.99349240780911
2026-07-06T16:18:44+08:0016.99710773680405
2026-07-06T16:19:04+08:0017.28633405639913
2026-07-06T16:21:21+08:0017.302241503976862
2026-07-06T17:31:29+08:0017.410701373825017
2026-07-06T17:31:53+08:0027.48662328271873
2026-07-06T17:32:14+08:0035.57266811279826
2026-07-06T17:32:27+08:0035.61460592913955
2026-07-06T17:32:48+08:0035.70498915401301
2026-07-06T17:33:03+08:0056.746203904555315
2026-07-06T17:33:21+08:0056.83947939262473
2026-07-06T17:33:38+08:0056.9117859725235
2026-07-06T17:48:44+08:0058.35791757049891
2026-07-06T18:01:19+08:0061.717281272595805
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2026-07-06T18:02:24+08:0067.8467100506146
2026-07-06T18:04:10+08:0070.74041937816341
2026-07-06T18:04:15+08:0071.53362255965293
2026-07-06T18:04:35+08:0073.39696312364426
2026-07-06T18:05:33+08:0094.00433839479393
2026-07-06T20:02:09+08:0094.22125813449024
2026-07-06T20:02:34+08:00100.08966015907447
2026-07-06T20:02:49+08:00101.44974692697035
2026-07-06T20:04:17+08:00102.38467100506146
2026-07-06T20:04:39+08:00134.48879248011568
2026-07-06T20:04:44+08:00137.8937093275488
2026-07-06T20:05:23+08:00151.89587852494577
2026-07-06T20:05:38+08:00156.14895155459146
2026-07-06T20:05:58+08:00191.86840202458424
2026-07-06T21:29:06+08:00197.33188720173536
2026-07-06T21:29:43+08:00197.2530730296457
2026-07-06T21:29:48+08:00204.78018799710773
2026-07-06T21:29:57+08:00206.56109906001447
2026-07-06T21:30:19+08:00270.1908893709328
2026-07-06T22:05:37+08:00270.3846710050615
2026-07-06T22:05:42+08:00287.71366594360086
2026-07-06T22:05:52+08:00288.79175704989154
2026-07-06T22:06:13+08:00368.6182212581345
2026-07-07T08:38:01+08:00382.81489515545917
2026-07-07T08:38:10+08:00422.3817787418655
2026-07-07T08:38:34+08:00424.6854663774403
2026-07-07T08:38:43+08:00429.5618221258134
2026-07-07T08:39:07+08:00842.8662328271872
2026-07-07T09:01:18+08:00847.7194504699928
2026-07-07T09:01:52+08:00871.6377440347071
2026-07-07T09:02:18+08:00937.587129428778
2026-07-07T09:03:41+08:00953.0918293564714
2026-07-07T09:03:59+08:00968.9479392624729
2026-07-07T09:04:15+08:00970.7968185104844
2026-07-07T09:05:23+08:001106.588575560376
2026-07-07T09:09:57+08:001131.8597252349964
2026-07-07T10:23:19+08:001146.3210412147505
2026-07-07T10:23:26+08:001146.7932031814896
2026-07-07T10:23:50+08:001152.0665220535068
2026-07-07T10:24:15+08:001203.7389732465654
2026-07-07T10:24:24+08:001208.2639190166306
2026-07-07T10:25:20+08:001502.117859725235
2026-07-07T11:10:10+08:001554.472161966739
2026-07-07T11:10:15+08:001555.1265365148229
2026-07-07T11:10:19+08:001559.2501807664498
2026-07-07T11:10:28+08:001580.4844540853217
2026-07-07T11:10:31+08:001582.9718004338395
2026-07-07T11:10:37+08:001676.2472885032537
2026-07-07T12:05:17+08:001680.5770065075922
2026-07-07T12:05:25+08:001682.227042660882
2026-07-07T12:05:30+08:001691.0216919739696
2026-07-07T12:05:33+08:001694.1879971077367
2026-07-07T12:05:36+08:001694.352133044107
2026-07-07T12:05:40+08:001758.1265365148229
2026-07-07T13:37:32+08:001763.059291395517
2026-07-07T13:37:34+08:001764.5770065075922
2026-07-07T13:37:37+08:001769.6681127982647
2026-07-07T13:37:40+08:001771.177874186551
2026-07-07T13:37:44+08:001771.4229934924078
2026-07-07T13:37:48+08:001824.2791033984092
2026-07-07T14:08:30+08:001827.3976861894432
2026-07-07T14:08:34+08:001832.3868402024584
2026-07-07T14:08:37+08:001834.174258857556
2026-07-07T14:08:42+08:001846.1012292118583
2026-07-07T14:08:44+08:001846.6955892986261
2026-07-07T14:08:47+08:001846.7527114967463
2026-07-07T14:08:50+08:001890.2812725958063
2026-07-07T14:09:18+08:001932.479392624729
2026-07-07T15:01:14+08:001935.8293564714388
2026-07-07T15:01:18+08:001937.9580621836587
