| 排名 | 券商 | 孖展資金 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 富途 |
881.1億 |
| 2 | 辉立 |
289.0億 |
| 3 | 老虎 |
121.3億 |
| 4 | 华泰 |
29.1億 |
| 5 | 信诚 |
20.0億 |
| 6 | 盈立 |
17.5億 |
| 7 | 致富 |
14.4億 |
| 8 | 复星 |
12.4億 |
| 9 | 华盛 |
12.0億 |
| 時間 | 倍數 |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-12T06:00:00+08:00 | 0 |
| 2026-06-12T10:07:34+08:00 | 0.05240449438202247 |
| 2026-06-12T10:08:32+08:00 | 0.06373033707865168 |
| 2026-06-12T11:07:29+08:00 | 0.08692134831460674 |
| 2026-06-12T11:08:25+08:00 | 0.0997752808988764 |
| 2026-06-12T11:08:49+08:00 | 0.43235955056179776 |
| 2026-06-12T11:09:03+08:00 | 0.44134831460674157 |
| 2026-06-12T12:07:10+08:00 | 0.45932584269662924 |
| 2026-06-12T12:07:26+08:00 | 0.45510112359550564 |
| 2026-06-12T12:08:17+08:00 | 0.511191011235955 |
| 2026-06-12T12:08:34+08:00 | 1.1583820224719101 |
| 2026-06-12T13:39:58+08:00 | 1.162876404494382 |
| 2026-06-12T13:41:09+08:00 | 1.2015280898876404 |
| 2026-06-12T13:41:50+08:00 | 1.2824269662921348 |
| 2026-06-12T14:02:27+08:00 | 1.2962696629213484 |
| 2026-06-12T14:02:58+08:00 | 1.3050786516853932 |
| 2026-06-12T14:03:39+08:00 | 2.2468314606741573 |
| 2026-06-12T14:05:11+08:00 | 2.329887640449438 |
| 2026-06-12T14:05:59+08:00 | 2.644494382022472 |
| 2026-06-12T15:06:40+08:00 | 2.6657078651685393 |
| 2026-06-12T15:06:57+08:00 | 2.692943820224719 |
| 2026-06-12T15:07:14+08:00 | 2.714876404494382 |
| 2026-06-12T15:07:31+08:00 | 2.7376179775280898 |
| 2026-06-12T15:10:04+08:00 | 2.7915505617977527 |
| 2026-06-12T16:07:06+08:00 | 2.797123595505618 |
| 2026-06-12T16:07:58+08:00 | 2.824808988764045 |
| 2026-06-12T16:08:22+08:00 | 2.828314606741573 |
| 2026-06-12T16:08:40+08:00 | 2.841078651685393 |
| 2026-06-12T16:08:55+08:00 | 3.0298426966292133 |
| 2026-06-12T16:28:34+08:00 | 3.1826516853932585 |
| 2026-06-12T17:04:05+08:00 | 3.220314606741573 |
| 2026-06-12T17:05:50+08:00 | 3.31523595505618 |
| 2026-06-12T17:06:12+08:00 | 3.317393258426966 |
| 2026-06-12T17:06:42+08:00 | 3.319370786516854 |
| 2026-06-12T17:06:53+08:00 | 3.4182471910112358 |
| 2026-06-12T17:16:10+08:00 | 7.912629213483146 |
| 2026-06-12T18:03:42+08:00 | 7.923685393258427 |
| 2026-06-12T18:05:15+08:00 | 7.932494382022472 |
| 2026-06-12T18:05:48+08:00 | 7.934651685393258 |
| 2026-06-12T18:06:05+08:00 | 7.945707865168539 |
| 2026-06-12T18:06:25+08:00 | 7.946337078651686 |
| 2026-06-12T18:07:23+08:00 | 8.539595505617978 |
| 2026-06-12T20:04:26+08:00 | 8.55352808988764 |
