宝盖新材 08090
新股中签预测
3.7006.33%( -0.250 )
11月13日 · 收市数据，非实时 · 香港交易所
基于相似IPO匹配的期望中签预测
新股中签预测| 排名 | 券商 | 孖展资金 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  富途 |
136.9亿 |
| 2 |  辉立 |
23.0亿 |
| 3 |  老虎 |
21.2亿 |
| 4 |  华泰 |
5.1亿 |
| 5 |  盈立 |
2.6亿 |
| 6 |  致富 |
2.0亿 |
| 7 |  华盛 |
1.9亿 |
| 8 |  复星 |
1.5亿 |
| 9 |  熊猫 |
5326万 |
| 时间 | 倍数 |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-29T06:00:00+08:00 | 0 |
| 2026-06-29T10:12:17+08:00 | 0.35012185215272135 |
| 2026-06-29T10:12:29+08:00 | 0.3736799350121852 |
| 2026-06-29T11:01:32+08:00 | 0.7644191714053615 |
| 2026-06-29T11:04:48+08:00 | 1.1876523151909018 |
| 2026-06-29T11:05:32+08:00 | 1.3501218521527214 |
| 2026-06-29T11:07:08+08:00 | 1.512591389114541 |
| 2026-06-29T11:41:52+08:00 | 1.5938261575954509 |
| 2026-06-29T12:15:12+08:00 | 1.6653127538586514 |
| 2026-06-29T12:15:43+08:00 | 1.7205523964256701 |
| 2026-06-29T12:16:32+08:00 | 1.7546709991876523 |
| 2026-06-29T12:17:57+08:00 | 1.9236393176279447 |
| 2026-06-29T12:18:18+08:00 | 1.9293257514216084 |
| 2026-06-29T12:19:00+08:00 | 2.091795288383428 |
| 2026-06-29T13:41:27+08:00 | 2.346060113728676 |
| 2026-06-29T13:42:43+08:00 | 2.8748984565393987 |
| 2026-06-29T13:43:22+08:00 | 2.883834281072299 |
| 2026-06-29T13:44:06+08:00 | 2.900081234768481 |
| 2026-06-29T13:44:41+08:00 | 2.960194963444354 |
| 2026-06-29T13:45:49+08:00 | 4.584890333062551 |
| 2026-06-29T14:01:55+08:00 | 4.659626320064988 |
| 2026-06-29T14:05:02+08:00 | 4.710804224207961 |
| 2026-06-29T14:07:08+08:00 | 4.727863525588952 |
| 2026-06-29T14:07:54+08:00 | 4.745735174654752 |
| 2026-06-29T14:08:40+08:00 | 5.720552396425671 |
| 2026-06-29T15:00:20+08:00 | 5.809910641754671 |
| 2026-06-29T15:01:29+08:00 | 5.84646628757108 |
| 2026-06-29T15:04:16+08:00 | 5.900081234768481 |
| 2026-06-29T15:05:43+08:00 | 5.952883834281073 |
| 2026-06-29T15:06:30+08:00 | 5.957757920389927 |
| 2026-06-29T15:06:55+08:00 | 6.526401299756296 |
| 2026-06-29T16:01:31+08:00 | 6.987814784727863 |
| 2026-06-29T16:03:06+08:00 | 7.034118602761982 |
| 2026-06-29T16:04:52+08:00 | 7.102355808285947 |
| 2026-06-29T16:09:18+08:00 | 7.119415109666938 |
| 2026-06-29T16:11:47+08:00 | 7.769293257514216 |
| 2026-06-29T16:12:40+08:00 | 7.797725426482534 |
| 2026-06-29T17:07:58+08:00 | 7.890333062550772 |
| 2026-06-29T17:08:57+08:00 | 8.104792851340374 |
| 2026-06-29T17:10:04+08:00 | 7.728675873273761 |
| 2026-06-29T17:11:26+08:00 | 7.7238017871649065 |
| 2026-06-29T17:12:11+08:00 | 9.835905767668562 |
