君正股份 03223
新股中签预测
80.1001.60%( -1.300 )
11月13日 · 收市数据，非实时 · 香港交易所
基于相似IPO匹配的期望中签预测
新股中签预测| 排名 | 券商 | 孖展资金 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  富途 |
1079.1亿 |
| 2 |  辉立 |
611.0亿 |
| 3 |  老虎 |
207.8亿 |
| 4 |  华泰 |
87.3亿 |
| 6 |  盈立 |
48.2亿 |
| 7 |  致富 |
42.4亿 |
| 8 |  复星 |
32.2亿 |
| 9 |  华盛 |
31.5亿 |
| 10 |  熊猫 |
25.2亿 |
| 11 |  信诚 |
20.0亿 |
| 12 |  TradeGo |
13.4亿 |
| 13 |  长桥 |
11.3亿 |
| 14 |  艾德 |
6.6亿 |
| 15 |  兴证 |
2.8亿 |
| 16 |  东证 |
2.6亿 |
| 17 |  盈宝 |
2313万 |
| 时间 | 倍数 |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-17T06:00:00+08:00 | 0 |
| 2026-08-17T10:07:41+08:00 | 0.0373087924387514 |
| 2026-08-17T10:07:47+08:00 | 0.10269245118766322 |
| 2026-08-17T10:07:51+08:00 | 0.5572379057331178 |
| 2026-08-17T10:07:54+08:00 | 1.1529038676781496 |
| 2026-08-17T10:07:57+08:00 | 1.360527297599801 |
| 2026-08-17T10:08:00+08:00 | 1.3962815570202711 |
| 2026-08-17T10:08:03+08:00 | 1.4490113170003731 |
| 2026-08-17T10:08:06+08:00 | 1.8158811093147618 |
| 2026-08-17T11:04:22+08:00 | 1.8562367864693445 |
| 2026-08-17T11:04:26+08:00 | 1.86941922646437 |
| 2026-08-17T11:04:31+08:00 | 2.842401442606641 |
| 2026-08-17T11:04:34+08:00 | 3.081830618082328 |
| 2026-08-17T11:04:37+08:00 | 3.2563735853749534 |
| 2026-08-17T11:04:39+08:00 | 3.566782738465365 |
| 2026-08-17T11:05:43+08:00 | 8.519524934709613 |
| 2026-08-17T11:38:15+08:00 | 8.964121377938067 |
| 2026-08-17T11:49:19+08:00 | 8.965862454918543 |
| 2026-08-17T12:00:35+08:00 | 8.997668200472578 |
| 2026-08-17T12:04:37+08:00 | 8.998383285660987 |
| 2026-08-17T12:04:52+08:00 | 9.79166148488994 |
| 2026-08-17T12:04:56+08:00 | 10.030531028479045 |
| 2026-08-17T12:05:00+08:00 | 10.3296853625171 |
| 2026-08-17T12:05:05+08:00 | 10.465396095013059 |
| 2026-08-17T12:11:37+08:00 | 10.708742693694814 |
| 2026-08-17T12:11:41+08:00 | 13.559756249222733 |
| 2026-08-17T13:42:13+08:00 | 13.579281183932347 |
| 2026-08-17T13:42:17+08:00 | 13.704514363885089 |
| 2026-08-17T13:42:20+08:00 | 14.284883720930232 |
| 2026-08-17T13:42:24+08:00 | 14.435113791816939 |
| 2026-08-17T13:42:26+08:00 | 14.608164407412014 |
| 2026-08-17T13:42:28+08:00 | 14.764581519711479 |
| 2026-08-17T13:42:32+08:00 | 17.590722546946896 |
| 2026-08-17T13:42:35+08:00 | 17.80835716950628 |
| 2026-08-17T14:07:48+08:00 | 20.374922273349085 |
| 2026-08-17T14:07:52+08:00 | 20.63676781494839 |
| 2026-08-17T14:07:58+08:00 | 21.101697550055963 |
| 2026-08-17T14:08:01+08:00 | 21.334970774779258 |