| 2026-06-12T20:05:48+08:00 | 8.832179775280899 |
| 2026-06-12T20:06:07+08:00 | 8.856269662921349 |
| 2026-06-12T20:06:16+08:00 | 8.89770786516854 |
| 2026-06-12T20:06:35+08:00 | 8.933842696629213 |
| 2026-06-12T20:06:58+08:00 | 9.06867415730337 |
| 2026-06-12T22:04:08+08:00 | 9.070741573033708 |
| 2026-06-12T22:04:57+08:00 | 9.106696629213483 |
| 2026-06-12T22:05:22+08:00 | 9.18723595505618 |
| 2026-06-12T22:05:40+08:00 | 9.188404494382022 |
| 2026-06-12T22:05:53+08:00 | 9.341213483146067 |
| 2026-06-13T10:10:04+08:00 | 9.341213483146067 |
| 2026-06-13T10:12:18+08:00 | 9.509752808988765 |
| 2026-06-13T10:12:47+08:00 | 9.522426966292135 |
| 2026-06-13T10:12:50+08:00 | 9.52314606741573 |
| 2026-06-13T10:13:03+08:00 | 9.891685393258427 |
| 2026-06-13T10:13:18+08:00 | 9.887460674157303 |
| 2026-06-13T10:13:32+08:00 | 10.105258426966293 |
| 2026-06-13T10:14:14+08:00 | 10.132224719101124 |
| 2026-06-13T12:57:08+08:00 | 10.153977528089888 |
| 2026-06-13T12:57:55+08:00 | 10.154696629213483 |
| 2026-06-13T12:58:50+08:00 | 10.154247191011235 |
| 2026-06-13T13:01:20+08:00 | 10.199191011235955 |
| 2026-06-13T13:02:08+08:00 | 10.253123595505619 |
| 2026-06-13T13:02:22+08:00 | 10.255460674157304 |
| 2026-06-13T13:02:31+08:00 | 10.258966292134831 |
| 2026-06-13T13:03:24+08:00 | 10.333213483146068 |
| 2026-06-13T13:06:21+08:00 | 10.468044943820225 |
| 2026-06-13T15:25:41+08:00 | 10.971415730337078 |
| 2026-06-13T15:26:05+08:00 | 10.973393258426967 |
| 2026-06-13T15:26:20+08:00 | 10.976719101123596 |
| 2026-06-13T15:26:35+08:00 | 10.984988764044944 |
| 2026-06-13T15:26:58+08:00 | 11.02876404494382 |
| 2026-06-13T15:27:27+08:00 | 11.037752808988763 |
| 2026-06-13T18:27:48+08:00 | 11.052494382022472 |
| 2026-06-13T18:28:21+08:00 | 11.054022471910113 |
| 2026-06-13T18:28:51+08:00 | 11.056 |
| 2026-06-13T18:29:29+08:00 | 11.059595505617978 |
| 2026-06-13T18:30:47+08:00 | 12.03038202247191 |
| 2026-06-13T18:31:04+08:00 | 12.039370786516853 |
| 2026-06-13T20:09:42+08:00 | 12.040359550561798 |
| 2026-06-13T20:10:46+08:00 | 12.041078651685392 |
| 2026-06-13T20:10:57+08:00 | 12.052224719101124 |
| 2026-06-13T20:11:17+08:00 | 12.054651685393258 |
| 2026-06-13T20:11:32+08:00 | 12.126561797752808 |
| 2026-06-13T22:33:21+08:00 | 12.12808988764045 |
| 2026-06-13T22:33:45+08:00 | 12.17303370786517 |
| 2026-06-13T22:33:54+08:00 | 12.181393258426967 |
| 2026-06-13T22:34:14+08:00 | 12.185078651685393 |
