华沿机器人 01021中签预测
华沿机器人（01021）中签预测
| 排名 | 券商 | 孖展资金 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  富途 |
1677.4亿 |
| 2 |  辉立 |
558.0亿 |
| 3 |  老虎 |
284.4亿 |
| 4 |  华泰 |
110.7亿 |
| 5 |  华盛 |
51.0亿 |
| 6 |  招银 |
36.0亿 |
| 7 |  信诚 |
30.0亿 |
| 8 |  盈立 |
22.3亿 |
| 9 |  熊猫 |
20.3亿 |
| 时间 | 倍数 |
|---|---|
| 2026-03-20T06:00:00+08:00 | 0 |
| 2026-03-20T10:08:17+08:00 | 0.004659967962720256 |
| 2026-03-20T10:08:23+08:00 | 0.02999854376001165 |
| 2026-03-20T10:08:34+08:00 | 1.0639289354885686 |
| 2026-03-20T11:10:19+08:00 | 1.127566622979467 |
| 2026-03-20T11:10:58+08:00 | 1.637541866899665 |
| 2026-03-20T11:11:16+08:00 | 1.6419105868647152 |
| 2026-03-20T11:11:47+08:00 | 3.272899373816805 |
| 2026-03-20T11:12:08+08:00 | 3.287461773700306 |
| 2026-03-20T12:06:49+08:00 | 3.3374108053007134 |
| 2026-03-20T12:07:44+08:00 | 3.6663754186689967 |
| 2026-03-20T12:08:23+08:00 | 3.6832678025338574 |
| 2026-03-20T12:10:16+08:00 | 4.746322994029416 |
| 2026-03-20T13:40:15+08:00 | 4.817824377457405 |
| 2026-03-20T13:40:46+08:00 | 5.193825542449396 |
| 2026-03-20T13:41:05+08:00 | 5.1967380224260955 |
| 2026-03-20T13:41:35+08:00 | 5.575360419397117 |
| 2026-03-20T14:16:18+08:00 | 5.600698995194408 |
| 2026-03-20T14:16:34+08:00 | 5.626183194990534 |
| 2026-03-20T14:16:51+08:00 | 5.702198922382409 |
| 2026-03-20T14:17:27+08:00 | 6.750691713994466 |
| 2026-03-20T14:19:56+08:00 | 7.307412261540702 |
| 2026-03-20T15:16:11+08:00 | 7.3362458133100334 |
| 2026-03-20T15:17:03+08:00 | 7.497160332022717 |
| 2026-03-20T15:17:13+08:00 | 7.540993155672055 |
| 2026-03-20T15:20:19+08:00 | 8.19630115042959 |
| 2026-03-20T15:24:18+08:00 | 8.487549148099607 |
| 2026-03-20T16:26:18+08:00 | 8.498325324013397 |
| 2026-03-20T16:27:16+08:00 | 8.64001747487986 |
| 2026-03-20T16:27:35+08:00 | 9.207951070336392 |
| 2026-03-20T16:27:51+08:00 | 9.25178389398573 |
| 2026-03-20T16:28:55+08:00 | 9.353720693170235 |
| 2026-03-20T17:06:03+08:00 | 9.374399301004805 |
| 2026-03-20T17:06:50+08:00 | 10.512742099898063 |
| 2026-03-20T17:06:57+08:00 | 13.177661278578709 |
| 2026-03-20T18:02:18+08:00 | 13.342653269258774 |
| 2026-03-20T18:02:36+08:00 | 13.44459006844328 |
| 2026-03-20T18:02:42+08:00 | 20.434542012523664 |
| 2026-03-20T18:03:41+08:00 | 21.193971166448232 |
| 2026-03-20T18:04:46+08:00 | 22.467453036260377 |
| 2026-03-20T18:06:14+08:00 | 22.493665356050677 |
| 2026-03-20T18:07:08+08:00 | 25.318770933449834 |
| 2026-03-20T18:23:40+08:00 | 26.990097568079218 |
| 2026-03-20T20:28:05+08:00 | 27.158875782728995 |
