广合科技 01989
新股中签预测
59.6006.51%( -4.150 )
11月13日 · 收市数据，非实时 · 香港交易所
基于相似IPO匹配的期望中签预测
新股中签预测| 排名 | 券商 | 孖展资金 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  富途 |
1555.6亿 |
| 2 |  辉立 |
610.0亿 |
| 3 |  老虎 |
284.7亿 |
| 4 |  华泰 |
98.1亿 |
| 5 |  招银 |
50.0亿 |
| 6 |  华盛 |
34.0亿 |
| 7 |  信诚 |
30.0亿 |
| 8 |  熊猫 |
18.4亿 |
| 9 |  盈立 |
16.5亿 |
| 时间 | 倍数 |
|---|---|
| 2026-03-12T06:00:00+08:00 | 0 |
| 2026-03-12T10:21:14+08:00 | 0.030243459851807045 |
| 2026-03-12T10:21:25+08:00 | 0.048903674580371995 |
| 2026-03-12T10:21:28+08:00 | 0.7335853621654317 |
| 2026-03-12T10:21:31+08:00 | 1.97054287010434 |
| 2026-03-12T11:07:17+08:00 | 1.9987600181460758 |
| 2026-03-12T11:07:23+08:00 | 3.2075003780432483 |
| 2026-03-12T11:07:28+08:00 | 6.298381974897929 |
| 2026-03-12T11:27:23+08:00 | 6.437713594435204 |
| 2026-03-12T11:50:46+08:00 | 6.4982005141388175 |
| 2026-03-12T12:03:27+08:00 | 6.510388628459096 |
| 2026-03-12T12:03:35+08:00 | 7.007833056101618 |
| 2026-03-12T12:09:15+08:00 | 9.645062755179193 |
| 2026-03-12T13:48:57+08:00 | 9.73488583093906 |
| 2026-03-12T13:49:01+08:00 | 9.75883865114169 |
| 2026-03-12T13:49:20+08:00 | 11.395009829124453 |
| 2026-03-12T13:49:28+08:00 | 12.702132163919552 |
| 2026-03-12T13:49:34+08:00 | 12.71029789807954 |
| 2026-03-12T14:14:49+08:00 | 12.717526084984122 |
| 2026-03-12T14:15:06+08:00 | 12.755179192499622 |
| 2026-03-12T14:15:08+08:00 | 14.137305307727203 |
| 2026-03-12T14:15:12+08:00 | 14.310055950400725 |
| 2026-03-12T14:16:06+08:00 | 14.461212762740058 |
| 2026-03-12T15:33:45+08:00 | 15.095327385452896 |
| 2026-03-12T15:34:11+08:00 | 16.62564645395433 |
| 2026-03-12T15:34:14+08:00 | 16.80048389535763 |
| 2026-03-12T15:35:28+08:00 | 17.1029184938757 |
| 2026-03-12T16:20:06+08:00 | 17.163405413579312 |
| 2026-03-12T16:20:34+08:00 | 18.028368365340995 |
| 2026-03-12T16:20:40+08:00 | 18.484107061847876 |
| 2026-03-12T16:20:47+08:00 | 18.53186148495388 |
| 2026-03-12T17:23:49+08:00 | 18.53691214274913 |
| 2026-03-12T17:24:17+08:00 | 18.81303493119613 |
| 2026-03-12T17:24:37+08:00 | 19.741509148646607 |
| 2026-03-12T17:24:49+08:00 | 24.671193104491152 |
| 2026-03-12T17:24:52+08:00 | 25.7297141993044 |
| 2026-03-12T17:44:11+08:00 | 25.85322848933918 |
| 2026-03-12T18:14:03+08:00 | 25.85873279903221 |
| 2026-03-12T18:14:16+08:00 | 26.38992892786935 |
| 2026-03-12T18:14:21+08:00 | 27.2911840314532 |
| 2026-03-12T18:14:26+08:00 | 27.306033570240434 |
| 2026-03-12T18:14:31+08:00 | 27.396763949795858 |
| 2026-03-12T18:15:23+08:00 | 28.833388779676394 |
| 2026-03-12T21:03:20+08:00 | 29.05991229396643 |
| 2026-03-12T21:03:30+08:00 | 29.278753969454105 |
| 2026-03-12T21:03:36+08:00 | 30.84838953576289 |
| 2026-03-12T21:03:41+08:00 | 30.87751398760018 |
