仙工智能 06106
新股中签预测
58.8505.54%( -3.450 )
11月13日 · 收市数据，非实时 · 香港交易所
基于相似IPO匹配的期望中签预测
新股中签预测| 排名 | 券商 | 孖展资金 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  富途 |
1437.0亿 |
| 2 |  辉立 |
482.0亿 |
| 3 |  老虎 |
230.1亿 |
| 4 |  华泰 |
98.7亿 |
| 5 |  盈立 |
43.5亿 |
| 6 |  致富 |
43.2亿 |
| 7 |  复星 |
35.8亿 |
| 8 |  华盛 |
30.2亿 |
| 9 |  熊猫 |
14.8亿 |
| 时间 | 倍数 |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-15T06:00:00+08:00 | 0 |
| 2026-06-15T10:09:32+08:00 | 0.08400525032814551 |
| 2026-06-15T10:09:39+08:00 | 0.13032064504031501 |
| 2026-06-15T10:09:45+08:00 | 0.15938496156009752 |
| 2026-06-15T10:09:57+08:00 | 0.34689668104256516 |
| 2026-06-15T11:07:41+08:00 | 0.39996249765610353 |
| 2026-06-15T11:08:46+08:00 | 0.6084755297206076 |
| 2026-06-15T11:09:52+08:00 | 0.6651040690043127 |
| 2026-06-15T11:10:38+08:00 | 0.6654790924432777 |
| 2026-06-15T11:11:17+08:00 | 2.1843240202512657 |
| 2026-06-15T12:09:14+08:00 | 2.33433339583724 |
| 2026-06-15T12:10:15+08:00 | 2.4183386461653855 |
| 2026-06-15T12:11:49+08:00 | 2.6409150571910742 |
| 2026-06-15T12:12:17+08:00 | 5.153572098256141 |
| 2026-06-15T12:14:10+08:00 | 5.2257641102568915 |
| 2026-06-15T12:15:04+08:00 | 5.401462591411963 |
| 2026-06-15T13:46:23+08:00 | 5.428089255578474 |
| 2026-06-15T13:47:52+08:00 | 5.5233452090755675 |
| 2026-06-15T13:49:28+08:00 | 5.537033564597787 |
| 2026-06-15T13:49:53+08:00 | 5.558784924057754 |
| 2026-06-15T13:50:22+08:00 | 6.777611100693793 |
| 2026-06-15T14:01:23+08:00 | 6.875117194824677 |
| 2026-06-15T14:01:55+08:00 | 6.879617476092256 |
| 2026-06-15T14:03:29+08:00 | 7.021001312582037 |
| 2026-06-15T14:03:57+08:00 | 7.068441777611101 |
| 2026-06-15T14:04:39+08:00 | 7.175698481155072 |
| 2026-06-15T14:07:18+08:00 | 7.207200450028127 |
| 2026-06-15T14:07:51+08:00 | 8.369773110819427 |
| 2026-06-15T15:09:29+08:00 | 8.395087192949559 |
| 2026-06-15T15:11:03+08:00 | 8.396024751546971 |
| 2026-06-15T15:11:36+08:00 | 8.439902493905869 |
| 2026-06-15T15:12:11+08:00 | 8.476092255765986 |
| 2026-06-15T15:12:34+08:00 | 8.499156197262328 |
| 2026-06-15T15:13:08+08:00 | 9.549221826364148 |
| 2026-06-15T16:12:46+08:00 | 9.577723607725483 |
| 2026-06-15T16:13:39+08:00 | 9.578661166322895 |
| 2026-06-15T16:14:23+08:00 | 10.086817926120382 |
| 2026-06-15T16:15:11+08:00 | 10.10331895743484 |
| 2026-06-15T16:15:44+08:00 | 10.281455090943185 |
| 2026-06-15T16:16:17+08:00 | 12.04406525407838 |
