英矽智能 03696中签预测
英矽智能（03696）中签预测
| 排名 | 券商 | 孖展资金 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  富途 |
1646.2亿 |
| 2 |  辉立 |
547.0亿 |
| 3 |  老虎 |
249.6亿 |
| 4 |  华泰 |
108.5亿 |
| 5 |  华盛 |
37.5亿 |
| 6 |  长桥 |
12.0亿 |
| 8 |  盈立 |
11.3亿 |
| 9 | 卓锐证券 | 10.8亿 |
| 10 |  信诚 |
10.0亿 |
| 11 |  TradeGo |
8.9亿 |
| 12 |  艾德 |
1.7亿 |
| 13 |  盈宝 |
1.0亿 |
| 14 |  Funderstone |
3555万 |
| 时间 | 倍数 |
|---|---|
| 2025-12-18T06:00:00+08:00 | 0 |
| 2025-12-18T10:24:08+08:00 | 0.0045666110476859575 |
| 2025-12-18T10:25:43+08:00 | 0.27241591288311234 |
| 2025-12-18T11:09:17+08:00 | 0.2947220514621937 |
| 2025-12-18T11:09:53+08:00 | 0.33669974532361463 |
| 2025-12-18T11:10:32+08:00 | 0.33823658558004743 |
| 2025-12-18T11:11:20+08:00 | 2.3932115570387285 |
| 2025-12-18T11:18:42+08:00 | 2.4722490559409853 |
| 2025-12-18T12:03:32+08:00 | 2.479450250285413 |
| 2025-12-18T12:05:00+08:00 | 2.5202423816633 |
| 2025-12-18T12:05:45+08:00 | 2.5331518398173354 |
| 2025-12-18T12:06:16+08:00 | 3.3542636339685608 |
| 2025-12-18T13:47:10+08:00 | 3.3626943005181347 |
| 2025-12-18T13:48:43+08:00 | 3.630543602353561 |
| 2025-12-18T13:49:27+08:00 | 3.6468341090717487 |
| 2025-12-18T13:50:01+08:00 | 3.647844032668833 |
| 2025-12-18T14:03:54+08:00 | 3.7101519276367787 |
| 2025-12-18T14:04:26+08:00 | 3.7134890664793185 |
| 2025-12-18T14:04:56+08:00 | 3.8276543426714675 |
| 2025-12-18T14:06:07+08:00 | 4.52581891630807 |
| 2025-12-18T14:08:48+08:00 | 4.67713181698428 |
| 2025-12-18T14:48:47+08:00 | 4.721041538596645 |
| 2025-12-18T15:31:49+08:00 | 4.723676121893387 |
| 2025-12-18T15:32:24+08:00 | 4.734917010626153 |
| 2025-12-18T15:33:02+08:00 | 4.748265565996312 |
| 2025-12-18T15:33:41+08:00 | 5.881136383595328 |
| 2025-12-18T16:56:16+08:00 | 5.926231667691227 |
| 2025-12-18T16:56:20+08:00 | 5.927988056555721 |
| 2025-12-18T16:57:15+08:00 | 5.963862299113024 |
| 2025-12-18T16:57:54+08:00 | 5.966057785193642 |
| 2025-12-18T16:58:36+08:00 | 6.932071660665671 |
| 2025-12-18T17:01:00+08:00 | 6.9564415561605335 |
| 2025-12-18T17:04:52+08:00 | 7.149380872925265 |
| 2025-12-18T17:05:30+08:00 | 7.266575919908668 |
| 2025-12-18T17:06:52+08:00 | 9.189821726530253 |
| 2025-12-18T18:09:55+08:00 | 9.365460612979714 |
| 2025-12-18T18:10:22+08:00 | 11.209668920699043 |
| 2025-12-18T18:11:24+08:00 | 11.220251163607623 |
| 2025-12-18T18:12:18+08:00 | 11.349916571528937 |
| 2025-12-18T18:13:08+08:00 | 11.447966979889348 |
| 2025-12-18T18:13:40+08:00 | 12.295424607007991 |
| 2025-12-18T18:17:20+08:00 | 12.908140862386933 |
| 2025-12-18T20:24:24+08:00 | 12.910248529024326 |
| 2025-12-18T20:26:06+08:00 | 12.921884605251602 |