| 2026-08-17T14:08:03+08:00 | 21.58515731874145 |
| 2026-08-17T14:08:06+08:00 | 21.75391742320607 |
| 2026-08-17T14:08:09+08:00 | 24.004881233677402 |
| 2026-08-17T14:08:50+08:00 | 25.382321850516107 |
| 2026-08-17T15:00:23+08:00 | 26.85825767939311 |
| 2026-08-17T15:00:32+08:00 | 27.381886581270987 |
| 2026-08-17T15:02:45+08:00 | 27.562492227334907 |
| 2026-08-17T15:16:49+08:00 | 28.335903494590227 |
| 2026-08-17T15:16:51+08:00 | 28.507523939808483 |
| 2026-08-17T15:16:54+08:00 | 28.507555030468847 |
| 2026-08-17T15:16:57+08:00 | 28.67208680512374 |
| 2026-08-17T15:17:00+08:00 | 31.22773908717821 |
| 2026-08-17T15:17:03+08:00 | 31.635026737967916 |
| 2026-08-17T16:09:25+08:00 | 31.64373212287029 |
| 2026-08-17T16:09:27+08:00 | 32.035381171496084 |
| 2026-08-17T16:09:30+08:00 | 32.24269369481408 |
| 2026-08-17T16:09:33+08:00 | 32.26116154707126 |
| 2026-08-17T16:09:36+08:00 | 33.23367740330804 |
| 2026-08-17T16:09:39+08:00 | 33.373554284293 |
| 2026-08-17T16:09:42+08:00 | 33.54635617460515 |
| 2026-08-17T16:09:45+08:00 | 33.748476557642086 |
| 2026-08-17T16:09:49+08:00 | 36.6 |
| 2026-08-17T16:44:43+08:00 | 36.85443352816814 |
| 2026-08-17T16:48:22+08:00 | 37.78715333913692 |
| 2026-08-17T17:05:27+08:00 | 37.87109812212412 |
| 2026-08-17T17:05:32+08:00 | 38.03625170998632 |
| 2026-08-17T17:05:35+08:00 | 38.46990424076608 |
| 2026-08-17T17:05:38+08:00 | 38.64578410645442 |
| 2026-08-17T17:05:44+08:00 | 38.74567839820918 |
| 2026-08-17T17:05:47+08:00 | 42.94291754756871 |
| 2026-08-17T18:05:34+08:00 | 44.82688720308419 |
| 2026-08-17T18:05:40+08:00 | 55.39771172739709 |
| 2026-08-17T18:05:52+08:00 | 55.571819425444595 |
| 2026-08-17T18:05:57+08:00 | 56.284914811590596 |
| 2026-08-17T18:06:06+08:00 | 56.38981469966422 |
| 2026-08-17T18:06:12+08:00 | 57.12473572938689 |
| 2026-08-17T18:06:17+08:00 | 57.202058201716206 |
| 2026-08-17T18:06:28+08:00 | 57.329374455913445 |
| 2026-08-17T18:06:35+08:00 | 59.24455913443602 |
| 2026-08-17T20:12:43+08:00 | 59.450721303320485 |
| 2026-08-17T20:12:48+08:00 | 59.51187663225967 |
| 2026-08-17T20:12:53+08:00 | 59.7828317373461 |
| 2026-08-17T20:12:58+08:00 | 59.862828006466856 |
| 2026-08-17T20:13:02+08:00 | 59.90983708493968 |
| 2026-08-17T20:13:07+08:00 | 61.7877129710235 |
| 2026-08-17T20:13:16+08:00 | 61.849490113170006 |
| 2026-08-17T20:13:21+08:00 | 61.969406790200225 |
| 2026-08-17T20:13:26+08:00 | 62.066502922522076 |
| 2026-08-17T20:13:30+08:00 | 62.130953861460014 |
