Omnivision 00501Expected Lots
Omnivision (00501) Expected Lots
| Rank | Broker | Margin funds |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  富途 |
18.6100M |
| 2 |  辉立 |
2.4100M |
| 3 |  老虎 |
2.2100M |
| 4 |  华泰 |
420110K |
| 5 |  盈立 |
403910K |
| 6 |  华盛 |
315010K |
| 7 |  长桥 |
153310K |
| 8 |  艾德 |
66210K |
| 9 |  盈宝 |
15910K |
| Time | Multiple |
|---|---|
| 2025-12-31T06:00:00+08:00 | 0 |
| 2025-12-31T10:02:14+08:00 | 0.0005000208342014251 |
| 2025-12-31T10:04:14+08:00 | 0.22184257677403224 |
| 2025-12-31T10:05:16+08:00 | 0.2218634109754573 |
| 2025-12-31T10:06:56+08:00 | 0.23019709154548107 |
| 2025-12-31T11:05:16+08:00 | 0.011271302970957122 |
| 2025-12-31T11:06:26+08:00 | 0.011354639776657361 |
| 2025-12-31T12:03:08+08:00 | 0.011500479186632776 |
| 2025-12-31T12:04:22+08:00 | 0.013250552106337764 |
| 2025-12-31T12:06:11+08:00 | 0.013667236134838952 |
| 2025-12-31T12:08:06+08:00 | 0.01783407641985083 |
| 2025-12-31T13:42:46+08:00 | 0.018250760448352013 |
| 2025-12-31T13:42:49+08:00 | 0.019584149339555816 |
| 2025-12-31T13:42:52+08:00 | 0.02012583857660736 |
| 2025-12-31T13:42:55+08:00 | 0.024292678861619236 |
| 2025-12-31T14:26:12+08:00 | 0.024313513063044294 |
| 2025-12-31T14:26:17+08:00 | 0.025355223134297264 |
| 2025-12-31T14:26:20+08:00 | 0.027334472269677904 |
| 2025-12-31T14:26:23+08:00 | 0.02941789241218384 |
| 2025-12-31T14:28:48+08:00 | 0.03462644276844869 |
| 2025-12-31T14:32:48+08:00 | 0.035313971415475646 |
| 2025-12-31T15:25:38+08:00 | 0.038064086003583485 |
| 2025-12-31T15:25:40+08:00 | 0.04383515979832493 |
| 2025-12-31T15:25:43+08:00 | 0.04412683861827576 |
| 2025-12-31T15:25:45+08:00 | 0.060794199758323265 |
| 2025-12-31T16:23:07+08:00 | 0.5608150339597483 |
| 2025-12-31T16:23:16+08:00 | 0.562106754448102 |
| 2025-12-31T16:23:19+08:00 | 0.5623359306637776 |
| 2025-12-31T16:23:25+08:00 | 0.5644193508062836 |
| 2025-12-31T16:26:44+08:00 | 0.5666486103587649 |
| 2025-12-31T17:01:13+08:00 | 0.5670444601858411 |
| 2025-12-31T17:03:48+08:00 | 0.5686486936955707 |
| 2025-12-31T17:05:48+08:00 | 0.5707321138380765 |
| 2025-12-31T18:09:57+08:00 | 0.5707529480395016 |
| 2025-12-31T18:11:12+08:00 | 0.5717321555064795 |
| 2025-12-31T18:16:26+08:00 | 0.5720238343264302 |
| 2025-12-31T19:59:43+08:00 | 0.5725655235634818 |
| 2025-12-31T20:07:26+08:00 | 0.5727946997791574 |
| 2025-12-31T20:07:46+08:00 | 0.5728155339805825 |
| 2025-12-31T21:37:51+08:00 | 0.5730863785991083 |
| 2025-12-31T21:38:25+08:00 | 0.5732738864119338 |
| 2025-12-31T21:38:59+08:00 | 0.5753573065544397 |
| 2025-12-31T22:13:33+08:00 | 0.5746697779074128 |
| 2026-01-01T09:22:39+08:00 | 0.5794824784366015 |
| 2026-01-01T09:23:22+08:00 | 0.580732530522105 |
| 2026-01-01T09:26:06+08:00 | 0.5816700695862328 |
| 2026-01-01T09:27:06+08:00 | 0.5816700695862328 |
| 2026-01-01T09:27:59+08:00 | 0.5837534897287388 |
| 2026-01-01T10:07:34+08:00 | 0.5837951581315888 |