| 2025-12-18T20:27:07+08:00 | 13.574690436462634 |
| 2025-12-18T20:27:33+08:00 | 13.846579432686397 |
| 2025-12-18T20:28:22+08:00 | 14.448142618775798 |
| 2025-12-18T20:28:40+08:00 | 14.966277333801704 |
| 2025-12-18T21:38:30+08:00 | 15.313998419250021 |
| 2025-12-18T21:39:09+08:00 | 16.54786159655748 |
| 2025-12-18T22:06:41+08:00 | 16.59563537367173 |
| 2025-12-18T22:07:12+08:00 | 17.254281197857207 |
| 2025-12-19T08:39:07+08:00 | 17.372925265653816 |
| 2025-12-19T08:39:10+08:00 | 17.742425573021865 |
| 2025-12-19T08:40:27+08:00 | 20.1047685957671 |
| 2025-12-19T08:46:38+08:00 | 20.1047685957671 |
| 2025-12-19T09:03:20+08:00 | 20.1381399841925 |
| 2025-12-19T09:04:00+08:00 | 20.20791253183455 |
| 2025-12-19T09:07:24+08:00 | 21.08171599192061 |
| 2025-12-19T09:10:05+08:00 | 21.530736805128655 |
| 2025-12-19T09:39:27+08:00 | 21.75028541319048 |
| 2025-12-19T10:14:18+08:00 | 21.756696232545885 |
| 2025-12-19T10:15:30+08:00 | 21.91108281373496 |
| 2025-12-19T10:15:55+08:00 | 21.982787389127953 |
| 2025-12-19T10:16:16+08:00 | 24.099235970843946 |
| 2025-12-19T11:00:45+08:00 | 24.474312812856766 |
| 2025-12-19T11:08:02+08:00 | 24.791077544568367 |
| 2025-12-19T11:08:50+08:00 | 25.222139281636956 |
| 2025-12-19T11:10:58+08:00 | 26.956573285325373 |
| 2025-12-19T12:04:20+08:00 | 26.966101694915253 |
| 2025-12-19T12:05:37+08:00 | 27.067269693510145 |
| 2025-12-19T12:06:11+08:00 | 27.26104329498551 |
| 2025-12-19T12:06:44+08:00 | 27.972380785105823 |
| 2025-12-19T13:42:09+08:00 | 28.09747958197945 |
| 2025-12-19T13:42:47+08:00 | 28.189338719592516 |
| 2025-12-19T13:43:26+08:00 | 28.306402037411083 |
| 2025-12-19T13:44:02+08:00 | 29.14946869236849 |
| 2025-12-19T13:44:24+08:00 | 29.32510757881795 |
| 2025-12-19T14:09:21+08:00 | 29.348204092386055 |
| 2025-12-19T14:09:57+08:00 | 29.439887591112672 |
| 2025-12-19T14:10:21+08:00 | 31.029419513480285 |
| 2025-12-19T14:11:01+08:00 | 31.157152893650654 |
| 2025-12-19T14:13:17+08:00 | 31.556380082550277 |
| 2025-12-19T15:07:58+08:00 | 31.682357073856153 |
| 2025-12-19T15:08:26+08:00 | 31.74264512162993 |
| 2025-12-19T15:09:04+08:00 | 31.776148239220163 |
| 2025-12-19T15:09:25+08:00 | 34.920084306665494 |
| 2025-12-19T16:00:43+08:00 | 34.95450952840959 |
| 2025-12-19T16:01:25+08:00 | 35.34969702292087 |
| 2025-12-19T16:04:11+08:00 | 35.4826117502415 |
| 2025-12-19T16:04:42+08:00 | 35.56314217967858 |
| 2025-12-19T16:05:42+08:00 | 38.79928866250988 |
| 2025-12-19T17:03:21+08:00 | 38.8036357249495 |
| 2025-12-19T17:03:50+08:00 | 38.930973917625366 |
| 2025-12-19T17:04:59+08:00 | 40.93453060507596 |
| 2025-12-19T17:05:50+08:00 | 54.12940194959164 |
