琻捷电子 06675
新股中签预测
15.4003.08%( -0.490 )
11月13日 · 收市数据，非实时 · 香港交易所
基于相似IPO匹配的期望中签预测
新股中签预测| 排名 | 券商 | 孖展资金 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  富途 |
2280.4亿 |
| 2 |  辉立 |
819.0亿 |
| 3 |  老虎 |
361.8亿 |
| 4 |  华泰 |
151.3亿 |
| 5 |  致富 |
65.0亿 |
| 6 |  华盛 |
50.3亿 |
| 7 |  盈立 |
48.6亿 |
| 8 |  复星 |
47.0亿 |
| 9 |  熊猫 |
29.5亿 |
| 时间 | 倍数 |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-09T06:00:00+08:00 | 0 |
| 2026-06-09T10:08:59+08:00 | 0.15878033856822354 |
| 2026-06-09T10:09:05+08:00 | 0.16214562512747296 |
| 2026-06-09T10:09:11+08:00 | 0.7253722210891291 |
| 2026-06-09T10:09:18+08:00 | 0.7704466653069549 |
| 2026-06-09T10:09:26+08:00 | 1.576075871915154 |
| 2026-06-09T11:03:27+08:00 | 3.1611258413216397 |
| 2026-06-09T11:04:12+08:00 | 3.9143381603100145 |
| 2026-06-09T11:05:56+08:00 | 9.176422598409138 |
| 2026-06-09T11:13:44+08:00 | 9.482357740159086 |
| 2026-06-09T12:17:50+08:00 | 9.998470324291251 |
| 2026-06-09T12:18:11+08:00 | 11.550377320008158 |
| 2026-06-09T12:18:19+08:00 | 12.033958800734244 |
| 2026-06-09T12:18:37+08:00 | 12.201203344890883 |
| 2026-06-09T12:18:53+08:00 | 14.196308382622885 |
| 2026-06-09T12:19:05+08:00 | 15.10544564552315 |
| 2026-06-09T12:19:16+08:00 | 19.92902304711401 |
| 2026-06-09T13:47:15+08:00 | 20.718845604731797 |
| 2026-06-09T13:48:43+08:00 | 21.44156638792576 |
| 2026-06-09T13:48:54+08:00 | 22.110544564552313 |
| 2026-06-09T13:49:21+08:00 | 26.250866816234957 |
| 2026-06-09T13:49:32+08:00 | 26.4187232306751 |
| 2026-06-09T13:49:46+08:00 | 26.72669794003671 |
| 2026-06-09T14:06:37+08:00 | 26.93973077707526 |
| 2026-06-09T14:06:56+08:00 | 27.096369569651234 |
| 2026-06-09T14:07:21+08:00 | 29.154089333061393 |
| 2026-06-09T14:07:33+08:00 | 29.49541097287375 |
| 2026-06-09T14:07:46+08:00 | 30.014684886803998 |
| 2026-06-09T14:07:59+08:00 | 34.7872730981032 |
| 2026-06-09T14:08:51+08:00 | 35.296961044258616 |
| 2026-06-09T15:08:53+08:00 | 35.532021211503164 |
| 2026-06-09T15:09:05+08:00 | 35.87038547827861 |
| 2026-06-09T15:09:16+08:00 | 40.52059963287783 |
| 2026-06-09T15:09:26+08:00 | 40.75810728125637 |
| 2026-06-09T15:09:53+08:00 | 40.9895982051805 |
| 2026-06-09T15:10:12+08:00 | 41.030593514174996 |
| 2026-06-09T16:06:17+08:00 | 41.77503569243321 |
| 2026-06-09T16:06:28+08:00 | 42.00907607587192 |
| 2026-06-09T16:06:35+08:00 | 42.633183765041814 |
| 2026-06-09T16:06:43+08:00 | 43.52712624923516 |
| 2026-06-09T16:07:09+08:00 | 43.63787477054864 |
| 2026-06-09T16:07:23+08:00 | 43.84346318580461 |
| 2026-06-09T16:07:35+08:00 | 44.283907811543955 |
| 2026-06-09T16:07:50+08:00 | 51.932286355292675 |
| 2026-06-09T17:17:16+08:00 | 53.2958392820722 |
| 2026-06-09T17:17:28+08:00 | 53.79553334693045 |
| 2026-06-09T17:17:38+08:00 | 54.21996736691821 |
