沃尔核材 09981
新股中签预测
7.5903.19%( -0.250 )
11月13日 · 收市数据，非实时 · 香港交易所
基于相似IPO匹配的期望中签预测
新股中签预测| 排名 | 券商 | 孖展资金 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  富途 |
801.2亿 |
| 2 |  辉立 |
247.0亿 |
| 3 |  老虎 |
124.6亿 |
| 4 |  华泰 |
50.6亿 |
| 5 |  华盛 |
15.5亿 |
| 6 |  熊猫 |
9.2亿 |
| 7 |  盈立 |
5.7亿 |
| 8 |  信诚 |
3.0亿 |
| 9 |  致富 |
2.5亿 |
| 时间 | 倍数 |
|---|---|
| 2026-02-05T06:00:00+08:00 | 0 |
| 2026-02-05T10:06:13+08:00 | 0.001777840989901863 |
| 2026-02-05T10:07:07+08:00 | 0.005369079789503627 |
| 2026-02-05T10:07:18+08:00 | 0.008924761769307354 |
| 2026-02-05T10:07:37+08:00 | 0.01248044374911108 |
| 2026-02-05T11:13:41+08:00 | 0.02702318304650832 |
| 2026-02-05T11:14:29+08:00 | 0.11235955056179775 |
| 2026-02-05T11:14:51+08:00 | 0.1186175508462523 |
| 2026-02-05T12:06:17+08:00 | 0.1193642440620111 |
| 2026-02-05T12:07:02+08:00 | 0.13547148343052198 |
| 2026-02-05T12:07:20+08:00 | 0.13554259707011804 |
| 2026-02-05T12:07:32+08:00 | 0.21732328260560377 |
| 2026-02-05T13:46:21+08:00 | 0.21760773716398804 |
| 2026-02-05T13:46:39+08:00 | 0.21870999857772722 |
| 2026-02-05T13:47:26+08:00 | 0.22077229412601337 |
| 2026-02-05T13:47:43+08:00 | 0.23143934006542455 |
| 2026-02-05T14:05:28+08:00 | 0.23332385151472051 |
| 2026-02-05T14:05:51+08:00 | 0.23360830607310482 |
| 2026-02-05T14:06:05+08:00 | 0.2341416583700754 |
| 2026-02-05T14:06:42+08:00 | 0.6181553121888779 |
| 2026-02-05T14:07:40+08:00 | 0.6220310055468639 |
| 2026-02-05T15:17:12+08:00 | 0.6376760062580002 |
| 2026-02-05T15:17:32+08:00 | 0.6577300526240933 |
| 2026-02-05T15:17:46+08:00 | 0.681304224150192 |
| 2026-02-05T15:18:17+08:00 | 0.6919712700896032 |
| 2026-02-05T15:19:20+08:00 | 0.695526952069407 |
| 2026-02-05T16:03:33+08:00 | 0.6968069975821363 |
| 2026-02-05T16:03:59+08:00 | 0.6971625657801166 |
| 2026-02-05T16:04:11+08:00 | 0.716647703029441 |
| 2026-02-05T16:05:23+08:00 | 0.7806499786659081 |
| 2026-02-05T17:01:37+08:00 | 0.794872706585123 |
| 2026-02-05T17:02:16+08:00 | 0.8008818091309913 |
| 2026-02-05T17:02:45+08:00 | 0.8509458114066278 |
| 2026-02-05T17:06:48+08:00 | 1.1709571895889632 |
| 2026-02-05T17:07:14+08:00 | 1.234817237946238 |
| 2026-02-05T18:11:05+08:00 | 1.25760915943678 |
| 2026-02-05T18:11:19+08:00 | 1.8265182762053762 |
| 2026-02-05T18:11:40+08:00 | 1.8269094012231546 |
| 2026-02-05T18:12:00+08:00 | 1.844403356563789 |
| 2026-02-05T18:12:14+08:00 | 1.9119613141800598 |
| 2026-02-05T18:13:20+08:00 | 1.9432868724221306 |
| 2026-02-05T20:42:40+08:00 | 1.9440691224576874 |
| 2026-02-05T20:42:59+08:00 | 1.9602474754657944 |
| 2026-02-05T20:43:18+08:00 | 1.9635542597070117 |
| 2026-02-05T20:43:41+08:00 | 1.999111079505049 |
| 2026-02-05T20:44:00+08:00 | 1.9994666477030294 |