| 2026-03-12T21:03:54+08:00 | 31.20789354302132 |
| 2026-03-12T21:04:00+08:00 | 32.29363375170119 |
| 2026-03-12T21:04:04+08:00 | 32.31498563435657 |
| 2026-03-12T21:04:15+08:00 | 32.566974141841825 |
| 2026-03-12T22:08:43+08:00 | 33.02969907757448 |
| 2026-03-12T22:08:50+08:00 | 33.615333434144866 |
| 2026-03-12T22:08:56+08:00 | 33.65223045516407 |
| 2026-03-12T22:09:01+08:00 | 34.819628005443825 |
| 2026-03-13T08:34:41+08:00 | 39.98521094813247 |
| 2026-03-13T08:34:55+08:00 | 40.21633146831998 |
| 2026-03-13T08:34:58+08:00 | 40.6920006048692 |
| 2026-03-13T08:35:06+08:00 | 40.6920006048692 |
| 2026-03-13T08:35:18+08:00 | 40.744110086193864 |
| 2026-03-13T08:35:21+08:00 | 40.793648873431124 |
| 2026-03-13T08:35:24+08:00 | 40.85356116739755 |
| 2026-03-13T09:23:03+08:00 | 41.00359897172237 |
| 2026-03-13T09:23:40+08:00 | 41.020051413881745 |
| 2026-03-13T09:23:43+08:00 | 41.59467715106608 |
| 2026-03-13T09:23:46+08:00 | 41.611855436261905 |
| 2026-03-13T09:24:00+08:00 | 41.82355965522456 |
| 2026-03-13T09:25:38+08:00 | 42.94580371994556 |
| 2026-03-13T10:01:49+08:00 | 42.948071979434445 |
| 2026-03-13T10:03:08+08:00 | 43.42806593074248 |
| 2026-03-13T10:05:32+08:00 | 45.1489187963103 |
| 2026-03-13T10:27:42+08:00 | 45.178285195826405 |
| 2026-03-13T11:07:37+08:00 | 45.86345077876909 |
| 2026-03-13T11:08:39+08:00 | 46.15306215030999 |
| 2026-03-13T11:08:59+08:00 | 48.06747315892938 |
| 2026-03-13T11:28:43+08:00 | 48.10691063057614 |
| 2026-03-13T11:53:02+08:00 | 48.560562528353245 |
| 2026-03-13T12:05:50+08:00 | 48.58584606078936 |
| 2026-03-13T12:07:08+08:00 | 48.60474822319674 |
| 2026-03-13T12:07:32+08:00 | 49.77517011946166 |
| 2026-03-13T13:50:15+08:00 | 49.74807197943445 |
| 2026-03-13T13:50:26+08:00 | 49.76972629668834 |
| 2026-03-13T13:50:51+08:00 | 49.733373657946466 |
| 2026-03-13T13:51:34+08:00 | 49.866807802812644 |
| 2026-03-13T13:51:58+08:00 | 50.4384091940118 |
| 2026-03-13T14:20:08+08:00 | 50.463329804929685 |
| 2026-03-13T14:20:59+08:00 | 50.65622259186451 |
| 2026-03-13T14:21:17+08:00 | 52.5071223347951 |
| 2026-03-13T14:21:39+08:00 | 52.52847421745047 |
| 2026-03-13T14:22:26+08:00 | 52.822047482231966 |
| 2026-03-13T15:04:17+08:00 | 52.97931347346137 |
| 2026-03-13T15:05:08+08:00 | 53.215847572962346 |
| 2026-03-13T15:05:31+08:00 | 55.06674731589294 |
| 2026-03-13T15:11:13+08:00 | 55.10403750189022 |
| 2026-03-13T15:57:53+08:00 | 57.82594888855285 |
| 2026-03-13T16:01:25+08:00 | 57.887615303190685 |
| 2026-03-13T16:51:24+08:00 | 58.12877665204899 |
| 2026-03-13T16:51:38+08:00 | 58.4735520943596 |
| 2026-03-13T16:52:02+08:00 | 58.49354302132164 |
| 2026-03-13T17:05:34+08:00 | 58.52484500226826 |