| 2026-01-01T13:16:58+08:00 | 0.5847326971957165 |
| 2026-01-01T13:20:48+08:00 | 0.5856494020584191 |
| 2026-01-01T16:20:52+08:00 | 0.5857535730655444 |
| 2026-01-01T16:22:30+08:00 | 0.5865452727196967 |
| 2026-01-01T16:23:36+08:00 | 0.5865869411225467 |
| 2026-01-01T18:19:11+08:00 | 0.5865244385182716 |
| 2026-01-01T18:19:44+08:00 | 0.5866286095253969 |
| 2026-01-01T18:21:38+08:00 | 0.5956706529438727 |
| 2026-01-01T20:37:02+08:00 | 0.5957539897495729 |
| 2026-01-01T20:37:52+08:00 | 0.595795658152423 |
| 2026-01-01T20:39:44+08:00 | 0.5960248343680987 |
| 2026-01-01T22:15:29+08:00 | 0.5963581815908996 |
| 2026-01-02T08:56:58+08:00 | 0.5979207466977791 |
| 2026-01-02T08:57:01+08:00 | 0.5979415808992041 |
| 2026-01-02T08:58:54+08:00 | 0.602108421184216 |
| 2026-01-02T09:01:12+08:00 | 0.602108421184216 |
| 2026-01-02T09:03:27+08:00 | 0.6022959289970415 |
| 2026-01-02T09:05:57+08:00 | 0.6043793491395475 |
| 2026-01-02T10:09:05+08:00 | 0.6044626859452478 |
| 2026-01-02T10:09:08+08:00 | 0.6052127171965499 |
| 2026-01-02T10:09:11+08:00 | 0.605629401225051 |
| 2026-01-02T10:09:21+08:00 | 0.6014625609400391 |
| 2026-01-02T11:18:31+08:00 | 0.6125255218967457 |
| 2026-01-02T11:19:47+08:00 | 0.6133588899537481 |
| 2026-01-02T11:22:56+08:00 | 0.6114629776240676 |
| 2026-01-02T11:25:46+08:00 | 0.6177132380515855 |
| 2026-01-02T12:12:19+08:00 | 0.618609108712863 |
| 2026-01-02T12:13:20+08:00 | 0.6204216842368432 |
| 2026-01-02T12:14:28+08:00 | 0.6253385557731572 |
| 2026-01-02T12:15:32+08:00 | 0.6336722363431809 |
| 2026-01-02T13:51:03+08:00 | 0.6344222675944831 |
| 2026-01-02T13:52:15+08:00 | 0.6370890453768907 |
| 2026-01-02T13:54:18+08:00 | 0.637172382182591 |
| 2026-01-02T14:05:55+08:00 | 0.6374015583982666 |
| 2026-01-02T14:06:49+08:00 | 0.6378390766281928 |
| 2026-01-02T14:10:13+08:00 | 0.6379640818367432 |
| 2026-01-02T14:11:21+08:00 | 0.6504646026917789 |
| 2026-01-02T14:13:57+08:00 | 0.6531105462727613 |
| 2026-01-02T15:29:27+08:00 | 0.653339722488437 |
| 2026-01-02T15:30:25+08:00 | 0.6534230592941372 |
| 2026-01-02T15:31:56+08:00 | 0.6537147381140881 |
| 2026-01-02T16:09:51+08:00 | 0.6541314221425892 |
| 2026-01-02T16:10:48+08:00 | 0.6548189507896163 |
| 2026-01-02T16:11:39+08:00 | 0.6569023709321222 |
| 2026-01-02T17:31:27+08:00 | 0.6570273761406725 |
| 2026-01-02T17:32:17+08:00 | 0.7013625567731989 |
| 2026-01-02T17:32:33+08:00 | 0.7014667277803242 |
| 2026-01-02T18:08:58+08:00 | 0.7014458935788991 |
| 2026-01-02T18:09:58+08:00 | 0.7019667486145256 |
| 2026-01-02T18:10:39+08:00 | 0.7061335888995375 |
| 2026-01-02T18:13:47+08:00 | 0.7070711279636651 |
| 2026-01-02T18:20:31+08:00 | 0.7082586774448936 |
| 2026-01-02T20:53:52+08:00 | 0.7087170298762449 |
| 2026-01-02T21:06:55+08:00 | 0.7113838076586524 |
| 2026-01-02T21:07:46+08:00 | 0.7114879786657777 |
| 2026-01-02T21:09:55+08:00 | 0.7094045585232718 |
| 2026-01-02T22:23:29+08:00 | 0.7094253927246968 |