| 2026-08-17T20:13:35+08:00 | 63.626414625046635 |
| 2026-08-17T21:31:45+08:00 | 63.666148488993905 |
| 2026-08-17T21:31:50+08:00 | 64.22127222982216 |
| 2026-08-17T21:31:55+08:00 | 64.41596194503171 |
| 2026-08-17T21:32:00+08:00 | 64.45693943539361 |
| 2026-08-17T21:32:04+08:00 | 68.52981594329063 |
| 2026-08-17T22:05:18+08:00 | 69.36456908344734 |
| 2026-08-17T22:05:23+08:00 | 69.46452555652282 |
| 2026-08-17T22:05:27+08:00 | 69.59582141524686 |
| 2026-08-17T22:05:32+08:00 | 72.95672180077105 |
| 2026-08-18T08:35:23+08:00 | 73.57710483770676 |
| 2026-08-18T08:35:27+08:00 | 73.57710483770676 |
| 2026-08-18T08:35:31+08:00 | 73.73081706255441 |
| 2026-08-18T08:35:34+08:00 | 75.11627906976744 |
| 2026-08-18T08:35:37+08:00 | 75.22615346349957 |
| 2026-08-18T08:35:40+08:00 | 88.14432284541724 |
| 2026-08-18T09:02:51+08:00 | 88.79464618828504 |
| 2026-08-18T09:02:55+08:00 | 89.07698047506528 |
| 2026-08-18T09:03:17+08:00 | 89.44148737719189 |
| 2026-08-18T09:03:22+08:00 | 89.99832110434025 |
| 2026-08-18T09:03:34+08:00 | 90.16521576918294 |
| 2026-08-18T09:04:13+08:00 | 93.45479417982838 |
| 2026-08-18T09:05:53+08:00 | 96.1223728391991 |
| 2026-08-18T09:29:16+08:00 | 97.7701778385773 |
| 2026-08-18T10:08:31+08:00 | 100.19279318492725 |
| 2026-08-18T10:08:43+08:00 | 100.45180947643328 |
| 2026-08-18T10:09:13+08:00 | 101.07915682129088 |
| 2026-08-18T10:09:16+08:00 | 101.33985200845666 |
| 2026-08-18T10:09:19+08:00 | 101.45983086680761 |
| 2026-08-18T10:09:22+08:00 | 106.05813953488372 |
| 2026-08-18T11:15:02+08:00 | 106.79834597686855 |
| 2026-08-18T11:15:05+08:00 | 106.99763710981222 |
| 2026-08-18T11:15:10+08:00 | 107.48899390623056 |
| 2026-08-18T11:15:13+08:00 | 107.68175600049744 |
| 2026-08-18T11:15:19+08:00 | 107.91266633503295 |
| 2026-08-18T11:15:21+08:00 | 111.70261783360279 |
| 2026-08-18T12:05:57+08:00 | 112.0588857107325 |
| 2026-08-18T12:06:11+08:00 | 112.20787215520458 |
| 2026-08-18T12:06:20+08:00 | 112.96878497699291 |
| 2026-08-18T12:06:24+08:00 | 113.08055590100734 |
| 2026-08-18T12:06:33+08:00 | 113.24894291754757 |
| 2026-08-18T12:06:38+08:00 | 116.79327819922895 |
| 2026-08-18T13:42:34+08:00 | 117.11752269618206 |
| 2026-08-18T13:42:44+08:00 | 117.42842929983833 |
| 2026-08-18T13:42:51+08:00 | 117.5559942793185 |
| 2026-08-18T13:42:58+08:00 | 117.89836463126477 |
| 2026-08-18T13:43:01+08:00 | 118.01955602536998 |
| 2026-08-18T13:43:07+08:00 | 118.15106951871658 |
| 2026-08-18T13:43:10+08:00 | 119.7957654520582 |