| 2025-12-19T17:37:29+08:00 | 54.61240888732765 |
| 2025-12-19T17:38:10+08:00 | 60.67195046983402 |
| 2025-12-19T18:09:52+08:00 | 60.67480460173883 |
| 2025-12-19T18:10:41+08:00 | 60.996443312549395 |
| 2025-12-19T18:11:08+08:00 | 61.810880829015545 |
| 2025-12-19T18:11:48+08:00 | 68.3270835162905 |
| 2025-12-19T18:20:29+08:00 | 69.99047159041012 |
| 2025-12-19T20:20:06+08:00 | 69.99301835426364 |
| 2025-12-19T20:20:53+08:00 | 70.26732238517607 |
| 2025-12-19T20:21:13+08:00 | 70.62026872749627 |
| 2025-12-19T20:21:52+08:00 | 75.21761658031087 |
| 2025-12-19T20:22:27+08:00 | 75.28962852375516 |
| 2025-12-19T20:22:47+08:00 | 75.62751383156231 |
| 2025-12-19T20:23:16+08:00 | 77.6122332484412 |
| 2025-12-19T22:20:30+08:00 | 77.68696759462544 |
| 2025-12-19T22:20:44+08:00 | 77.77456748924212 |
| 2025-12-19T22:21:14+08:00 | 78.18986563625187 |
| 2025-12-19T22:21:34+08:00 | 78.56028804777378 |
| 2025-12-19T22:22:05+08:00 | 81.61640467199437 |
| 2025-12-19T22:22:22+08:00 | 91.52682883990515 |
| 2025-12-19T23:05:46+08:00 | 91.9694827434794 |
| 2025-12-19T23:06:26+08:00 | 92.15969965750418 |
| 2025-12-20T10:13:52+08:00 | 92.46531131992623 |
| 2025-12-20T10:19:48+08:00 | 93.92781241766927 |
| 2025-12-20T10:25:30+08:00 | 104.61104768595767 |
| 2025-12-20T10:25:34+08:00 | 106.43330113287082 |
| 2025-12-20T10:25:38+08:00 | 109.48063581276895 |
| 2025-12-20T10:28:46+08:00 | 109.53323965926056 |
| 2025-12-20T10:28:49+08:00 | 109.53710371476245 |
| 2025-12-20T10:33:49+08:00 | 109.53710371476245 |
| 2025-12-20T12:35:59+08:00 | 109.66167559497673 |
| 2025-12-20T12:36:08+08:00 | 109.95117238956705 |
| 2025-12-20T12:37:19+08:00 | 112.326688328796 |
| 2025-12-20T12:37:44+08:00 | 114.1796785808378 |
| 2025-12-20T12:40:01+08:00 | 114.18055677527005 |
| 2025-12-20T12:40:25+08:00 | 114.18169842803196 |
| 2025-12-20T12:41:08+08:00 | 114.21511372617897 |
| 2025-12-20T12:41:16+08:00 | 114.26359005883903 |
| 2025-12-20T15:51:22+08:00 | 114.27245982260473 |
| 2025-12-20T15:51:41+08:00 | 114.27957319750593 |
| 2025-12-20T15:52:04+08:00 | 114.29393167647316 |
| 2025-12-20T15:52:40+08:00 | 114.77197681566699 |
| 2025-12-20T15:52:45+08:00 | 115.26578554491965 |
| 2025-12-20T15:52:51+08:00 | 115.43303767454114 |
| 2025-12-20T15:55:42+08:00 | 116.78545710020198 |
| 2025-12-20T15:55:46+08:00 | 118.17300430315272 |
| 2025-12-20T15:55:50+08:00 | 119.2663563713006 |
| 2025-12-20T15:57:43+08:00 | 119.26732238517607 |
| 2025-12-20T15:57:47+08:00 | 119.26784930183543 |
| 2025-12-20T15:57:50+08:00 | 119.2688153157109 |
| 2025-12-20T16:00:39+08:00 | 119.26956178097831 |