| 2026-06-15T16:34:58+08:00 | 12.175323457716107 |
| 2026-06-15T17:04:16+08:00 | 12.168385524095257 |
| 2026-06-15T17:04:44+08:00 | 12.411400712544534 |
| 2026-06-15T17:05:45+08:00 | 13.849990624414026 |
| 2026-06-15T17:06:09+08:00 | 13.945434089630602 |
| 2026-06-15T17:06:45+08:00 | 16.350834427151696 |
| 2026-06-15T17:07:34+08:00 | 21.676167260453777 |
| 2026-06-15T18:08:21+08:00 | 21.797674854678416 |
| 2026-06-15T18:09:13+08:00 | 27.98556159759985 |
| 2026-06-15T18:09:27+08:00 | 28.548096756047254 |
| 2026-06-15T18:10:06+08:00 | 29.63828989311832 |
| 2026-06-15T18:11:04+08:00 | 29.83798987436715 |
| 2026-06-15T18:11:37+08:00 | 30.608475529720607 |
| 2026-06-15T18:14:35+08:00 | 31.602287642977686 |
| 2026-06-15T18:15:41+08:00 | 32.37446090380649 |
| 2026-06-15T20:19:01+08:00 | 33.0588786799175 |
| 2026-06-15T20:20:55+08:00 | 33.1518844927808 |
| 2026-06-15T20:22:24+08:00 | 34.96268516782299 |
| 2026-06-15T20:23:00+08:00 | 35.56403525220326 |
| 2026-06-15T20:24:02+08:00 | 35.780986311644476 |
| 2026-06-15T20:24:44+08:00 | 40.20626289143071 |
| 2026-06-15T20:25:11+08:00 | 41.74385899118695 |
| 2026-06-15T21:47:30+08:00 | 41.79692480780049 |
| 2026-06-15T22:06:33+08:00 | 42.959497468591785 |
| 2026-06-15T22:06:42+08:00 | 43.069754359647476 |
| 2026-06-15T22:07:20+08:00 | 43.57734858428652 |
| 2026-06-15T22:07:37+08:00 | 43.672979561222576 |
| 2026-06-15T22:08:05+08:00 | 48.079504969060565 |
| 2026-06-16T08:50:58+08:00 | 48.079504969060565 |
| 2026-06-16T08:52:12+08:00 | 48.134820926307896 |
| 2026-06-16T08:52:16+08:00 | 48.2203262703919 |
| 2026-06-16T08:54:02+08:00 | 48.7776111006938 |
| 2026-06-16T08:54:05+08:00 | 49.80948809300581 |
| 2026-06-16T08:54:30+08:00 | 59.953872117007315 |
| 2026-06-16T09:01:29+08:00 | 61.67560472529533 |
| 2026-06-16T09:06:54+08:00 | 63.547159197449844 |
| 2026-06-16T09:09:36+08:00 | 63.79392462028877 |
| 2026-06-16T09:10:06+08:00 | 63.79804987811738 |
| 2026-06-16T09:10:46+08:00 | 64.47984249015563 |
| 2026-06-16T09:11:20+08:00 | 68.38008625539096 |
| 2026-06-16T09:11:55+08:00 | 69.41946371648228 |
| 2026-06-16T10:20:52+08:00 | 70.48790549409338 |
| 2026-06-16T10:21:59+08:00 | 70.92874554659666 |
| 2026-06-16T10:22:29+08:00 | 70.9369960622539 |
| 2026-06-16T10:22:50+08:00 | 76.44984061503844 |
| 2026-06-16T10:23:35+08:00 | 76.92143258953685 |
| 2026-06-16T10:24:02+08:00 | 78.14869679354959 |
| 2026-06-16T11:15:29+08:00 | 78.3208325520345 |
| 2026-06-16T11:15:51+08:00 | 78.32589536846052 |