| 2026-06-09T17:17:52+08:00 | 54.26697940036712 |
| 2026-06-09T17:17:57+08:00 | 54.42188456047318 |
| 2026-06-09T17:18:09+08:00 | 55.355598613094024 |
| 2026-06-09T17:18:24+08:00 | 55.426677544360594 |
| 2026-06-09T17:18:40+08:00 | 55.762390373240876 |
| 2026-06-09T17:18:49+08:00 | 61.626147256781564 |
| 2026-06-09T17:46:48+08:00 | 64.88945543544769 |
| 2026-06-09T18:08:47+08:00 | 68.52008974097491 |
| 2026-06-09T18:10:25+08:00 | 68.51152355700592 |
| 2026-06-09T18:11:41+08:00 | 68.61523557005914 |
| 2026-06-09T18:11:53+08:00 | 68.6234958188864 |
| 2026-06-09T18:12:18+08:00 | 68.6351213542729 |
| 2026-06-09T18:12:25+08:00 | 68.81368549867427 |
| 2026-06-09T18:12:39+08:00 | 68.85926983479503 |
| 2026-06-09T18:12:44+08:00 | 71.38833367326127 |
| 2026-06-09T19:49:40+08:00 | 71.42708545788292 |
| 2026-06-09T19:49:45+08:00 | 71.46053436671426 |
| 2026-06-09T19:50:01+08:00 | 71.46104425861718 |
| 2026-06-09T19:50:06+08:00 | 71.91760146848868 |
| 2026-06-09T19:50:21+08:00 | 71.95023455027534 |
| 2026-06-09T19:50:30+08:00 | 72.02702427085458 |
| 2026-06-09T19:50:39+08:00 | 75.7084438099123 |
| 2026-06-09T19:50:53+08:00 | 75.70925963695697 |
| 2026-06-09T20:02:00+08:00 | 75.77105853559046 |
| 2026-06-09T20:12:46+08:00 | 76.16846828472364 |
| 2026-06-09T20:13:00+08:00 | 76.21405262084438 |
| 2026-06-09T20:13:10+08:00 | 76.25922904344279 |
| 2026-06-09T20:13:19+08:00 | 79.66530695492555 |
| 2026-06-09T21:53:13+08:00 | 79.91474607383235 |
| 2026-06-09T21:53:22+08:00 | 80.50193758923108 |
| 2026-06-09T21:53:41+08:00 | 80.59259636956965 |
| 2026-06-09T21:53:49+08:00 | 80.57893126657149 |
| 2026-06-09T21:53:58+08:00 | 82.1290026514379 |
| 2026-06-09T21:54:05+08:00 | 82.12981847848256 |
| 2026-06-09T22:04:41+08:00 | 82.55873954721599 |
| 2026-06-09T22:04:57+08:00 | 82.6809096471548 |
| 2026-06-09T22:05:06+08:00 | 82.69661431776463 |
| 2026-06-09T22:05:16+08:00 | 84.60361003467266 |
| 2026-06-10T08:31:10+08:00 | 84.60361003467266 |
| 2026-06-10T08:31:26+08:00 | 86.1356312461758 |
| 2026-06-10T08:31:32+08:00 | 88.53946563328574 |
| 2026-06-10T08:31:47+08:00 | 102.47991025902509 |
| 2026-06-10T08:32:05+08:00 | 102.54915357944115 |
| 2026-06-10T08:32:23+08:00 | 102.8997552518866 |
| 2026-06-10T08:59:06+08:00 | 104.63338772180298 |
| 2026-06-10T09:04:30+08:00 | 109.26504181113604 |
| 2026-06-10T09:05:03+08:00 | 109.6815215174383 |
| 2026-06-10T09:05:18+08:00 | 109.7677952274118 |
| 2026-06-10T09:05:28+08:00 | 112.90872934937794 |
| 2026-06-10T09:05:45+08:00 | 113.61727513767082 |
| 2026-06-10T09:05:58+08:00 | 113.73903732408729 |
| 2026-06-10T09:06:13+08:00 | 114.58831327758516 |
| 2026-06-10T09:07:22+08:00 | 117.8080766877422 |
| 2026-06-10T09:49:09+08:00 | 117.83530491535794 |
| 2026-06-10T09:49:16+08:00 | 117.84876606159494 |
