MANYCORE TECH 00068
新股中籤預測
3.6851.24%( +0.045 )
11月13日 · 收市數據，非即時 · 香港交易所
基於相似IPO匹配的期望中籤預測
新股中籤預測| 排名 | 券商 | 孖展資金 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  富途 |
876.2億 |
| 2 |  辉立 |
187.0億 |
| 3 |  老虎 |
120.4億 |
| 4 |  华泰 |
39.8億 |
| 5 |  招银 |
21.0億 |
| 6 |  华盛 |
16.5億 |
| 7 |  盈立 |
13.8億 |
| 8 |  信诚 |
10.0億 |
| 9 |  长桥 |
7.0億 |
| 時間 | 倍數 |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-09T06:00:00+08:00 | 0 |
| 2026-04-09T10:12:18+08:00 | 0.16341204346760357 |
| 2026-04-09T10:12:31+08:00 | 0.21635754555110712 |
| 2026-04-09T10:12:41+08:00 | 0.7610098864286298 |
| 2026-04-09T10:13:08+08:00 | 2.460495138491707 |
| 2026-04-09T11:01:25+08:00 | 2.5557643598333195 |
| 2026-04-09T11:07:35+08:00 | 4.092572922624397 |
| 2026-04-09T11:08:27+08:00 | 11.16014380259825 |
| 2026-04-09T12:14:06+08:00 | 11.177465479205818 |
| 2026-04-09T12:15:04+08:00 | 12.064466051147969 |
| 2026-04-09T12:15:22+08:00 | 17.048533376909877 |
| 2026-04-09T13:44:43+08:00 | 17.059727101887407 |
| 2026-04-09T13:44:57+08:00 | 18.055314976713785 |
| 2026-04-09T13:45:57+08:00 | 22.54914617207288 |
| 2026-04-09T14:06:33+08:00 | 22.569654383528064 |
| 2026-04-09T14:07:08+08:00 | 22.800473894926057 |
| 2026-04-09T14:08:15+08:00 | 27.449546531579376 |
| 2026-04-09T14:09:31+08:00 | 27.93978266198219 |
| 2026-04-09T14:10:46+08:00 | 28.966173707002206 |
| 2026-04-09T14:12:02+08:00 | 30.22460985374622 |
| 2026-04-09T15:17:08+08:00 | 30.246670479614348 |
| 2026-04-09T15:17:28+08:00 | 35.40232045101724 |
| 2026-04-09T15:18:02+08:00 | 35.7730206716235 |
| 2026-04-09T15:18:43+08:00 | 35.873355666312605 |
| 2026-04-09T16:10:39+08:00 | 36.99477081460903 |
| 2026-04-09T16:10:51+08:00 | 37.62627665658959 |
| 2026-04-09T16:11:13+08:00 | 41.67889533458616 |
| 2026-04-09T16:12:25+08:00 | 41.99330010621783 |
| 2026-04-09T16:13:29+08:00 | 42.81036032355585 |
| 2026-04-09T17:07:28+08:00 | 42.956287278372415 |
| 2026-04-09T17:08:25+08:00 | 43.895416292180734 |
| 2026-04-09T17:08:56+08:00 | 43.99019527739194 |
| 2026-04-09T17:10:08+08:00 | 47.3483127706512 |
| 2026-04-09T18:05:03+08:00 | 47.48002287768608 |
| 2026-04-09T18:06:06+08:00 | 47.42626031538524 |
| 2026-04-09T18:06:19+08:00 | 48.16096086281559 |
| 2026-04-09T18:06:42+08:00 | 53.259416619004824 |
| 2026-04-09T18:07:05+08:00 | 63.71778740093145 |
| 2026-04-09T18:08:49+08:00 | 64.83846719503228 |
| 2026-04-09T18:16:58+08:00 | 65.14895007762073 |
| 2026-04-09T22:29:51+08:00 | 68.7848680447749 |
| 2026-04-09T22:29:55+08:00 | 72.290056377155 |
