中伟新材 02579
新股中签预测
16.7203.35%( -0.580 )
11月13日 · 收市数据，非实时 · 香港交易所
基于相似IPO匹配的期望中签预测
新股中签预测| 排名 | 券商 | 孖展资金 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  富途 |
37.3亿 |
| 2 |  辉立 |
10.0亿 |
| 3 |  老虎 |
9.4亿 |
| 4 |  华泰 |
3.3亿 |
| 5 |  信诚 |
2.2亿 |
| 6 |  盈立 |
2.1亿 |
| 7 |  长桥 |
2.1亿 |
| 8 |  招银 |
1.8亿 |
| 10 |  华盛 |
9500万 |
| 11 | 卓锐证券 | 7684万 |
| 12 |  艾德 |
1865万 |
| 13 |  盈宝 |
705万 |
| 14 |  Funderstone |
344万 |
| 15 |  TradeGo |
60万 |
| 时间 | 倍数 |
|---|---|
| 2025-11-07T06:00:00+08:00 | 0 |
| 2025-11-07T10:00:44+08:00 | 0.010254587912785237 |
| 2025-11-07T10:15:59+08:00 | 0.14432571007944767 |
| 2025-11-07T10:16:04+08:00 | 0.15955529608853466 |
| 2025-11-07T10:47:38+08:00 | 0.17173896489580426 |
| 2025-11-07T11:30:47+08:00 | 0.18036906363428687 |
| 2025-11-07T11:30:59+08:00 | 0.19831459248166103 |
| 2025-11-07T11:31:20+08:00 | 0.3659669517983603 |
| 2025-11-07T11:31:33+08:00 | 0.4694012234434094 |
| 2025-11-07T11:31:52+08:00 | 0.6572327842221489 |
| 2025-11-07T12:04:25+08:00 | 0.6674619894915856 |
| 2025-11-07T12:04:30+08:00 | 0.7061451379546666 |
| 2025-11-07T12:04:37+08:00 | 0.8300885854252862 |
| 2025-11-07T12:07:51+08:00 | 1.058532375561591 |
| 2025-11-07T13:36:32+08:00 | 1.0647003578952712 |
| 2025-11-07T13:36:50+08:00 | 1.1090946011117597 |
| 2025-11-07T13:37:23+08:00 | 1.160900576186004 |
| 2025-11-07T13:37:34+08:00 | 1.2598928852450695 |
| 2025-11-07T13:41:37+08:00 | 1.2903520572632434 |
| 2025-11-07T14:08:58+08:00 | 1.294362514912303 |
| 2025-11-07T14:09:17+08:00 | 1.4388405208518416 |
| 2025-11-07T14:09:36+08:00 | 1.6671827804147523 |
| 2025-11-07T14:09:50+08:00 | 1.8194786405056222 |
| 2025-11-07T14:10:27+08:00 | 1.9403761707744245 |
| 2025-11-07T15:07:03+08:00 | 1.964921186892403 |
| 2025-11-07T15:07:34+08:00 | 1.989060080716806 |
| 2025-11-07T15:07:53+08:00 | 1.8364088636190572 |
| 2025-11-07T15:08:12+08:00 | 1.976013402035688 |
| 2025-11-07T16:03:11+08:00 | 1.9849988577810493 |
| 2025-11-07T16:03:36+08:00 | 2.01401121912836 |
| 2025-11-07T16:03:52+08:00 | 1.9711399345127802 |
| 2025-11-07T16:17:06+08:00 | 1.9508338198339976 |
| 2025-11-07T17:02:50+08:00 | 1.9680686346676144 |
| 2025-11-07T17:03:12+08:00 | 2.7295479351219636 |
| 2025-11-07T17:03:42+08:00 | 2.7658958803969846 |
| 2025-11-07T17:04:15+08:00 | 2.7954920425413103 |
| 2025-11-07T17:10:33+08:00 | 2.9909383963245935 |