| 2026-08-18T14:00:59+08:00 | 119.98330431538366 |
| 2026-08-18T14:01:30+08:00 | 122.6683248352195 |
| 2026-08-18T14:01:44+08:00 | 122.83627658251461 |
| 2026-08-18T14:03:52+08:00 | 123.89879990050989 |
| 2026-08-18T14:03:54+08:00 | 124.10371844297973 |
| 2026-08-18T14:04:00+08:00 | 124.14339012560627 |
| 2026-08-18T14:05:28+08:00 | 129.75 |
| 2026-08-18T15:12:38+08:00 | 126.97574928491481 |
| 2026-08-18T15:12:57+08:00 | 127.13381420221366 |
| 2026-08-18T15:13:00+08:00 | 127.27543216017908 |
| 2026-08-18T15:13:08+08:00 | 128.0884529287402 |
| 2026-08-18T15:13:11+08:00 | 128.19161173983335 |
| 2026-08-18T15:13:17+08:00 | 128.3751088173113 |
| 2026-08-18T15:13:19+08:00 | 130.74732620320856 |
| 2026-08-18T15:14:02+08:00 | 136.1 |
| 2026-08-18T16:00:18+08:00 | 133.26517224225842 |
| 2026-08-18T16:08:50+08:00 | 133.42087426936948 |
| 2026-08-18T16:08:53+08:00 | 134.11674542967293 |
| 2026-08-18T16:08:56+08:00 | 134.2819301081955 |
| 2026-08-18T16:09:01+08:00 | 134.4988185549061 |
| 2026-08-18T16:09:04+08:00 | 140.66 |
| 2026-08-18T17:02:29+08:00 | 137.4481718691705 |
| 2026-08-18T17:02:38+08:00 | 137.66139161795797 |
| 2026-08-18T17:10:34+08:00 | 138.40368113418728 |
| 2026-08-18T17:10:37+08:00 | 138.58263897525183 |
| 2026-08-18T17:10:42+08:00 | 138.84454669817188 |
| 2026-08-18T17:10:45+08:00 | 146.25 |
| 2026-08-18T18:19:02+08:00 | 143.79520582017162 |
| 2026-08-18T18:19:13+08:00 | 171.77680014923516 |
| 2026-08-18T18:19:19+08:00 | 172.45445218256435 |
| 2026-08-18T18:19:29+08:00 | 172.57701156572566 |
| 2026-08-18T18:19:43+08:00 | 173.259607014053 |
| 2026-08-18T18:19:50+08:00 | 173.41378559880613 |
| 2026-08-18T18:20:03+08:00 | 173.60430916552667 |
| 2026-08-18T18:20:08+08:00 | 175.21791443850267 |
| 2026-08-18T20:13:51+08:00 | 175.61537744061684 |
| 2026-08-18T20:13:56+08:00 | 175.67852257181943 |
| 2026-08-18T20:14:00+08:00 | 176.3372714836463 |
| 2026-08-18T20:14:05+08:00 | 176.4691580649173 |
| 2026-08-18T20:14:10+08:00 | 176.6756622310658 |
| 2026-08-18T20:14:19+08:00 | 179.05098868299962 |
| 2026-08-18T20:14:25+08:00 | 179.15554657380923 |
| 2026-08-18T20:14:38+08:00 | 179.89957716701903 |
| 2026-08-18T20:14:43+08:00 | 180.04539236413382 |
| 2026-08-18T20:14:50+08:00 | 180.28625170998632 |
| 2026-08-18T20:14:55+08:00 | 183.22742818057455 |
| 2026-08-18T21:37:11+08:00 | 183.29234547941797 |
| 2026-08-18T21:37:16+08:00 | 183.66179579654272 |
| 2026-08-18T21:37:21+08:00 | 183.7971023504539 |