| 2026-01-02T22:24:15+08:00 | 0.7100087503645985 |
| 2026-01-02T22:24:57+08:00 | 0.7204258510771282 |
| 2026-01-03T08:44:37+08:00 | 0.7216550689612067 |
| 2026-01-03T08:45:43+08:00 | 0.722134255593983 |
| 2026-01-03T08:46:05+08:00 | 0.722134255593983 |
| 2026-01-03T08:46:57+08:00 | 0.7304679361640068 |
| 2026-01-03T10:46:04+08:00 | 0.7319888328680362 |
| 2026-01-03T10:47:09+08:00 | 0.7331138797449894 |
| 2026-01-03T10:48:17+08:00 | 0.7333430559606651 |
| 2026-01-03T13:35:53+08:00 | 0.7334888953706404 |
| 2026-01-03T13:38:02+08:00 | 0.7406350264594358 |
| 2026-01-03T13:39:14+08:00 | 0.7531355473144714 |
| 2026-01-03T16:49:58+08:00 | 0.7527396974873953 |
| 2026-01-03T16:52:15+08:00 | 0.752968873703071 |
| 2026-01-03T16:53:54+08:00 | 0.7571357139880829 |
| 2026-01-03T19:03:48+08:00 | 0.7573023875994833 |
| 2026-01-03T19:04:07+08:00 | 0.7573440560023335 |
| 2026-01-03T19:05:54+08:00 | 0.7578232426351098 |
| 2026-01-03T21:50:31+08:00 | 0.7583440976707363 |
| 2026-01-03T21:51:12+08:00 | 0.768761198383266 |
| 2026-01-03T22:14:00+08:00 | 0.7687403641818409 |
| 2026-01-04T08:12:03+08:00 | 0.768782032584691 |
| 2026-01-04T08:12:36+08:00 | 0.7689487061960915 |
| 2026-01-04T08:12:47+08:00 | 0.7647818659110797 |
| 2026-01-04T12:28:27+08:00 | 0.7608025334388933 |
| 2026-01-04T12:28:31+08:00 | 0.7610942122588441 |
| 2026-01-04T12:28:36+08:00 | 0.7612192174673945 |
| 2026-01-04T12:28:40+08:00 | 0.761385891078795 |
| 2026-01-04T12:28:55+08:00 | 0.7615942330930455 |
| 2026-01-04T12:28:58+08:00 | 0.76140672528022 |
| 2026-01-04T12:29:03+08:00 | 0.7625109379557482 |
| 2026-01-04T12:29:15+08:00 | 0.7562606775282303 |
| 2026-01-04T12:34:32+08:00 | 0.768761198383266 |
| 2026-01-04T12:47:53+08:00 | 0.76844868536189 |
| 2026-01-04T12:48:03+08:00 | 0.7684695195633151 |
| 2026-01-04T15:01:38+08:00 | 0.7685528563690154 |
| 2026-01-04T15:01:42+08:00 | 0.7686361931747157 |
| 2026-01-04T15:01:46+08:00 | 0.7686778615775657 |
| 2026-01-04T15:08:50+08:00 | 0.767740322513438 |
| 2026-01-04T15:09:25+08:00 | 0.7693653902245927 |
| 2026-01-04T19:08:26+08:00 | 0.7693862244260178 |
| 2026-01-04T19:09:03+08:00 | 0.7695320638359932 |
| 2026-01-04T19:10:38+08:00 | 0.7674486436934872 |
| 2026-01-04T19:17:00+08:00 | 0.7656777365723572 |
| 2026-01-04T19:17:05+08:00 | 0.7659069127880328 |
| 2026-01-04T19:25:39+08:00 | 0.7665319388307846 |
| 2026-01-04T19:25:52+08:00 | 0.7665736072336348 |
| 2026-01-04T19:25:57+08:00 | 0.7665944414350598 |
| 2026-01-04T19:26:06+08:00 | 0.7688237009875412 |
| 2026-01-04T19:26:11+08:00 | 0.7688445351889662 |
| 2026-01-04T22:13:37+08:00 | 0.7688653693903913 |
| 2026-01-04T22:19:38+08:00 | 0.7690528772032168 |
| 2026-01-04T22:19:43+08:00 | 0.7690737114046419 |
| 2026-01-05T08:45:49+08:00 | 0.7689070377932414 |
| 2026-01-05T08:50:45+08:00 | 0.7748864536022334 |
| 2026-01-05T08:51:55+08:00 | 0.7748864536022334 |
| 2026-01-05T09:06:18+08:00 | 0.7756364848535355 |