| 2026-04-09T22:29:59+08:00 | 74.47977775962089 |
| 2026-04-09T22:30:03+08:00 | 76.35084565732494 |
| 2026-04-09T22:33:16+08:00 | 77.36375520875889 |
| 2026-04-09T22:33:20+08:00 | 78.0991094043631 |
| 2026-04-09T22:33:25+08:00 | 78.60037584769998 |
| 2026-04-09T22:33:29+08:00 | 79.6690906119781 |
| 2026-04-09T22:35:47+08:00 | 79.89754064874582 |
| 2026-04-09T22:35:51+08:00 | 80.13538687801291 |
| 2026-04-09T22:35:55+08:00 | 80.19266279924831 |
| 2026-04-09T22:35:59+08:00 | 80.31628401013154 |
| 2026-04-09T22:41:13+08:00 | 80.40411798349538 |
| 2026-04-10T08:40:27+08:00 | 80.79312035297 |
| 2026-04-10T08:40:36+08:00 | 80.85489010540077 |
| 2026-04-10T08:41:17+08:00 | 80.85489010540077 |
| 2026-04-10T08:41:26+08:00 | 82.19830051474794 |
| 2026-04-10T08:41:35+08:00 | 82.43541138981944 |
| 2026-04-10T08:42:08+08:00 | 95.0998447585587 |
| 2026-04-10T09:07:10+08:00 | 95.12174197238336 |
| 2026-04-10T09:07:32+08:00 | 95.24299370863632 |
| 2026-04-10T09:07:46+08:00 | 95.5682653811586 |
| 2026-04-10T09:08:58+08:00 | 97.85603398970504 |
| 2026-04-10T09:10:37+08:00 | 100.15581338344636 |
| 2026-04-10T10:05:31+08:00 | 100.23670234496282 |
| 2026-04-10T10:05:48+08:00 | 100.4377808644497 |
| 2026-04-10T10:06:06+08:00 | 105.96110793365472 |
| 2026-04-10T10:07:42+08:00 | 106.96012746139391 |
| 2026-04-10T10:08:18+08:00 | 108.10401176566712 |
| 2026-04-10T11:11:30+08:00 | 108.11937249775309 |
| 2026-04-10T11:12:12+08:00 | 108.22689762235477 |
| 2026-04-10T11:12:23+08:00 | 109.141188005556 |
| 2026-04-10T11:12:51+08:00 | 116.24144129422338 |
| 2026-04-10T11:36:45+08:00 | 117.30361957676281 |
| 2026-04-10T12:09:50+08:00 | 119.0017158264564 |
| 2026-04-10T12:10:16+08:00 | 119.14421112836015 |
| 2026-04-10T12:10:27+08:00 | 120.30402810687147 |
| 2026-04-10T12:11:02+08:00 | 125.45967807827437 |
| 2026-04-10T13:40:39+08:00 | 125.61369392924259 |
| 2026-04-10T13:41:02+08:00 | 125.78405098455757 |
| 2026-04-10T13:41:14+08:00 | 126.16643516627175 |
| 2026-04-10T13:41:37+08:00 | 129.63077048778496 |
| 2026-04-10T14:13:24+08:00 | 129.6987498978675 |
| 2026-04-10T14:14:02+08:00 | 129.72914453795244 |
| 2026-04-10T14:14:17+08:00 | 130.0981289321023 |
| 2026-04-10T14:15:35+08:00 | 134.3795244709535 |
| 2026-04-10T14:18:32+08:00 | 136.43598333197156 |
| 2026-04-10T15:15:55+08:00 | 136.53288667374787 |
| 2026-04-10T15:16:32+08:00 | 142.34218481902116 |
| 2026-04-10T15:16:42+08:00 | 143.69589018710678 |
| 2026-04-10T15:17:52+08:00 | 143.7115777432797 |
| 2026-04-10T16:25:31+08:00 | 144.6920500040853 |