| 2026-03-20T20:30:05+08:00 | 27.774865297801078 |
| 2026-03-20T20:31:16+08:00 | 29.239551478083587 |
| 2026-03-20T20:32:18+08:00 | 31.860783457113733 |
| 2026-03-20T20:32:42+08:00 | 34.540265035677876 |
| 2026-03-20T22:22:33+08:00 | 35.01791175185671 |
| 2026-03-20T22:23:37+08:00 | 35.98893257608854 |
| 2026-03-20T22:24:29+08:00 | 39.17809815057522 |
| 2026-03-20T22:24:43+08:00 | 43.60506771515946 |
| 2026-03-21T10:25:08+08:00 | 46.968108344255135 |
| 2026-03-21T10:27:05+08:00 | 47.47356924421145 |
| 2026-03-21T10:29:27+08:00 | 47.60011649919907 |
| 2026-03-21T10:30:14+08:00 | 47.60011649919907 |
| 2026-03-21T10:31:51+08:00 | 62.118829183049364 |
| 2026-03-21T10:32:10+08:00 | 63.44400757244794 |
| 2026-03-21T12:22:01+08:00 | 63.46745303626037 |
| 2026-03-21T12:24:18+08:00 | 63.78345711373235 |
| 2026-03-21T12:24:53+08:00 | 64.7953982816368 |
| 2026-03-21T12:25:40+08:00 | 67.76612785787098 |
| 2026-03-21T12:25:58+08:00 | 69.04761904761905 |
| 2026-03-21T15:25:07+08:00 | 69.05999708752002 |
| 2026-03-21T15:26:43+08:00 | 69.16339012669287 |
| 2026-03-21T15:27:43+08:00 | 70.29532546963739 |
| 2026-03-21T15:33:17+08:00 | 74.19804863841561 |
| 2026-03-21T15:33:44+08:00 | 75.8581622251347 |
| 2026-03-21T18:10:36+08:00 | 75.88160768894714 |
| 2026-03-21T18:12:39+08:00 | 76.1651376146789 |
| 2026-03-21T18:13:30+08:00 | 77.60652395514781 |
| 2026-03-21T18:14:32+08:00 | 81.46555992427552 |
| 2026-03-21T18:14:55+08:00 | 82.54317751565458 |
| 2026-03-21T20:11:21+08:00 | 82.5503130915975 |
| 2026-03-21T20:12:53+08:00 | 82.77224406582205 |
| 2026-03-21T20:13:40+08:00 | 83.8610747051114 |
| 2026-03-21T20:14:36+08:00 | 84.72025629823796 |
| 2026-03-21T20:14:51+08:00 | 86.62793068297655 |
| 2026-03-21T22:10:40+08:00 | 86.83690112130479 |
| 2026-03-21T22:11:28+08:00 | 87.01412552788699 |
| 2026-03-21T22:12:25+08:00 | 89.0528615115771 |
| 2026-03-21T22:12:43+08:00 | 91.12072229503423 |
| 2026-03-22T10:07:31+08:00 | 91.23969710208242 |
| 2026-03-22T10:08:31+08:00 | 91.5944371632445 |
| 2026-03-22T10:09:25+08:00 | 94.91568370467454 |
| 2026-03-22T10:11:36+08:00 | 104.83267802533858 |
| 2026-03-22T10:12:00+08:00 | 106.46366681229067 |
| 2026-03-22T12:33:56+08:00 | 108.32765399737877 |
| 2026-03-22T12:34:00+08:00 | 112.91480996068152 |
| 2026-03-22T12:34:17+08:00 | 113.0515508955876 |
| 2026-03-22T12:34:21+08:00 | 114.39318479685453 |
| 2026-03-22T12:39:01+08:00 | 114.42900830056793 |
| 2026-03-22T12:39:13+08:00 | 114.54973059560216 |
| 2026-03-22T12:41:08+08:00 | 114.5623998835008 |
