安克创新 00668
新股中签预测
93.0003.93%( -3.800 )
11月13日 · 收市数据，非实时 · 香港交易所
基于相似IPO匹配的期望中签预测
新股中签预测| 排名 | 券商 | 孖展资金 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  富途 |
51.5亿 |
| 2 |  辉立 |
14.0亿 |
| 3 |  老虎 |
9.2亿 |
| 4 |  华泰 |
4.6亿 |
| 5 |  盈立 |
4.3亿 |
| 6 |  复星 |
3.6亿 |
| 7 |  致富 |
2.7亿 |
| 8 |  华盛 |
1.0亿 |
| 9 |  长桥 |
9183万 |
| 时间 | 倍数 |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-23T06:00:00+08:00 | 0 |
| 2026-06-23T10:10:10+08:00 | 0.0010795405475429658 |
| 2026-06-23T10:13:16+08:00 | 0.0024181708264962433 |
| 2026-06-23T10:14:57+08:00 | 0.004577251921582174 |
| 2026-06-23T11:02:43+08:00 | 0.007427238967095604 |
| 2026-06-23T11:11:37+08:00 | 0.008420416270835132 |
| 2026-06-23T11:12:21+08:00 | 0.010881768719233095 |
| 2026-06-23T11:13:21+08:00 | 0.14474479661456086 |
| 2026-06-23T12:13:12+08:00 | 0.1469902409534502 |
| 2026-06-23T12:14:26+08:00 | 0.14703342257535193 |
| 2026-06-23T12:15:30+08:00 | 0.149019777182831 |
| 2026-06-23T12:15:44+08:00 | 0.15130840314362207 |
| 2026-06-23T12:16:34+08:00 | 0.15392089126867606 |
| 2026-06-23T12:17:07+08:00 | 0.24244321616719924 |
| 2026-06-23T13:40:22+08:00 | 0.2431557129285776 |
| 2026-06-23T13:40:44+08:00 | 0.24332843941618448 |
| 2026-06-23T13:41:47+08:00 | 0.24414889023231712 |
| 2026-06-23T13:42:13+08:00 | 0.25500906814059937 |
| 2026-06-23T13:42:49+08:00 | 0.2558079281457812 |
| 2026-06-23T13:44:04+08:00 | 0.26444425252612486 |
| 2026-06-23T14:02:04+08:00 | 0.26552379307366786 |
| 2026-06-23T14:02:46+08:00 | 0.2648544779341912 |
| 2026-06-23T14:04:52+08:00 | 0.26561015631747126 |
| 2026-06-23T14:05:55+08:00 | 0.2660419725364885 |
| 2026-06-23T14:06:40+08:00 | 0.27603851800673634 |
| 2026-06-23T14:07:40+08:00 | 0.30194749114776753 |
| 2026-06-23T14:08:45+08:00 | 0.3128724414889023 |
| 2026-06-23T15:14:03+08:00 | 0.3154633388030054 |
| 2026-06-23T15:14:52+08:00 | 0.3154849296139563 |
| 2026-06-23T15:15:20+08:00 | 0.31801105449520684 |
| 2026-06-23T15:16:40+08:00 | 0.3183349166594697 |
| 2026-06-23T15:18:12+08:00 | 0.32697124103981345 |
| 2026-06-23T15:18:38+08:00 | 0.3283314621297176 |
| 2026-06-23T16:34:56+08:00 | 0.32874168753778393 |
| 2026-06-23T16:35:45+08:00 | 0.3296916832196217 |
| 2026-06-23T16:36:40+08:00 | 0.3303609983590984 |
| 2026-06-23T16:39:40+08:00 | 0.3329950772951032 |
| 2026-06-23T16:40:26+08:00 | 0.33530529406684517 |
| 2026-06-23T16:41:26+08:00 | 0.3525779428275326 |
| 2026-06-23T17:01:51+08:00 | 0.3556006563606529 |
| 2026-06-23T17:02:23+08:00 | 0.35635633474393297 |
| 2026-06-23T17:06:01+08:00 | 0.3591415493565938 |
| 2026-06-23T17:07:04+08:00 | 0.35933586665515155 |
| 2026-06-23T17:08:31+08:00 | 0.3594654115208567 |
| 2026-06-23T17:09:35+08:00 | 0.37673806028154416 |