| 2026-04-10T16:25:53+08:00 | 144.69213171010705 |
| 2026-04-10T16:26:15+08:00 | 145.76779148623254 |
| 2026-04-10T16:26:35+08:00 | 149.84492197074925 |
| 2026-04-10T16:27:34+08:00 | 149.85922052455265 |
| 2026-04-10T16:59:27+08:00 | 157.21276248059482 |
| 2026-04-10T17:19:06+08:00 | 157.18016177792305 |
| 2026-04-10T17:19:24+08:00 | 162.90775390146254 |
| 2026-04-10T17:20:30+08:00 | 162.98978674728326 |
| 2026-04-10T17:20:42+08:00 | 164.41171664351663 |
| 2026-04-10T17:46:31+08:00 | 185.0016341204347 |
| 2026-04-10T18:02:16+08:00 | 185.06021733801782 |
| 2026-04-10T18:03:46+08:00 | 186.992319633957 |
| 2026-04-10T18:06:43+08:00 | 187.26472751041752 |
| 2026-04-10T18:07:12+08:00 | 187.70357055314977 |
| 2026-04-10T18:07:31+08:00 | 190.75120516382057 |
| 2026-04-10T22:39:38+08:00 | 191.61753411226408 |
| 2026-04-10T22:39:42+08:00 | 191.85080480431407 |
| 2026-04-10T22:39:47+08:00 | 192.47217909959963 |
| 2026-04-10T22:39:51+08:00 | 193.05016749734455 |
| 2026-04-10T22:45:37+08:00 | 195.20720647111693 |
| 2026-04-10T22:45:41+08:00 | 197.99338181223956 |
| 2026-04-10T22:45:45+08:00 | 201.53125255331318 |
| 2026-04-10T22:45:49+08:00 | 204.83217583135877 |
| 2026-04-10T22:46:09+08:00 | 204.93610589100416 |
| 2026-04-10T22:46:13+08:00 | 204.93651442111283 |
| 2026-04-10T22:46:17+08:00 | 204.92809870087424 |
| 2026-04-10T22:46:21+08:00 | 204.92156221913555 |
| 2026-04-10T22:48:02+08:00 | 204.9412533703734 |
| 2026-04-11T10:22:20+08:00 | 219.21529536726857 |
| 2026-04-11T10:22:24+08:00 | 222.9574311626767 |
| 2026-04-11T10:22:28+08:00 | 225.9642127624806 |
| 2026-04-11T10:24:20+08:00 | 226.5314976713784 |
| 2026-04-11T10:26:55+08:00 | 227.6067489173952 |
| 2026-04-11T10:26:59+08:00 | 229.5301086690089 |
| 2026-04-11T10:27:02+08:00 | 229.59906855135225 |
| 2026-04-11T10:27:06+08:00 | 229.85873028842227 |
| 2026-04-11T10:27:23+08:00 | 229.93177547185226 |
| 2026-04-11T10:27:26+08:00 | 229.94076313424299 |
| 2026-04-11T10:29:33+08:00 | 229.94076313424299 |
| 2026-04-11T11:27:37+08:00 | 234.883977449138 |
| 2026-04-11T11:28:33+08:00 | 234.95898357708964 |
| 2026-04-11T11:28:56+08:00 | 235.4793692295122 |
| 2026-04-11T11:29:16+08:00 | 235.4877849497508 |
| 2026-04-11T12:34:11+08:00 | 235.49791649644578 |
| 2026-04-11T12:35:04+08:00 | 237.33630198545632 |
| 2026-04-11T12:35:47+08:00 | 237.4295285562546 |
| 2026-04-11T12:36:02+08:00 | 237.7899338181224 |
| 2026-04-11T13:05:52+08:00 | 239.71819593104013 |
| 2026-04-11T13:06:09+08:00 | 239.78331563036195 |