| 2026-06-13T22:34:28+08:00 | 12.212044943820224 |
| 2026-06-14T09:39:21+08:00 | 12.213752808988763 |
| 2026-06-14T09:41:27+08:00 | 12.213932584269664 |
| 2026-06-14T09:41:32+08:00 | 12.26247191011236 |
| 2026-06-14T09:41:37+08:00 | 12.277303370786516 |
| 2026-06-14T09:42:25+08:00 | 12.75370786516854 |
| 2026-06-14T09:42:30+08:00 | 12.773752808988764 |
| 2026-06-14T09:42:36+08:00 | 12.78247191011236 |
| 2026-06-14T09:42:41+08:00 | 12.836404494382023 |
| 2026-06-14T12:39:50+08:00 | 13.34229213483146 |
| 2026-06-14T12:39:54+08:00 | 13.343730337078652 |
| 2026-06-14T12:42:51+08:00 | 13.344898876404494 |
| 2026-06-14T12:42:56+08:00 | 13.350202247191012 |
| 2026-06-14T12:43:00+08:00 | 13.35038202247191 |
| 2026-06-14T12:45:21+08:00 | 13.351101123595505 |
| 2026-06-14T12:45:25+08:00 | 13.359820224719101 |
| 2026-06-14T12:45:29+08:00 | 13.360269662921349 |
| 2026-06-14T12:46:30+08:00 | 13.423191011235955 |
| 2026-06-14T12:46:35+08:00 | 13.584988764044944 |
| 2026-06-14T12:46:39+08:00 | 13.602966292134832 |
| 2026-06-14T12:51:16+08:00 | 13.600269662921349 |
| 2026-06-14T12:51:30+08:00 | 13.640359550561797 |
| 2026-06-14T16:12:32+08:00 | 13.641078651685394 |
| 2026-06-14T16:12:37+08:00 | 13.642337078651686 |
| 2026-06-14T16:24:47+08:00 | 13.660314606741572 |
| 2026-06-14T16:24:51+08:00 | 13.714247191011236 |
| 2026-06-14T16:24:55+08:00 | 13.804134831460674 |
| 2026-06-14T16:27:50+08:00 | 13.804494382022472 |
| 2026-06-14T16:27:54+08:00 | 13.806831460674157 |
| 2026-06-14T16:27:58+08:00 | 13.809977528089888 |
| 2026-06-14T16:28:02+08:00 | 13.810786516853932 |
| 2026-06-14T16:28:35+08:00 | 13.811415730337078 |
| 2026-06-14T16:28:41+08:00 | 13.81276404494382 |
| 2026-06-14T16:28:47+08:00 | 13.867235955056179 |
| 2026-06-14T16:28:51+08:00 | 13.867955056179776 |
| 2026-06-14T16:30:59+08:00 | 13.869033707865169 |
| 2026-06-14T19:09:52+08:00 | 14.066786516853933 |
| 2026-06-14T19:10:42+08:00 | 14.24656179775281 |
| 2026-06-14T19:11:43+08:00 | 14.249078651685393 |
| 2026-06-14T19:14:14+08:00 | 14.257258426966292 |
| 2026-06-14T19:14:19+08:00 | 14.23838202247191 |
| 2026-06-14T19:14:24+08:00 | 14.239280898876405 |
| 2026-06-14T19:17:29+08:00 | 14.240808988764044 |
| 2026-06-14T19:17:42+08:00 | 14.242157303370787 |
| 2026-06-14T19:18:54+08:00 | 14.245303370786516 |
| 2026-06-14T19:18:58+08:00 | 14.246112359550562 |
| 2026-06-14T19:19:02+08:00 | 14.252584269662922 |
| 2026-06-14T22:04:56+08:00 | 14.293123595505618 |