| 2025-12-20T21:44:12+08:00 | 119.29379994730833 |
| 2025-12-20T21:44:17+08:00 | 119.32308773162379 |
| 2025-12-20T21:44:21+08:00 | 119.35198032844471 |
| 2025-12-20T21:44:25+08:00 | 119.3828049530166 |
| 2025-12-20T21:44:29+08:00 | 119.39268464037939 |
| 2025-12-20T21:44:34+08:00 | 119.4275489593396 |
| 2025-12-20T21:58:53+08:00 | 120.5472468604549 |
| 2025-12-20T21:58:57+08:00 | 121.38592254325107 |
| 2025-12-20T21:59:01+08:00 | 122.13238781066129 |
| 2025-12-20T21:59:05+08:00 | 122.91398085536137 |
| 2025-12-20T21:59:09+08:00 | 123.76582945464126 |
| 2025-12-20T21:59:17+08:00 | 125.1314217967858 |
| 2025-12-20T22:02:06+08:00 | 125.34732589795381 |
| 2025-12-20T22:02:10+08:00 | 125.41819618863616 |
| 2025-12-20T22:02:14+08:00 | 125.5408360410995 |
| 2025-12-20T22:02:18+08:00 | 125.67137964345307 |
| 2025-12-20T22:02:22+08:00 | 125.78580837797489 |
| 2025-12-20T22:02:26+08:00 | 126.25204180205498 |
| 2025-12-20T22:04:41+08:00 | 126.25410555897075 |
| 2025-12-20T22:04:45+08:00 | 126.25458856590849 |
| 2025-12-20T22:04:49+08:00 | 126.25559848950557 |
| 2025-12-20T22:05:43+08:00 | 126.25731096864845 |
| 2025-12-20T22:08:07+08:00 | 127.00671818740669 |
| 2025-12-20T22:08:50+08:00 | 128.3196188636164 |
| 2025-12-21T10:05:26+08:00 | 128.4442785632739 |
| 2025-12-21T10:06:31+08:00 | 129.32286818301571 |
| 2025-12-21T10:08:37+08:00 | 129.33371388425397 |
| 2025-12-21T10:09:30+08:00 | 135.7269693510143 |
| 2025-12-21T10:09:57+08:00 | 136.4119610081672 |
| 2025-12-21T10:10:15+08:00 | 138.71283042065514 |
| 2025-12-21T12:23:10+08:00 | 138.71524545534382 |
| 2025-12-21T12:23:33+08:00 | 138.72920874681654 |
| 2025-12-21T12:23:41+08:00 | 138.75990164222358 |
| 2025-12-21T12:24:38+08:00 | 139.14898568543074 |
| 2025-12-21T12:25:07+08:00 | 142.24901203126373 |
| 2025-12-21T12:25:29+08:00 | 144.2205585316589 |
| 2025-12-21T16:30:47+08:00 | 144.2560814964433 |
| 2025-12-21T16:31:55+08:00 | 144.2624923157987 |
| 2025-12-21T16:32:09+08:00 | 144.26473171160094 |
| 2025-12-21T16:33:22+08:00 | 144.94190743830683 |
| 2025-12-21T16:34:56+08:00 | 149.67098445595855 |
| 2025-12-21T16:35:19+08:00 | 151.14635110213402 |
| 2025-12-21T18:12:28+08:00 | 151.15324492842714 |
| 2025-12-21T18:12:53+08:00 | 151.15328883814877 |
| 2025-12-21T18:13:54+08:00 | 151.66022657416352 |
| 2025-12-21T18:14:31+08:00 | 153.39905155001318 |
| 2025-12-21T18:14:49+08:00 | 155.08079388776676 |
| 2025-12-21T20:08:26+08:00 | 155.08496531131993 |
| 2025-12-21T20:08:49+08:00 | 155.08399929744445 |
| 2025-12-21T20:09:08+08:00 | 155.16136822692545 |
| 2025-12-21T20:09:35+08:00 | 156.6235619566172 |
| 2025-12-21T20:10:17+08:00 | 157.55229647844033 |