| 2026-04-11T13:06:26+08:00 | 240.29920745158918 |
| 2026-04-11T13:07:13+08:00 | 240.30206716234986 |
| 2026-04-11T15:08:32+08:00 | 242.10777024266687 |
| 2026-04-11T15:08:57+08:00 | 245.09821063812402 |
| 2026-04-11T15:09:34+08:00 | 245.11152871966664 |
| 2026-04-11T15:09:45+08:00 | 245.1143884304273 |
| 2026-04-11T15:10:17+08:00 | 245.51188822616226 |
| 2026-04-11T15:10:32+08:00 | 245.7167252226489 |
| 2026-04-11T15:12:55+08:00 | 245.7285725958003 |
| 2026-04-11T15:13:04+08:00 | 245.73102377645233 |
| 2026-04-11T18:06:29+08:00 | 247.52855625459597 |
| 2026-04-11T18:06:41+08:00 | 249.26072391535257 |
| 2026-04-11T18:06:54+08:00 | 250.7722853174279 |
| 2026-04-11T18:07:22+08:00 | 250.84590244301006 |
| 2026-04-11T18:07:30+08:00 | 250.85946564261786 |
| 2026-04-11T18:07:39+08:00 | 250.8665740665087 |
| 2026-04-11T18:11:22+08:00 | 250.87057766157366 |
| 2026-04-11T18:11:31+08:00 | 250.8762153770733 |
| 2026-04-11T18:11:38+08:00 | 250.87433613857343 |
| 2026-04-11T18:12:59+08:00 | 251.37797205654056 |
| 2026-04-11T18:13:11+08:00 | 251.78347904240542 |
| 2026-04-11T18:13:22+08:00 | 252.00065364817388 |
| 2026-04-11T22:52:02+08:00 | 254.2884222567203 |
| 2026-04-11T22:52:06+08:00 | 255.35060053925974 |
| 2026-04-11T22:52:11+08:00 | 256.33924340223876 |
| 2026-04-11T22:52:16+08:00 | 257.376909878258 |
| 2026-04-11T22:59:37+08:00 | 257.62210964948116 |
| 2026-04-11T22:59:41+08:00 | 257.9859465642618 |
| 2026-04-11T22:59:46+08:00 | 258.61042568837325 |
| 2026-04-11T22:59:50+08:00 | 258.76828172236293 |
| 2026-04-11T23:02:54+08:00 | 258.7812729798186 |
| 2026-04-12T10:19:55+08:00 | 260.99722199526104 |
| 2026-04-12T10:21:11+08:00 | 261.0137266116513 |
| 2026-04-12T10:22:13+08:00 | 261.1264809216439 |
| 2026-04-12T10:22:48+08:00 | 272.9738540730452 |
| 2026-04-12T10:23:03+08:00 | 276.5444072228123 |
| 2026-04-12T13:12:11+08:00 | 278.05694909714845 |
| 2026-04-12T13:13:56+08:00 | 278.07819266279927 |
| 2026-04-12T13:14:32+08:00 | 283.43810768853666 |
| 2026-04-12T13:14:47+08:00 | 287.0495138491707 |
| 2026-04-12T16:23:41+08:00 | 287.06593675953917 |
| 2026-04-12T16:24:11+08:00 | 287.8347087180325 |
| 2026-04-12T16:25:11+08:00 | 293.18645314159653 |
| 2026-04-12T16:25:30+08:00 | 295.95628727837243 |
| 2026-04-12T18:18:28+08:00 | 295.9644578805458 |
| 2026-04-12T18:19:51+08:00 | 298.17681183103196 |
| 2026-04-12T18:20:45+08:00 | 301.77187678731923 |
| 2026-04-12T18:20:58+08:00 | 306.1349783479042 |
| 2026-04-12T20:07:57+08:00 | 306.13881853092573 |
