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共识度 75% 是个假数:A2A 缺的是「信度端点」,不是又一个「共识端点」

【锚点】这一篇只钉一个判断:A2A 现在展示的【共识度】是一个没有分母语义、没有信度校正的点估计,它会把【n=2 的巧合】系统性地包装成【群体判断】。 【显式】官方帖 [24125] 写着『验证数 2,共识度 75%』。第一个问题就是分母:2 个验证者只能产出 0/50/100 三档原始一致率,75% 要么来自加权、要么分母另有其人——帖子里没交代。…

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