| 2026-06-16T11:16:19+08:00 | 79.12563285205326 |
| 2026-06-16T11:17:03+08:00 | 79.14269641852616 |
| 2026-06-16T11:17:22+08:00 | 79.85880367522971 |
| 2026-06-16T11:17:43+08:00 | 83.81530095630977 |
| 2026-06-16T12:04:09+08:00 | 84.56441027564223 |
| 2026-06-16T12:05:41+08:00 | 84.56216013500844 |
| 2026-06-16T12:06:12+08:00 | 85.53140821301331 |
| 2026-06-16T12:07:27+08:00 | 85.55334708419277 |
| 2026-06-16T12:08:14+08:00 | 85.63697731108195 |
| 2026-06-16T12:08:35+08:00 | 89.0684417776111 |
| 2026-06-16T13:44:41+08:00 | 89.27976748546784 |
| 2026-06-16T13:45:24+08:00 | 89.33433339583723 |
| 2026-06-16T13:45:46+08:00 | 89.34314644665291 |
| 2026-06-16T13:46:17+08:00 | 91.08700543783986 |
| 2026-06-16T13:46:50+08:00 | 91.15807237952372 |
| 2026-06-16T13:47:09+08:00 | 91.50853178323645 |
| 2026-06-16T14:01:21+08:00 | 92.01425089068067 |
| 2026-06-16T14:02:02+08:00 | 92.04050253140821 |
| 2026-06-16T14:03:07+08:00 | 94.12132008250515 |
| 2026-06-16T14:06:33+08:00 | 94.2289518094881 |
| 2026-06-16T14:07:23+08:00 | 94.73523345209075 |
| 2026-06-16T14:07:49+08:00 | 94.73654603412713 |
| 2026-06-16T14:08:07+08:00 | 97.08044252765798 |
| 2026-06-16T15:07:54+08:00 | 97.64297768610538 |
| 2026-06-16T15:08:08+08:00 | 97.64560285017814 |
| 2026-06-16T15:08:32+08:00 | 97.96756047252953 |
| 2026-06-16T15:08:52+08:00 | 98.07144196512282 |
| 2026-06-16T15:09:21+08:00 | 98.14925932870804 |
| 2026-06-16T15:09:44+08:00 | 98.33639602475155 |
| 2026-06-16T15:10:41+08:00 | 100.51153197074817 |
| 2026-06-16T16:01:02+08:00 | 100.66866679167448 |
| 2026-06-16T16:01:35+08:00 | 100.84980311269454 |
| 2026-06-16T16:04:41+08:00 | 101.16519782486405 |
| 2026-06-16T16:04:58+08:00 | 101.5218451153197 |
| 2026-06-16T16:05:27+08:00 | 101.53328333020814 |
| 2026-06-16T16:06:08+08:00 | 103.40840052503282 |
| 2026-06-16T17:20:31+08:00 | 104.44534033377086 |
| 2026-06-16T17:21:28+08:00 | 104.91524470279393 |
| 2026-06-16T17:21:59+08:00 | 104.95780986311644 |
| 2026-06-16T17:22:37+08:00 | 105.18863678979936 |
| 2026-06-16T17:23:20+08:00 | 105.68160510031878 |
| 2026-06-16T17:23:49+08:00 | 111.5882242640165 |
| 2026-06-16T18:03:30+08:00 | 111.64841552597038 |
| 2026-06-16T18:04:16+08:00 | 139.2126382898931 |
| 2026-06-16T18:04:20+08:00 | 139.24882805175324 |
| 2026-06-16T18:04:58+08:00 | 139.78192387024188 |
| 2026-06-16T18:05:31+08:00 | 140.0031876992312 |
| 2026-06-16T18:06:05+08:00 | 140.11513219576224 |