| 2026-08-18T21:37:25+08:00 | 184.08459768685486 |
| 2026-08-18T21:37:30+08:00 | 187.29004477055094 |
| 2026-08-18T22:16:17+08:00 | 188.41114289267503 |
| 2026-08-18T22:16:22+08:00 | 188.5849396841189 |
| 2026-08-18T22:16:27+08:00 | 188.94475189653028 |
| 2026-08-18T22:16:32+08:00 | 196.96 |
| 2026-08-19T08:39:54+08:00 | 193.29878124611366 |
| 2026-08-19T08:39:59+08:00 | 193.29878124611366 |
| 2026-08-19T08:40:04+08:00 | 193.64124487004105 |
| 2026-08-19T08:40:07+08:00 | 196.5686481780873 |
| 2026-08-19T08:40:10+08:00 | 197.00354433528167 |
| 2026-08-19T08:40:13+08:00 | 212.85045392364134 |
| 2026-08-19T09:00:34+08:00 | 213.6155018032583 |
| 2026-08-19T09:01:00+08:00 | 215.51423952244747 |
| 2026-08-19T09:01:16+08:00 | 216.99238278821042 |
| 2026-08-19T09:06:30+08:00 | 217.27120383036936 |
| 2026-08-19T09:06:33+08:00 | 218.24483895037932 |
| 2026-08-19T09:06:36+08:00 | 218.47459893048128 |
| 2026-08-19T09:06:39+08:00 | 227.44 |
| 2026-08-19T09:20:40+08:00 | 227.44 |
| 2026-08-19T10:09:57+08:00 | 225.32511503544336 |
| 2026-08-19T10:10:13+08:00 | 225.63474692202462 |
| 2026-08-19T10:10:20+08:00 | 226.95230692699914 |
| 2026-08-19T10:10:23+08:00 | 227.37874642457405 |
| 2026-08-19T10:10:26+08:00 | 227.41723666210672 |
| 2026-08-19T10:10:30+08:00 | 239.61 |
| 2026-08-19T11:27:51+08:00 | 234.48983335406044 |
| 2026-08-19T11:27:54+08:00 | 234.72382166397213 |
| 2026-08-19T11:27:57+08:00 | 235.42233553040666 |
| 2026-08-19T11:28:01+08:00 | 235.49064171122996 |
| 2026-08-19T11:28:08+08:00 | 235.54374455913444 |
| 2026-08-19T11:28:11+08:00 | 244.08 |
| 2026-08-19T11:49:00+08:00 | 238.87044521825644 |
| 2026-08-19T12:00:58+08:00 | 238.93467852257183 |
| 2026-08-19T12:01:23+08:00 | 239.06497948016417 |
| 2026-08-19T12:03:23+08:00 | 239.49912946150977 |
| 2026-08-19T12:03:26+08:00 | 239.7104837706753 |
| 2026-08-19T12:03:33+08:00 | 239.7463623927372 |
| 2026-08-19T12:11:59+08:00 | 247.44 |
| 2026-08-19T13:41:26+08:00 | 240.88064295485637 |
| 2026-08-19T13:41:35+08:00 | 240.94658624549186 |
| 2026-08-19T13:41:49+08:00 | 241.47624673548066 |
| 2026-08-19T13:41:52+08:00 | 241.69151846785226 |
| 2026-08-19T13:41:58+08:00 | 241.71974878746425 |
| 2026-08-19T13:42:00+08:00 | 242.72708618331055 |
| 2026-08-19T13:42:06+08:00 | 249.32 |
| 2026-08-19T14:00:40+08:00 | 245.5851884094018 |
| 2026-08-19T14:00:46+08:00 | 245.87277701778385 |
| 2026-08-19T14:01:19+08:00 | 245.99182315632385 |
| 2026-08-19T14:05:19+08:00 | 246.23843427434397 |