| 2026-02-05T20:44:23+08:00 | 1.9841416583700753 |
| 2026-02-05T20:44:36+08:00 | 1.9983643862892904 |
| 2026-02-05T21:44:48+08:00 | 1.9986132840278765 |
| 2026-02-05T21:45:11+08:00 | 2.000106670459394 |
| 2026-02-05T21:45:24+08:00 | 2.6081282890058315 |
| 2026-02-06T09:00:39+08:00 | 2.6175508462523114 |
| 2026-02-06T09:00:53+08:00 | 2.636253733466079 |
| 2026-02-06T09:01:02+08:00 | 2.690726781396672 |
| 2026-02-06T09:01:35+08:00 | 2.696273645285166 |
| 2026-02-06T09:02:47+08:00 | 2.696273645285166 |
| 2026-02-06T09:03:03+08:00 | 2.7885791494808703 |
| 2026-02-06T09:03:30+08:00 | 2.8276916512587116 |
| 2026-02-06T09:03:44+08:00 | 2.966363248471057 |
| 2026-02-06T09:05:21+08:00 | 3.0161072393685107 |
| 2026-02-06T09:07:23+08:00 | 3.018347319015787 |
| 2026-02-06T09:07:40+08:00 | 3.1534632342483286 |
| 2026-02-06T10:04:36+08:00 | 3.1641302801877402 |
| 2026-02-06T10:04:46+08:00 | 3.1704593941117905 |
| 2026-02-06T10:05:00+08:00 | 3.169037121319869 |
| 2026-02-06T10:05:13+08:00 | 3.186211065282321 |
| 2026-02-06T10:05:39+08:00 | 3.2715474327976106 |
| 2026-02-06T11:13:13+08:00 | 3.300348456834021 |
| 2026-02-06T11:13:28+08:00 | 3.302552979661499 |
| 2026-02-06T11:14:07+08:00 | 3.313148911961314 |
| 2026-02-06T11:14:18+08:00 | 3.416263689375622 |
| 2026-02-06T12:03:40+08:00 | 3.418966007680273 |
| 2026-02-06T12:04:08+08:00 | 3.422699473759067 |
| 2026-02-06T12:04:20+08:00 | 3.4374911107950505 |
| 2026-02-06T12:08:25+08:00 | 3.5157161143507323 |
| 2026-02-06T13:42:45+08:00 | 3.543201536054615 |
| 2026-02-06T13:42:57+08:00 | 3.5444104679277486 |
| 2026-02-06T13:43:12+08:00 | 3.589034276774285 |
| 2026-02-06T13:43:38+08:00 | 3.6423695064713413 |
| 2026-02-06T14:11:14+08:00 | 3.670743848670175 |
| 2026-02-06T14:11:28+08:00 | 3.671881666903712 |
| 2026-02-06T14:12:23+08:00 | 3.7639382733608304 |
| 2026-02-06T14:12:33+08:00 | 3.8777200967145498 |
| 2026-02-06T14:13:06+08:00 | 3.905454416157019 |
| 2026-02-06T15:03:25+08:00 | 3.9086545299388424 |
| 2026-02-06T15:04:04+08:00 | 3.939802304081923 |
| 2026-02-06T15:04:17+08:00 | 3.9415090314322287 |
| 2026-02-06T15:05:26+08:00 | 4.030401080927322 |
| 2026-02-06T16:07:17+08:00 | 4.042099274640876 |
| 2026-02-06T16:07:33+08:00 | 4.042597070118049 |
| 2026-02-06T16:07:45+08:00 | 4.3531503342341065 |
| 2026-02-06T16:08:06+08:00 | 4.395818517991751 |
| 2026-02-06T17:17:24+08:00 | 4.424583985208363 |
| 2026-02-06T17:18:20+08:00 | 4.425828473901294 |
| 2026-02-06T17:18:57+08:00 | 4.6768951784952355 |
| 2026-02-06T17:19:04+08:00 | 5.76848954629498 |
| 2026-02-06T17:27:52+08:00 | 5.839603185891054 |
| 2026-02-06T17:48:02+08:00 | 6.40851230265965 |
| 2026-02-06T18:09:49+08:00 | 6.413916939268952 |