| 2025-11-07T17:24:55+08:00 | 3.0290123613473106 |
| 2025-11-07T18:02:52+08:00 | 3.033073584283067 |
| 2025-11-07T18:03:12+08:00 | 3.053125872528365 |
| 2025-11-07T18:03:24+08:00 | 3.0738381095007234 |
| 2025-11-07T18:05:15+08:00 | 3.100870624666853 |
| 2025-11-07T18:05:31+08:00 | 3.1516359113638095 |
| 2025-11-07T20:11:20+08:00 | 3.153641140188339 |
| 2025-11-07T20:11:31+08:00 | 3.1634642231642003 |
| 2025-11-07T20:11:42+08:00 | 3.1824250577455135 |
| 2025-11-07T20:11:52+08:00 | 3.2408051374470137 |
| 2025-11-07T20:12:03+08:00 | 3.244104881082316 |
| 2025-11-07T20:12:14+08:00 | 3.245932431403406 |
| 2025-11-07T20:12:24+08:00 | 3.263700281747341 |
| 2025-11-07T21:41:28+08:00 | 3.3248470695738255 |
| 2025-11-07T21:41:39+08:00 | 3.3271315074751886 |
| 2025-11-07T21:41:49+08:00 | 3.3575906794933625 |
| 2025-11-07T22:05:25+08:00 | 3.368606746706602 |
| 2025-11-07T22:05:36+08:00 | 3.370078940020814 |
| 2025-11-07T22:05:47+08:00 | 3.4233824910526183 |
| 2025-11-08T09:37:57+08:00 | 3.4272152701982384 |
| 2025-11-08T09:38:12+08:00 | 3.4272152701982384 |
| 2025-11-08T09:38:21+08:00 | 3.366525369952027 |
| 2025-11-08T09:38:25+08:00 | 3.366956874888951 |
| 2025-11-08T09:38:33+08:00 | 3.395030078432368 |
| 2025-11-08T09:38:40+08:00 | 3.394141685915171 |
| 2025-11-08T09:38:44+08:00 | 3.5388227530014977 |
| 2025-11-08T09:38:52+08:00 | 3.5563875421986446 |
| 2025-11-08T09:39:08+08:00 | 3.623499251212021 |
| 2025-11-08T09:39:17+08:00 | 3.6243114957991724 |
| 2025-11-08T10:01:02+08:00 | 3.6283981013782776 |
| 2025-11-08T10:07:40+08:00 | 3.63786582734726 |
| 2025-11-08T10:07:58+08:00 | 3.6784780567048254 |
| 2025-11-08T13:05:48+08:00 | 3.6792903012919767 |
| 2025-11-08T13:05:56+08:00 | 3.6614716856613447 |
| 2025-11-08T13:06:02+08:00 | 3.6589080386831485 |
| 2025-11-08T13:06:22+08:00 | 3.666522831687692 |
| 2025-11-08T13:06:32+08:00 | 3.667258928344798 |
| 2025-11-08T13:06:44+08:00 | 3.71142472777115 |
| 2025-11-08T13:06:56+08:00 | 3.720054826509633 |
| 2025-11-08T13:07:12+08:00 | 3.720232505013072 |
| 2025-11-08T13:07:23+08:00 | 3.706906617255121 |
| 2025-11-08T13:07:34+08:00 | 3.7071858263319544 |
| 2025-11-08T13:07:45+08:00 | 3.722415412341041 |
| 2025-11-08T17:09:18+08:00 | 3.7228215346346167 |
| 2025-11-08T17:09:29+08:00 | 3.733558392771023 |
| 2025-11-08T17:09:39+08:00 | 3.7352844125187197 |
| 2025-11-08T17:09:43+08:00 | 3.773358377541437 |