| 2026-03-22T12:41:26+08:00 | 114.56443861948449 |
| 2026-03-22T15:24:43+08:00 | 115.90417940876657 |
| 2026-03-22T15:24:47+08:00 | 117.36041939711664 |
| 2026-03-22T15:24:51+08:00 | 120.12727537498179 |
| 2026-03-22T15:28:36+08:00 | 120.22440658220475 |
| 2026-03-22T15:28:40+08:00 | 120.24027959807776 |
| 2026-03-22T15:28:43+08:00 | 120.31920780544634 |
| 2026-03-22T15:34:53+08:00 | 121.00509683995922 |
| 2026-03-22T15:34:57+08:00 | 121.73409057812728 |
| 2026-03-22T15:35:02+08:00 | 122.04019222367846 |
| 2026-03-22T15:39:33+08:00 | 122.04543468763653 |
| 2026-03-22T15:39:36+08:00 | 122.0519877675841 |
| 2026-03-22T15:39:40+08:00 | 122.05766710353866 |
| 2026-03-22T19:10:00+08:00 | 125.27595747779235 |
| 2026-03-22T19:10:04+08:00 | 128.68355905053153 |
| 2026-03-22T19:10:12+08:00 | 131.33391582932867 |
| 2026-03-22T19:10:17+08:00 | 135.00364059997088 |
| 2026-03-22T19:16:43+08:00 | 135.36347750109218 |
| 2026-03-22T19:16:49+08:00 | 136.82161060142712 |
| 2026-03-22T19:16:54+08:00 | 137.67977282656182 |
| 2026-03-22T19:16:58+08:00 | 138.79146643366826 |
| 2026-03-22T19:22:51+08:00 | 138.88539391291684 |
| 2026-03-22T19:22:55+08:00 | 139.08038444735692 |
| 2026-03-22T19:23:00+08:00 | 139.28513178971895 |
| 2026-03-22T19:23:04+08:00 | 139.40541721275667 |
| 2026-03-22T19:23:42+08:00 | 139.41095092471238 |
| 2026-03-22T19:23:46+08:00 | 139.41866899665064 |
| 2026-03-22T19:23:55+08:00 | 139.42565894859473 |
| 2026-03-22T19:23:59+08:00 | 139.35590505315275 |
| 2026-03-22T22:11:29+08:00 | 143.17125382262998 |
| 2026-03-22T22:11:42+08:00 | 147.3943497888452 |
| 2026-03-22T22:12:00+08:00 | 152.25819134993446 |
| 2026-03-22T22:13:20+08:00 | 153.08766564729868 |
| 2026-03-22T22:13:41+08:00 | 153.63331877093344 |
| 2026-03-22T22:14:02+08:00 | 155.19397116644822 |
| 2026-03-22T22:16:32+08:00 | 155.3277996213776 |
| 2026-03-22T22:16:50+08:00 | 155.45449250036407 |
| 2026-03-22T22:17:07+08:00 | 155.72287753021698 |
| 2026-03-23T08:39:47+08:00 | 156.34454638124362 |
| 2026-03-23T08:40:02+08:00 | 160.63113441095092 |
| 2026-03-23T08:40:43+08:00 | 160.9343235765254 |
| 2026-03-23T08:40:55+08:00 | 161.4405125964759 |
| 2026-03-23T08:41:35+08:00 | 182.04630843162954 |
| 2026-03-23T08:42:19+08:00 | 182.04630843162954 |
| 2026-03-23T09:13:58+08:00 | 182.36114751711082 |
| 2026-03-23T09:15:19+08:00 | 184.67001601863987 |
| 2026-03-23T09:15:38+08:00 | 195.9995631280035 |
| 2026-03-23T09:16:09+08:00 | 196.58205912334353 |
| 2026-03-23T09:18:21+08:00 | 196.57754477937965 |
| 2026-03-23T09:22:01+08:00 | 201.63069753895442 |