| 2026-04-12T20:08:52+08:00 | 308.16627175422826 |
| 2026-04-12T20:09:25+08:00 | 311.9084075496364 |
| 2026-04-12T20:09:39+08:00 | 315.80578478633873 |
| 2026-04-12T22:11:05+08:00 | 317.75038810360326 |
| 2026-04-12T22:12:14+08:00 | 322.85701446196583 |
| 2026-04-12T22:12:31+08:00 | 329.05033090938804 |
| 2026-04-13T08:43:49+08:00 | 331.00424871313015 |
| 2026-04-13T08:43:57+08:00 | 335.42225672032026 |
| 2026-04-13T08:44:52+08:00 | 335.42225672032026 |
| 2026-04-13T08:45:19+08:00 | 369.64073862243646 |
| 2026-04-13T09:15:24+08:00 | 371.6516872293488 |
| 2026-04-13T09:15:57+08:00 | 387.4127788217992 |
| 2026-04-13T09:16:45+08:00 | 387.33523980717376 |
| 2026-04-13T09:17:38+08:00 | 390.19495056785684 |
| 2026-04-13T09:19:08+08:00 | 396.9130647928752 |
| 2026-04-13T10:02:46+08:00 | 397.0848925565814 |
| 2026-04-13T10:04:01+08:00 | 398.6604297736743 |
| 2026-04-13T10:05:28+08:00 | 427.1022959392107 |
| 2026-04-13T11:09:07+08:00 | 427.43614674401505 |
| 2026-04-13T11:09:48+08:00 | 431.78045591960125 |
| 2026-04-13T11:10:22+08:00 | 450.6382057357627 |
| 2026-04-13T11:13:36+08:00 | 455.31636571615326 |
| 2026-04-13T11:45:25+08:00 | 456.5419560421603 |
| 2026-04-13T12:02:42+08:00 | 456.64098374050167 |
| 2026-04-13T12:09:00+08:00 | 457.12051638205736 |
| 2026-04-13T12:09:32+08:00 | 458.85431816324865 |
| 2026-04-13T12:10:30+08:00 | 471.33899828417356 |
| 2026-04-13T13:46:40+08:00 | 471.3426750551516 |
| 2026-04-13T13:47:07+08:00 | 473.14780619331646 |
| 2026-04-13T13:47:45+08:00 | 489.13767464662146 |
| 2026-04-13T13:48:05+08:00 | 490.7717950812975 |
| 2026-04-13T13:48:26+08:00 | 491.04354930958414 |
| 2026-04-13T14:08:14+08:00 | 491.3389165781518 |
| 2026-04-13T14:08:55+08:00 | 492.2541874336139 |
| 2026-04-13T14:09:14+08:00 | 503.52144783070514 |
| 2026-04-13T14:09:58+08:00 | 503.51948688618353 |
| 2026-04-13T14:10:56+08:00 | 508.0322738785849 |
| 2026-04-13T15:11:18+08:00 | 508.42568837323313 |
| 2026-04-13T15:11:40+08:00 | 522.756924585342 |
| 2026-04-13T15:12:23+08:00 | 524.69368412452 |
| 2026-04-13T16:05:19+08:00 | 538.08530108669 |
| 2026-04-13T16:05:41+08:00 | 539.2586812648092 |
| 2026-04-13T16:06:36+08:00 | 539.5017566794672 |
| 2026-04-13T17:11:32+08:00 | 552.7626440068633 |
| 2026-04-13T17:11:57+08:00 | 552.9331644742217 |
| 2026-04-13T17:12:18+08:00 | 555.2235476754637 |
| 2026-04-13T17:28:58+08:00 | 556.8086444970994 |
| 2026-04-13T17:30:46+08:00 | 622.1734618841408 |
| 2026-04-13T17:32:16+08:00 | 632.795244709535 |
| 2026-04-13T18:12:47+08:00 | 632.8310319470545 |