| 2025-12-21T20:10:47+08:00 | 159.04961798542197 |
| 2025-12-21T21:09:10+08:00 | 159.05032054096776 |
| 2025-12-21T21:09:31+08:00 | 159.36067445332395 |
| 2025-12-21T21:10:02+08:00 | 161.89426539035742 |
| 2025-12-21T22:11:53+08:00 | 162.2073856151752 |
| 2025-12-21T22:12:30+08:00 | 165.09664529726882 |
| 2025-12-22T08:59:43+08:00 | 165.9336524106437 |
| 2025-12-22T08:59:46+08:00 | 167.0923421445508 |
| 2025-12-22T09:00:41+08:00 | 185.35000439097217 |
| 2025-12-22T09:01:27+08:00 | 185.3774479669799 |
| 2025-12-22T09:01:54+08:00 | 185.3774479669799 |
| 2025-12-22T09:05:08+08:00 | 186.9051989110389 |
| 2025-12-22T09:07:08+08:00 | 186.90546236936856 |
| 2025-12-22T09:07:50+08:00 | 197.47453236146484 |
| 2025-12-22T10:03:47+08:00 | 201.4264073065777 |
| 2025-12-22T10:05:31+08:00 | 201.4443224729955 |
| 2025-12-22T10:06:20+08:00 | 201.61100377623606 |
| 2025-12-22T10:06:49+08:00 | 204.02819004127514 |
| 2025-12-22T10:07:26+08:00 | 222.1541231228594 |
| 2025-12-22T11:10:07+08:00 | 222.61034513041187 |
| 2025-12-22T11:10:49+08:00 | 225.56020022833056 |
| 2025-12-22T11:11:34+08:00 | 227.72468604549047 |
| 2025-12-22T11:12:30+08:00 | 249.2141038025819 |
| 2025-12-22T12:21:06+08:00 | 249.24356722578378 |
| 2025-12-22T12:22:09+08:00 | 250.80372354439274 |
| 2025-12-22T12:23:08+08:00 | 264.6616316852551 |
| 2025-12-22T12:24:24+08:00 | 265.04772986739266 |
| 2025-12-22T13:50:57+08:00 | 265.10165100553263 |
| 2025-12-22T13:51:00+08:00 | 265.211030122069 |
| 2025-12-22T13:51:02+08:00 | 266.6798103100026 |
| 2025-12-22T13:51:05+08:00 | 281.49495038201457 |
| 2025-12-22T14:02:56+08:00 | 281.49661895143583 |
| 2025-12-22T14:04:03+08:00 | 281.70861508738034 |
| 2025-12-22T14:05:27+08:00 | 283.78014402388686 |
| 2025-12-22T14:06:12+08:00 | 299.79841046807763 |
| 2025-12-22T14:08:38+08:00 | 318.02955124264514 |
| 2025-12-22T14:10:35+08:00 | 321.0681039782208 |
| 2025-12-22T15:20:11+08:00 | 321.2968736278212 |
| 2025-12-22T15:20:57+08:00 | 322.35132168262055 |
| 2025-12-22T15:24:23+08:00 | 324.3871520154562 |
| 2025-12-22T15:25:11+08:00 | 339.96193027136206 |
| 2025-12-22T16:04:59+08:00 | 342.38284886273823 |
| 2025-12-22T16:07:21+08:00 | 357.1848160182664 |
| 2025-12-22T16:08:48+08:00 | 361.1366909633793 |
| 2025-12-22T17:11:49+08:00 | 361.3117590234478 |
| 2025-12-22T17:12:45+08:00 | 364.0872486168438 |
| 2025-12-22T17:13:46+08:00 | 389.7261350663037 |
| 2025-12-22T17:17:16+08:00 | 493.7921752876087 |
| 2025-12-22T17:59:15+08:00 | 495.98766136822695 |
| 2025-12-22T18:00:24+08:00 | 500.7277158162817 |
| 2025-12-22T18:08:26+08:00 | 503.567620971283 |