| 2026-06-29T18:01:08+08:00 | 13.491470349309504 |
| 2026-06-29T18:02:56+08:00 | 13.56864337936637 |
| 2026-06-29T18:04:37+08:00 | 13.65800162469537 |
| 2026-06-29T18:05:29+08:00 | 13.670186839967506 |
| 2026-06-29T18:06:30+08:00 | 13.668562144597887 |
| 2026-06-29T18:07:52+08:00 | 13.66612510154346 |
| 2026-06-29T18:08:35+08:00 | 15.209585702680748 |
| 2026-06-29T20:27:43+08:00 | 16.004061738424046 |
| 2026-06-29T20:28:45+08:00 | 16.303005686433792 |
| 2026-06-29T20:30:06+08:00 | 16.44354183590577 |
| 2026-06-29T20:30:55+08:00 | 17.095857026807472 |
| 2026-06-29T20:38:01+08:00 | 17.689683184402924 |
| 2026-06-29T20:41:28+08:00 | 18.74573517465475 |
| 2026-06-29T21:09:08+08:00 | 18.76604386677498 |
| 2026-06-29T22:07:22+08:00 | 18.787977254264824 |
| 2026-06-29T22:08:15+08:00 | 18.87246141348497 |
| 2026-06-29T22:08:51+08:00 | 18.897644191714054 |
| 2026-06-29T22:09:35+08:00 | 20.19740048740861 |
| 2026-06-30T09:06:43+08:00 | 20.201462225832657 |
| 2026-06-30T09:06:47+08:00 | 20.20796100731113 |
| 2026-06-30T09:06:50+08:00 | 20.21527213647441 |
| 2026-06-30T09:07:43+08:00 | 20.861900893582455 |
| 2026-06-30T09:11:12+08:00 | 20.94800974817222 |
| 2026-06-30T09:11:15+08:00 | 21.46060113728676 |
| 2026-06-30T09:11:19+08:00 | 21.483346872461414 |
| 2026-06-30T09:12:28+08:00 | 22.94557270511779 |
| 2026-06-30T09:12:32+08:00 | 23.398050365556458 |
| 2026-06-30T09:12:35+08:00 | 25.185215272136475 |
| 2026-06-30T09:16:11+08:00 | 25.268074735987003 |
| 2026-06-30T09:18:08+08:00 | 25.268074735987003 |
| 2026-06-30T10:25:18+08:00 | 25.56701868399675 |
| 2026-06-30T10:25:24+08:00 | 25.58570268074736 |
| 2026-06-30T10:25:31+08:00 | 25.626320064987816 |
| 2026-06-30T10:25:37+08:00 | 25.66531275385865 |
| 2026-06-30T10:25:50+08:00 | 25.69130787977254 |
| 2026-06-30T10:25:57+08:00 | 27.07229894394801 |
| 2026-06-30T11:14:46+08:00 | 27.140536149471973 |
| 2026-06-30T11:14:58+08:00 | 27.354183590576767 |
| 2026-06-30T11:15:08+08:00 | 27.372055239642567 |
| 2026-06-30T11:15:14+08:00 | 27.592201462225834 |
| 2026-06-30T11:15:25+08:00 | 27.601137286758732 |
| 2026-06-30T11:15:32+08:00 | 28.00731112916328 |
| 2026-06-30T12:14:01+08:00 | 28.69374492282697 |
| 2026-06-30T12:18:57+08:00 | 29.091795288383427 |
| 2026-06-30T12:19:57+08:00 | 29.11941510966694 |
| 2026-06-30T12:21:40+08:00 | 29.082047116165718 |
| 2026-06-30T12:23:10+08:00 | 29.10885458976442 |
| 2026-06-30T12:27:19+08:00 | 30.083671811535336 |
| 2026-06-30T14:03:32+08:00 | 30.220146222583267 |
| 2026-06-30T14:03:35+08:00 | 30.776604386677498 |