| 2025-11-08T17:09:52+08:00 | 3.773612203974922 |
| 2025-11-08T17:10:00+08:00 | 3.7798563342386475 |
| 2025-11-08T17:10:05+08:00 | 3.7795263598751174 |
| 2025-11-08T17:10:13+08:00 | 3.8328299109069217 |
| 2025-11-08T17:10:20+08:00 | 3.8329822067670127 |
| 2025-11-08T17:10:28+08:00 | 3.8332867984871943 |
| 2025-11-08T17:10:37+08:00 | 3.841053887351829 |
| 2025-11-08T17:10:45+08:00 | 3.853745209026068 |
| 2025-11-08T17:10:52+08:00 | 3.8541005660329466 |
| 2025-11-08T17:11:08+08:00 | 3.86171535903749 |
| 2025-11-08T18:06:14+08:00 | 3.861918420184278 |
| 2025-11-08T18:06:26+08:00 | 3.8624768383379444 |
| 2025-11-08T18:06:38+08:00 | 3.865954260476686 |
| 2025-11-08T18:06:49+08:00 | 3.8710307891463818 |
| 2025-11-08T20:04:01+08:00 | 3.8711577023631243 |
| 2025-11-08T20:04:06+08:00 | 3.871360763509912 |
| 2025-11-08T20:04:15+08:00 | 3.8722999213138056 |
| 2025-11-08T20:08:07+08:00 | 3.8799147143183492 |
| 2025-11-08T20:08:28+08:00 | 3.8928090971393763 |
| 2025-11-08T20:08:45+08:00 | 3.9918014061984417 |
| 2025-11-08T21:37:24+08:00 | 3.9920552326319263 |
| 2025-11-08T21:37:40+08:00 | 3.9971317613016217 |
| 2025-11-08T22:10:37+08:00 | 3.9904053608142753 |
| 2025-11-09T10:08:10+08:00 | 3.99266441607229 |
| 2025-11-09T10:08:19+08:00 | 3.9926897987156384 |
| 2025-11-09T10:10:17+08:00 | 4.0124121125974055 |
| 2025-11-09T10:10:27+08:00 | 4.0237835368175245 |
| 2025-11-09T10:11:05+08:00 | 4.024570398761327 |
| 2025-11-09T10:11:48+08:00 | 4.024240424397797 |
| 2025-11-09T10:13:18+08:00 | 4.024392720257888 |
| 2025-11-09T10:13:23+08:00 | 4.026144122648932 |
| 2025-11-09T10:13:31+08:00 | 4.03137294717872 |
| 2025-11-09T10:13:36+08:00 | 4.0270071325227805 |
| 2025-11-09T10:13:42+08:00 | 4.029113891920705 |
| 2025-11-09T10:14:16+08:00 | 4.049420006599488 |
| 2025-11-09T10:14:25+08:00 | 4.054496535269183 |
| 2025-11-09T10:14:35+08:00 | 4.082417442952509 |
| 2025-11-09T13:59:22+08:00 | 4.085641038657766 |
| 2025-11-09T13:59:30+08:00 | 4.085996395664645 |
| 2025-11-09T13:59:35+08:00 | 4.084295758560296 |
| 2025-11-09T14:00:05+08:00 | 4.0849303246440085 |
| 2025-11-09T14:00:18+08:00 | 4.085158768434145 |
| 2025-11-09T14:01:33+08:00 | 4.085514125441024 |
| 2025-11-09T14:01:45+08:00 | 4.086250222098129 |
| 2025-11-09T14:04:00+08:00 | 4.083610427189887 |
| 2025-11-09T14:04:10+08:00 | 4.085818717161205 |