| 2026-06-14T22:05:05+08:00 | 14.294831460674157 |
| 2026-06-14T22:06:34+08:00 | 14.366741573033709 |
| 2026-06-14T22:06:54+08:00 | 14.744269662921349 |
| 2026-06-14T22:08:27+08:00 | 14.744898876404495 |
| 2026-06-14T22:08:31+08:00 | 14.745078651685393 |
| 2026-06-14T22:08:36+08:00 | 15.321348314606741 |
| 2026-06-14T22:09:51+08:00 | 15.394876404494383 |
| 2026-06-15T08:34:01+08:00 | 15.427685393258427 |
| 2026-06-15T08:34:12+08:00 | 15.480629213483146 |
| 2026-06-15T08:35:45+08:00 | 15.480629213483146 |
| 2026-06-15T08:36:01+08:00 | 15.894112359550562 |
| 2026-06-15T09:21:20+08:00 | 16.163775280898875 |
| 2026-06-15T09:21:26+08:00 | 16.253123595505617 |
| 2026-06-15T09:21:39+08:00 | 16.323955056179777 |
| 2026-06-15T09:21:47+08:00 | 16.370067415730336 |
| 2026-06-15T09:22:06+08:00 | 16.370157303370785 |
| 2026-06-15T09:22:23+08:00 | 16.504988764044946 |
| 2026-06-15T10:08:13+08:00 | 16.537887640449437 |
| 2026-06-15T10:08:19+08:00 | 16.566022471910113 |
| 2026-06-15T10:08:24+08:00 | 16.235775280898878 |
| 2026-06-15T10:08:31+08:00 | 16.245932584269664 |
| 2026-06-15T10:08:57+08:00 | 17.351550561797755 |
| 2026-06-15T11:07:35+08:00 | 17.441258426966293 |
| 2026-06-15T11:08:51+08:00 | 17.600898876404493 |
| 2026-06-15T11:09:58+08:00 | 17.62696629213483 |
| 2026-06-15T11:10:47+08:00 | 17.632629213483145 |
| 2026-06-15T11:11:25+08:00 | 18.89105617977528 |
| 2026-06-15T12:09:23+08:00 | 19.160719101123597 |
| 2026-06-15T12:10:09+08:00 | 19.188224719101125 |
| 2026-06-15T12:11:44+08:00 | 19.474426966292135 |
| 2026-06-15T12:12:25+08:00 | 19.986786516853932 |
| 2026-06-15T12:14:12+08:00 | 20.066606741573032 |
| 2026-06-15T12:15:09+08:00 | 20.074067415730337 |
| 2026-06-15T13:46:17+08:00 | 20.13788764044944 |
| 2026-06-15T13:47:47+08:00 | 20.722247191011235 |
| 2026-06-15T13:49:31+08:00 | 20.732494382022473 |
| 2026-06-15T13:49:59+08:00 | 20.73932584269663 |
| 2026-06-15T13:50:29+08:00 | 22.13258426966292 |
| 2026-06-15T14:01:28+08:00 | 22.194157303370787 |
| 2026-06-15T14:02:03+08:00 | 22.198202247191013 |
| 2026-06-15T14:03:23+08:00 | 22.291595505617977 |
| 2026-06-15T14:04:03+08:00 | 22.30849438202247 |
| 2026-06-15T14:04:56+08:00 | 23.077483146067415 |
| 2026-06-15T14:07:59+08:00 | 24.021303370786516 |
| 2026-06-15T14:49:43+08:00 | 25.81905617977528 |
| 2026-06-15T15:09:35+08:00 | 25.863011235955057 |
| 2026-06-15T15:11:30+08:00 | 25.920629213483146 |
| 2026-06-15T15:12:14+08:00 | 25.93438202247191 |