| 2026-06-10T10:02:16+08:00 | 118.89159698143993 |
| 2026-06-10T10:02:32+08:00 | 119.1155415052009 |
| 2026-06-10T10:03:29+08:00 | 119.57485213134815 |
| 2026-06-10T10:03:39+08:00 | 119.74413624311646 |
| 2026-06-10T10:03:46+08:00 | 120.7127269018968 |
| 2026-06-10T10:03:57+08:00 | 120.90719967366918 |
| 2026-06-10T10:06:03+08:00 | 130.33 |
| 2026-06-10T11:02:01+08:00 | 127.69753212318989 |
| 2026-06-10T11:02:18+08:00 | 127.84295329390169 |
| 2026-06-10T11:07:40+08:00 | 128.7775851519478 |
| 2026-06-10T11:07:50+08:00 | 129.2456659188252 |
| 2026-06-10T11:08:12+08:00 | 129.41474607383236 |
| 2026-06-10T11:08:15+08:00 | 135.9719559453396 |
| 2026-06-10T12:16:26+08:00 | 136.67713644707322 |
| 2026-06-10T12:16:31+08:00 | 136.91342035488478 |
| 2026-06-10T12:16:53+08:00 | 137.09800122374057 |
| 2026-06-10T12:17:07+08:00 | 138.13471344075057 |
| 2026-06-10T12:17:15+08:00 | 138.3324495207016 |
| 2026-06-10T12:17:24+08:00 | 143.0030593514175 |
| 2026-06-10T13:43:32+08:00 | 143.2182337344483 |
| 2026-06-10T13:43:35+08:00 | 143.4358555986131 |
| 2026-06-10T13:43:38+08:00 | 144.0751580664899 |
| 2026-06-10T13:43:41+08:00 | 144.34907199673668 |
| 2026-06-10T13:43:47+08:00 | 144.45370181521517 |
| 2026-06-10T13:43:50+08:00 | 148.99173975117276 |
| 2026-06-10T14:07:36+08:00 | 149.38486640832144 |
| 2026-06-10T14:07:45+08:00 | 149.490210075464 |
| 2026-06-10T14:07:48+08:00 | 149.95441566387925 |
| 2026-06-10T14:07:52+08:00 | 150.24668570263105 |
| 2026-06-10T14:08:07+08:00 | 150.27727921680605 |
| 2026-06-10T14:08:10+08:00 | 155.04986742810524 |
| 2026-06-10T14:08:35+08:00 | 157.42953293901692 |
| 2026-06-10T15:21:25+08:00 | 157.92637160921885 |
| 2026-06-10T15:21:33+08:00 | 158.042830919845 |
| 2026-06-10T15:22:07+08:00 | 158.23393840505813 |
| 2026-06-10T15:22:10+08:00 | 158.60483377523965 |
| 2026-06-10T15:22:13+08:00 | 158.74107689169895 |
| 2026-06-10T15:22:15+08:00 | 164.02355700591474 |
| 2026-06-10T16:02:25+08:00 | 164.3099122985927 |
| 2026-06-10T16:02:29+08:00 | 164.44207627982868 |
| 2026-06-10T16:08:46+08:00 | 165.18947583112381 |
| 2026-06-10T16:08:49+08:00 | 165.4126045278401 |
| 2026-06-10T16:08:55+08:00 | 165.48205180501733 |
| 2026-06-10T16:08:57+08:00 | 173.05904548235773 |
| 2026-06-10T17:03:59+08:00 | 173.22659596165613 |
| 2026-06-10T17:04:02+08:00 | 173.46899857230267 |
| 2026-06-10T17:04:06+08:00 | 174.6051397103814 |
| 2026-06-10T17:04:08+08:00 | 174.97634101570466 |
| 2026-06-10T17:04:15+08:00 | 175.0030593514175 |
| 2026-06-10T17:13:18+08:00 | 179.6838670201917 |
| 2026-06-10T17:32:00+08:00 | 196.81623495818886 |
| 2026-06-10T18:04:10+08:00 | 198.30511931470528 |
| 2026-06-10T18:04:32+08:00 | 201.38405058127677 |
| 2026-06-10T18:04:43+08:00 | 201.4095451764226 |