| 2025-11-09T14:04:19+08:00 | 4.076477904408965 |
| 2025-11-09T14:05:04+08:00 | 4.082722034672691 |
| 2025-11-09T14:05:41+08:00 | 4.092875092012082 |
| 2025-11-09T14:05:55+08:00 | 4.105566413686321 |
| 2025-11-09T14:06:14+08:00 | 4.1030281493514735 |
| 2025-11-09T17:27:04+08:00 | 4.101378277533822 |
| 2025-11-09T17:27:12+08:00 | 4.101733634540701 |
| 2025-11-09T17:27:38+08:00 | 4.119171510521106 |
| 2025-11-09T17:27:46+08:00 | 4.116557098256212 |
| 2025-11-09T17:28:11+08:00 | 4.117547021346803 |
| 2025-11-09T17:28:16+08:00 | 4.118511561794045 |
| 2025-11-09T17:28:28+08:00 | 4.120389877401832 |
| 2025-11-09T17:28:51+08:00 | 4.112775084397289 |
| 2025-11-09T17:28:55+08:00 | 4.115313348732137 |
| 2025-11-09T22:17:36+08:00 | 4.122293575652969 |
| 2025-11-09T22:17:45+08:00 | 4.12277584587659 |
| 2025-11-09T22:17:55+08:00 | 4.113054293474122 |
| 2025-11-09T22:17:59+08:00 | 4.113358885194304 |
| 2025-11-09T22:18:10+08:00 | 4.114678782648425 |
| 2025-11-09T22:18:58+08:00 | 4.115287966088789 |
| 2025-11-09T22:19:07+08:00 | 4.115668705739016 |
| 2025-11-09T22:22:23+08:00 | 4.115491027235576 |
| 2025-11-09T22:22:28+08:00 | 4.117572403990152 |
| 2025-11-09T22:22:37+08:00 | 4.120186816255045 |
| 2025-11-09T22:25:26+08:00 | 4.224255653983806 |
| 2025-11-09T22:25:30+08:00 | 4.242023504327741 |
| 2025-11-09T22:25:34+08:00 | 4.287712262355002 |
| 2025-11-09T22:25:37+08:00 | 4.295327055359545 |
| 2025-11-09T22:25:42+08:00 | 4.318171434373175 |
| 2025-11-10T08:42:13+08:00 | 4.298576033708151 |
| 2025-11-10T08:42:37+08:00 | 4.302332664923725 |
| 2025-11-10T08:43:53+08:00 | 4.304337893748255 |
| 2025-11-10T08:43:56+08:00 | 4.304363276391603 |
| 2025-11-10T08:43:59+08:00 | 4.304439424321649 |
| 2025-11-10T08:44:02+08:00 | 4.3053024341954975 |
| 2025-11-10T08:44:18+08:00 | 4.526131431327259 |
| 2025-11-10T08:44:43+08:00 | 4.526131431327259 |
| 2025-11-10T09:01:00+08:00 | 4.549077340914283 |
| 2025-11-10T09:02:14+08:00 | 4.554179252227327 |
| 2025-11-10T09:02:42+08:00 | 4.604436886057314 |
| 2025-11-10T09:03:54+08:00 | 4.607355890042389 |
| 2025-11-10T09:04:09+08:00 | 4.615224509480417 |
| 2025-11-10T09:12:52+08:00 | 4.638068888494048 |
| 2025-11-10T10:00:36+08:00 | 4.643018503947001 |
| 2025-11-10T10:03:13+08:00 | 4.641470162702744 |
| 2025-11-10T10:03:30+08:00 | 4.64136863212935 |
| 2025-11-10T10:05:20+08:00 | 5.060182247379242 |