| 2026-06-15T15:12:39+08:00 | 25.965213483146066 |
| 2026-06-15T15:13:16+08:00 | 26.405662921348316 |
| 2026-06-15T16:12:52+08:00 | 26.426696629213485 |
| 2026-06-15T16:14:18+08:00 | 26.66552808988764 |
| 2026-06-15T16:15:02+08:00 | 26.687460674157304 |
| 2026-06-15T16:15:49+08:00 | 26.712359550561796 |
| 2026-06-15T16:16:25+08:00 | 28.752808988764045 |
| 2026-06-15T16:34:51+08:00 | 28.93258426966292 |
| 2026-06-15T17:04:19+08:00 | 28.938067415730337 |
| 2026-06-15T17:04:46+08:00 | 29.40943820224719 |
| 2026-06-15T17:05:39+08:00 | 32.916134831460674 |
| 2026-06-15T17:06:50+08:00 | 34.784539325842694 |
| 2026-06-15T17:07:42+08:00 | 59.431730337078655 |
| 2026-06-15T18:08:46+08:00 | 85.49914606741574 |
| 2026-06-15T18:09:41+08:00 | 85.58903370786517 |
| 2026-06-15T18:09:56+08:00 | 86.07883146067415 |
| 2026-06-15T18:11:14+08:00 | 86.73833707865168 |
| 2026-06-15T18:11:46+08:00 | 89.82633707865169 |
| 2026-06-15T18:12:30+08:00 | 89.91352808988763 |
| 2026-06-15T18:14:18+08:00 | 104.736 |
| 2026-06-15T18:16:15+08:00 | 107.50849438202248 |
| 2026-06-15T20:18:51+08:00 | 108.18085393258427 |
| 2026-06-15T20:20:48+08:00 | 108.8238202247191 |
| 2026-06-15T20:22:14+08:00 | 110.21950561797753 |
| 2026-06-15T20:23:10+08:00 | 112.68161797752809 |
| 2026-06-15T20:24:29+08:00 | 122.4883595505618 |
| 2026-06-15T20:24:56+08:00 | 131.39622471910113 |
| 2026-06-15T21:47:34+08:00 | 131.65078651685394 |
| 2026-06-15T22:06:18+08:00 | 140.17213483146068 |
| 2026-06-15T22:06:52+08:00 | 145.6314606741573 |
| 2026-06-15T22:07:11+08:00 | 146.26552808988765 |
| 2026-06-15T22:07:47+08:00 | 160.26103370786518 |
| 2026-06-16T08:51:01+08:00 | 160.26103370786518 |
| 2026-06-16T08:53:49+08:00 | 165.14777528089888 |
| 2026-06-16T08:53:52+08:00 | 174.84970786516854 |
| 2026-06-16T08:54:38+08:00 | 244.0721797752809 |
| 2026-06-16T09:01:35+08:00 | 244.85555056179774 |
| 2026-06-16T09:07:11+08:00 | 256.1565842696629 |
| 2026-06-16T09:09:30+08:00 | 258.2785617977528 |
| 2026-06-16T09:10:42+08:00 | 263.20170786516854 |
| 2026-06-16T09:11:28+08:00 | 277.3949662921348 |
| 2026-06-16T09:12:01+08:00 | 279.05132584269666 |
| 2026-06-16T09:30:37+08:00 | 282.64683146067415 |
| 2026-06-16T10:20:58+08:00 | 282.6975280898876 |
| 2026-06-16T10:21:53+08:00 | 285.1194606741573 |
| 2026-06-16T10:22:58+08:00 | 306.69249438202246 |
| 2026-06-16T10:23:33+08:00 | 307.5728539325843 |
| 2026-06-16T10:24:00+08:00 | 308.2053033707865 |
| 2026-06-16T11:15:22+08:00 | 309.4928539325843 |