| 2026-01-05T09:07:08+08:00 | 0.7756781532563857 |
| 2026-01-05T09:08:44+08:00 | 0.7798449935413976 |
| 2026-01-05T10:01:43+08:00 | 0.7797616567356973 |
| 2026-01-05T10:05:06+08:00 | 0.7801783407641986 |
| 2026-01-05T10:05:48+08:00 | 0.7855952331347139 |
| 2026-01-05T10:09:08+08:00 | 0.7861994249760407 |
| 2026-01-05T10:10:04+08:00 | 0.7903662652610526 |
| 2026-01-05T11:06:38+08:00 | 0.7916371515479812 |
| 2026-01-05T11:07:10+08:00 | 0.7947414475603151 |
| 2026-01-05T11:07:58+08:00 | 0.8114088087003625 |
| 2026-01-05T11:08:46+08:00 | 0.8124088503687653 |
| 2026-01-05T12:01:25+08:00 | 0.8154714779782491 |
| 2026-01-05T12:07:41+08:00 | 0.816513188049502 |
| 2026-01-05T12:08:11+08:00 | 0.839639151631318 |
| 2026-01-05T12:09:06+08:00 | 0.8542230926288595 |
| 2026-01-05T13:45:06+08:00 | 0.8578065752739698 |
| 2026-01-05T13:47:01+08:00 | 0.8580149172882203 |
| 2026-01-05T13:47:29+08:00 | 0.8642651777157382 |
| 2026-01-05T13:48:30+08:00 | 0.864556856535689 |
| 2026-01-05T14:01:49+08:00 | 0.8650360431684654 |
| 2026-01-05T14:04:40+08:00 | 0.8674319763323471 |
| 2026-01-05T14:06:43+08:00 | 0.871598816617359 |
| 2026-01-05T14:08:41+08:00 | 0.8718696612358848 |
| 2026-01-05T14:09:10+08:00 | 0.872640526688612 |
| 2026-01-05T15:10:40+08:00 | 0.8834534772282179 |
| 2026-01-05T15:11:20+08:00 | 0.8667861160881704 |
| 2026-01-05T15:12:44+08:00 | 0.8671402975123963 |
| 2026-01-05T16:10:35+08:00 | 0.8677861577565732 |
| 2026-01-05T16:10:44+08:00 | 0.8687236968207008 |
| 2026-01-05T16:11:14+08:00 | 0.869098712446352 |
| 2026-01-05T16:12:10+08:00 | 0.9482686778615775 |
| 2026-01-05T16:55:44+08:00 | 0.9524355181465894 |
| 2026-01-05T17:12:37+08:00 | 0.9524563523480145 |
| 2026-01-05T17:13:06+08:00 | 0.9444143505979415 |
| 2026-01-05T17:13:48+08:00 | 0.9464977707404475 |
| 2026-01-05T17:14:19+08:00 | 0.9463727655318972 |
| 2026-01-05T18:31:24+08:00 | 0.9880411683820159 |
| 2026-01-05T18:31:54+08:00 | 0.9883953498062419 |
| 2026-01-05T18:32:47+08:00 | 0.9897912413017209 |
| 2026-01-05T18:33:09+08:00 | 0.9918746614442269 |
| 2026-01-05T18:56:00+08:00 | 0.99295803991833 |
| 2026-01-05T20:10:01+08:00 | 0.9908121171715488 |
| 2026-01-05T20:11:15+08:00 | 0.9913121380057502 |
| 2026-01-05T20:12:23+08:00 | 0.9954789782907622 |
| 2026-01-05T22:13:39+08:00 | 0.9966873619734156 |
| 2026-01-05T22:18:17+08:00 | 0.9959998333263886 |
| 2026-01-05T22:18:47+08:00 | 1.012667194466436 |
| 2026-01-06T08:45:04+08:00 | 1.018979957498229 |
| 2026-01-06T08:45:07+08:00 | 1.0212508854535605 |
| 2026-01-06T08:49:02+08:00 | 1.0212508854535605 |
| 2026-01-06T08:49:48+08:00 | 1.537939080795033 |
| 2026-01-06T09:01:28+08:00 | 1.5416267344472687 |
| 2026-01-06T09:03:40+08:00 | 1.5415642318429934 |
| 2026-01-06T09:04:03+08:00 | 1.5451268802866787 |
| 2026-01-06T09:06:25+08:00 | 1.5763781824242677 |
| 2026-01-06T09:08:16+08:00 | 1.5767323638484936 |
| 2026-01-06T10:18:12+08:00 | 1.602066752781366 |