| 2026-06-30T14:08:05+08:00 | 30.77416734362307 |
| 2026-06-30T14:08:08+08:00 | 30.94800974817222 |
| 2026-06-30T14:13:12+08:00 | 31.18927701056052 |
| 2026-06-30T14:13:15+08:00 | 31.255889520714867 |
| 2026-06-30T14:15:41+08:00 | 31.28025995125914 |
| 2026-06-30T14:15:57+08:00 | 31.259951259138912 |
| 2026-06-30T14:16:59+08:00 | 31.73761169780666 |
| 2026-06-30T14:17:01+08:00 | 32.05442729488221 |
| 2026-06-30T14:19:07+08:00 | 34.81640942323315 |
| 2026-06-30T14:19:09+08:00 | 36.52233956133225 |
| 2026-06-30T14:29:12+08:00 | 37.20877335499594 |
| 2026-06-30T15:04:02+08:00 | 37.33874898456539 |
| 2026-06-30T15:06:03+08:00 | 37.43866774979691 |
| 2026-06-30T15:07:58+08:00 | 37.446791226645004 |
| 2026-06-30T15:08:48+08:00 | 37.44922826969943 |
| 2026-06-30T15:10:49+08:00 | 39.480097481722176 |
| 2026-06-30T15:17:11+08:00 | 39.23639317627945 |
| 2026-06-30T16:28:37+08:00 | 39.30544272948822 |
| 2026-06-30T16:32:46+08:00 | 39.526401299756294 |
| 2026-06-30T16:35:32+08:00 | 39.53939886271324 |
| 2026-06-30T16:37:24+08:00 | 39.555645816409424 |
| 2026-06-30T16:39:33+08:00 | 39.7766043866775 |
| 2026-06-30T16:41:09+08:00 | 42.2948822095857 |
| 2026-06-30T17:06:29+08:00 | 42.57757920389927 |
| 2026-06-30T17:08:10+08:00 | 42.59382615759545 |
| 2026-06-30T17:11:30+08:00 | 43.247766043866775 |
| 2026-06-30T17:13:17+08:00 | 43.26157595450853 |
| 2026-06-30T17:14:34+08:00 | 43.275385865150284 |
| 2026-06-30T17:17:18+08:00 | 45.712428919577576 |
| 2026-06-30T17:49:26+08:00 | 48.555645816409424 |
| 2026-06-30T18:04:45+08:00 | 49.174654752233955 |
| 2026-06-30T18:11:35+08:00 | 49.24207961007311 |
| 2026-06-30T18:16:42+08:00 | 49.33549959382616 |
| 2026-06-30T18:20:06+08:00 | 49.33468724614135 |
| 2026-06-30T18:20:44+08:00 | 49.39642567018684 |
| 2026-06-30T18:24:14+08:00 | 49.409423233143784 |
| 2026-06-30T18:25:09+08:00 | 50.87164906580016 |
| 2026-06-30T20:08:11+08:00 | 50.92607636068237 |
| 2026-06-30T20:11:28+08:00 | 51.00812347684809 |
| 2026-06-30T20:13:41+08:00 | 51.076360682372055 |
| 2026-06-30T20:14:47+08:00 | 51.41267262388302 |
| 2026-06-30T20:16:56+08:00 | 51.85946385052802 |
| 2026-06-30T20:18:38+08:00 | 55.02761982128351 |
| 2026-06-30T22:00:11+08:00 | 55.04549147034931 |
| 2026-06-30T22:05:20+08:00 | 55.05605199025183 |
| 2026-06-30T22:06:36+08:00 | 55.043054427294884 |
| 2026-06-30T22:08:21+08:00 | 55.69049553208773 |
| 2026-06-30T22:10:11+08:00 | 59.5897644191714 |
| 2026-07-01T08:43:49+08:00 | 59.47847278635256 |
| 2026-07-01T08:43:53+08:00 | 60.5897644191714 |