| 2026-06-10T18:04:53+08:00 | 201.5557821741791 |
| 2026-06-10T18:05:13+08:00 | 202.03069549255557 |
| 2026-06-10T18:05:17+08:00 | 202.27656536814195 |
| 2026-06-10T18:05:29+08:00 | 202.34937793187845 |
| 2026-06-10T18:05:34+08:00 | 206.27554558433613 |
| 2026-06-10T20:07:54+08:00 | 206.2921680603712 |
| 2026-06-10T20:08:00+08:00 | 206.42657556598002 |
| 2026-06-10T20:08:06+08:00 | 206.91923312257802 |
| 2026-06-10T20:08:11+08:00 | 206.95512951254335 |
| 2026-06-10T20:08:19+08:00 | 207.28472363858862 |
| 2026-06-10T20:08:25+08:00 | 209.5690393636549 |
| 2026-06-10T20:08:30+08:00 | 209.66367530083622 |
| 2026-06-10T20:08:35+08:00 | 209.87864572710586 |
| 2026-06-10T20:08:39+08:00 | 209.9425861717316 |
| 2026-06-10T20:08:44+08:00 | 210.1540893330614 |
| 2026-06-10T20:08:49+08:00 | 213.9578829288191 |
| 2026-06-10T22:04:43+08:00 | 214.0292677952274 |
| 2026-06-10T22:04:47+08:00 | 214.2677952274118 |
| 2026-06-10T22:04:52+08:00 | 214.43412196614318 |
| 2026-06-10T22:04:57+08:00 | 214.68794615541506 |
| 2026-06-10T22:05:01+08:00 | 218.73648786457272 |
| 2026-06-10T22:05:11+08:00 | 219.76810116255353 |
| 2026-06-10T22:05:15+08:00 | 219.87681011625534 |
| 2026-06-10T22:05:20+08:00 | 220.23251070772997 |
| 2026-06-10T22:05:24+08:00 | 226.60615949418724 |
| 2026-06-11T07:52:20+08:00 | 226.60615949418724 |
| 2026-06-11T07:53:20+08:00 | 228.08270446665307 |
| 2026-06-11T07:53:24+08:00 | 228.31450132571894 |
| 2026-06-11T08:15:20+08:00 | 230.62186416479707 |
| 2026-06-11T08:15:24+08:00 | 231.10350805629207 |
| 2026-06-11T08:15:29+08:00 | 254.72170099938813 |
| 2026-06-11T09:07:23+08:00 | 254.9389149500306 |
| 2026-06-11T09:07:30+08:00 | 256.3080766877422 |
| 2026-06-11T09:07:34+08:00 | 258.26147256781564 |
| 2026-06-11T09:07:37+08:00 | 259.4792983887416 |
| 2026-06-11T09:07:40+08:00 | 259.9071996736692 |
| 2026-06-11T09:07:43+08:00 | 267.8003263308179 |
| 2026-06-11T10:07:26+08:00 | 270.4211707118091 |
| 2026-06-11T10:07:47+08:00 | 270.47215990210077 |
| 2026-06-11T10:07:56+08:00 | 271.0225372221089 |
| 2026-06-11T10:10:00+08:00 | 275.2036508260249 |
| 2026-06-11T10:10:26+08:00 | 279.35233530491536 |
| 2026-06-11T10:10:29+08:00 | 279.9979604323883 |
| 2026-06-11T10:10:40+08:00 | 280.0334489088313 |
| 2026-06-11T10:10:44+08:00 | 302.7440342647359 |
| 2026-06-11T11:16:28+08:00 | 302.7983887415868 |
| 2026-06-11T11:16:46+08:00 | 305.67030389557414 |
| 2026-06-11T11:16:55+08:00 | 306.0899449316745 |
| 2026-06-11T11:17:01+08:00 | 307.34621660208035 |
| 2026-06-11T11:17:24+08:00 | 307.552620844381 |
| 2026-06-11T11:17:30+08:00 | 323.68560065266166 |
| 2026-06-11T11:51:28+08:00 | 325.07250662859474 |
| 2026-06-11T12:18:30+08:00 | 325.10034672649397 |
| 2026-06-11T12:18:54+08:00 | 326.8905771976341 |