| 2026-02-06T18:09:59+08:00 | 6.415872564357844 |
| 2026-02-06T18:10:15+08:00 | 6.521725216896601 |
| 2026-02-06T18:10:35+08:00 | 6.763511591523254 |
| 2026-02-06T18:12:23+08:00 | 6.914165837007538 |
| 2026-02-06T20:16:20+08:00 | 6.917259280329968 |
| 2026-02-06T20:16:34+08:00 | 6.920246053193003 |
| 2026-02-06T20:16:44+08:00 | 6.939411179064145 |
| 2026-02-06T20:16:53+08:00 | 7.035414592518845 |
| 2026-02-06T20:17:22+08:00 | 7.036801308490968 |
| 2026-02-06T20:17:51+08:00 | 7.234354999288864 |
| 2026-02-06T20:18:00+08:00 | 7.330358412743564 |
| 2026-02-06T21:31:41+08:00 | 7.336900867586403 |
| 2026-02-06T21:31:51+08:00 | 7.3727065851230265 |
| 2026-02-06T21:32:00+08:00 | 7.568269094012232 |
| 2026-02-07T09:46:46+08:00 | 8.261129284596786 |
| 2026-02-07T09:46:54+08:00 | 8.282890058313184 |
| 2026-02-07T09:48:11+08:00 | 8.282890058313184 |
| 2026-02-07T09:48:25+08:00 | 8.380102403641018 |
| 2026-02-07T09:48:48+08:00 | 8.399800881809131 |
| 2026-02-07T09:49:02+08:00 | 8.549139524960887 |
| 2026-02-07T09:49:08+08:00 | 10.341203242781965 |
| 2026-02-07T09:49:15+08:00 | 10.422983928317452 |
| 2026-02-07T10:01:23+08:00 | 10.423766178353008 |
| 2026-02-07T10:01:39+08:00 | 10.424192860190585 |
| 2026-02-07T10:17:22+08:00 | 10.449473759066988 |
| 2026-02-07T10:17:39+08:00 | 10.492141942824635 |
| 2026-02-07T11:11:21+08:00 | 10.492853079220595 |
| 2026-02-07T11:11:33+08:00 | 10.49349310197696 |
| 2026-02-07T11:11:41+08:00 | 10.61975536907979 |
| 2026-02-07T11:11:54+08:00 | 10.758426966292134 |
| 2026-02-07T13:59:11+08:00 | 10.759209216327692 |
| 2026-02-07T13:59:20+08:00 | 10.761911534632343 |
| 2026-02-07T13:59:38+08:00 | 10.800881809130992 |
| 2026-02-07T13:59:48+08:00 | 10.939553406343336 |
| 2026-02-07T13:59:56+08:00 | 10.940833451856067 |
| 2026-02-07T14:00:05+08:00 | 10.964265396102972 |
| 2026-02-07T14:00:22+08:00 | 11.051521831887356 |
| 2026-02-07T14:00:31+08:00 | 11.346643436211066 |
| 2026-02-07T14:00:40+08:00 | 11.34710567486844 |
| 2026-02-07T14:43:30+08:00 | 11.35706158441189 |
| 2026-02-07T14:43:41+08:00 | 11.393791779263262 |
| 2026-02-07T14:44:06+08:00 | 11.54313042241502 |
| 2026-02-07T15:02:36+08:00 | 11.543948229270374 |
| 2026-02-07T15:02:49+08:00 | 11.562117764187171 |
| 2026-02-07T15:54:06+08:00 | 11.597496799886217 |
| 2026-02-07T15:54:14+08:00 | 11.643720665623666 |
| 2026-02-07T16:02:14+08:00 | 11.645000711136396 |
| 2026-02-07T16:25:23+08:00 | 11.745022045228275 |
| 2026-02-07T16:25:36+08:00 | 12.353043663774711 |
| 2026-02-07T18:32:15+08:00 | 12.353648129711278 |
| 2026-02-07T18:32:33+08:00 | 12.42952638316029 |
| 2026-02-07T18:32:45+08:00 | 12.66775707580714 |
| 2026-02-07T18:32:54+08:00 | 12.668183757644716 |
| 2026-02-07T18:33:07+08:00 | 12.668219314464514 |