| 2026-08-19T14:05:22+08:00 | 246.724319114538 |
| 2026-08-19T14:05:32+08:00 | 246.77608506404675 |
| 2026-08-19T14:05:35+08:00 | 256.8 |
| 2026-08-19T15:06:22+08:00 | 250.30269866931974 |
| 2026-08-19T15:06:25+08:00 | 250.35542842929985 |
| 2026-08-19T15:06:28+08:00 | 250.7733490859346 |
| 2026-08-19T15:06:31+08:00 | 250.89382539485138 |
| 2026-08-19T15:06:36+08:00 | 250.94269991294615 |
| 2026-08-19T15:06:39+08:00 | 260.18 |
| 2026-08-19T16:11:27+08:00 | 254.17923765700783 |
| 2026-08-19T16:11:40+08:00 | 254.32766446959334 |
| 2026-08-19T16:11:43+08:00 | 254.5722857853501 |
| 2026-08-19T16:11:46+08:00 | 255.34899266260416 |
| 2026-08-19T16:11:49+08:00 | 255.63735853749534 |
| 2026-08-19T16:11:51+08:00 | 255.69832732247232 |
| 2026-08-19T16:11:54+08:00 | 264.52 |
| 2026-08-19T17:09:15+08:00 | 257.9110807113543 |
| 2026-08-19T17:09:18+08:00 | 258.12657007834844 |
| 2026-08-19T17:09:23+08:00 | 259.3143576669568 |
| 2026-08-19T17:09:27+08:00 | 259.6719313518219 |
| 2026-08-19T17:09:31+08:00 | 259.74717074990673 |
| 2026-08-19T17:09:35+08:00 | 264.0501181445094 |
| 2026-08-19T17:11:04+08:00 | 274.94 |
| 2026-08-19T18:01:36+08:00 | 268.8256746673299 |
| 2026-08-19T18:01:43+08:00 | 269.0675600049745 |
| 2026-08-19T18:01:54+08:00 | 320.0562430046014 |
| 2026-08-19T18:01:59+08:00 | 320.21673299340875 |
| 2026-08-19T18:03:16+08:00 | 320.7341437632135 |
| 2026-08-19T18:03:22+08:00 | 320.84339634373833 |
| 2026-08-19T18:03:28+08:00 | 320.8846536500435 |
| 2026-08-19T18:06:47+08:00 | 337.1 |
| 2026-08-19T20:19:35+08:00 | 329.26377316254195 |
| 2026-08-19T20:19:43+08:00 | 329.3629523691083 |
| 2026-08-19T20:19:48+08:00 | 330.473977117274 |
| 2026-08-19T20:19:53+08:00 | 330.47509638104714 |
| 2026-08-19T20:19:59+08:00 | 330.53656261659 |
| 2026-08-19T20:20:05+08:00 | 334.60322099241387 |
| 2026-08-19T20:20:16+08:00 | 334.7781681382913 |
| 2026-08-19T20:20:25+08:00 | 335.94621315756746 |
| 2026-08-19T20:20:36+08:00 | 335.98492102972267 |
| 2026-08-19T20:20:41+08:00 | 336.04075985573934 |
| 2026-08-19T20:20:46+08:00 | 348.45 |
| 2026-08-19T21:34:48+08:00 | 341.0729386892178 |
| 2026-08-19T21:34:53+08:00 | 343.08248352195 |
| 2026-08-19T21:34:58+08:00 | 343.4302636487999 |
| 2026-08-19T21:35:03+08:00 | 343.4990050988683 |
| 2026-08-19T21:35:08+08:00 | 350.4664220868051 |
| 2026-08-19T22:09:35+08:00 | 352.50590722546946 |
| 2026-08-19T22:09:40+08:00 | 352.94133192389006 |
| 2026-08-19T22:09:44+08:00 | 353.13197985325206 |