| 2026-06-11T12:19:01+08:00 | 327.0453803793596 |
| 2026-06-11T12:19:20+08:00 | 327.29390169284113 |
| 2026-06-11T12:19:47+08:00 | 339.3885376300224 |
| 2026-06-11T12:20:08+08:00 | 339.76249235162146 |
| 2026-06-11T13:40:19+08:00 | 339.7887007954314 |
| 2026-06-11T13:40:31+08:00 | 340.117479094432 |
| 2026-06-11T13:41:14+08:00 | 341.5377320008158 |
| 2026-06-11T13:41:22+08:00 | 353.4182133387722 |
| 2026-06-11T13:41:39+08:00 | 354.2302671833571 |
| 2026-06-11T13:41:51+08:00 | 354.3332653477463 |
| 2026-06-11T13:52:00+08:00 | 355.862941056496 |
| 2026-06-11T14:05:10+08:00 | 355.9063838466245 |
| 2026-06-11T14:05:35+08:00 | 357.568529471752 |
| 2026-06-11T14:05:41+08:00 | 357.65847440342645 |
| 2026-06-11T14:06:04+08:00 | 358.1157454619621 |
| 2026-06-11T14:06:24+08:00 | 369.65969814399347 |
| 2026-06-11T14:06:55+08:00 | 376.7945135631246 |
| 2026-06-11T15:07:06+08:00 | 383.9210687334285 |
| 2026-06-11T15:07:47+08:00 | 385.6828472363859 |
| 2026-06-11T15:07:54+08:00 | 386.0368141953906 |
| 2026-06-11T15:08:14+08:00 | 386.8131756067714 |
| 2026-06-11T15:08:31+08:00 | 387.4358555986131 |
| 2026-06-11T15:08:40+08:00 | 402.9467672853355 |
| 2026-06-11T16:09:04+08:00 | 410.4829696104426 |
| 2026-06-11T16:09:51+08:00 | 448.4991841729553 |
| 2026-06-11T16:10:10+08:00 | 450.7261880481338 |
| 2026-06-11T16:10:43+08:00 | 451.5631246175811 |
| 2026-06-11T16:10:49+08:00 | 453.2206812155823 |
| 2026-06-11T16:11:03+08:00 | 632.1927391393025 |
| 2026-06-11T16:44:26+08:00 | 638.3114419743015 |
| 2026-06-11T17:12:11+08:00 | 638.3588619212727 |
| 2026-06-11T17:12:38+08:00 | 650.3112380175403 |
| 2026-06-11T17:12:53+08:00 | 678.5962675912707 |
| 2026-06-11T17:13:00+08:00 | 685.93881297165 |
| 2026-06-11T17:13:32+08:00 | 691.5774015908628 |
| 2026-06-11T17:13:42+08:00 | 852.2749337140526 |
| 2026-06-11T17:41:26+08:00 | 856.3540689373853 |
| 2026-06-11T17:45:59+08:00 | 1055.2119110748522 |
| 2026-06-11T18:08:54+08:00 | 1057.8633489700183 |
| 2026-06-11T18:08:59+08:00 | 1058.1024882724862 |
| 2026-06-11T18:09:22+08:00 | 1066.5666938609015 |
| 2026-06-11T18:09:37+08:00 | 1085.7338364266775 |
| 2026-06-11T18:09:42+08:00 | 1091.9214766469509 |
| 2026-06-11T18:10:03+08:00 | 1095.1171731592901 |
| 2026-06-11T18:10:52+08:00 | 1139.5834183153172 |
| 2026-06-11T18:11:38+08:00 | 1257.4296349173976 |
| 2026-06-11T19:56:15+08:00 | 1278.8080766877422 |
| 2026-06-11T19:56:34+08:00 | 1284.325718947583 |
| 2026-06-11T19:56:39+08:00 | 1302.0372221089128 |
| 2026-06-11T19:56:43+08:00 | 1305.7640220273302 |
| 2026-06-11T19:56:57+08:00 | 1308.3779318784418 |
| 2026-06-11T19:57:01+08:00 | 1405.216602080359 |
| 2026-06-11T20:12:15+08:00 | 1409.1169692025292 |
| 2026-06-11T20:12:29+08:00 | 1423.0255965735264 |
| 2026-06-11T20:12:34+08:00 | 1425.3689577809505 |