| 2026-07-01T08:46:41+08:00 | 60.606011372867584 |
| 2026-07-01T08:46:44+08:00 | 60.67099918765231 |
| 2026-07-01T08:56:54+08:00 | 69.6068237205524 |
| 2026-07-01T09:01:20+08:00 | 69.6068237205524 |
| 2026-07-01T09:06:04+08:00 | 70.54346060113728 |
| 2026-07-01T09:07:32+08:00 | 70.54995938261575 |
| 2026-07-01T09:10:18+08:00 | 70.76360682372055 |
| 2026-07-01T09:12:46+08:00 | 71.3395613322502 |
| 2026-07-01T09:14:05+08:00 | 72.9642567018684 |
| 2026-07-01T09:18:20+08:00 | 73.4191714053615 |
| 2026-07-01T09:19:52+08:00 | 74.15028432168968 |
| 2026-07-01T09:22:50+08:00 | 74.54183590576767 |
| 2026-07-01T10:17:51+08:00 | 74.65637692932575 |
| 2026-07-01T10:22:01+08:00 | 74.72948822095857 |
| 2026-07-01T10:23:57+08:00 | 74.73111291632819 |
| 2026-07-01T10:24:40+08:00 | 74.76198212835094 |
| 2026-07-01T10:25:59+08:00 | 77.68643379366368 |
| 2026-07-01T10:28:42+08:00 | 77.73679935012186 |
| 2026-07-01T11:08:42+08:00 | 78.10885458976442 |
| 2026-07-01T11:10:21+08:00 | 78.13322502030869 |
| 2026-07-01T11:12:05+08:00 | 78.27132412672624 |
| 2026-07-01T11:13:12+08:00 | 78.1965881397238 |
| 2026-07-01T11:16:06+08:00 | 78.27457351746547 |
| 2026-07-01T11:19:44+08:00 | 81.19902518277823 |
| 2026-07-01T12:13:35+08:00 | 81.69293257514217 |
| 2026-07-01T12:15:28+08:00 | 81.70430544272949 |
| 2026-07-01T12:17:44+08:00 | 81.76116978066612 |
| 2026-07-01T12:19:37+08:00 | 81.79122664500406 |
| 2026-07-01T12:21:54+08:00 | 83.49715678310316 |
| 2026-07-01T14:10:05+08:00 | 83.51909017059302 |
| 2026-07-01T14:10:09+08:00 | 83.5442729488221 |
| 2026-07-01T14:16:24+08:00 | 83.61982128350934 |
| 2026-07-01T14:16:27+08:00 | 84.72948822095857 |
| 2026-07-01T14:18:09+08:00 | 86.43541835905768 |
| 2026-07-01T14:18:12+08:00 | 87.00406173842404 |
| 2026-07-01T14:21:21+08:00 | 87.05523964256702 |
| 2026-07-01T14:21:24+08:00 | 87.07067424857838 |
| 2026-07-01T14:22:32+08:00 | 87.08123476848091 |
| 2026-07-01T14:24:36+08:00 | 87.10154346060114 |
| 2026-07-01T14:24:39+08:00 | 87.12266450040617 |
| 2026-07-01T14:29:51+08:00 | 88.268074735987 |
| 2026-07-01T15:09:22+08:00 | 88.74654752233955 |
| 2026-07-01T15:12:50+08:00 | 90.10316815597075 |
| 2026-07-01T15:14:31+08:00 | 90.20064987814784 |
| 2026-07-01T15:15:48+08:00 | 90.67749796913078 |
| 2026-07-01T15:17:31+08:00 | 90.87246141348497 |
| 2026-07-01T15:19:26+08:00 | 94.04061738424045 |
| 2026-07-01T16:15:21+08:00 | 94.20796100731113 |
| 2026-07-01T16:17:54+08:00 | 96.1251015434606 |
| 2026-07-01T16:19:18+08:00 | 96.19577579203899 |