| 2026-06-23T18:07:00+08:00 | 0.37712669487865963 |
| 2026-06-23T18:09:59+08:00 | 0.7074661024268072 |
| 2026-06-23T18:10:54+08:00 | 0.7080274635115295 |
| 2026-06-23T18:11:54+08:00 | 0.7082433716210381 |
| 2026-06-23T18:14:59+08:00 | 0.7089126867605148 |
| 2026-06-23T18:16:45+08:00 | 0.7110717678556007 |
| 2026-06-23T18:16:55+08:00 | 0.7115683565074704 |
| 2026-06-23T18:18:02+08:00 | 0.7115035840746179 |
| 2026-06-23T20:16:21+08:00 | 0.7123024440797996 |
| 2026-06-23T20:17:51+08:00 | 0.7127774419207186 |
| 2026-06-23T20:19:20+08:00 | 0.715627428966232 |
| 2026-06-23T20:20:06+08:00 | 0.7177865100613179 |
| 2026-06-23T20:20:53+08:00 | 0.719924000345453 |
| 2026-06-23T20:22:15+08:00 | 0.7156058381552811 |
| 2026-06-23T21:06:30+08:00 | 0.715627428966232 |
| 2026-06-23T22:04:25+08:00 | 0.7172035581656447 |
| 2026-06-23T22:05:31+08:00 | 0.7192978668278781 |
| 2026-06-24T08:32:54+08:00 | 0.7452068399689092 |
| 2026-06-24T08:35:38+08:00 | 0.7461352448397962 |
| 2026-06-24T08:36:00+08:00 | 0.7558079281457811 |
| 2026-06-24T08:39:37+08:00 | 0.7558079281457811 |
| 2026-06-24T09:15:48+08:00 | 0.7668408325416702 |
| 2026-06-24T09:17:20+08:00 | 0.7674021936263926 |
| 2026-06-24T09:18:05+08:00 | 0.7708999050004318 |
| 2026-06-24T09:19:19+08:00 | 0.7749805682701443 |
| 2026-06-24T09:20:41+08:00 | 0.7771396493652302 |
| 2026-06-24T09:27:51+08:00 | 0.7790828223508075 |
| 2026-06-24T10:07:38+08:00 | 0.7892520943086623 |
| 2026-06-24T10:08:37+08:00 | 0.7895111840400726 |
| 2026-06-24T10:09:08+08:00 | 0.7897270921495811 |
| 2026-06-24T10:09:41+08:00 | 0.7917566283789619 |
| 2026-06-24T10:10:21+08:00 | 0.7926418516279471 |
| 2026-06-24T10:11:24+08:00 | 0.8163917436738924 |
| 2026-06-24T11:22:48+08:00 | 0.8258701096813196 |
| 2026-06-24T11:23:18+08:00 | 0.8252439761637447 |
| 2026-06-24T11:24:18+08:00 | 0.8258917004922705 |
| 2026-06-24T11:25:26+08:00 | 0.8304041799810001 |
| 2026-06-24T11:26:05+08:00 | 0.8779039640728906 |
| 2026-06-24T12:10:43+08:00 | 0.8784005527247604 |
| 2026-06-24T12:11:55+08:00 | 0.8773641937991191 |
| 2026-06-24T12:12:59+08:00 | 0.8794585024613525 |
| 2026-06-24T12:13:57+08:00 | 0.8803653165212886 |
| 2026-06-24T12:15:10+08:00 | 0.8825243976163745 |
| 2026-06-24T13:47:39+08:00 | 0.8825675792382762 |
| 2026-06-24T13:48:20+08:00 | 0.8825891700492271 |
| 2026-06-24T13:48:49+08:00 | 0.8869073322393989 |
| 2026-06-24T13:49:21+08:00 | 0.8874039208912686 |
| 2026-06-24T13:49:45+08:00 | 0.8877061922445807 |
| 2026-06-24T13:50:35+08:00 | 0.8898652733396666 |
| 2026-06-24T14:03:43+08:00 | 0.891182312807669 |
| 2026-06-24T14:04:14+08:00 | 0.8913766301062268 |
| 2026-06-24T14:04:48+08:00 | 0.9130753951118404 |