| 2026-03-23T10:05:42+08:00 | 211.2379496140964 |
| 2026-03-23T10:06:31+08:00 | 217.3165865734673 |
| 2026-03-23T10:07:15+08:00 | 217.6834134265327 |
| 2026-03-23T10:07:46+08:00 | 238.1727100626183 |
| 2026-03-23T10:09:07+08:00 | 240.35707004514344 |
| 2026-03-23T10:44:43+08:00 | 244.7257900101937 |
| 2026-03-23T11:08:38+08:00 | 245.6161351390709 |
| 2026-03-23T11:09:44+08:00 | 249.27231687782145 |
| 2026-03-23T11:10:47+08:00 | 249.49381098004952 |
| 2026-03-23T11:11:33+08:00 | 267.099752439202 |
| 2026-03-23T12:13:25+08:00 | 269.53429445172566 |
| 2026-03-23T12:14:10+08:00 | 269.5801660113587 |
| 2026-03-23T12:15:23+08:00 | 281.50677151594584 |
| 2026-03-23T12:16:15+08:00 | 281.87549148099606 |
| 2026-03-23T13:41:08+08:00 | 281.9022862967817 |
| 2026-03-23T13:41:51+08:00 | 284.63419251492644 |
| 2026-03-23T13:42:55+08:00 | 284.7071501383428 |
| 2026-03-23T13:43:29+08:00 | 292.9785932721713 |
| 2026-03-23T14:06:20+08:00 | 296.09130624726953 |
| 2026-03-23T14:07:06+08:00 | 299.1405271588758 |
| 2026-03-23T14:07:52+08:00 | 299.22600844619194 |
| 2026-03-23T14:08:20+08:00 | 311.1817387505461 |
| 2026-03-23T14:11:45+08:00 | 320.4151740206786 |
| 2026-03-23T15:14:09+08:00 | 320.8036988495704 |
| 2026-03-23T15:14:55+08:00 | 323.4869666521043 |
| 2026-03-23T15:15:28+08:00 | 323.8839376729285 |
| 2026-03-23T15:16:40+08:00 | 332.30100480559196 |
| 2026-03-23T15:42:02+08:00 | 339.2909567496723 |
| 2026-03-23T16:14:21+08:00 | 339.4841997961264 |
| 2026-03-23T16:16:35+08:00 | 342.7349643221203 |
| 2026-03-23T16:17:16+08:00 | 357.9235474006116 |
| 2026-03-23T16:19:36+08:00 | 357.9836901121305 |
| 2026-03-23T17:04:07+08:00 | 359.37046745303627 |
| 2026-03-23T17:05:53+08:00 | 366.8551041211592 |
| 2026-03-23T17:06:29+08:00 | 367.3020241735838 |
| 2026-03-23T17:08:06+08:00 | 393.70365516237075 |
| 2026-03-23T17:46:53+08:00 | 401.7129750982962 |
| 2026-03-23T17:48:01+08:00 | 482.0974224552206 |
| 2026-03-23T18:16:51+08:00 | 482.3128003494976 |
| 2026-03-23T18:19:02+08:00 | 483.26969564584243 |
| 2026-03-23T18:21:05+08:00 | 488.16644823066844 |
| 2026-03-23T18:22:08+08:00 | 503.25309450997526 |
| 2026-03-23T18:26:51+08:00 | 512.5867190913062 |
| 2026-03-23T20:18:19+08:00 | 514.6481724188146 |
| 2026-03-23T20:20:15+08:00 | 516.2763943497888 |
| 2026-03-23T20:22:09+08:00 | 524.9635940002912 |
| 2026-03-23T20:23:15+08:00 | 539.64249308286 |
| 2026-03-23T20:23:51+08:00 | 551.9622833843017 |
| 2026-03-23T22:10:40+08:00 | 553.8986456968108 |
| 2026-03-23T22:11:37+08:00 | 560.6829765545361 |