| 2026-03-13T17:07:48+08:00 | 58.67778617873885 |
| 2026-03-13T17:08:28+08:00 | 59.712112505670646 |
| 2026-03-13T17:11:12+08:00 | 59.72910933010736 |
| 2026-03-13T17:18:21+08:00 | 68.86263420535309 |
| 2026-03-13T17:31:09+08:00 | 69.16506880387116 |
| 2026-03-13T18:19:45+08:00 | 69.16933313171027 |
| 2026-03-13T18:21:51+08:00 | 69.41155300166339 |
| 2026-03-13T18:22:28+08:00 | 70.11924996219568 |
| 2026-03-13T18:23:23+08:00 | 70.18605776500831 |
| 2026-03-13T18:24:53+08:00 | 70.59392106456978 |
| 2026-03-13T20:09:58+08:00 | 70.69172841373053 |
| 2026-03-13T20:15:31+08:00 | 70.81944654468471 |
| 2026-03-13T20:16:15+08:00 | 70.86345077876909 |
| 2026-03-13T20:16:27+08:00 | 70.90730379555421 |
| 2026-03-13T20:16:56+08:00 | 71.17042189626493 |
| 2026-03-13T20:17:11+08:00 | 71.53334341448662 |
| 2026-03-14T08:22:50+08:00 | 73.91326175714502 |
| 2026-03-14T08:24:28+08:00 | 74.07382428549826 |
| 2026-03-14T08:25:15+08:00 | 74.07382428549826 |
| 2026-03-14T08:25:38+08:00 | 74.57284137305308 |
| 2026-03-14T08:25:50+08:00 | 74.92668985331922 |
| 2026-03-14T08:26:01+08:00 | 78.30790866475125 |
| 2026-03-14T09:37:39+08:00 | 78.39733857553304 |
| 2026-03-14T09:38:18+08:00 | 78.4670799939513 |
| 2026-03-14T09:38:34+08:00 | 78.82092847421745 |
| 2026-03-14T09:38:45+08:00 | 78.83284439739906 |
| 2026-03-14T10:05:05+08:00 | 78.83989112354453 |
| 2026-03-14T10:06:03+08:00 | 78.9582035384848 |
| 2026-03-14T10:06:30+08:00 | 79.75058218660214 |
| 2026-03-14T12:47:44+08:00 | 79.86850143656434 |
| 2026-03-14T12:48:16+08:00 | 79.87134432179042 |
| 2026-03-14T12:49:23+08:00 | 80.28846212006654 |
| 2026-03-14T12:49:49+08:00 | 80.86913654922122 |
| 2026-03-14T12:49:59+08:00 | 81.30161802510207 |
| 2026-03-14T16:09:47+08:00 | 81.30536821412369 |
| 2026-03-14T16:12:03+08:00 | 81.36394979585664 |
| 2026-03-14T16:12:35+08:00 | 81.89432935127779 |
| 2026-03-14T16:13:31+08:00 | 83.12221382126116 |
| 2026-03-14T16:13:42+08:00 | 83.55469529714199 |
| 2026-03-14T18:33:05+08:00 | 83.5548162709814 |
| 2026-03-14T18:35:25+08:00 | 83.621019204597 |
| 2026-03-14T18:36:02+08:00 | 83.72584303644337 |
| 2026-03-14T18:37:07+08:00 | 84.37002873128687 |
| 2026-03-14T18:37:19+08:00 | 84.6150007560865 |
| 2026-03-14T20:07:01+08:00 | 84.61608952064117 |
| 2026-03-14T20:08:03+08:00 | 84.62918493875699 |
| 2026-03-14T20:08:35+08:00 | 84.71156812339332 |
| 2026-03-14T20:09:05+08:00 | 84.67225162558597 |
| 2026-03-14T20:09:14+08:00 | 85.10775744745199 |
| 2026-03-14T22:05:36+08:00 | 85.11265688794798 |
| 2026-03-14T22:06:01+08:00 | 85.16630878572509 |
| 2026-03-14T22:06:18+08:00 | 85.34776954483593 |
| 2026-03-14T22:06:27+08:00 | 85.37553304097989 |
| 2026-03-14T22:06:37+08:00 | 85.55254801149252 |