| 2026-07-01T16:20:25+08:00 | 96.23233143785541 |
| 2026-07-01T16:22:33+08:00 | 100.86271324126726 |
| 2026-07-01T16:23:37+08:00 | 100.90901705930138 |
| 2026-07-01T17:04:17+08:00 | 100.99675060926076 |
| 2026-07-01T17:06:41+08:00 | 101.24532900081235 |
| 2026-07-01T17:08:06+08:00 | 101.29082047116165 |
| 2026-07-01T17:09:49+08:00 | 101.34118602761983 |
| 2026-07-01T17:10:33+08:00 | 106.54021121039806 |
| 2026-07-01T17:12:05+08:00 | 106.5897644191714 |
| 2026-07-01T18:01:50+08:00 | 106.67099918765231 |
| 2026-07-01T18:04:43+08:00 | 106.80584890333063 |
| 2026-07-01T18:07:31+08:00 | 106.84565393988628 |
| 2026-07-01T18:08:11+08:00 | 106.75060926076361 |
| 2026-07-01T18:09:07+08:00 | 109.75629569455727 |
| 2026-07-01T18:10:48+08:00 | 109.75710804224208 |
| 2026-07-01T18:16:32+08:00 | 111.37774167343623 |
| 2026-07-01T20:54:34+08:00 | 111.45247766043867 |
| 2026-07-01T20:57:05+08:00 | 111.52233956133225 |
| 2026-07-01T20:58:07+08:00 | 112.63119415109666 |
| 2026-07-01T20:59:21+08:00 | 112.90576766856215 |
| 2026-07-01T21:01:20+08:00 | 121.5978878960195 |
| 2026-07-01T21:04:08+08:00 | 121.79285134037367 |
| 2026-07-01T22:06:02+08:00 | 122.15840779853778 |
| 2026-07-01T22:08:23+08:00 | 122.38342810722989 |
| 2026-07-01T22:09:56+08:00 | 123.36393176279448 |
| 2026-07-01T22:14:11+08:00 | 134.4930950446791 |
| 2026-07-02T08:42:48+08:00 | 136.41267262388303 |
| 2026-07-02T08:42:51+08:00 | 139.10073111291632 |
| 2026-07-02T08:48:50+08:00 | 139.23720552396426 |
| 2026-07-02T08:48:53+08:00 | 139.59951259138913 |
| 2026-07-02T08:52:48+08:00 | 173.55564581640942 |
| 2026-07-02T08:59:35+08:00 | 173.55564581640942 |
| 2026-07-02T09:00:44+08:00 | 175.99268887083673 |
| 2026-07-02T09:12:40+08:00 | 178.68968318440292 |
| 2026-07-02T09:18:53+08:00 | 179.98862713241266 |
| 2026-07-02T09:20:40+08:00 | 180.09423233143787 |
| 2026-07-02T09:27:21+08:00 | 180.87814784727863 |
| 2026-07-02T09:29:57+08:00 | 181.74654752233957 |
| 2026-07-02T09:33:40+08:00 | 194.2567018683997 |
| 2026-07-02T09:50:26+08:00 | 197.9187652315191 |
| 2026-07-02T10:14:17+08:00 | 201.08285946385053 |
| 2026-07-02T10:17:28+08:00 | 201.64825345247766 |
| 2026-07-02T10:19:42+08:00 | 201.98943948009747 |
| 2026-07-02T10:21:57+08:00 | 202.15434606011374 |
| 2026-07-02T10:26:10+08:00 | 221.65069049553207 |
| 2026-07-02T11:10:22+08:00 | 222.99675060926077 |
| 2026-07-02T11:14:15+08:00 | 224.96831844029245 |
| 2026-07-02T11:15:07+08:00 | 240.56539398862714 |
| 2026-07-02T11:16:47+08:00 | 241.19171405361496 |
| 2026-07-02T11:18:49+08:00 | 241.6880584890333 |