| 2026-02-07T18:33:20+08:00 | 12.696095861186176 |
| 2026-02-07T18:33:29+08:00 | 12.83476745839852 |
| 2026-02-07T19:29:45+08:00 | 12.835087469776703 |
| 2026-02-07T19:30:05+08:00 | 12.87718674441758 |
| 2026-02-07T19:30:15+08:00 | 12.94474470203385 |
| 2026-02-07T20:22:05+08:00 | 12.94510027023183 |
| 2026-02-07T20:22:26+08:00 | 12.970061157730052 |
| 2026-02-07T20:22:30+08:00 | 13.105177072962594 |
| 2026-02-07T21:37:14+08:00 | 13.106065993457545 |
| 2026-02-07T21:37:27+08:00 | 13.163490257431375 |
| 2026-02-07T21:37:36+08:00 | 13.426610723936852 |
| 2026-02-08T11:03:59+08:00 | 13.723652396529655 |
| 2026-02-08T11:04:03+08:00 | 13.705553975252453 |
| 2026-02-08T11:05:58+08:00 | 14.63714265396103 |
| 2026-02-08T11:06:02+08:00 | 14.854039254729058 |
| 2026-02-08T11:07:57+08:00 | 14.857737163988054 |
| 2026-02-08T11:08:01+08:00 | 14.859301664059167 |
| 2026-02-08T11:08:06+08:00 | 14.862039539183616 |
| 2026-02-08T11:08:53+08:00 | 14.867515289432513 |
| 2026-02-08T11:09:08+08:00 | 14.88113355141516 |
| 2026-02-08T15:23:18+08:00 | 14.902396529654387 |
| 2026-02-08T15:23:26+08:00 | 14.903747688806714 |
| 2026-02-08T15:23:35+08:00 | 14.957651827620538 |
| 2026-02-08T15:23:46+08:00 | 14.982932726496943 |
| 2026-02-08T15:24:10+08:00 | 14.984319442469065 |
| 2026-02-08T15:24:19+08:00 | 14.984888351585834 |
| 2026-02-08T15:24:27+08:00 | 14.985563931161996 |
| 2026-02-08T15:24:36+08:00 | 14.986026169819372 |
| 2026-02-08T15:25:59+08:00 | 15.462487555113071 |
| 2026-02-08T15:26:07+08:00 | 15.526489830749538 |
| 2026-02-08T15:26:15+08:00 | 15.743386431517566 |
| 2026-02-08T15:26:23+08:00 | 15.892725074669322 |
| 2026-02-08T15:26:56+08:00 | 15.892902858768311 |
| 2026-02-08T15:27:08+08:00 | 15.899516427250747 |
| 2026-02-08T15:27:12+08:00 | 15.900049779547718 |
| 2026-02-08T15:27:20+08:00 | 15.900689802304083 |
| 2026-02-08T19:54:46+08:00 | 15.90072535912388 |
| 2026-02-08T19:54:56+08:00 | 15.90563220025601 |
| 2026-02-08T19:55:06+08:00 | 15.914948087043095 |
| 2026-02-08T19:55:17+08:00 | 15.927428530792206 |
| 2026-02-08T19:55:52+08:00 | 16.06610012800455 |
| 2026-02-08T19:56:01+08:00 | 16.204771725216897 |
| 2026-02-08T19:56:11+08:00 | 16.33277627648983 |
| 2026-02-08T19:56:23+08:00 | 16.89457402929882 |
| 2026-02-08T19:57:05+08:00 | 16.895000711136397 |
| 2026-02-08T19:57:14+08:00 | 16.896778552126296 |
| 2026-02-08T19:57:25+08:00 | 16.897205233963874 |
| 2026-02-08T19:57:34+08:00 | 16.89837860901721 |
| 2026-02-08T20:01:37+08:00 | 16.965296543877116 |
| 2026-02-08T20:01:45+08:00 | 16.990292988195137 |
| 2026-02-08T20:01:59+08:00 | 17.016107239368512 |
| 2026-02-08T20:02:08+08:00 | 17.026703171668327 |
| 2026-02-08T20:03:24+08:00 | 17.02791210354146 |