| 2026-06-24T14:06:05+08:00 | 0.9133992572761033 |
| 2026-06-24T14:07:07+08:00 | 0.919876500561361 |
| 2026-06-24T14:07:40+08:00 | 0.9241730719405821 |
| 2026-06-24T15:11:53+08:00 | 0.9250151135676656 |
| 2026-06-24T15:12:14+08:00 | 0.9269151049313412 |
| 2026-06-24T15:12:46+08:00 | 0.9390059590638224 |
| 2026-06-24T15:13:35+08:00 | 0.9397184558252007 |
| 2026-06-24T15:14:22+08:00 | 0.9398048190690043 |
| 2026-06-24T15:15:00+08:00 | 0.9678728733051214 |
| 2026-06-24T16:17:41+08:00 | 0.9669012868123327 |
| 2026-06-24T16:19:14+08:00 | 0.9704853614301753 |
| 2026-06-24T16:20:35+08:00 | 0.9716512652215217 |
| 2026-06-24T16:21:42+08:00 | 0.9758830641678902 |
| 2026-06-24T16:23:27+08:00 | 0.9888375507384057 |
| 2026-06-24T16:23:53+08:00 | 0.9900898177735555 |
| 2026-06-24T17:01:14+08:00 | 1.0365964245617065 |
| 2026-06-24T17:01:47+08:00 | 1.03743846618879 |
| 2026-06-24T17:04:05+08:00 | 1.1095517747646602 |
| 2026-06-24T17:04:31+08:00 | 1.1107392693669573 |
| 2026-06-24T17:04:38+08:00 | 1.1111926763969255 |
| 2026-06-24T17:05:42+08:00 | 1.348691596856378 |
| 2026-06-24T18:05:48+08:00 | 1.402690215044477 |
| 2026-06-24T18:10:34+08:00 | 1.6768935141203904 |
| 2026-06-24T18:16:47+08:00 | 1.71733310303135 |
| 2026-06-24T18:16:59+08:00 | 1.768568097417739 |
| 2026-06-24T18:18:34+08:00 | 1.8192633215303566 |
| 2026-06-24T18:19:02+08:00 | 1.8217894464116071 |
| 2026-06-24T18:19:36+08:00 | 1.827208739960273 |
| 2026-06-24T18:20:58+08:00 | 1.9049356593833664 |
| 2026-06-24T20:13:52+08:00 | 1.9176310562224717 |
| 2026-06-24T20:14:37+08:00 | 1.9371491493220485 |
| 2026-06-24T20:16:01+08:00 | 1.9446411607219967 |
| 2026-06-24T20:17:17+08:00 | 1.9950341134813023 |
| 2026-06-24T20:17:59+08:00 | 2.066283789619138 |
| 2026-06-24T21:41:34+08:00 | 2.0720917177649194 |
| 2026-06-24T22:04:38+08:00 | 2.086557561101995 |
| 2026-06-24T22:06:14+08:00 | 2.1204119526729426 |
| 2026-06-24T22:07:04+08:00 | 2.2521158994731842 |
| 2026-06-25T08:41:47+08:00 | 2.2568011054495205 |
| 2026-06-25T08:42:08+08:00 | 2.2872225580792813 |
| 2026-06-25T08:44:50+08:00 | 2.764379480093272 |
| 2026-06-25T08:48:39+08:00 | 2.764379480093272 |
| 2026-06-25T09:04:07+08:00 | 2.7859702910441317 |
| 2026-06-25T09:05:33+08:00 | 2.797435011659038 |
| 2026-06-25T09:06:42+08:00 | 2.8829346230244406 |
| 2026-06-25T09:07:09+08:00 | 2.9217980827359877 |
| 2026-06-25T09:07:32+08:00 | 2.9482036445288884 |
| 2026-06-25T09:08:08+08:00 | 2.9951636583470074 |
| 2026-06-25T09:09:42+08:00 | 3.1557777010104497 |
| 2026-06-25T10:07:51+08:00 | 3.269388548233872 |
| 2026-06-25T10:08:17+08:00 | 3.3148156144744796 |
| 2026-06-25T10:08:33+08:00 | 3.3564426979877364 |
| 2026-06-25T10:08:50+08:00 | 3.3596381380084637 |