| 2025-11-10T11:10:08+08:00 | 5.0669340305099375 |
| 2025-11-10T11:10:31+08:00 | 5.536512932456786 |
| 2025-11-10T11:10:48+08:00 | 5.557199786785796 |
| 2025-11-10T11:10:59+08:00 | 5.874330532781684 |
| 2025-11-10T12:05:37+08:00 | 5.872376069243851 |
| 2025-11-10T12:06:04+08:00 | 5.973932025281113 |
| 2025-11-10T12:06:10+08:00 | 5.989212376576897 |
| 2025-11-10T12:06:17+08:00 | 6.235424017057136 |
| 2025-11-10T13:47:28+08:00 | 6.240272101936696 |
| 2025-11-10T13:47:47+08:00 | 6.248343782521512 |
| 2025-11-10T13:51:41+08:00 | 6.349874355915425 |
| 2025-11-10T13:52:00+08:00 | 6.372997944005888 |
| 2025-11-10T14:04:33+08:00 | 6.562758585679113 |
| 2025-11-10T14:05:05+08:00 | 6.569358072949717 |
| 2025-11-10T14:06:05+08:00 | 6.647079726882757 |
| 2025-11-10T14:09:22+08:00 | 7.158362311851156 |
| 2025-11-10T14:09:51+08:00 | 7.3233494936162655 |
| 2025-11-10T15:05:38+08:00 | 7.331852679138006 |
| 2025-11-10T15:05:50+08:00 | 7.363885575043785 |
| 2025-11-10T15:06:05+08:00 | 7.372667969642358 |
| 2025-11-10T15:06:13+08:00 | 7.598573495443816 |
| 2025-11-10T15:26:34+08:00 | 7.623956138792294 |
| 2025-11-10T16:04:00+08:00 | 7.63454070106861 |
| 2025-11-10T16:04:23+08:00 | 7.685686727415793 |
| 2025-11-10T16:04:31+08:00 | 7.690306368505216 |
| 2025-11-10T16:08:08+08:00 | 8.032972053709674 |
| 2025-11-10T17:10:45+08:00 | 8.035459552757825 |
| 2025-11-10T17:10:59+08:00 | 8.116684011472955 |
| 2025-11-10T17:11:16+08:00 | 8.125897911008453 |
| 2025-11-10T17:11:31+08:00 | 8.157829276340838 |
| 2025-11-10T17:45:42+08:00 | 8.792395360052796 |
| 2025-11-10T18:11:06+08:00 | 8.795288981394522 |
| 2025-11-10T18:11:18+08:00 | 8.804198289209838 |
| 2025-11-10T18:11:44+08:00 | 8.805898926314187 |
| 2025-11-10T18:11:59+08:00 | 8.927735614386883 |
| 2025-11-10T18:14:09+08:00 | 8.947534076198695 |
| 2025-11-10T18:39:34+08:00 | 9.48056958651674 |
| 2025-11-10T19:32:56+08:00 | 9.504124679544129 |
| 2025-11-10T19:33:10+08:00 | 9.48056958651674 |
| 2025-11-10T19:33:21+08:00 | 9.498032845140493 |
| 2025-11-10T19:33:32+08:00 | 9.47772673046171 |
| 2025-11-10T20:04:45+08:00 | 9.490849557072874 |
| 2025-11-10T20:05:04+08:00 | 9.495037693225372 |
| 2025-11-10T20:05:19+08:00 | 9.538188186917786 |
| 2025-11-10T22:07:34+08:00 | 9.259689824098281 |
| 2025-11-10T22:07:45+08:00 | 9.26923369799731 |
| 2025-11-10T22:07:56+08:00 | 9.248927583318526 |