| 2026-06-16T11:16:25+08:00 | 309.5620674157303 |
| 2026-06-16T11:16:54+08:00 | 309.7374382022472 |
| 2026-06-16T11:17:28+08:00 | 310.06265168539323 |
| 2026-06-16T11:17:51+08:00 | 321.42444943820226 |
| 2026-06-16T12:04:15+08:00 | 321.4590561797753 |
| 2026-06-16T12:06:05+08:00 | 322.41168539325844 |
| 2026-06-16T12:07:24+08:00 | 322.4824269662921 |
| 2026-06-16T12:08:19+08:00 | 323.17141573033706 |
| 2026-06-16T12:08:44+08:00 | 335.86355056179775 |
| 2026-06-16T13:44:47+08:00 | 335.88898876404494 |
| 2026-06-16T13:45:19+08:00 | 336.5858876404494 |
| 2026-06-16T13:46:09+08:00 | 348.8825168539326 |
| 2026-06-16T13:46:52+08:00 | 348.94867415730334 |
| 2026-06-16T13:47:15+08:00 | 349.070202247191 |
| 2026-06-16T14:01:27+08:00 | 355.6685842696629 |
| 2026-06-16T14:02:05+08:00 | 355.747595505618 |
| 2026-06-16T14:03:24+08:00 | 361.08188764044945 |
| 2026-06-16T14:06:36+08:00 | 361.4304719101124 |
| 2026-06-16T14:07:17+08:00 | 362.9340224719101 |
| 2026-06-16T14:08:17+08:00 | 370.42166292134834 |
| 2026-06-16T15:07:48+08:00 | 371.68008988764046 |
| 2026-06-16T15:08:26+08:00 | 373.7031011235955 |
| 2026-06-16T15:08:58+08:00 | 373.81375280898874 |
| 2026-06-16T15:09:13+08:00 | 374.03065168539325 |
| 2026-06-16T15:09:48+08:00 | 374.32701123595507 |
| 2026-06-16T15:10:50+08:00 | 384.7539775280899 |
| 2026-06-16T16:01:08+08:00 | 385.26067415730336 |
| 2026-06-16T16:01:44+08:00 | 385.52656179775283 |
| 2026-06-16T16:04:35+08:00 | 388.15020224719103 |
| 2026-06-16T16:05:04+08:00 | 388.1631460674157 |
| 2026-06-16T16:06:17+08:00 | 396.76539325842697 |
| 2026-06-16T17:20:38+08:00 | 397.2361348314607 |
| 2026-06-16T17:21:22+08:00 | 400.0725393258427 |
| 2026-06-16T17:22:34+08:00 | 400.54939325842696 |
| 2026-06-16T17:23:27+08:00 | 401.4383820224719 |
| 2026-06-16T17:23:58+08:00 | 422.79568539325845 |
| 2026-06-16T17:25:00+08:00 | 438.9754606741573 |
| 2026-06-16T17:47:18+08:00 | 439.8743370786517 |
| 2026-06-16T17:47:30+08:00 | 564.8181573033708 |
| 2026-06-16T18:03:06+08:00 | 564.8990561797752 |
| 2026-06-16T18:04:25+08:00 | 565.1575730337079 |
| 2026-06-16T18:05:19+08:00 | 565.6106966292135 |
| 2026-06-16T18:05:26+08:00 | 568.9133483146068 |
| 2026-06-16T18:06:17+08:00 | 584.1493033707865 |
| 2026-06-16T18:07:35+08:00 | 589.2219325842697 |
| 2026-06-16T20:15:10+08:00 | 589.52 |
| 2026-06-16T20:15:32+08:00 | 589.9236853932584 |
| 2026-06-16T20:28:03+08:00 | 590.4446741573033 |