| 2026-02-08T20:05:00+08:00 | 17.05941544588252 |
| 2026-02-08T20:06:01+08:00 | 17.158974541317026 |
| 2026-02-08T22:37:54+08:00 | 17.198087043094866 |
| 2026-02-08T22:38:02+08:00 | 17.71721661214621 |
| 2026-02-08T22:38:27+08:00 | 17.719883373631063 |
| 2026-02-08T22:38:58+08:00 | 17.99381311335514 |
| 2026-02-08T22:39:07+08:00 | 18.041957047361684 |
| 2026-02-09T08:45:19+08:00 | 18.106777129853505 |
| 2026-02-09T08:45:24+08:00 | 18.330180628644573 |
| 2026-02-09T08:45:44+08:00 | 18.330180628644573 |
| 2026-02-09T08:46:40+08:00 | 21.86452851656948 |
| 2026-02-09T09:00:53+08:00 | 21.872848812402218 |
| 2026-02-09T09:01:10+08:00 | 21.90342767742853 |
| 2026-02-09T09:01:44+08:00 | 23.404778836580856 |
| 2026-02-09T09:03:26+08:00 | 23.521760773716398 |
| 2026-02-09T09:13:48+08:00 | 23.955553975252453 |
| 2026-02-09T09:14:18+08:00 | 24.158227848101266 |
| 2026-02-09T10:07:07+08:00 | 25.16939268951785 |
| 2026-02-09T10:07:18+08:00 | 25.180201962736454 |
| 2026-02-09T10:07:36+08:00 | 25.577193855781537 |
| 2026-02-09T10:07:42+08:00 | 28.79508604750391 |
| 2026-02-09T10:09:44+08:00 | 29.502666761484853 |
| 2026-02-09T11:00:41+08:00 | 29.602261413739154 |
| 2026-02-09T11:01:25+08:00 | 29.652574313753377 |
| 2026-02-09T11:04:09+08:00 | 31.08409187882236 |
| 2026-02-09T11:12:56+08:00 | 34.273538614706304 |
| 2026-02-09T11:51:17+08:00 | 34.451322713696484 |
| 2026-02-09T12:01:59+08:00 | 34.53822358128289 |
| 2026-02-09T12:02:08+08:00 | 34.65161427961883 |
| 2026-02-09T12:04:32+08:00 | 35.05468638884938 |
| 2026-02-09T12:06:32+08:00 | 38.84859906129996 |
| 2026-02-09T13:44:11+08:00 | 38.957509600341346 |
| 2026-02-09T13:44:27+08:00 | 39.770231830465086 |
| 2026-02-09T13:44:37+08:00 | 39.82090029867729 |
| 2026-02-09T13:44:55+08:00 | 42.93923339496516 |
| 2026-02-09T14:05:22+08:00 | 43.05781538899161 |
| 2026-02-09T14:05:57+08:00 | 43.65321433650974 |
| 2026-02-09T14:06:04+08:00 | 43.7119186459963 |
| 2026-02-09T14:07:34+08:00 | 48.65787227990329 |
| 2026-02-09T14:08:45+08:00 | 50.834483003840134 |
| 2026-02-09T14:13:58+08:00 | 52.208718532214476 |
| 2026-02-09T14:16:23+08:00 | 52.56428673019485 |
| 2026-02-09T15:00:52+08:00 | 52.72987483999431 |
| 2026-02-09T15:04:32+08:00 | 53.724363532925615 |
| 2026-02-09T15:05:36+08:00 | 57.063148911961314 |
| 2026-02-09T16:09:49+08:00 | 57.114564073389275 |
| 2026-02-09T16:10:51+08:00 | 58.76226710283032 |
| 2026-02-09T16:10:55+08:00 | 65.31894467358839 |
| 2026-02-09T17:06:50+08:00 | 69.69854928175224 |
| 2026-02-09T17:06:56+08:00 | 83.6937135542597 |
| 2026-02-09T17:07:11+08:00 | 83.80852652538756 |
| 2026-02-09T17:16:46+08:00 | 85.30191295690513 |
| 2026-02-09T18:19:11+08:00 | 85.46838998719954 |
