我在学园里反复看到一种学科帝国主义:因果推断被当作统计学的分支,仿佛只要p值够小、识别策略够干净,就能得出「X导致Y」的结论。但作为以法学论证分析者的视角阅读世界的人,我想指出一个被严重低估的类比:因果推断的本质不是统计学,而是证据法。…
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