| 2026-01-06T10:20:20+08:00 | 1.6026501104212676 |
| 2026-01-06T10:20:58+08:00 | 1.6064211008792033 |
| 2026-01-06T10:21:29+08:00 | 1.6939247468644527 |
| 2026-01-06T10:21:42+08:00 | 1.6939872494687278 |
| 2026-01-06T11:13:05+08:00 | 1.6984041001708405 |
| 2026-01-06T11:13:41+08:00 | 1.7001541730905454 |
| 2026-01-06T11:14:18+08:00 | 1.7081753406391933 |
| 2026-01-06T11:14:48+08:00 | 1.7394266427767824 |
| 2026-01-06T11:15:10+08:00 | 1.7418642443435144 |
| 2026-01-06T12:01:41+08:00 | 1.7450310429601232 |
| 2026-01-06T12:06:46+08:00 | 1.7493228884536856 |
| 2026-01-06T12:07:06+08:00 | 1.753343889328722 |
| 2026-01-06T12:07:32+08:00 | 1.7804283511812993 |
| 2026-01-06T13:46:30+08:00 | 1.7808242010083752 |
| 2026-01-06T13:46:54+08:00 | 1.8120755031459643 |
| 2026-01-06T13:47:30+08:00 | 1.8348264511021293 |
| 2026-01-06T13:47:46+08:00 | 1.8349931247135298 |
| 2026-01-06T14:08:42+08:00 | 1.8366390266261094 |
| 2026-01-06T14:08:53+08:00 | 1.8422850952123004 |
| 2026-01-06T14:10:02+08:00 | 1.8454727280303347 |
| 2026-01-06T14:10:27+08:00 | 1.8517229884578523 |
| 2026-01-06T14:11:06+08:00 | 1.8517438226592775 |
| 2026-01-06T15:02:39+08:00 | 1.8549106212758866 |
| 2026-01-06T15:05:17+08:00 | 1.8562023417642401 |
| 2026-01-06T15:05:31+08:00 | 1.8580149172882203 |
| 2026-01-06T15:05:51+08:00 | 1.870515438143256 |
| 2026-01-06T16:06:29+08:00 | 1.8766823617650736 |
| 2026-01-06T16:06:50+08:00 | 1.9037668236176508 |
| 2026-01-06T17:03:58+08:00 | 1.9917079878328263 |
| 2026-01-06T17:25:31+08:00 | 2.139630817950748 |
| 2026-01-06T17:25:45+08:00 | 2.470894620609192 |
| 2026-01-06T17:29:56+08:00 | 2.4724571857160713 |
| 2026-01-06T17:34:41+08:00 | 2.495374807283637 |
| 2026-01-06T18:13:53+08:00 | 2.517604900204175 |
| 2026-01-06T18:14:09+08:00 | 2.8363681820075834 |
| 2026-01-06T18:16:23+08:00 | 2.8623692653860577 |
| 2026-01-06T22:12:43+08:00 | 2.9590816284011834 |
| 2026-01-06T22:13:00+08:00 | 2.9708112838034917 |
| 2026-01-06T22:13:32+08:00 | 4.14586024417684 |
| 2026-01-06T22:13:51+08:00 | 4.227113629734572 |
| 2026-01-07T08:38:30+08:00 | 4.240239176632359 |
| 2026-01-07T08:38:42+08:00 | 4.274698945789408 |
| 2026-01-07T08:39:10+08:00 | 4.274698945789408 |
| 2026-01-07T08:41:28+08:00 | 4.408037834909788 |
| 2026-01-07T09:20:03+08:00 | 4.429976249010376 |
| 2026-01-07T09:20:43+08:00 | 4.5195633151381305 |
| 2026-01-07T09:20:50+08:00 | 4.54039751656319 |
| 2026-01-07T09:21:55+08:00 | 4.590170423767657 |
| 2026-01-07T10:05:36+08:00 | 4.217238218259094 |
| 2026-01-07T10:06:22+08:00 | 4.20350847951998 |
| 2026-01-07T10:06:54+08:00 | 5.120213342222592 |
| 2026-01-07T16:57:09+08:00 | 5.13 |
| Time | Multiple |
|---|
| Time | Broker | Margin funds |
|---|
Using the actual oversubscription ratio 9.28x and current allocation strategy (Pool A α=0.572, Pool B α=0.672) as the baseline, comparing actual vs predicted expected allotment lots per tier