| 2026-06-11T20:12:50+08:00 | 1427.1968182745259 |
| 2026-06-11T20:12:55+08:00 | 1515.1531715276362 |
| 2026-06-11T22:02:50+08:00 | 1519.3538649806242 |
| 2026-06-11T22:03:04+08:00 | 1536.2102794207628 |
| 2026-06-11T22:03:09+08:00 | 1538.5413012441363 |
| 2026-06-11T22:03:22+08:00 | 1540.476748929227 |
| 2026-06-11T22:03:27+08:00 | 1642.3327554558434 |
| 2026-06-11T22:03:36+08:00 | 1670.1196206404243 |
| 2026-06-11T22:03:46+08:00 | 1673.8806852947175 |
| 2026-06-11T22:04:00+08:00 | 1676.1832551499083 |
| 2026-06-11T22:11:57+08:00 | 1796.1812155822965 |
| 2026-06-12T08:55:21+08:00 | 1821.3846624515602 |
| 2026-06-12T08:55:26+08:00 | 1900.518356108505 |
| 2026-06-12T08:55:54+08:00 | 1903.4782786049357 |
| 2026-06-12T08:56:00+08:00 | 1906.6445033652865 |
| 2026-06-12T08:56:13+08:00 | 1906.6445033652865 |
| 2026-06-12T08:56:20+08:00 | 2537.2686110544564 |
| 2026-06-12T08:56:34+08:00 | 2557.8682439322865 |
| 2026-06-12T09:17:59+08:00 | 2563.730879053641 |
| 2026-06-12T09:18:29+08:00 | 2585.067101774424 |
| 2026-06-12T09:18:41+08:00 | 2586.0478278604937 |
| 2026-06-12T09:18:50+08:00 | 2768.46675504793 |
| 2026-06-12T09:19:07+08:00 | 2792.31990617989 |
| 2026-06-12T09:19:44+08:00 | 2799.8915969814398 |
| 2026-06-12T09:20:25+08:00 | 2885.6251274729757 |
| 2026-06-12T10:08:40+08:00 | 2922.06292066082 |
| 2026-06-12T10:08:59+08:00 | 3316.076789720579 |
| 2026-06-12T11:08:30+08:00 | 3320.9340199877624 |
| 2026-06-12T11:22:27+08:00 | 3936.8834387109932 |
| 2026-06-12T17:07:43+08:00 | 3967.68 |
| 时间 | 倍数 |
|---|
| 时间 | 券商 | 孖展资金 |
|---|
以实际认购倍数 5144.97x 和当前分配手法 (甲组 α=0.513, 乙组 α=0.613) 为基准，对比各档位的实际与预测期望中签手数
| 申购手数 | 认购金额(HKD) | 实际期望中签 | 预测期望中签 | 偏差 |
|---|
琻捷电子中签预测矩阵行为申购档位，列为不同认购倍数，数值为期望中签手数，绿色背景表示期望中签≥1手；非预设倍数由相邻网格插值估计。
机制B
《第18项应用指引》下的灵活发售机制。最低初订分配份额为发售股份的10%，不设回补机制。最高初订分配份额为发售股份的60%（因《第18项应用指引》规定发售股份总数至少40%须分配予配售部分投资者，基石投资者除外）。发行人可根据发售结构、市场状况及散户投资者利益，自行厘定公开认购部分的初订分配份额。
α 为发行人分配偏好系数，描述发行人对不同申购规模的分配倾向。α 取值范围 [0, 1]。
本页面的「中签率」定义与港交所配发结果公告完全一致：中签率 = 该档位获配股份总数 ÷ 该档位有效申请股份总数 × 100%。此为港交所官方口径，与其他网站可能使用的不同定义（如「申购人数中签比例」）有本质区别。
期望中签手数 = 该档位获配总股数 ÷ 每手股数 ÷ 该档位申购人数
例：某档位获配总股数 50,000 股，每手 100 股，申购人数 500 人 → 期望中签手数 = 50,000 ÷ 100 ÷ 500 = 1.0 手。
本页展示 琻捷电子（06675）的中签预测：基于相似 IPO 匹配的期望中签率、甲乙组资金效率对比。
默认认购倍数按「近期首日表现 → 参与人数 → 人均手数 → 认购倍数」链条推导，公式为 认购倍数 = 参与人数 × 人均手数 ÷ 公开发售手数；其中参与人数与人均手数以近期 IPO 的中位数为基准，再按发行规模、A+H 身份、H 股折溢价、行业、并发 IPO、保荐人历史表现与恒指近期走势等特征调节。
认购窗口前期默认倍数以模型推导为准；随认购进度推进逐步结合孖展倍数加权；临近截止（进度约九成后）默认倍数以孖展倍数预测为准。
中签率预测基于历史 592 只 IPO 的 22087 条配发档位数据做回归拟合与 KNN 相似匹配，估计各申购档位的期望中签手数，并结合分配手法系数 α（人均分配至比例分配）给出区间。你可以自定义认购倍数与分配手法系数 α，覆盖 cibo 的默认预测，查看不同场景下的期望中签手数。中签率的计算方式与回拨规则见港股中签率怎么算。
数据来源：港交所披露易平台公开发售配发结果公告、招股说明书、FINI 平台公告；孖展数据（孖展倍数、捷利预测倍数及券商明细）来自捷利交易宝（TradeGo），倍数仅覆盖已上报券商，捷利预测倍数为全市场外推值。
孖展倍数盘中实时更新；中签率预测模型随新股配发数据入库不定期迭代。