| 2026-03-23T22:12:40+08:00 | 577.4879860200961 |
| 2026-03-23T22:13:02+08:00 | 594.1764962865881 |
| 2026-03-24T08:36:08+08:00 | 598.6440949468472 |
| 2026-03-24T08:36:11+08:00 | 617.20125236639 |
| 2026-03-24T08:39:18+08:00 | 618.9222367846221 |
| 2026-03-24T08:39:35+08:00 | 623.113877967089 |
| 2026-03-24T08:40:40+08:00 | 742.132372214941 |
| 2026-03-24T08:44:00+08:00 | 742.132372214941 |
| 2026-03-24T09:19:23+08:00 | 742.8026794815786 |
| 2026-03-24T09:20:02+08:00 | 749.0116499199067 |
| 2026-03-24T09:20:51+08:00 | 750.6896752584826 |
| 2026-03-24T09:21:41+08:00 | 783.3531381971749 |
| 2026-03-24T09:24:22+08:00 | 794.2749381098005 |
| 2026-03-24T09:31:23+08:00 | 810.7873889617009 |
| 2026-03-24T10:18:47+08:00 | 821.458133100335 |
| 2026-03-24T10:19:23+08:00 | 821.6538517547692 |
| 2026-03-24T10:19:56+08:00 | 894.0144167758847 |
| 2026-03-24T10:22:23+08:00 | 894.322120285423 |
| 2026-03-24T11:00:45+08:00 | 902.1215960390273 |
| 2026-03-24T11:03:36+08:00 | 911.7601572739187 |
| 2026-03-24T11:04:28+08:00 | 912.6456968108345 |
| 2026-03-24T11:06:57+08:00 | 969.045871559633 |
| 2026-03-24T12:07:57+08:00 | 976.8361730013106 |
| 2026-03-24T12:08:43+08:00 | 977.1671763506625 |
| 2026-03-24T12:09:37+08:00 | 1030.334498325324 |
| 2026-03-24T12:11:23+08:00 | 1030.5248288918015 |
| 2026-03-24T12:13:53+08:00 | 1036.3497888452016 |
| 2026-03-24T13:43:54+08:00 | 1040.5977865152176 |
| 2026-03-24T13:44:46+08:00 | 1040.8603465851172 |
| 2026-03-24T13:45:22+08:00 | 1073.6403087228775 |
| 2026-03-24T13:49:11+08:00 | 1073.7533129459734 |
| 2026-03-24T14:08:28+08:00 | 1076.2019804863842 |
| 2026-03-24T14:09:08+08:00 | 1082.6123489151012 |
| 2026-03-24T14:09:48+08:00 | 1082.8114169215087 |
| 2026-03-24T14:10:21+08:00 | 1134.580748507354 |
| 2026-03-24T14:14:07+08:00 | 1157.157128294743 |
| 2026-03-24T15:12:54+08:00 | 1157.3473132372214 |
| 2026-03-24T15:14:05+08:00 | 1158.9564584243483 |
| 2026-03-24T15:14:50+08:00 | 1212.7208387942333 |
| 2026-03-24T15:15:45+08:00 | 1227.3551769331586 |
| 2026-03-24T16:12:31+08:00 | 1238.5248288918015 |
| 2026-03-24T16:13:21+08:00 | 1238.8143294014853 |
| 2026-03-24T16:14:13+08:00 | 1300.0346585117227 |
| 2026-03-24T16:17:47+08:00 | 1336.4406582204747 |
| 2026-03-24T17:07:47+08:00 | 1347.7852046017183 |
| 2026-03-24T17:08:35+08:00 | 1348.2517838939857 |
| 2026-03-24T17:09:08+08:00 | 1427.6314256589485 |
| 2026-03-24T17:10:02+08:00 | 1442.1938255424493 |
| 2026-03-24T17:32:54+08:00 | 1653.348623853211 |
| 2026-03-24T18:06:36+08:00 | 1668.942624144459 |