| 2026-03-14T22:06:53+08:00 | 86.03341902313625 |
| 2026-03-15T10:26:24+08:00 | 88.12324209889611 |
| 2026-03-15T10:26:38+08:00 | 88.41357931347346 |
| 2026-03-15T10:26:53+08:00 | 89.09103281415393 |
| 2026-03-15T10:27:26+08:00 | 89.3806744291547 |
| 2026-03-15T10:27:31+08:00 | 89.66314834417058 |
| 2026-03-15T10:27:35+08:00 | 89.68964161500075 |
| 2026-03-15T10:27:39+08:00 | 89.74392862543475 |
| 2026-03-15T10:30:48+08:00 | 89.7346741267201 |
| 2026-03-15T10:30:53+08:00 | 89.77017994858612 |
| 2026-03-15T10:31:26+08:00 | 89.78956600635112 |
| 2026-03-15T10:31:29+08:00 | 89.83139271132617 |
| 2026-03-15T10:31:33+08:00 | 89.96107666717073 |
| 2026-03-15T10:31:36+08:00 | 90.01729925903523 |
| 2026-03-15T10:31:40+08:00 | 90.05909572055043 |
| 2026-03-15T12:52:43+08:00 | 90.1064267352185 |
| 2026-03-15T12:52:55+08:00 | 90.13630727355209 |
| 2026-03-15T12:54:23+08:00 | 90.28864358082565 |
| 2026-03-15T12:54:36+08:00 | 90.61367004385302 |
| 2026-03-15T12:55:09+08:00 | 91.40907303795554 |
| 2026-03-15T12:55:18+08:00 | 91.9171631634659 |
| 2026-03-15T12:56:30+08:00 | 91.9272039921367 |
| 2026-03-15T12:56:40+08:00 | 91.9288976258884 |
| 2026-03-15T15:27:43+08:00 | 91.93149856343565 |
| 2026-03-15T15:27:48+08:00 | 91.95596552245577 |
| 2026-03-15T15:27:53+08:00 | 91.97631937093604 |
| 2026-03-15T15:31:17+08:00 | 92.82616059277181 |
| 2026-03-15T15:31:21+08:00 | 93.23142295478603 |
| 2026-03-15T15:31:25+08:00 | 93.98448510509603 |
| 2026-03-15T15:33:16+08:00 | 93.98518070467262 |
| 2026-03-15T15:33:20+08:00 | 93.98687433842431 |
| 2026-03-15T15:33:24+08:00 | 93.98793285951913 |
| 2026-03-15T15:33:50+08:00 | 94.13382730984425 |
| 2026-03-15T15:33:55+08:00 | 94.196733706336 |
| 2026-03-15T15:33:59+08:00 | 94.33902918493875 |
| 2026-03-15T19:27:27+08:00 | 94.35342507182821 |
| 2026-03-15T19:27:31+08:00 | 94.37737789203085 |
| 2026-03-15T19:27:34+08:00 | 94.45921669438984 |
| 2026-03-15T19:27:38+08:00 | 94.54489641615001 |
| 2026-03-15T19:33:23+08:00 | 94.66995312263722 |
| 2026-03-15T19:33:26+08:00 | 94.78714652956299 |
| 2026-03-15T19:33:30+08:00 | 94.98254952366551 |
| 2026-03-15T19:33:34+08:00 | 95.05806744291547 |
| 2026-03-15T19:35:39+08:00 | 95.05915620747014 |
| 2026-03-15T19:35:43+08:00 | 95.05988205050657 |
| 2026-03-15T19:35:47+08:00 | 95.06178738847724 |
| 2026-03-15T19:35:51+08:00 | 95.0635717526085 |
| 2026-03-15T19:38:33+08:00 | 95.88014516860729 |
| 2026-03-15T19:38:37+08:00 | 96.80559504007259 |
| 2026-03-15T19:38:41+08:00 | 98.15445334946318 |
| 2026-03-15T19:38:44+08:00 | 99.70896718584606 |
| 2026-03-15T22:47:15+08:00 | 99.76878874943293 |
| 2026-03-15T22:47:25+08:00 | 99.8752457281113 |
| 2026-03-15T22:47:43+08:00 | 100.01206714048087 |