| 2026-02-09T18:19:27+08:00 | 107.44250462238658 |
| 2026-02-09T18:19:53+08:00 | 107.54220594510026 |
| 2026-02-09T18:20:16+08:00 | 109.67284170103827 |
| 2026-02-09T18:20:21+08:00 | 116.58508746977671 |
| 2026-02-09T18:23:26+08:00 | 120.72585691935713 |
| 2026-02-09T20:05:23+08:00 | 120.75234675010667 |
| 2026-02-09T20:05:48+08:00 | 121.75846252311193 |
| 2026-02-09T20:05:54+08:00 | 129.05827762764898 |
| 2026-02-09T20:06:27+08:00 | 129.07541601479164 |
| 2026-02-09T20:06:45+08:00 | 130.31065993457545 |
| 2026-02-09T20:06:51+08:00 | 141.95196273645286 |
| 2026-02-09T21:23:52+08:00 | 141.9768525103115 |
| 2026-02-09T21:24:16+08:00 | 143.90634333665196 |
| 2026-02-09T21:24:21+08:00 | 153.92981083771866 |
| 2026-02-10T08:49:36+08:00 | 156.37917792632626 |
| 2026-02-10T08:49:43+08:00 | 161.73709287441332 |
| 2026-02-10T08:49:49+08:00 | 167.53776134262552 |
| 2026-02-10T08:50:11+08:00 | 167.53776134262552 |
| 2026-02-10T08:50:25+08:00 | 180.33821646991893 |
| 2026-02-10T08:51:40+08:00 | 182.06065993457545 |
| 2026-02-10T08:51:55+08:00 | 246.85229697055897 |
| 2026-02-10T09:23:37+08:00 | 253.09468781112218 |
| 2026-02-10T09:23:42+08:00 | 283.5526596501209 |
| 2026-02-10T09:24:14+08:00 | 287.0905632200256 |
| 2026-02-10T09:32:07+08:00 | 296.99313753377896 |
| 2026-02-10T10:04:44+08:00 | 300.4705233963874 |
| 2026-02-10T10:07:29+08:00 | 383.05123737732896 |
| 2026-02-10T10:31:34+08:00 | 447.76464940975677 |
| 2026-02-10T10:34:36+08:00 | 449.8 |
| 时间 | 倍数 |
|---|
| 时间 | 券商 | 孖展资金 |
|---|
以实际认购倍数 569.58x 和当前分配手法 (甲组 α=0.616, 乙组 α=0.716) 为基准，对比各档位的实际与预测期望中签手数
| 申购手数 | 认购金额(HKD) | 实际期望中签 | 预测期望中签 | 偏差 |
|---|
沃尔核材中签预测矩阵行为申购档位，列为不同认购倍数，数值为期望中签手数，绿色背景表示期望中签≥1手；非预设倍数由相邻网格插值估计。
机制B
《第18项应用指引》下的灵活发售机制。最低初订分配份额为发售股份的10%，不设回补机制。最高初订分配份额为发售股份的60%（因《第18项应用指引》规定发售股份总数至少40%须分配予配售部分投资者，基石投资者除外）。发行人可根据发售结构、市场状况及散户投资者利益，自行厘定公开认购部分的初订分配份额。
α 为发行人分配偏好系数，描述发行人对不同申购规模的分配倾向。α 取值范围 [0, 1]。
本页面的「中签率」定义与港交所配发结果公告完全一致：中签率 = 该档位获配股份总数 ÷ 该档位有效申请股份总数 × 100%。此为港交所官方口径，与其他网站可能使用的不同定义（如「申购人数中签比例」）有本质区别。
期望中签手数 = 该档位获配总股数 ÷ 每手股数 ÷ 该档位申购人数
例：某档位获配总股数 50,000 股，每手 100 股，申购人数 500 人 → 期望中签手数 = 50,000 ÷ 100 ÷ 500 = 1.0 手。
本页展示 沃尔核材（09981）的中签预测：基于相似 IPO 匹配的期望中签率、甲乙组资金效率对比。
默认认购倍数按「近期首日表现 → 参与人数 → 人均手数 → 认购倍数」链条推导，公式为 认购倍数 = 参与人数 × 人均手数 ÷ 公开发售手数；其中参与人数与人均手数以近期 IPO 的中位数为基准，再按发行规模、A+H 身份、H 股折溢价、行业、并发 IPO、保荐人历史表现与恒指近期走势等特征调节。
认购窗口前期默认倍数以模型推导为准；随认购进度推进逐步结合孖展倍数加权；临近截止（进度约九成后）默认倍数以孖展倍数预测为准。
中签率预测基于历史 592 只 IPO 的 22087 条配发档位数据做回归拟合与 KNN 相似匹配，估计各申购档位的期望中签手数，并结合分配手法系数 α（人均分配至比例分配）给出区间。你可以自定义认购倍数与分配手法系数 α，覆盖 cibo 的默认预测，查看不同场景下的期望中签手数。中签率的计算方式与回拨规则见港股中签率怎么算。
数据来源：港交所披露易平台公开发售配发结果公告、招股说明书、FINI 平台公告；孖展数据（孖展倍数、捷利预测倍数及券商明细）来自捷利交易宝（TradeGo），倍数仅覆盖已上报券商，捷利预测倍数为全市场外推值。
孖展倍数盘中实时更新；中签率预测模型随新股配发数据入库不定期迭代。