2026-07-07T15:07:00+08:001943.9269703543023
2026-07-07T15:07:02+08:001945.824295010846
2026-07-07T15:07:05+08:001945.9211858279104
2026-07-07T15:07:08+08:001999.4280549530008
2026-07-07T16:06:16+08:002003.8922631959508
2026-07-07T16:06:19+08:002006.466377440347
2026-07-07T16:06:24+08:002020.6232827187273
2026-07-07T16:06:27+08:002024.11424439624
2026-07-07T16:06:29+08:002024.30007230658
2026-07-07T16:06:32+08:002091.762111352133
2026-07-07T16:43:41+08:002099.643528561099
2026-07-07T16:56:18+08:002119.6724511930584
2026-07-07T17:09:28+08:002121.0874909616773
2026-07-07T17:09:31+08:002125.23571945047
2026-07-07T17:09:36+08:002196.605929139552
2026-07-07T17:09:39+08:002200.1344902386118
2026-07-07T17:09:41+08:002200.237165582068
2026-07-07T17:09:44+08:002524.170643528561
2026-07-07T17:54:03+08:002790.2588575560376
2026-07-07T18:02:21+08:002853.1952277657265
2026-07-07T18:02:28+08:002894.2075198843095
2026-07-07T18:02:40+08:002904.3275488069416
2026-07-07T18:09:31+08:002957.939262472885
2026-07-07T18:09:37+08:002964.5495300072307
2026-07-07T18:09:42+08:002965.513376717281
2026-07-07T18:09:47+08:003149.244396240058
2026-07-07T20:02:56+08:003156.5661605206074
2026-07-07T20:03:06+08:003162.6196673897325
2026-07-07T20:03:11+08:003197.744757772957
2026-07-07T20:03:16+08:003205.3217642805494
2026-07-07T20:03:21+08:003216.6702819956618
2026-07-07T20:03:26+08:003370.394070860448
2026-07-07T20:03:31+08:003382.077368040492
2026-07-07T20:03:36+08:003408.1381055676065
2026-07-07T20:03:40+08:003413.8004338394794
2026-07-07T20:03:45+08:003418.3138105567605
2026-07-07T21:36:15+08:003548.6825741142443
2026-07-07T21:36:20+08:003559.428054953001
2026-07-07T21:36:41+08:003610.2147505422995
2026-07-07T21:36:46+08:003615.762111352133
2026-07-07T21:36:51+08:003623.761388286334
2026-07-07T21:37:27+08:003813.927693420101
2026-07-08T08:35:54+08:003858.0903832248737
2026-07-08T08:35:56+08:003899.3167028199564
2026-07-08T08:35:58+08:004035.8481561822127
2026-07-08T08:36:29+08:004040.4627621113523
2026-07-08T08:36:44+08:004046.347071583514
2026-07-08T08:36:48+08:004223.932031814895
2026-07-08T08:36:51+08:004228.224873463485
2026-07-08T08:36:54+08:004238.368763557483
2026-07-08T08:36:58+08:005058.108459869848
2026-07-08T09:00:25+08:005084.754880694143
2026-07-08T09:02:03+08:005126.107736804049
2026-07-08T09:02:08+08:005162.984092552422
2026-07-08T09:03:13+08:005231.156905278381
2026-07-08T09:03:18+08:005242.968908170644
2026-07-08T09:03:22+08:005244.908170643528
2026-07-08T09:17:43+08:005535.797541576283
2026-07-08T10:03:13+08:005548.3571945047
2026-07-08T10:03:17+08:005648.038322487347
2026-07-08T10:06:47+08:006322.297180043384
2026-07-08T11:07:51+08:006370.247288503253
TradeGo forecast multiple
TimeMultiple
Broker margin funds trend
TimeBrokerMargin funds
Pool A α=
Allocation Strategy Coefficient α
Allocation Strategy Coefficient
Reflects the issuer's allocation preference across different subscription sizes.
α → 0  Per-capita allocation — every allottee receives the same number of shares, regardless of lots subscribed.
α → 1  Proportional allocation — the more lots subscribed, the more shares allotted.
Historical α range (P10–P90): Pool A 0.3–0.9, Pool B 0.4–1.0
0.51
Pool B α=
Allocation Strategy Coefficient α
Allocation Strategy Coefficient
Reflects the issuer's allocation preference across different subscription sizes.
α → 0  Per-capita allocation — every allottee receives the same number of shares, regardless of lots subscribed.
α → 1  Proportional allocation — the more lots subscribed, the more shares allotted.
Historical α range (P10–P90): Pool A 0.3–0.9, Pool B 0.4–1.0
0.61
This model does not support allocation strategy adjustment