| 2026-03-24T18:07:22+08:00 | 1669.4453181884376 |
| 2026-03-24T18:08:34+08:00 | 1732.0636376874909 |
| 2026-03-24T18:12:33+08:00 | 1759.7725353138196 |
| 2026-03-24T20:23:49+08:00 | 1760.901995048784 |
| 2026-03-24T20:24:58+08:00 | 1784.0581039755352 |
| 2026-03-24T20:25:55+08:00 | 1851.7732634338138 |
| 2026-03-24T20:26:26+08:00 | 1911.9305373525558 |
| 2026-03-24T22:00:45+08:00 | 1990.7131207222951 |
| 2026-03-24T22:14:22+08:00 | 1991.693607106451 |
| 2026-03-24T22:15:16+08:00 | 2028.8625309450997 |
| 2026-03-24T22:16:14+08:00 | 2132.3720693170235 |
| 2026-03-25T08:37:42+08:00 | 2159.0535896315714 |
| 2026-03-25T08:37:45+08:00 | 2242.479831076161 |
| 2026-03-25T08:39:30+08:00 | 2243.150866462793 |
| 2026-03-25T08:39:33+08:00 | 2246.33129459735 |
| 2026-03-25T08:40:52+08:00 | 2825.7400611620797 |
| 2026-03-25T08:41:44+08:00 | 2825.7400611620797 |
| 2026-03-25T09:15:22+08:00 | 2846.102956167176 |
| 2026-03-25T09:16:12+08:00 | 2846.102228047182 |
| 2026-03-25T09:17:47+08:00 | 3033.8989369448086 |
| 2026-03-25T09:18:25+08:00 | 3057.1987767584096 |
| 2026-03-25T09:23:03+08:00 | 3125.7056938983546 |
| 2026-03-25T09:37:29+08:00 | 3130.030726663754 |
| 2026-03-25T10:04:19+08:00 | 3145.7394786660843 |
| 2026-03-25T10:05:39+08:00 | 3496.474879860201 |
| 2026-03-25T11:11:07+08:00 | 4010.5275957477793 |
| 2026-03-25T17:26:08+08:00 | 4097.15 |
| 时间 | 倍数 |
|---|
| 时间 | 券商 | 孖展资金 |
|---|
以实际认购倍数 5059.38x 和当前分配手法 (甲组 α=0.493, 乙组 α=0.593) 为基准，对比各档位的实际与预测期望中签手数
| 申购手数 | 认购金额(HKD) | 实际期望中签 | 预测期望中签 | 偏差 |
|---|
华沿机器人中签预测矩阵行为申购档位，列为不同认购倍数，数值为期望中签手数，绿色背景表示稳中（≥1手）
18C特专科技
《主板规则》第18C章，为特专科技公司设立。机制A及机制B不适用。初订分配份额为5%，回补门槛：10倍至不足50倍→10%，50倍或以上→20%。根据第18C.08条，发售股份总数中至少50%须由配售部分的独立定价投资者认购。
α 为发行人分配偏好系数，描述发行人对不同申购规模的分配倾向。α 取值范围 [0, 1]。
本页面的「中签率」定义与港交所配发结果公告完全一致：中签率 = 该档位获配股份总数 ÷ 该档位有效申请股份总数 × 100%。此为港交所官方口径，与其他网站可能使用的不同定义（如「申购人数中签比例」）有本质区别。
期望中签手数 = 该档位获配总股数 ÷ 每手股数 ÷ 该档位申购人数
例：某档位获配总股数 50,000 股，每手 100 股，申购人数 500 人 → 期望中签手数 = 50,000 ÷ 100 ÷ 500 = 1.0 手。
本页展示 华沿机器人（01021）的中签预测：基于相似 IPO 匹配的期望中签率、甲乙组资金效率对比。
默认认购倍数按「近期首日表现 → 参与人数 → 人均手数 → 认购倍数」链条推导，公式为 认购倍数 = 参与人数 × 人均手数 ÷ 公开发售手数；其中参与人数与人均手数以近期 IPO 的中位数为基准，再按发行规模、A+H 身份、H 股折溢价、行业、并发 IPO、保荐人历史表现与恒指近期走势等特征调节。
认购窗口前期默认倍数以模型推导为准；随认购进度推进逐步结合孖展倍数加权；临近截止（进度约九成后）默认倍数以孖展倍数预测为准。
中签率预测基于历史 356 只 IPO 的 10897 条配发档位数据做回归拟合与 KNN 相似匹配，估计各申购档位的期望中签手数，并结合分配手法系数 α（人均分配至比例分配）给出区间。
数据来源：港交所披露易平台公开发售配发结果公告、招股说明书、FINI 平台公告；孖展数据（孖展倍数、捷利预测倍数及券商明细）来自捷利交易宝（TradeGo），倍数仅覆盖已上报券商，捷利预测倍数为全市场外推值。
孖展倍数盘中实时更新；中签率预测模型随新股配发数据入库不定期迭代。
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