| 2026-06-16T20:29:17+08:00 | 594.2003595505618 |
| 2026-06-16T20:30:12+08:00 | 612.5913707865169 |
| 2026-06-16T20:30:36+08:00 | 628.0340674157303 |
| 2026-06-16T21:56:24+08:00 | 628.4479101123595 |
| 2026-06-16T22:06:32+08:00 | 652.9333033707865 |
| 2026-06-16T22:07:05+08:00 | 658.6746966292135 |
| 2026-06-16T22:07:14+08:00 | 659.4118651685393 |
| 2026-06-16T22:07:46+08:00 | 686.8455730337079 |
| 2026-06-17T09:11:58+08:00 | 691.5579325842697 |
| 2026-06-17T09:12:34+08:00 | 691.5579325842697 |
| 2026-06-17T09:14:09+08:00 | 711.5855280898876 |
| 2026-06-17T09:14:25+08:00 | 886.7855280898876 |
| 2026-06-17T09:14:30+08:00 | 889.2483595505618 |
| 2026-06-17T09:14:42+08:00 | 891.6917752808989 |
| 2026-06-17T09:14:49+08:00 | 898.939595505618 |
| 2026-06-17T09:14:57+08:00 | 901.0976179775281 |
| 2026-06-17T09:15:16+08:00 | 965.7627865168539 |
| 2026-06-17T09:20:38+08:00 | 969.8077303370786 |
| 2026-06-17T10:09:41+08:00 | 983.630202247191 |
| 2026-06-17T10:09:47+08:00 | 1149.6436853932585 |
| 2026-06-17T11:17:37+08:00 | 1151.3201797752808 |
| 2026-06-17T16:33:19+08:00 | 1255.5898426966291 |
| 2026-06-17T17:39:17+08:00 | 1271.26 |
| 時間 | 倍數 |
|---|
| 時間 | 券商 | 孖展資金 |
|---|
以實際認購倍數 2007.6x 和當前分配手法 (甲組 α=0.487, 乙組 α=0.587) 為基準,對比各檔位的實際與預測期望中籤手數
| 申購手數 | 認購金額(HKD) | 實際期望中籤 | 預測期望中籤 | 偏差 |
|---|
华健未来-B中籤預測矩陣行為申購檔位,列為不同認購倍數,數值為期望中籤手數,綠色背景表示穩中(≥1手)
机制B
《第18项应用指引》下的灵活发售机制。最低初订分配份额为发售股份的10%,不设回补机制。最高初订分配份额为发售股份的60%(因《第18项应用指引》规定发售股份总数至少40%须分配予配售部分投资者,基石投资者除外)。发行人可根据发售结构、市场状况及散户投资者利益,自行厘定公开认购部分的初订分配份额。
α 為發行人分配偏好係數,描述發行人對不同申購規模的分配傾向。α 取值範圍 [0, 1]。
本頁面的「中籤率」定義與港交所配發結果公告完全一致:中籤率 = 該檔位獲配股份總數 ÷ 該檔位有效申請股份總數 × 100%。此為港交所官方口徑,與其他網站可能使用的不同定義(如「申購人數中籤比例」)有本質區別。
期望中籤手數 = 該檔位獲配總股數 ÷ 每手股數 ÷ 該檔位申購人數
例:某檔位獲配總股數 50,000 股,每手 100 股,申購人數 500 人 → 期望中籤手數 = 50,000 ÷ 100 ÷ 500 = 1.0 手。
本頁展示 华健未来-B(06132)的中籤預測:基於相似 IPO 匹配的期望中籤率、甲乙組資金效率對比。
默認認購倍數按「近期首日表現 → 參與人數 → 人均手數 → 認購倍數」鏈條推導,公式為 認購倍數 = 參與人數 × 人均手數 ÷ 公開發售手數;其中參與人數與人均手數以近期 IPO 的中位數為基準,再按發行規模、A+H 身份、H 股折溢價、行業、併發 IPO、保薦人歷史表現與恒指近期走勢等特徵調節。
認購窗口前期默認倍數以模型推導為準;隨認購進度推進逐步結合孖展倍數加權;臨近截止(進度約九成後)默認倍數以孖展倍數預測為準。
中籤率預測基於歷史 356 隻 IPO 的 10897 條配發檔位數據做迴歸擬合與 KNN 相似匹配,估計各申購檔位的期望中籤手數,並結合分配手法係數 α(人均分配至比例分配)給出區間。
數據來源:港交所披露易平台公開發售配發結果公告、招股說明書、FINI 平台公告;孖展數據(孖展倍數、捷利預測倍數及券商明細)來自捷利交易寶(TradeGo),倍數僅覆蓋已上報券商,捷利預測倍數為全市場外推值。
孖展倍數盤中實時更新;中籤率預測模型隨新股配發數據入庫不定期迭代。
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數據來源:本頁面數據來源於港交所披露易等機構公開披露的文件。相關機構不對該等數據的準確性、及時性或完整性作任何保證,亦不對基於該數據所作的分析結論背書。
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