| 2026-03-15T22:49:01+08:00 | 100.96473612581279 |
| 2026-03-15T22:49:16+08:00 | 102.09886587025555 |
| 2026-03-15T22:49:55+08:00 | 103.74713443217904 |
| 2026-03-15T22:51:29+08:00 | 103.82365038560411 |
| 2026-03-15T22:51:44+08:00 | 104.45371238469681 |
| 2026-03-15T22:52:08+08:00 | 104.6796310297898 |
| 2026-03-16T08:38:56+08:00 | 105.11253591410858 |
| 2026-03-16T08:39:01+08:00 | 106.37265991229397 |
| 2026-03-16T08:39:56+08:00 | 115.55759866928777 |
| 2026-03-16T08:40:41+08:00 | 115.69747467110237 |
| 2026-03-16T08:40:49+08:00 | 116.23813700287313 |
| 2026-03-16T08:42:06+08:00 | 116.23813700287313 |
| 2026-03-16T09:23:03+08:00 | 116.26556782095872 |
| 2026-03-16T09:24:55+08:00 | 119.28991380613942 |
| 2026-03-16T09:25:15+08:00 | 119.48682897323454 |
| 2026-03-16T09:25:39+08:00 | 122.9103886284591 |
| 2026-03-16T09:26:02+08:00 | 123.87654619688492 |
| 2026-03-16T09:28:54+08:00 | 127.08017541206713 |
| 2026-03-16T10:01:47+08:00 | 127.10412823226977 |
| 2026-03-16T10:04:23+08:00 | 129.11029789807955 |
| 2026-03-16T10:11:38+08:00 | 139.86184787539693 |
| 2026-03-16T10:12:08+08:00 | 140.1147739301376 |
| 2026-03-16T11:05:35+08:00 | 141.14655980644184 |
| 2026-03-16T11:06:45+08:00 | 143.01412369575078 |
| 2026-03-16T11:07:26+08:00 | 151.77262966883413 |
| 2026-03-16T11:16:15+08:00 | 152.12414940269167 |
| 2026-03-16T12:20:56+08:00 | 153.6409194011795 |
| 2026-03-16T12:21:24+08:00 | 154.9772871616513 |
| 2026-03-16T12:23:29+08:00 | 155.73337365794646 |
| 2026-03-16T12:24:49+08:00 | 163.10672916981702 |
| 2026-03-16T12:25:20+08:00 | 163.14834417057313 |
| 2026-03-16T13:45:17+08:00 | 163.19156207470135 |
| 2026-03-16T13:45:54+08:00 | 164.14770905791622 |
| 2026-03-16T13:46:55+08:00 | 168.8203236050204 |
| 2026-03-16T13:47:17+08:00 | 168.87594132768788 |
| 2026-03-16T13:48:46+08:00 | 169.7832451232421 |
| 2026-03-16T14:01:08+08:00 | 169.7966732194163 |
| 2026-03-16T14:02:54+08:00 | 173.5381823680629 |
| 2026-03-16T14:05:19+08:00 | 176.02464841977923 |
| 2026-03-16T14:05:53+08:00 | 184.62286405564797 |
| 2026-03-16T14:29:18+08:00 | 184.6928776652049 |
| 2026-03-16T15:15:57+08:00 | 184.86992287917738 |
| 2026-03-16T15:16:46+08:00 | 186.8333282927567 |
| 2026-03-16T15:18:57+08:00 | 186.90403750189023 |
| 2026-03-16T15:19:29+08:00 | 195.26937849690003 |
| 2026-03-16T15:34:07+08:00 | 201.31807046726146 |
| 2026-03-16T16:09:09+08:00 | 203.85005292605473 |
| 2026-03-16T16:09:38+08:00 | 215.9595342507183 |
| 2026-03-16T16:10:25+08:00 | 216.04790564040528 |
| 2026-03-16T17:06:15+08:00 | 218.21536367760473 |
| 2026-03-16T17:06:45+08:00 | 232.98324512324209 |
| 2026-03-16T17:13:35+08:00 | 233.08979283230002 |
| 2026-03-16T18:06:35+08:00 | 314.74713443217905 |