| 2026-06-25T10:09:27+08:00 | 3.4891830037136193 |
| 2026-06-25T10:09:35+08:00 | 3.51960445634338 |
| 2026-06-25T11:05:56+08:00 | 3.5592020036272562 |
| 2026-06-25T11:06:21+08:00 | 3.5754382934623026 |
| 2026-06-25T11:06:30+08:00 | 3.57211330857587 |
| 2026-06-25T11:06:58+08:00 | 3.59096208653597 |
| 2026-06-25T11:07:03+08:00 | 3.6282062354262026 |
| 2026-06-25T11:07:09+08:00 | 3.8441143449347956 |
| 2026-06-25T12:07:08+08:00 | 3.8630494861386993 |
| 2026-06-25T12:07:18+08:00 | 3.88492097763192 |
| 2026-06-25T12:07:33+08:00 | 3.9264401070904222 |
| 2026-06-25T12:07:37+08:00 | 3.9574013299939548 |
| 2026-06-25T12:07:41+08:00 | 3.958739960272908 |
| 2026-06-25T12:07:50+08:00 | 4.308511097676829 |
| 2026-06-25T13:38:26+08:00 | 4.322501943172986 |
| 2026-06-25T13:38:29+08:00 | 4.336859832455307 |
| 2026-06-25T13:38:32+08:00 | 4.35177908282235 |
| 2026-06-25T13:38:35+08:00 | 4.364927886691424 |
| 2026-06-25T13:38:38+08:00 | 4.379307366784697 |
| 2026-06-25T13:38:43+08:00 | 4.426807150876587 |
| 2026-06-25T14:00:40+08:00 | 4.510752223853528 |
| 2026-06-25T14:01:09+08:00 | 4.614388116417652 |
| 2026-06-25T14:01:28+08:00 | 4.621016495379567 |
| 2026-06-25T14:08:44+08:00 | 4.7689999136367565 |
| 2026-06-25T14:08:47+08:00 | 4.789683910527679 |
| 2026-06-25T14:08:50+08:00 | 4.792620260816996 |
| 2026-06-25T14:08:56+08:00 | 4.969664910614043 |
| 2026-06-25T15:12:01+08:00 | 4.978625097158649 |
| 2026-06-25T15:12:07+08:00 | 5.007427238967096 |
| 2026-06-25T15:12:10+08:00 | 5.0790007772691945 |
| 2026-06-25T15:12:13+08:00 | 5.11732446670697 |
| 2026-06-25T15:12:16+08:00 | 5.108580188271872 |
| 2026-06-25T15:12:21+08:00 | 5.311533811209949 |
| 2026-06-25T16:00:49+08:00 | 5.322976941013905 |
| 2026-06-25T16:24:42+08:00 | 5.337313239485275 |
| 2026-06-25T16:24:48+08:00 | 5.378422143535711 |
| 2026-06-25T16:24:52+08:00 | 5.397184558252008 |
| 2026-06-25T16:25:00+08:00 | 5.561274721478538 |
| 2026-06-25T16:48:29+08:00 | 5.604456343380257 |
| 2026-06-25T17:02:21+08:00 | 5.83368598324553 |
| 2026-06-25T17:02:24+08:00 | 5.908519734001209 |
| 2026-06-25T17:05:40+08:00 | 6.663960618360826 |
| 2026-06-25T17:05:43+08:00 | 6.7455954745660245 |
| 2026-06-25T17:05:49+08:00 | 7.9827489420502635 |
| 2026-06-25T17:35:38+08:00 | 7.995703428620779 |
| 2026-06-25T17:45:17+08:00 | 10.413874255117022 |
| 2026-06-25T18:13:43+08:00 | 10.762501079540547 |
| 2026-06-25T18:14:01+08:00 | 11.008204508161327 |
| 2026-06-25T18:14:12+08:00 | 11.138375507384056 |
| 2026-06-25T18:14:17+08:00 | 11.03167371966491 |
| 2026-06-25T18:14:28+08:00 | 11.07286898695915 |
| 2026-06-25T18:14:38+08:00 | 11.94297866827878 |
| 2026-06-25T20:18:43+08:00 | 12.004685205976337 |
| 2026-06-25T20:18:48+08:00 | 12.049097504102255 |