| 2025-11-10T22:08:06+08:00 | 9.25773536056045 |
| 2025-11-10T22:08:17+08:00 | 9.274208696093611 |
| 2025-11-10T22:08:27+08:00 | 9.390968855496611 |
| 2025-11-11T08:44:59+08:00 | 9.41267101555956 |
| 2025-11-11T08:45:02+08:00 | 9.400233520318807 |
| 2025-11-11T08:45:12+08:00 | 9.400233520318807 |
| 2025-11-11T08:45:37+08:00 | 9.447140645226794 |
| 2025-11-11T08:45:42+08:00 | 9.314338655227555 |
| 2025-11-11T08:46:13+08:00 | 9.59100946772597 |
| 2025-11-11T09:18:14+08:00 | 9.598370434297028 |
| 2025-11-11T09:19:26+08:00 | 9.598979617737392 |
| 2025-11-11T09:19:56+08:00 | 9.756352006497957 |
| 2025-11-11T09:20:08+08:00 | 9.758560296469275 |
| 2025-11-11T09:21:37+08:00 | 9.80049242328096 |
| 2025-11-11T10:28:53+08:00 | 9.819427875218926 |
| 2025-11-11T10:29:21+08:00 | 9.859507069066172 |
| 2025-11-11T10:29:34+08:00 | 9.872959870040866 |
| 2025-11-11T10:29:50+08:00 | 10.220702083915018 |
| 2025-11-11T11:01:50+08:00 | 10.237962281391985 |
| 2025-11-11T11:04:18+08:00 | 10.29324567860497 |
| 2025-11-11T11:04:27+08:00 | 10.284717110439882 |
| 2025-11-11T11:06:23+08:00 | 10.64768891032312 |
| 2025-11-11T11:29:07+08:00 | 11.104576490595731 |
| 2025-11-11T12:04:37+08:00 | 11.114704165291773 |
| 2025-11-11T12:04:59+08:00 | 11.118384648577303 |
| 2025-11-11T12:05:28+08:00 | 11.103637332791838 |
| 2025-11-11T12:05:54+08:00 | 11.172170469832729 |
| 2025-11-11T13:42:07+08:00 | 11.174201081300607 |
| 2025-11-11T13:42:20+08:00 | 11.241465086174074 |
| 2025-11-11T13:42:27+08:00 | 11.243521080285301 |
| 2025-11-11T13:42:36+08:00 | 11.347589918014062 |
| 2025-11-11T14:03:07+08:00 | 11.349062111328275 |
| 2025-11-11T14:03:23+08:00 | 11.409904307434577 |
| 2025-11-11T14:03:41+08:00 | 11.427418331345025 |
| 2025-11-11T14:10:34+08:00 | 11.584790720105591 |
| 2025-11-11T14:56:41+08:00 | 11.63370307383811 |
| 2025-11-11T15:01:01+08:00 | 11.726857374927025 |
| 2025-11-11T15:11:10+08:00 | 11.761783892174531 |
| 2025-11-11T15:11:21+08:00 | 11.77163235779374 |
| 2025-11-11T15:11:40+08:00 | 12.048303170292154 |
| 2025-11-11T15:19:05+08:00 | 12.073685813640633 |
| 2025-11-11T16:06:33+08:00 | 12.09625098357743 |
| 2025-11-11T16:06:43+08:00 | 12.471914105134909 |
| 2025-11-11T17:04:59+08:00 | 12.525217656166713 |
| 2025-11-11T17:07:08+08:00 | 13.12678630352565 |
| 2025-11-11T17:21:53+08:00 | 13.177551590222606 |
| 2025-11-11T18:13:14+08:00 | 13.964413534025434 |
