Data layers Raw facts Calculated Model prediction AI interpretation

Allotment Overview Calculated

Total Subscription Fees vs Public Offering Raise Amount

Subscription Tier Analysis Model prediction

Expected Lots Allotted by Subscription Tier

Pool A applications , Pool B applications . Expected lots allotted = "Approximate percentage of total shares applied for" as stated in the allotment announcement × shares applied ÷ lot size, taken directly from the announcement.

Capital Efficiency by Subscription Tier

Capital efficiency = Expected shares allotted ÷ shares applied × 100, i.e. the original "Approximate percentage of total shares applied for" value from the allotment announcement. The fewer shares applied for, the higher the capital efficiency.

Applicant Distribution by Subscription Tier

The vertical axis uses a logarithmic scale to better observe distribution differences across tiers of varying magnitudes. All four charts share the same x-axis; hover tooltips are synchronized.

Subscription Fee ÷ Allotted Market Value by Tier

Allotted market value = valid applicants × shares applied × (percentage applied for ÷ 100) × offer price; total handling fees = valid applicants × HKD 100; ratio = total fees ÷ allotted market value × 100%. Lower tiers have disproportionately high ratios due to very small allotments; ratios stabilize at higher tiers.

Allotment Results Subscription Tier List

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International Offering Raw facts

30.46
International oversubscription
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Placee count
14
Cornerstone investors
—
Anchor investors

Cornerstone investors

Name Shares allotted % of global offering % of post-IPO shares Lock-up
RBC 6,536,200 10.00% 1.60% 6 months
3W 5,938,500 9.09% 1.45% 6 months
Boyu 4,453,900 6.82% 1.09% 6 months
HHLRA 2,969,200 4.54% 0.73% 6 months
UBS AM Singapore 2,969,200 4.54% 0.73% 6 months
CDH 2,969,200 4.54% 0.73% 6 months
信庭基金 1,484,600 2.30% 0.40% 6 months
富国基金 623,500 0.95% 0.15% 6 months
富国香港 267,200 0.41% 0.07% 6 months
华夏基金 890,700 1.40% 0.20% 6 months
上海闵行 890,700 1.40% 0.20% 6 months
TT International 890,700 1.40% 0.20% 6 months
未来资产 890,700 1.40% 0.20% 6 months
高盛资产管理 890,700 1.40% 0.20% 6 months

International concentration

Rank % of international placing % of global offering
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AI AI Analysis AI interpretation deepseek-v4-pro · AI-generated
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The following content is generated by an AI model based on historical IPO data. It does NOT constitute investment advice, solicitation, or recommendation. Past subscription patterns and post-listing performance do not guarantee future results. Data may contain inaccuracies — always verify against official HKEX filings and prospectuses before making any investment decision.

Market Sentiment

The IPO attracted extraordinary demand, with an oversubscription ratio of 3,764.63 times, implying only a 16.42% overall hit rate among 344,049 valid applications. Such extreme enthusiasm in the industrial manufacturing sector, coupled with a reallocation of shares from the international tranche, signals a fiercely competitive and optimistic market reception. (This is AI-generated commentary based on historical data. Past patterns do not guarantee future outcomes. Not financial advice.)

Tier Analysis

At the top of the A pool, an application for 100,000 shares expected just 0.1516 lots, while the entry-level B application for 200,000 shares expected 0.4 lots—more than double the allocation despite twice the shares applied, revealing a disproportionate advantage at the B-head tier. This gap suggests that for large applicants, breaking into the B pool materially improves the chance of receiving a meaningful allotment, though both tiers still face extremely low hit rates. Broker fee efficiency varies significantly; for A-tail applicants, fixed costs may erode any potential gain given the fractional expected lots. (This is AI-generated commentary based on historical data. Past patterns do not guarantee future outcomes. Not financial advice.)

Demographics

Mainland investors dominated with 66.6% of successful applicants, reflecting strong cross-border demand likely channeled through Stock Connect, while Hong Kong residents accounted for 32.5%. The holder base skewed male (61.5%) and middle-aged, with an average age of 41.6, which aligns with typical patterns of risk-tolerant, active IPO participants concentrated in regions like Guangdong. (This is AI-generated commentary based on historical data. Past patterns do not guarantee future outcomes. Not financial advice.)

About this page

This page shows allotment analysis for Topnc (07688): one-lot hit rate, Pool A/B allotment distribution, oversubscription multiple, and grey-market and first-day performance. Data is parsed from the HKEX allotment results announcement. How allotment rates and clawback work is explained in How Hong Kong IPO Allotment Rates Work.

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