| 2025-12-22T18:09:08+08:00 | 526.2338192675859 |
| 2025-12-22T18:13:16+08:00 | 533.6064371651884 |
| 2025-12-22T19:58:11+08:00 | 533.6027926582946 |
| 2025-12-22T19:58:43+08:00 | 535.3745938350751 |
| 2025-12-22T19:59:20+08:00 | 557.3118907526126 |
| 2025-12-22T20:04:30+08:00 | 557.3437692105032 |
| 2025-12-22T20:04:52+08:00 | 560.050979186792 |
| 2025-12-22T20:05:28+08:00 | 581.0617809783085 |
| 2025-12-22T21:31:00+08:00 | 581.062307894968 |
| 2025-12-22T21:31:23+08:00 | 584.1183366997453 |
| 2025-12-22T21:32:00+08:00 | 607.0962940194959 |
| 2025-12-22T22:10:09+08:00 | 610.0722754017739 |
| 2025-12-22T22:10:41+08:00 | 641.1252305260384 |
| 2025-12-23T08:54:34+08:00 | 641.12527443576 |
| 2025-12-23T08:54:41+08:00 | 645.1630367963467 |
| 2025-12-23T08:54:57+08:00 | 645.1630367963467 |
| 2025-12-23T08:55:04+08:00 | 645.1630367963467 |
| 2025-12-23T08:55:11+08:00 | 653.9519188548345 |
| 2025-12-23T08:55:20+08:00 | 829.3317379467815 |
| 2025-12-23T09:08:49+08:00 | 832.2252129621498 |
| 2025-12-23T09:08:54+08:00 | 898.6079300957232 |
| 2025-12-23T10:09:16+08:00 | 904.7552911214543 |
| 2025-12-23T10:09:22+08:00 | 904.7552911214543 |
| 2025-12-23T10:09:31+08:00 | 906.7498902256959 |
| 2025-12-23T10:09:36+08:00 | 968.0873803460086 |
| 2025-12-23T10:59:59+08:00 | 986.8644506893826 |
| 2025-12-23T11:07:36+08:00 | 1115.0808377974884 |
| 2025-12-23T11:33:20+08:00 | 1156.121103012207 |
| 2025-12-23T16:46:37+08:00 | 1161.33 |
| 时间 | 倍数 |
|---|
| 时间 | 券商 | 孖展资金 |
|---|
以实际认购倍数 1427.37x 和当前分配手法 (甲组 α=0.541, 乙组 α=0.641) 为基准，对比各档位的实际与预测期望中签手数
| 申购手数 | 认购金额(HKD) | 实际期望中签 | 预测期望中签 | 偏差 |
|---|
英矽智能中签预测矩阵行为申购档位，列为不同认购倍数，数值为期望中签手数，绿色背景表示稳中（≥1手）
机制B
《第18项应用指引》下的灵活发售机制。最低初订分配份额为发售股份的10%，不设回补机制。最高初订分配份额为发售股份的60%（因《第18项应用指引》规定发售股份总数至少40%须分配予配售部分投资者，基石投资者除外）。发行人可根据发售结构、市场状况及散户投资者利益，自行厘定公开认购部分的初订分配份额。
α 为发行人分配偏好系数，描述发行人对不同申购规模的分配倾向。α 取值范围 [0, 1]。
本页面的「中签率」定义与港交所配发结果公告完全一致：中签率 = 该档位获配股份总数 ÷ 该档位有效申请股份总数 × 100%。此为港交所官方口径，与其他网站可能使用的不同定义（如「申购人数中签比例」）有本质区别。
期望中签手数 = 该档位获配总股数 ÷ 每手股数 ÷ 该档位申购人数
例：某档位获配总股数 50,000 股，每手 100 股，申购人数 500 人 → 期望中签手数 = 50,000 ÷ 100 ÷ 500 = 1.0 手。
本页展示 英矽智能（03696）的中签预测：基于相似 IPO 匹配的期望中签率、甲乙组资金效率对比。
默认认购倍数按「近期首日表现 → 参与人数 → 人均手数 → 认购倍数」链条推导，公式为 认购倍数 = 参与人数 × 人均手数 ÷ 公开发售手数；其中参与人数与人均手数以近期 IPO 的中位数为基准，再按发行规模、A+H 身份、H 股折溢价、行业、并发 IPO、保荐人历史表现与恒指近期走势等特征调节。
认购窗口前期默认倍数以模型推导为准；随认购进度推进逐步结合孖展倍数加权；临近截止（进度约九成后）默认倍数以孖展倍数预测为准。
中签率预测基于历史 356 只 IPO 的 10897 条配发档位数据做回归拟合与 KNN 相似匹配，估计各申购档位的期望中签手数，并结合分配手法系数 α（人均分配至比例分配）给出区间。
数据来源：港交所披露易平台公开发售配发结果公告、招股说明书、FINI 平台公告；孖展数据（孖展倍数、捷利预测倍数及券商明细）来自捷利交易宝（TradeGo），倍数仅覆盖已上报券商，捷利预测倍数为全市场外推值。
孖展倍数盘中实时更新；中签率预测模型随新股配发数据入库不定期迭代。
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