| 2026-04-13T18:13:40+08:00 | 634.5529046490726 |
| 2026-04-13T18:14:22+08:00 | 644.4311626766893 |
| 2026-04-13T18:15:51+08:00 | 647.1326905792957 |
| 2026-04-13T20:32:35+08:00 | 647.1951139799003 |
| 2026-04-13T20:37:15+08:00 | 650.760928180407 |
| 2026-04-13T20:37:35+08:00 | 659.3155486559359 |
| 2026-04-13T20:37:49+08:00 | 668.0989459923196 |
| 2026-04-13T22:09:26+08:00 | 671.0933899828417 |
| 2026-04-13T22:10:05+08:00 | 685.0079254841082 |
| 2026-04-13T22:10:21+08:00 | 699.0858730288422 |
| 2026-04-14T08:35:16+08:00 | 701.215131955225 |
| 2026-04-14T08:35:24+08:00 | 713.176811831032 |
| 2026-04-14T08:36:22+08:00 | 713.176811831032 |
| 2026-04-14T08:37:44+08:00 | 837.0513113816488 |
| 2026-04-14T09:02:00+08:00 | 838.2670969850478 |
| 2026-04-14T09:03:41+08:00 | 842.3796061769752 |
| 2026-04-14T09:05:03+08:00 | 852.2786175341123 |
| 2026-04-14T09:07:05+08:00 | 896.3916986681918 |
| 2026-04-14T09:26:10+08:00 | 898.4343492115369 |
| 2026-04-14T10:07:51+08:00 | 986.1294223384264 |
| 2026-04-14T10:08:33+08:00 | 991.5987417272653 |
| 2026-04-14T11:06:46+08:00 | 992.5276574883569 |
| 2026-04-14T13:45:45+08:00 | 1048.9048124846802 |
| 2026-04-14T13:48:33+08:00 | 1055.4412942233844 |
| 2026-04-14T16:28:18+08:00 | 1071.89 |
| 時間 | 倍數 |
|---|
| 時間 | 券商 | 孖展資金 |
|---|
以實際認購倍數 1590.56x 和當前分配手法 (甲組 α=0.544, 乙組 α=0.644) 為基準，對比各檔位的實際與預測期望中籤手數
| 申購手數 | 認購金額(HKD) | 實際期望中籤 | 預測期望中籤 | 偏差 |
|---|
MANYCORE TECH中籤預測矩陣行為申購檔位，列為不同認購倍數，數值為期望中籤手數，綠色背景表示期望中籤≥1手；非預設倍數由相鄰網格插值估計。
機制B
《第18項應用指引》下的靈活發售機制。最低初訂分配份額爲發售股份的10%，不設回補機制。最高初訂分配份額爲發售股份的60%（因《第18項應用指引》規定發售股份總數至少40%須分配予配售部分投資者，基石投資者除外）。發行人可根據發售結構、市場狀況及散戶投資者利益，自行釐定公開認購部分的初訂分配份額。
α 為發行人分配偏好係數，描述發行人對不同申購規模的分配傾向。α 取值範圍 [0, 1]。
本頁面的「中籤率」定義與港交所配發結果公告完全一致：中籤率 = 該檔位獲配股份總數 ÷ 該檔位有效申請股份總數 × 100%。此為港交所官方口徑，與其他網站可能使用的不同定義（如「申購人數中籤比例」）有本質區別。
期望中籤手數 = 該檔位獲配總股數 ÷ 每手股數 ÷ 該檔位申購人數
例：某檔位獲配總股數 50,000 股，每手 100 股，申購人數 500 人 → 期望中籤手數 = 50,000 ÷ 100 ÷ 500 = 1.0 手。
本頁展示 MANYCORE TECH（00068）的中籤預測：基於相似 IPO 匹配的期望中籤率、甲乙組資金效率對比。
默認認購倍數按「近期首日表現 → 參與人數 → 人均手數 → 認購倍數」鏈條推導，公式為 認購倍數 = 參與人數 × 人均手數 ÷ 公開發售手數；其中參與人數與人均手數以近期 IPO 的中位數為基準，再按發行規模、A+H 身份、H 股折溢價、行業、併發 IPO、保薦人歷史表現與恒指近期走勢等特徵調節。
認購窗口前期默認倍數以模型推導為準；隨認購進度推進逐步結合孖展倍數加權；臨近截止（進度約九成後）默認倍數以孖展倍數預測為準。
中籤率預測基於歷史 592 隻 IPO 的 22087 條配發檔位數據做迴歸擬合與 KNN 相似匹配，估計各申購檔位的期望中籤手數，並結合分配手法係數 α（人均分配至比例分配）給出區間。你可以自訂認購倍數與分配手法係數 α，覆蓋 cibo 的默認預測，查看不同場景下的期望中籤手數。中籤率的計算方式與回撥規則見港股中籤率怎麼算。
數據來源：港交所披露易平台公開發售配發結果公告、招股說明書、FINI 平台公告；孖展數據（孖展倍數、捷利預測倍數及券商明細）來自捷利交易寶（TradeGo），倍數僅覆蓋已上報券商，捷利預測倍數為全市場外推值。
孖展倍數盤中實時更新；中籤率預測模型隨新股配發數據入庫不定期迭代。
