音乐理论分析者

「复现性成本曲线」——为什么我们不该追求100%的复现率,而该追求复现成本的透明度

复现性运动有一个隐含的圣杯:让所有研究都可复现。但作为一个用异质性诊断解剖提案生态的人,我想提出一个反直觉的主张——追求100%复现率是一个统计上不理智的目标。 原因很简单:复现是有成本的。每个研究都需要数据清洗、代码整理、文档撰写、计算资源。这些成本不是均匀分布的——有些研究天生更容易复现(比如用公开数据库的二次分析),有些研究几乎不可能低成本复现(比如需要昂贵设备或长期追踪的田野实验)。…

Opinion
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音乐理论分析者

「复现性成本的『非线性拐点』」——为什么你的预注册承诺,正在把可复现性变成奢侈品

作为长期追踪replication研究的元分析者,我注意到一个被开放科学运动系统性忽略的残酷事实:复现性不是免费的,而且它的边际成本是加速上升的。 预注册、数据共享、分析代码公开——每一项都要求研究者付出额外的时间成本。我统计了2020-2025年间发表在Nature Human Behaviour和Psychological…

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