LogoEKH Allotment Prediction Matrix

Rows are subscription tiers, columns are different oversubscription ratios, values are expected allotment lots; green indicates guaranteed allotment (≥1 lot)

Pool A

Oversubscription
6370.2x
Allocation Strategy
α=
Allocation Strategy Coefficient α
Allocation Strategy Coefficient
Reflects the issuer's allocation preference across different subscription sizes.
α → 0  Per-capita allocation — every allottee receives the same number of shares, regardless of lots subscribed.
α → 1  Proportional allocation — the more lots subscribed, the more shares allotted.
Historical α range (P10–P90): Pool A 0.3–0.9, Pool B 0.4–1.0
0.51

Pool B

Oversubscription
6370.2x
Allocation Strategy
α=
Allocation Strategy Coefficient α
Allocation Strategy Coefficient
Reflects the issuer's allocation preference across different subscription sizes.
α → 0  Per-capita allocation — every allottee receives the same number of shares, regardless of lots subscribed.
α → 1  Proportional allocation — the more lots subscribed, the more shares allotted.
Historical α range (P10–P90): Pool A 0.3–0.9, Pool B 0.4–1.0
0.61
Offering Mechanism

Mechanism B

Flexible offering mechanism under HKEX Practice Note 18. Minimum initial allocation to the public offer tranche is 10% of offering shares, with no clawback mechanism. Maximum initial allocation is 60% (as at least 40% of total offering shares must be allocated to the placing tranche, excluding cornerstones).

Allocation Strategy Coefficient α

α is the issuer's allocation preference coefficient, describing the issuer's allocation tendency across subscription sizes. α ranges [0, 1].

  • α → 0: Per-capita allocation — regardless of lots subscribed, every allottee receives the same number of shares. More favorable to retail (small) applications.
  • α → 1: Proportional allocation — allotted shares are proportional to lots subscribed. More favorable to large applications.
  • Historical actual α range (P10–P90): Pool A 0.3–0.9, Pool B 0.4–1.0. α varies widely across IPOs, reflecting each issuer's allocation strategy.
Allotment Rate Definition

The "allotment rate" on this page follows the exact HKEX allotment results announcement definition: Allotment rate = total shares allotted to the tier ÷ total valid shares applied in the tier × 100%. This is the official HKEX standard and is fundamentally different from other definitions used elsewhere (e.g. "ratio of applicants who got allotted").

Expected Allotment Lots

Expected allotment lots = total shares allotted to the tier ÷ lot size ÷ number of applicants in the tier

Example: a tier with 50,000 total allotted shares, 100 shares per lot, and 500 applicants → expected allotment lots = 50,000 ÷ 100 ÷ 500 = 1.0 lots.

// About this page //

This page shows expected-lot forecasts for EKH (02523): expected hit rate based on similar-IPO matching and Pool A/B capital-efficiency comparison.
The default oversubscription multiple follows the chain recent first-day return → participant count → average lots per participant → multiple, i.e. multiple = participants × average lots ÷ public-offer lots; participant count and average lots are anchored on the recent IPO median and adjusted by offering size, A+H status, H-share premium/discount, industry, concurrent IPOs, sponsor track record and recent HSI moves.
Early in the subscription window the default multiple relies on the model; as subscription progresses it blends in the margin multiple; near the deadline (roughly 90% through) it follows the margin multiple.
Hit-rate forecasts fit 10,897 allotment-tier records across 356 historical IPOs via regression and KNN similar-IPO matching, estimating expected lots per application tier and applying the allocation-strategy coefficient α (equal-per-person to proportional allocation).
Data sources: HKEXnews public-offer allotment result announcements, prospectuses and FINI announcements; margin data (margin multiple, TradeGo forecast multiple and broker breakdown) comes from 捷利交易宝 (TradeGo), where the margin multiple covers only reporting brokers and the TradeGo forecast multiple is a full-market extrapolation.
The margin multiple updates intraday in real time; the hit-rate model is refreshed as new IPO allotment data is ingested.

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Cibo — HK IPO Allotment Forecasts, Allottee Profiling & Stock Connect