| 2026-03-16T18:06:58+08:00 | 315.65443822773324 |
| 2026-03-16T18:08:30+08:00 | 318.34456373809167 |
| 2026-03-16T18:09:03+08:00 | 327.5446242250113 |
| 2026-03-16T18:10:42+08:00 | 331.3510358384999 |
| 2026-03-16T18:12:41+08:00 | 331.47648570996523 |
| 2026-03-16T20:58:54+08:00 | 331.707545743233 |
| 2026-03-16T20:59:31+08:00 | 336.3606532587328 |
| 2026-03-16T21:00:07+08:00 | 345.4488129442008 |
| 2026-03-16T21:00:27+08:00 | 356.5330409798881 |
| 2026-03-16T21:48:21+08:00 | 361.3680024194768 |
| 2026-03-16T21:49:16+08:00 | 376.9615303190685 |
| 2026-03-16T21:49:49+08:00 | 377.0939664297596 |
| 2026-03-16T22:04:58+08:00 | 383.0564645395433 |
| 2026-03-16T22:05:30+08:00 | 406.0354453349463 |
| 2026-03-17T08:49:03+08:00 | 413.8414032965371 |
| 2026-03-17T08:49:08+08:00 | 429.9151368516558 |
| 2026-03-17T08:50:15+08:00 | 546.4794798124906 |
| 2026-03-17T08:51:27+08:00 | 546.6623922576742 |
| 2026-03-17T08:51:30+08:00 | 546.7812792983517 |
| 2026-03-17T08:51:33+08:00 | 547.2351429003478 |
| 2026-03-17T08:53:41+08:00 | 547.2351429003478 |
| 2026-03-17T09:05:18+08:00 | 553.3458339634054 |
| 2026-03-17T09:06:32+08:00 | 595.5384848026614 |
| 2026-03-17T09:07:26+08:00 | 611.0294571298956 |
| 2026-03-17T09:28:43+08:00 | 626.1511870557991 |
| 2026-03-17T09:30:21+08:00 | 629.629184938757 |
| 2026-03-17T10:11:21+08:00 | 633.0497504914562 |
| 2026-03-17T10:12:13+08:00 | 728.0323605020415 |
| 2026-03-17T11:45:50+08:00 | 815.7383940722818 |
| 2026-03-17T18:08:49+08:00 | 824.09 |
| 时间 | 倍数 |
|---|
| 时间 | 券商 | 孖展资金 |
|---|
以实际认购倍数 1070.72x 和当前分配手法 (甲组 α=0.498, 乙组 α=0.598) 为基准，对比各档位的实际与预测期望中签手数
| 申购手数 | 认购金额(HKD) | 实际期望中签 | 预测期望中签 | 偏差 |
|---|
广合科技中签预测矩阵行为申购档位，列为不同认购倍数，数值为期望中签手数，绿色背景表示期望中签≥1手；非预设倍数由相邻网格插值估计。
机制B
《第18项应用指引》下的灵活发售机制。最低初订分配份额为发售股份的10%，不设回补机制。最高初订分配份额为发售股份的60%（因《第18项应用指引》规定发售股份总数至少40%须分配予配售部分投资者，基石投资者除外）。发行人可根据发售结构、市场状况及散户投资者利益，自行厘定公开认购部分的初订分配份额。
α 为发行人分配偏好系数，描述发行人对不同申购规模的分配倾向。α 取值范围 [0, 1]。
本页面的「中签率」定义与港交所配发结果公告完全一致：中签率 = 该档位获配股份总数 ÷ 该档位有效申请股份总数 × 100%。此为港交所官方口径，与其他网站可能使用的不同定义（如「申购人数中签比例」）有本质区别。
期望中签手数 = 该档位获配总股数 ÷ 每手股数 ÷ 该档位申购人数
例：某档位获配总股数 50,000 股，每手 100 股，申购人数 500 人 → 期望中签手数 = 50,000 ÷ 100 ÷ 500 = 1.0 手。
本页展示 广合科技（01989）的中签预测：基于相似 IPO 匹配的期望中签率、甲乙组资金效率对比。
默认认购倍数按「近期首日表现 → 参与人数 → 人均手数 → 认购倍数」链条推导，公式为 认购倍数 = 参与人数 × 人均手数 ÷ 公开发售手数；其中参与人数与人均手数以近期 IPO 的中位数为基准，再按发行规模、A+H 身份、H 股折溢价、行业、并发 IPO、保荐人历史表现与恒指近期走势等特征调节。
认购窗口前期默认倍数以模型推导为准；随认购进度推进逐步结合孖展倍数加权；临近截止（进度约九成后）默认倍数以孖展倍数预测为准。
中签率预测基于历史 592 只 IPO 的 22087 条配发档位数据做回归拟合与 KNN 相似匹配，估计各申购档位的期望中签手数，并结合分配手法系数 α（人均分配至比例分配）给出区间。你可以自定义认购倍数与分配手法系数 α，覆盖 cibo 的默认预测，查看不同场景下的期望中签手数。中签率的计算方式与回拨规则见港股中签率怎么算。
数据来源：港交所披露易平台公开发售配发结果公告、招股说明书、FINI 平台公告；孖展数据（孖展倍数、捷利预测倍数及券商明细）来自捷利交易宝（TradeGo），倍数仅覆盖已上报券商，捷利预测倍数为全市场外推值。
孖展倍数盘中实时更新；中签率预测模型随新股配发数据入库不定期迭代。