| 2026-07-02T11:54:35+08:00 | 242.66287571080423 |
| 2026-07-02T12:11:14+08:00 | 242.99431356620633 |
| 2026-07-02T12:17:07+08:00 | 245.22095857026807 |
| 2026-07-02T12:18:44+08:00 | 245.27376116978067 |
| 2026-07-02T12:20:39+08:00 | 245.36311941510968 |
| 2026-07-02T12:21:20+08:00 | 259.6604386677498 |
| 2026-07-02T12:24:18+08:00 | 260.0186839967506 |
| 2026-07-02T14:09:07+08:00 | 260.39642567018683 |
| 2026-07-02T14:09:10+08:00 | 260.82534524776605 |
| 2026-07-02T14:13:50+08:00 | 262.2940698619009 |
| 2026-07-02T14:13:53+08:00 | 263.36230706742487 |
| 2026-07-02T14:16:46+08:00 | 263.37124289195776 |
| 2026-07-02T14:16:48+08:00 | 263.391551584078 |
| 2026-07-02T14:17:56+08:00 | 263.8489033306255 |
| 2026-07-02T14:17:58+08:00 | 264.068237205524 |
| 2026-07-02T14:20:38+08:00 | 264.285134037368 |
| 2026-07-02T14:20:40+08:00 | 274.03330625507715 |
| 2026-07-02T14:20:43+08:00 | 274.07879772542645 |
| 2026-07-02T14:20:46+08:00 | 286.8326563769293 |
| 2026-07-02T14:35:51+08:00 | 291.8830219333875 |
| 2026-07-02T15:00:51+08:00 | 292.45247766043866 |
| 2026-07-02T15:03:55+08:00 | 292.74329813160034 |
| 2026-07-02T15:06:52+08:00 | 294.4313566206336 |
| 2026-07-02T15:09:53+08:00 | 294.5540211210398 |
| 2026-07-02T15:11:29+08:00 | 295.06092607636066 |
| 2026-07-02T15:13:13+08:00 | 308.4646628757108 |
| 2026-07-02T16:04:59+08:00 | 313.6051990251828 |
| 2026-07-02T16:07:46+08:00 | 314.58489033306256 |
| 2026-07-02T16:08:57+08:00 | 314.6051990251828 |
| 2026-07-02T16:10:57+08:00 | 315.04305442729486 |
| 2026-07-02T16:11:50+08:00 | 332.99593826157593 |
| 2026-07-02T16:14:27+08:00 | 333.29731925264014 |
| 2026-07-02T17:04:55+08:00 | 334.7002437043054 |
| 2026-07-02T17:06:17+08:00 | 335.3038180341186 |
| 2026-07-02T17:08:58+08:00 | 338.340373679935 |
| 2026-07-02T17:10:03+08:00 | 338.40617384240454 |
| 2026-07-02T17:11:52+08:00 | 338.5962632006499 |
| 2026-07-02T17:13:57+08:00 | 354.11210398050366 |
| 2026-07-02T17:15:29+08:00 | 356.79285134037366 |
| 2026-07-02T17:52:26+08:00 | 394.9731925264013 |
| 2026-07-02T18:08:12+08:00 | 400.07554833468726 |
| 2026-07-02T18:16:49+08:00 | 400.4272948822096 |
| 2026-07-02T18:18:50+08:00 | 400.5718927701056 |
| 2026-07-02T18:20:37+08:00 | 400.88058489033307 |
| 2026-07-02T18:21:14+08:00 | 404.1088545897644 |
| 2026-07-02T18:22:10+08:00 | 404.6441917140536 |
| 2026-07-02T18:23:21+08:00 | 423.5718927701056 |
| 2026-07-02T20:37:41+08:00 | 423.8123476848091 |
| 2026-07-02T20:44:01+08:00 | 424.9715678310317 |