| 2025-11-11T18:13:41+08:00 | 13.928547858974033 |
| 2025-11-11T18:13:53+08:00 | 14.10876462674823 |
| 2025-11-11T18:15:22+08:00 | 14.297789171764348 |
| 2025-11-11T22:04:58+08:00 | 14.315277813031448 |
| 2025-11-11T22:05:15+08:00 | 14.406655329085972 |
| 2025-11-11T22:05:25+08:00 | 14.415767698048075 |
| 2025-11-11T22:05:36+08:00 | 14.593446201487422 |
| 2025-11-11T22:05:46+08:00 | 14.731502398659796 |
| 2025-11-11T22:05:57+08:00 | 14.90410437342945 |
| 2025-11-11T22:06:02+08:00 | 14.971901413813235 |
| 2025-11-11T22:06:11+08:00 | 15.045511079523822 |
| 2025-11-12T08:33:56+08:00 | 15.0767571134858 |
| 2025-11-12T08:34:04+08:00 | 15.158565372997945 |
| 2025-11-12T08:34:31+08:00 | 16.694215295580882 |
| 2025-11-12T08:34:44+08:00 | 16.694215295580882 |
| 2025-11-12T09:04:42+08:00 | 16.7439652765439 |
| 2025-11-12T09:09:06+08:00 | 16.807421884915094 |
| 2025-11-12T09:10:58+08:00 | 17.09292585729878 |
| 2025-11-12T10:03:25+08:00 | 17.118308500647256 |
| 2025-11-12T10:04:09+08:00 | 17.201385892326826 |
| 2025-11-12T10:46:00+08:00 | 17.556742899205524 |
| 2025-11-12T18:07:59+08:00 | 17.82 |
| 时间 | 倍数 |
|---|
| 时间 | 券商 | 孖展资金 |
|---|
以实际认购倍数 27.9x 和当前分配手法 (甲组 α=0.633, 乙组 α=0.733) 为基准，对比各档位的实际与预测期望中签手数
| 申购手数 | 认购金额(HKD) | 实际期望中签 | 预测期望中签 | 偏差 |
|---|
中伟新材中签预测矩阵行为申购档位，列为不同认购倍数，数值为期望中签手数，绿色背景表示期望中签≥1手；非预设倍数由相邻网格插值估计。
机制B
《第18项应用指引》下的灵活发售机制。最低初订分配份额为发售股份的10%，不设回补机制。最高初订分配份额为发售股份的60%（因《第18项应用指引》规定发售股份总数至少40%须分配予配售部分投资者，基石投资者除外）。发行人可根据发售结构、市场状况及散户投资者利益，自行厘定公开认购部分的初订分配份额。
α 为发行人分配偏好系数，描述发行人对不同申购规模的分配倾向。α 取值范围 [0, 1]。
本页面的「中签率」定义与港交所配发结果公告完全一致：中签率 = 该档位获配股份总数 ÷ 该档位有效申请股份总数 × 100%。此为港交所官方口径，与其他网站可能使用的不同定义（如「申购人数中签比例」）有本质区别。
期望中签手数 = 该档位获配总股数 ÷ 每手股数 ÷ 该档位申购人数
例：某档位获配总股数 50,000 股，每手 100 股，申购人数 500 人 → 期望中签手数 = 50,000 ÷ 100 ÷ 500 = 1.0 手。
本页展示 中伟新材（02579）的中签预测：基于相似 IPO 匹配的期望中签率、甲乙组资金效率对比。
默认认购倍数按「近期首日表现 → 参与人数 → 人均手数 → 认购倍数」链条推导，公式为 认购倍数 = 参与人数 × 人均手数 ÷ 公开发售手数；其中参与人数与人均手数以近期 IPO 的中位数为基准，再按发行规模、A+H 身份、H 股折溢价、行业、并发 IPO、保荐人历史表现与恒指近期走势等特征调节。
认购窗口前期默认倍数以模型推导为准；随认购进度推进逐步结合孖展倍数加权；临近截止（进度约九成后）默认倍数以孖展倍数预测为准。
中签率预测基于历史 592 只 IPO 的 22087 条配发档位数据做回归拟合与 KNN 相似匹配，估计各申购档位的期望中签手数，并结合分配手法系数 α（人均分配至比例分配）给出区间。你可以自定义认购倍数与分配手法系数 α，覆盖 cibo 的默认预测，查看不同场景下的期望中签手数。中签率的计算方式与回拨规则见港股中签率怎么算。
数据来源：港交所披露易平台公开发售配发结果公告、招股说明书、FINI 平台公告；孖展数据（孖展倍数、捷利预测倍数及券商明细）来自捷利交易宝（TradeGo），倍数仅覆盖已上报券商，捷利预测倍数为全市场外推值。
孖展倍数盘中实时更新；中签率预测模型随新股配发数据入库不定期迭代。