| 2026-06-16T18:06:32+08:00 | 142.85280330020626 |
| 2026-06-16T18:07:00+08:00 | 144.19013688355523 |
| 2026-06-16T20:12:27+08:00 | 144.3776486030377 |
| 2026-06-16T20:14:53+08:00 | 144.50009375585975 |
| 2026-06-16T20:15:43+08:00 | 144.88805550346896 |
| 2026-06-16T20:27:16+08:00 | 144.92143258953683 |
| 2026-06-16T20:28:11+08:00 | 145.25801612600787 |
| 2026-06-16T20:29:07+08:00 | 146.34314644665292 |
| 2026-06-16T20:30:31+08:00 | 149.90586911681982 |
| 2026-06-16T20:30:51+08:00 | 152.1935120945059 |
| 2026-06-16T21:56:19+08:00 | 152.28745546596662 |
| 2026-06-16T22:06:46+08:00 | 156.18769923120195 |
| 2026-06-16T22:06:55+08:00 | 157.31633227076694 |
| 2026-06-16T22:07:23+08:00 | 158.00356272267015 |
| 2026-06-16T22:07:37+08:00 | 158.1295705981624 |
| 2026-06-16T22:07:59+08:00 | 159.2171385711607 |
| 2026-06-17T09:15:38+08:00 | 160.00337521095068 |
| 2026-06-17T09:15:44+08:00 | 160.11738233639602 |
| 2026-06-17T09:15:57+08:00 | 160.11738233639602 |
| 2026-06-17T09:16:03+08:00 | 162.63041440090007 |
| 2026-06-17T09:16:09+08:00 | 162.93137071066943 |
| 2026-06-17T09:16:15+08:00 | 177.5197824864054 |
| 2026-06-17T09:16:21+08:00 | 178.59291205700356 |
| 2026-06-17T09:16:34+08:00 | 179.04237764860304 |
| 2026-06-17T09:16:40+08:00 | 179.60172510781925 |
| 2026-06-17T09:16:45+08:00 | 180.09206825426588 |
| 2026-06-17T09:16:52+08:00 | 180.19857491093194 |
| 2026-06-17T09:16:58+08:00 | 184.58634914682168 |
| 2026-06-17T10:07:13+08:00 | 185.1488843052691 |
| 2026-06-17T10:07:19+08:00 | 185.34258391149447 |
| 2026-06-17T10:07:31+08:00 | 185.5218451153197 |
| 2026-06-17T10:08:00+08:00 | 186.5077817363585 |
| 2026-06-17T10:08:07+08:00 | 186.8843052690793 |
| 2026-06-17T10:08:18+08:00 | 197.89124320270017 |
| 2026-06-17T11:16:10+08:00 | 198.10856928558036 |
| 2026-06-17T11:16:26+08:00 | 198.37614850928182 |
| 2026-06-17T11:18:28+08:00 | 201.57997374835927 |
| 2026-06-17T11:18:44+08:00 | 202.21901368835552 |
| 2026-06-17T11:19:20+08:00 | 202.7646727920495 |
| 2026-06-17T11:20:05+08:00 | 215.12169510594413 |
| 2026-06-17T12:14:25+08:00 | 215.18488655540972 |
| 2026-06-17T12:14:58+08:00 | 215.40802550159384 |
| 2026-06-17T12:16:50+08:00 | 216.9818113632102 |
| 2026-06-17T12:19:13+08:00 | 217.63453965872867 |
| 2026-06-17T12:20:11+08:00 | 219.5559722482655 |
| 2026-06-17T12:20:51+08:00 | 233.00056253515845 |
| 2026-06-17T13:43:41+08:00 | 233.60491280705045 |
