Data layers Raw facts Calculated Model prediction AI interpretation

Allotment Overview Calculated

Total Subscription Fees vs Public Offering Raise Amount

Subscription Tier Analysis Model prediction

Expected Lots Allotted by Subscription Tier

Pool A applications , Pool B applications . Expected lots allotted = "Approximate percentage of total shares applied for" as stated in the allotment announcement × shares applied ÷ lot size, taken directly from the announcement.

Capital Efficiency by Subscription Tier

Capital efficiency = Expected shares allotted ÷ shares applied × 100, i.e. the original "Approximate percentage of total shares applied for" value from the allotment announcement. The fewer shares applied for, the higher the capital efficiency.

Applicant Distribution by Subscription Tier

The vertical axis uses a logarithmic scale to better observe distribution differences across tiers of varying magnitudes. All four charts share the same x-axis; hover tooltips are synchronized.

Subscription Fee ÷ Allotted Market Value by Tier

Allotted market value = valid applicants × shares applied × (percentage applied for ÷ 100) × offer price; total handling fees = valid applicants × HKD 100; ratio = total fees ÷ allotted market value × 100%. Lower tiers have disproportionately high ratios due to very small allotments; ratios stabilize at higher tiers.

Allotment Results Subscription Tier List

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International Offering Raw facts

13.58
International oversubscription
113
Placee count
0
Cornerstone investors
113
Anchor investors

International concentration

Rank % of international placing % of global offering
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AI AI Analysis AI interpretation deepseek-v4-pro · AI-generated
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Underlying data failed quality checks; AI interpretation downgraded and shown for reference only.

Market Sentiment

The IPO attracted extreme oversubscription of 2680.04x, reflecting intense retail enthusiasm for the well-known tea brand. However, the overall hit rate was effectively zero percent, indicating that despite the fervor, very few applicants received allocations, likely due to a small HK offering tranche and no clawback. The final offer price was fixed at HK$50.0, offering no discount to incentivize participation beyond brand appeal. (This is AI-generated commentary based on historical data. Past patterns do not guarantee future outcomes. Not financial advice.)

Tier Analysis

A notable tier inefficiency emerges from the expected lot data: applications at the A-tail (100,000 lots) yielded an expected 0.222 lots, whereas the B-head (150,000 lots) yielded 0.4505 lots, giving the B-head a roughly 35% higher expected allocation per lot. This disparity suggests that applying at the B-head tier was substantially more capital-efficient than at the A-tail, which is unusual and could have disadvantaged many retail investors concentrated in lower tiers. (This is AI-generated commentary based on historical data. Past patterns do not guarantee future outcomes. Not financial advice.)

Demographics

Mainland Chinese investors accounted for 57.1% of the applicant pool, significantly outnumbering Hong Kong-based participants at 41.0%, highlighting strong cross-border brand recognition. The gender split was skewed male at 62.9%, with an average age of 44.2 years, indicating a predominantly middle-aged, male retail investor base. (This is AI-generated commentary based on historical data. Past patterns do not guarantee future outcomes. Not financial advice.)

About this page

This page shows allotment analysis for Bama Tea (06980): one-lot hit rate, Pool A/B allotment distribution, oversubscription multiple, and grey-market and first-day performance. Data is parsed from the HKEX allotment results announcement. How allotment rates and clawback work is explained in How Hong Kong IPO Allotment Rates Work.

Cibo — HK IPO Allotment Forecasts, Allottee Profiling & Stock Connect