| 2026-06-25T20:18:52+08:00 | 12.215864927886692 |
| 2026-06-25T20:18:56+08:00 | 12.254728387598238 |
| 2026-06-25T20:19:05+08:00 | 12.781544174799205 |
| 2026-06-25T20:19:27+08:00 | 12.802897486829606 |
| 2026-06-25T20:19:36+08:00 | 12.903661801537266 |
| 2026-06-25T20:19:40+08:00 | 13.004620433543485 |
| 2026-06-25T20:19:50+08:00 | 13.22916486743242 |
| 2026-06-25T21:25:20+08:00 | 13.2650703860437 |
| 2026-06-25T21:25:25+08:00 | 13.318291735037567 |
| 2026-06-25T21:25:37+08:00 | 13.34722342171172 |
| 2026-06-25T21:25:50+08:00 | 13.576086017790828 |
| 2026-06-25T22:05:52+08:00 | 13.64398911823128 |
| 2026-06-25T22:05:57+08:00 | 13.701874082390535 |
| 2026-06-25T22:06:08+08:00 | 13.991190949132049 |
| 2026-06-26T08:57:49+08:00 | 13.991190949132049 |
| 2026-06-26T08:59:03+08:00 | 14.02865100613179 |
| 2026-06-26T08:59:06+08:00 | 14.154914068572415 |
| 2026-06-26T08:59:26+08:00 | 16.91206062699715 |
| 2026-06-26T08:59:44+08:00 | 17.048082735987563 |
| 2026-06-26T09:02:24+08:00 | 17.13591415493566 |
| 2026-06-26T09:04:20+08:00 | 16.944554797478194 |
| 2026-06-26T09:04:23+08:00 | 17.02208739960273 |
| 2026-06-26T09:11:49+08:00 | 18.03037827100786 |
| 2026-06-26T09:12:13+08:00 | 18.331764401070906 |
| 2026-06-26T10:06:15+08:00 | 18.349641592538216 |
| 2026-06-26T10:06:30+08:00 | 18.55799291821401 |
| 2026-06-26T10:06:32+08:00 | 19.7562829259867 |
| 2026-06-26T11:07:10+08:00 | 19.818529233958028 |
| 2026-06-26T17:03:34+08:00 | 20.2 |
| 时间 | 倍数 |
|---|
| 时间 | 券商 | 孖展资金 |
|---|
以实际认购倍数 27.57x 和当前分配手法 (甲组 α=0.593, 乙组 α=0.693) 为基准，对比各档位的实际与预测期望中签手数
| 申购手数 | 认购金额(HKD) | 实际期望中签 | 预测期望中签 | 偏差 |
|---|
安克创新中签预测矩阵行为申购档位，列为不同认购倍数，数值为期望中签手数，绿色背景表示期望中签≥1手；非预设倍数由相邻网格插值估计。
机制B
《第18项应用指引》下的灵活发售机制。最低初订分配份额为发售股份的10%，不设回补机制。最高初订分配份额为发售股份的60%（因《第18项应用指引》规定发售股份总数至少40%须分配予配售部分投资者，基石投资者除外）。发行人可根据发售结构、市场状况及散户投资者利益，自行厘定公开认购部分的初订分配份额。
α 为发行人分配偏好系数，描述发行人对不同申购规模的分配倾向。α 取值范围 [0, 1]。
本页面的「中签率」定义与港交所配发结果公告完全一致：中签率 = 该档位获配股份总数 ÷ 该档位有效申请股份总数 × 100%。此为港交所官方口径，与其他网站可能使用的不同定义（如「申购人数中签比例」）有本质区别。
期望中签手数 = 该档位获配总股数 ÷ 每手股数 ÷ 该档位申购人数
例：某档位获配总股数 50,000 股，每手 100 股，申购人数 500 人 → 期望中签手数 = 50,000 ÷ 100 ÷ 500 = 1.0 手。
本页展示 安克创新（00668）的中签预测：基于相似 IPO 匹配的期望中签率、甲乙组资金效率对比。
默认认购倍数按「近期首日表现 → 参与人数 → 人均手数 → 认购倍数」链条推导，公式为 认购倍数 = 参与人数 × 人均手数 ÷ 公开发售手数；其中参与人数与人均手数以近期 IPO 的中位数为基准，再按发行规模、A+H 身份、H 股折溢价、行业、并发 IPO、保荐人历史表现与恒指近期走势等特征调节。
认购窗口前期默认倍数以模型推导为准；随认购进度推进逐步结合孖展倍数加权；临近截止（进度约九成后）默认倍数以孖展倍数预测为准。
中签率预测基于历史 592 只 IPO 的 22087 条配发档位数据做回归拟合与 KNN 相似匹配，估计各申购档位的期望中签手数，并结合分配手法系数 α（人均分配至比例分配）给出区间。你可以自定义认购倍数与分配手法系数 α，覆盖 cibo 的默认预测，查看不同场景下的期望中签手数。中签率的计算方式与回拨规则见港股中签率怎么算。
数据来源：港交所披露易平台公开发售配发结果公告、招股说明书、FINI 平台公告；孖展数据（孖展倍数、捷利预测倍数及券商明细）来自捷利交易宝（TradeGo），倍数仅覆盖已上报券商，捷利预测倍数为全市场外推值。
孖展倍数盘中实时更新；中签率预测模型随新股配发数据入库不定期迭代。