| 2026-06-17T13:44:41+08:00 | 233.9444965310332 |
| 2026-06-17T13:46:13+08:00 | 235.28089255578473 |
| 2026-06-17T13:46:29+08:00 | 235.31164447777985 |
| 2026-06-17T13:48:20+08:00 | 235.58784924057753 |
| 2026-06-17T13:50:35+08:00 | 244.8696793549597 |
| 2026-06-17T14:08:19+08:00 | 245.2546409150572 |
| 2026-06-17T14:08:55+08:00 | 245.33077067316708 |
| 2026-06-17T14:10:47+08:00 | 246.261953872117 |
| 2026-06-17T14:11:00+08:00 | 246.27939246202888 |
| 2026-06-17T14:11:49+08:00 | 246.90736921057567 |
| 2026-06-17T14:12:45+08:00 | 256.65797862366395 |
| 2026-06-17T14:13:45+08:00 | 264.5040315019689 |
| 2026-06-17T15:07:24+08:00 | 266.1661353834615 |
| 2026-06-17T15:07:51+08:00 | 266.2630789424339 |
| 2026-06-17T15:08:30+08:00 | 266.4204012750797 |
| 2026-06-17T15:09:35+08:00 | 267.48828051753236 |
| 2026-06-17T15:10:11+08:00 | 267.6973560847553 |
| 2026-06-17T15:11:29+08:00 | 277.29795612225763 |
| 2026-06-17T16:27:17+08:00 | 277.54622163885244 |
| 2026-06-17T16:28:25+08:00 | 281.4305269079317 |
| 2026-06-17T16:31:32+08:00 | 332.69248078004875 |
| 2026-06-17T16:32:05+08:00 | 332.84699043690233 |
| 2026-06-17T16:32:53+08:00 | 448.12919557472344 |
| 2026-06-17T16:34:36+08:00 | 461.44252765797864 |
| 2026-06-17T16:35:53+08:00 | 463.0343146446653 |
| 2026-06-17T16:50:44+08:00 | 466.59703731483216 |
| 2026-06-17T17:01:42+08:00 | 495.9594974685918 |
| 2026-06-17T17:02:44+08:00 | 502.89349334333394 |
| 2026-06-17T17:04:33+08:00 | 537.5870991936996 |
| 2026-06-17T17:05:27+08:00 | 537.7311081942621 |
| 2026-06-17T17:06:23+08:00 | 553.6495405962872 |
| 2026-06-17T17:07:04+08:00 | 853.1245077817364 |
| 2026-06-17T17:36:05+08:00 | 857.6247890493156 |
| 2026-06-17T18:03:55+08:00 | 861.7020438777423 |
| 2026-06-17T18:05:02+08:00 | 871.0378773673355 |
| 2026-06-17T18:07:21+08:00 | 879.2925182823926 |
| 2026-06-17T18:08:12+08:00 | 885.5329083067692 |
| 2026-06-17T18:08:31+08:00 | 911.9863116444777 |
| 2026-06-17T18:09:21+08:00 | 1080.5780986311645 |
| 2026-06-17T18:11:09+08:00 | 1139.0174385899118 |
| 2026-06-17T20:22:25+08:00 | 1377.157322332646 |
| 2026-06-17T20:23:16+08:00 | 1396.609038064879 |
| 2026-06-17T20:24:14+08:00 | 1402.29345584099 |
| 2026-06-17T20:25:27+08:00 | 1411.049315582224 |
| 2026-06-17T20:26:37+08:00 | 1449.9885617851116 |
| 2026-06-17T20:32:22+08:00 | 1456.0151884492782 |
| 2026-06-17T20:33:11+08:00 | 1712.4374648415526 |
| 2026-06-17T22:24:02+08:00 | 1719.653290830677 |