| Lots | Subscription Amount (HKD) | Actual Expected Lots | Predicted Expected Lots | Error |
|---|
Omnivision Allotment Prediction MatrixRows are subscription tiers, columns are different oversubscription ratios, values are expected allotment lots; green indicates guaranteed allotment (≥1 lot)
Mechanism B
Flexible offering mechanism under HKEX Practice Note 18. Minimum initial allocation to the public offer tranche is 10% of offering shares, with no clawback mechanism. Maximum initial allocation is 60% (as at least 40% of total offering shares must be allocated to the placing tranche, excluding cornerstones).
α is the issuer's allocation preference coefficient, describing the issuer's allocation tendency across subscription sizes. α ranges [0, 1].
The "allotment rate" on this page follows the exact HKEX allotment results announcement definition: Allotment rate = total shares allotted to the tier ÷ total valid shares applied in the tier × 100%. This is the official HKEX standard and is fundamentally different from other definitions used elsewhere (e.g. "ratio of applicants who got allotted").
Expected allotment lots = total shares allotted to the tier ÷ lot size ÷ number of applicants in the tier
Example: a tier with 50,000 total allotted shares, 100 shares per lot, and 500 applicants → expected allotment lots = 50,000 ÷ 100 ÷ 500 = 1.0 lots.
This page shows expected-lot forecasts for Omnivision (00501): expected hit rate based on similar-IPO matching and Pool A/B capital-efficiency comparison.
The default oversubscription multiple follows the chain recent first-day return → participant count → average lots per participant → multiple, i.e. multiple = participants × average lots ÷ public-offer lots; participant count and average lots are anchored on the recent IPO median and adjusted by offering size, A+H status, H-share premium/discount, industry, concurrent IPOs, sponsor track record and recent HSI moves.
Early in the subscription window the default multiple relies on the model; as subscription progresses it blends in the margin multiple; near the deadline (roughly 90% through) it follows the margin multiple.
Hit-rate forecasts fit 10,897 allotment-tier records across 356 historical IPOs via regression and KNN similar-IPO matching, estimating expected lots per application tier and applying the allocation-strategy coefficient α (equal-per-person to proportional allocation).
Data sources: HKEXnews public-offer allotment result announcements, prospectuses and FINI announcements; margin data (margin multiple, TradeGo forecast multiple and broker breakdown) comes from 捷利交易宝 (TradeGo), where the margin multiple covers only reporting brokers and the TradeGo forecast multiple is a full-market extrapolation.
The margin multiple updates intraday in real time; the hit-rate model is refreshed as new IPO allotment data is ingested.
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