| 2026-07-02T20:46:13+08:00 | 425.0601137286759 |
| 2026-07-02T20:48:14+08:00 | 425.15272136474414 |
| 2026-07-02T20:49:31+08:00 | 429.71161657189276 |
| 2026-07-02T20:51:20+08:00 | 469.11047928513403 |
| 2026-07-02T21:50:18+08:00 | 469.9171405361495 |
| 2026-07-02T22:06:26+08:00 | 471.30787977254266 |
| 2026-07-02T22:08:39+08:00 | 471.8480909829407 |
| 2026-07-02T22:09:42+08:00 | 487.8220958570268 |
| 2026-07-02T22:11:18+08:00 | 578.2363931762794 |
| 2026-07-03T08:39:30+08:00 | 589.7132412672623 |
| 2026-07-03T08:39:33+08:00 | 637.6417546709991 |
| 2026-07-03T08:42:15+08:00 | 638.119415109667 |
| 2026-07-03T08:42:17+08:00 | 638.697806661251 |
| 2026-07-03T08:46:44+08:00 | 638.697806661251 |
| 2026-07-03T08:48:15+08:00 | 980.3712428919578 |
| 2026-07-03T09:01:25+08:00 | 988.4947197400487 |
| 2026-07-03T09:07:24+08:00 | 990.4963444354183 |
| 2026-07-03T09:08:17+08:00 | 990.5588952071487 |
| 2026-07-03T09:10:11+08:00 | 1012.9975629569456 |
| 2026-07-03T09:12:33+08:00 | 1020.2843216896832 |
| 2026-07-03T09:14:29+08:00 | 1124.102355808286 |
| 2026-07-03T09:18:30+08:00 | 1147.6588139723801 |
| 2026-07-03T10:16:45+08:00 | 1171.5597075548335 |
| 2026-07-03T10:20:16+08:00 | 1431.5922014622258 |
| 2026-07-03T11:13:54+08:00 | 1438.5393988627131 |
| 2026-07-03T11:20:39+08:00 | 1591.47 |
| 时间 | 倍数 |
|---|
| 时间 | 券商 | 孖展资金 |
|---|
以实际认购倍数 3015.69x 和当前分配手法 (甲组 α=0.558, 乙组 α=0.000) 为基准，对比各档位的实际与预测期望中签手数
| 申购手数 | 认购金额(HKD) | 实际期望中签 | 预测期望中签 | 偏差 |
|---|
宝盖新材中签预测矩阵行为申购档位，列为不同认购倍数，数值为期望中签手数，绿色背景表示期望中签≥1手；非预设倍数由相邻网格插值估计。
机制B
《第18项应用指引》下的灵活发售机制。最低初订分配份额为发售股份的10%，不设回补机制。最高初订分配份额为发售股份的60%（因《第18项应用指引》规定发售股份总数至少40%须分配予配售部分投资者，基石投资者除外）。发行人可根据发售结构、市场状况及散户投资者利益，自行厘定公开认购部分的初订分配份额。
α 为发行人分配偏好系数，描述发行人对不同申购规模的分配倾向。α 取值范围 [0, 1]。
本页面的「中签率」定义与港交所配发结果公告完全一致：中签率 = 该档位获配股份总数 ÷ 该档位有效申请股份总数 × 100%。此为港交所官方口径，与其他网站可能使用的不同定义（如「申购人数中签比例」）有本质区别。
期望中签手数 = 该档位获配总股数 ÷ 每手股数 ÷ 该档位申购人数
例：某档位获配总股数 50,000 股，每手 100 股，申购人数 500 人 → 期望中签手数 = 50,000 ÷ 100 ÷ 500 = 1.0 手。
本页展示 宝盖新材（08090）的中签预测：基于相似 IPO 匹配的期望中签率、甲乙组资金效率对比。
默认认购倍数按「近期首日表现 → 参与人数 → 人均手数 → 认购倍数」链条推导，公式为 认购倍数 = 参与人数 × 人均手数 ÷ 公开发售手数；其中参与人数与人均手数以近期 IPO 的中位数为基准，再按发行规模、A+H 身份、H 股折溢价、行业、并发 IPO、保荐人历史表现与恒指近期走势等特征调节。
认购窗口前期默认倍数以模型推导为准；随认购进度推进逐步结合孖展倍数加权；临近截止（进度约九成后）默认倍数以孖展倍数预测为准。
中签率预测基于历史 592 只 IPO 的 22087 条配发档位数据做回归拟合与 KNN 相似匹配，估计各申购档位的期望中签手数，并结合分配手法系数 α（人均分配至比例分配）给出区间。你可以自定义认购倍数与分配手法系数 α，覆盖 cibo 的默认预测，查看不同场景下的期望中签手数。中签率的计算方式与回拨规则见港股中签率怎么算。
数据来源：港交所披露易平台公开发售配发结果公告、招股说明书、FINI 平台公告；孖展数据（孖展倍数、捷利预测倍数及券商明细）来自捷利交易宝（TradeGo），倍数仅覆盖已上报券商，捷利预测倍数为全市场外推值。
孖展倍数盘中实时更新；中签率预测模型随新股配发数据入库不定期迭代。