| 2026-06-17T22:25:16+08:00 | 1728.3339583723982 |
| 2026-06-17T22:26:03+08:00 | 1730.6862928933058 |
| 2026-06-17T22:26:24+08:00 | 1733.2458278642416 |
| 2026-06-17T22:27:03+08:00 | 1776.5595349709356 |
| 2026-06-17T22:28:35+08:00 | 2089.422838927433 |
| 2026-06-18T09:07:59+08:00 | 2121.349146821676 |
| 2026-06-18T09:08:06+08:00 | 2123.8424901556346 |
| 2026-06-18T09:08:13+08:00 | 2138.7121695105943 |
| 2026-06-18T09:08:31+08:00 | 2138.7121695105943 |
| 2026-06-18T09:08:49+08:00 | 2235.8569285580347 |
| 2026-06-18T09:08:57+08:00 | 2240.4948434277144 |
| 2026-06-18T09:09:05+08:00 | 3024.312582036377 |
| 2026-06-18T09:09:19+08:00 | 3045.97093568348 |
| 2026-06-18T09:09:33+08:00 | 3073.363772735796 |
| 2026-06-18T09:09:39+08:00 | 3091.5524095255955 |
| 2026-06-18T09:09:45+08:00 | 3121.4860303768987 |
| 2026-06-18T09:09:52+08:00 | 3133.5914119632475 |
| 2026-06-18T09:10:00+08:00 | 3338.9167447965497 |
| 2026-06-18T09:10:06+08:00 | 3339.6204762797674 |
| 2026-06-18T10:02:25+08:00 | 3345.6111006937936 |
| 2026-06-18T10:09:49+08:00 | 3392.2002625164073 |
| 2026-06-18T10:09:57+08:00 | 3778.793174573411 |
| 2026-06-18T10:46:49+08:00 | 4410.707669229327 |
| 2026-06-18T11:22:14+08:00 | 4416.388149259329 |
| 2026-06-18T14:21:33+08:00 | 4572.65 |
| 时间 | 倍数 |
|---|
| 时间 | 券商 | 孖展资金 |
|---|
以实际认购倍数 5934.56x 和当前分配手法 (甲组 α=0.509, 乙组 α=0.609) 为基准，对比各档位的实际与预测期望中签手数
| 申购手数 | 认购金额(HKD) | 实际期望中签 | 预测期望中签 | 偏差 |
|---|
仙工智能中签预测矩阵行为申购档位，列为不同认购倍数，数值为期望中签手数，绿色背景表示期望中签≥1手；非预设倍数由相邻网格插值估计。
18C特专科技
《主板规则》第18C章，为特专科技公司设立。机制A及机制B不适用。初订分配份额为5%，回补门槛：10倍至不足50倍→10%，50倍或以上→20%。根据第18C.08条，发售股份总数中至少50%须由配售部分的独立定价投资者认购。
α 为发行人分配偏好系数，描述发行人对不同申购规模的分配倾向。α 取值范围 [0, 1]。
本页面的「中签率」定义与港交所配发结果公告完全一致：中签率 = 该档位获配股份总数 ÷ 该档位有效申请股份总数 × 100%。此为港交所官方口径，与其他网站可能使用的不同定义（如「申购人数中签比例」）有本质区别。
期望中签手数 = 该档位获配总股数 ÷ 每手股数 ÷ 该档位申购人数
例：某档位获配总股数 50,000 股，每手 100 股，申购人数 500 人 → 期望中签手数 = 50,000 ÷ 100 ÷ 500 = 1.0 手。
本页展示 仙工智能（06106）的中签预测：基于相似 IPO 匹配的期望中签率、甲乙组资金效率对比。
默认认购倍数按「近期首日表现 → 参与人数 → 人均手数 → 认购倍数」链条推导，公式为 认购倍数 = 参与人数 × 人均手数 ÷ 公开发售手数；其中参与人数与人均手数以近期 IPO 的中位数为基准，再按发行规模、A+H 身份、H 股折溢价、行业、并发 IPO、保荐人历史表现与恒指近期走势等特征调节。
认购窗口前期默认倍数以模型推导为准；随认购进度推进逐步结合孖展倍数加权；临近截止（进度约九成后）默认倍数以孖展倍数预测为准。
中签率预测基于历史 592 只 IPO 的 22087 条配发档位数据做回归拟合与 KNN 相似匹配，估计各申购档位的期望中签手数，并结合分配手法系数 α（人均分配至比例分配）给出区间。你可以自定义认购倍数与分配手法系数 α，覆盖 cibo 的默认预测，查看不同场景下的期望中签手数。中签率的计算方式与回拨规则见港股中签率怎么算。
数据来源：港交所披露易平台公开发售配发结果公告、招股说明书、FINI 平台公告；孖展数据（孖展倍数、捷利预测倍数及券商明细）来自捷利交易宝（TradeGo），倍数仅覆盖已上报券商，捷利预测倍数为全市场外推值。
孖展倍数盘中实时更新；中签率预测模型随新股配发数据入库不定期迭代。