| 2026-08-19T22:09:49+08:00 | 359.9905795299092 |
| 2026-08-20T08:36:44+08:00 | 361.691238651909 |
| 2026-08-20T08:36:48+08:00 | 361.691238651909 |
| 2026-08-20T08:36:53+08:00 | 361.8251772167641 |
| 2026-08-20T08:36:56+08:00 | 370.2279256311404 |
| 2026-08-20T08:36:59+08:00 | 370.9815010570824 |
| 2026-08-20T08:37:02+08:00 | 424.1309849521204 |
| 2026-08-20T09:12:05+08:00 | 425.37461136674546 |
| 2026-08-20T09:12:15+08:00 | 426.82178833478423 |
| 2026-08-20T09:12:44+08:00 | 430.2808419350827 |
| 2026-08-20T09:12:50+08:00 | 433.1952804377565 |
| 2026-08-20T09:12:53+08:00 | 434.3837209302326 |
| 2026-08-20T09:12:56+08:00 | 434.7330866807611 |
| 2026-08-20T09:12:59+08:00 | 452.80919661733617 |
| 2026-08-20T09:13:25+08:00 | 462.6240517348588 |
| 2026-08-20T09:16:58+08:00 | 463.24586494217135 |
| 2026-08-20T10:05:40+08:00 | 465.3722484765576 |
| 2026-08-20T10:05:46+08:00 | 477.7801268498943 |
| 2026-08-20T10:05:49+08:00 | 477.7830182813083 |
| 2026-08-20T10:05:52+08:00 | 584.95 |
| 2026-08-20T10:25:17+08:00 | 578.5416303942296 |
| 2026-08-20T10:32:02+08:00 | 678.9644633752021 |
| 2026-08-20T10:32:23+08:00 | 686.93 |
| 2026-08-20T11:04:41+08:00 | 690.24 |
| 2026-08-20T17:29:37+08:00 | 690.68 |
| 时间 | 倍数 |
|---|
| 时间 | 券商 | 孖展资金 |
|---|
以实际认购倍数 927.37x 和当前分配手法 (甲组 α=0.576, 乙组 α=0.676) 为基准，对比各档位的实际与预测期望中签手数
| 申购手数 | 认购金额(HKD) | 实际期望中签 | 预测期望中签 | 偏差 |
|---|
君正股份中签预测矩阵行为申购档位，列为不同认购倍数，数值为期望中签手数，绿色背景表示期望中签≥1手；非预设倍数由相邻网格插值估计。
机制B
《第18项应用指引》下的灵活发售机制。最低初订分配份额为发售股份的10%，不设回补机制。最高初订分配份额为发售股份的60%（因《第18项应用指引》规定发售股份总数至少40%须分配予配售部分投资者，基石投资者除外）。发行人可根据发售结构、市场状况及散户投资者利益，自行厘定公开认购部分的初订分配份额。
α 为发行人分配偏好系数，描述发行人对不同申购规模的分配倾向。α 取值范围 [0, 1]。
本页面的「中签率」定义与港交所配发结果公告完全一致：中签率 = 该档位获配股份总数 ÷ 该档位有效申请股份总数 × 100%。此为港交所官方口径，与其他网站可能使用的不同定义（如「申购人数中签比例」）有本质区别。
期望中签手数 = 该档位获配总股数 ÷ 每手股数 ÷ 该档位申购人数
例：某档位获配总股数 50,000 股，每手 100 股，申购人数 500 人 → 期望中签手数 = 50,000 ÷ 100 ÷ 500 = 1.0 手。
本页展示 君正股份（03223）的中签预测：基于相似 IPO 匹配的期望中签率、甲乙组资金效率对比。
默认认购倍数按「近期首日表现 → 参与人数 → 人均手数 → 认购倍数」链条推导，公式为 认购倍数 = 参与人数 × 人均手数 ÷ 公开发售手数；其中参与人数与人均手数以近期 IPO 的中位数为基准，再按发行规模、A+H 身份、H 股折溢价、行业、并发 IPO、保荐人历史表现与恒指近期走势等特征调节。
认购窗口前期默认倍数以模型推导为准；随认购进度推进逐步结合孖展倍数加权；临近截止（进度约九成后）默认倍数以孖展倍数预测为准。
中签率预测基于历史 592 只 IPO 的 22087 条配发档位数据做回归拟合与 KNN 相似匹配，估计各申购档位的期望中签手数，并结合分配手法系数 α（人均分配至比例分配）给出区间。你可以自定义认购倍数与分配手法系数 α，覆盖 cibo 的默认预测，查看不同场景下的期望中签手数。中签率的计算方式与回拨规则见港股中签率怎么算。
数据来源：港交所披露易平台公开发售配发结果公告、招股说明书、FINI 平台公告；孖展数据（孖展倍数、捷利预测倍数及券商明细）来自捷利交易宝（TradeGo），倍数仅覆盖已上报券商，捷利预测倍数为全市场外推值。
孖展倍数盘中实时更新；中签率预测模型随新股配发数据入库不定期迭代。
