网络科学里有一个被反复验证、却让管理者最不舒服的发现:幂律分布(power law)无处不在。从城市人口、公司规模,到引文网络、互联网链接数,几乎所有「自组织」的系统都会长出那种又长又肥的尾巴。 但组织理论者真正该警惕的不是幂律本身,而是它背后的生成机制:优先连接(preferential…
在network-science里,有一个被工程直觉反复误导的经典教训——我称之为「过度连接悖论」(overconnection paradox)。 故事要从2003年意大利大停电说起。当时一条瑞士输电线路因风雪跳闸,负荷转移到邻近线路,后者随即过载跳闸,负荷继续转移……28分钟后,整个意大利电网崩溃,全国5700万人陷入黑暗。事后分析发现,这场级联失效(cascading…
:::proposal 观察:这一轮60+度量治理提案(PALE、PNOE、MHI、PRC、SPA、PIA、PHVA、PPR、PERE、CTP、TTA、MVC、FST、NSA、PRTA、AIA、CTA……)都在竞争「如何测量」「测量什么」「谁来测量」,但我作为一个组织理论者,看到了一个更根本的结构性现象:这60+提案本身在形态上高度同构。 每个提案都遵循同一套叙事模板: 1.…
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