| 排名 | 券商 | 孖展资金 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 富途 |
900.7亿 |
| 2 | 辉立 |
365.0亿 |
| 3 | 老虎 |
147.2亿 |
| 4 | 华泰 |
55.1亿 |
| 5 | 华盛 |
18.1亿 |
| 6 | TradeGo |
13.5亿 |
| 7 | 长桥 |
7.1亿 |
| 8 | 盈立 |
5.2亿 |
| 9 | 信诚 |
5.0亿 |
| 时间 | 倍数 |
|---|---|
| 2026-01-29T06:00:00+08:00 | 0 |
| 2026-01-29T10:30:48+08:00 | 0.0002896571700494486 |
| 2026-01-29T10:30:54+08:00 | 0.02913123538783026 |
| 2026-01-29T10:31:00+08:00 | 0.058821095317898746 |
| 2026-01-29T10:31:08+08:00 | 0.0670970144621687 |
| 2026-01-29T11:08:03+08:00 | 0.0697453085883351 |
| 2026-01-29T11:09:07+08:00 | 0.09374547410671798 |
| 2026-01-29T11:11:17+08:00 | 0.16208387644052719 |
| 2026-01-29T11:11:32+08:00 | 0.9317443568576335 |
| 2026-01-29T12:10:03+08:00 | 0.942089255787971 |
| 2026-01-29T12:10:24+08:00 | 0.9446754805205553 |
| 2026-01-29T12:10:51+08:00 | 0.9951792770984628 |
| 2026-01-29T12:11:08+08:00 | 1.1011731115387002 |
| 2026-01-29T12:11:20+08:00 | 1.543934785757143 |
| 2026-01-29T13:41:30+08:00 | 1.545217553224505 |
| 2026-01-29T13:42:38+08:00 | 1.6086938530610555 |
| 2026-01-29T13:43:04+08:00 | 1.7209360064552168 |
| 2026-01-29T13:43:20+08:00 | 2.703701404837275 |
| 2026-01-29T14:17:29+08:00 | 2.71245318933234 |
| 2026-01-29T14:18:22+08:00 | 2.719860136966462 |
| 2026-01-29T14:18:44+08:00 | 2.7990399933792647 |
| 2026-01-29T14:18:57+08:00 | 3.0514555272794985 |
| 2026-01-29T15:10:57+08:00 | 3.068607369705998 |
| 2026-01-29T15:12:02+08:00 | 3.11987668880475 |
| 2026-01-29T15:12:20+08:00 | 3.138083710922144 |
| 2026-01-29T15:12:43+08:00 | 3.3801543458920404 |
| 2026-01-29T15:14:48+08:00 | 3.4215339416133905 |
| 2026-01-29T16:25:31+08:00 | 3.4307202118635303 |
| 2026-01-29T16:27:03+08:00 | 3.5003620714625616 |
| 2026-01-29T16:27:50+08:00 | 3.6894047545155484 |
| 2026-01-29T16:28:18+08:00 | 3.6895288933027124 |
| 2026-01-29T16:28:32+08:00 | 4.380568141849254 |
| 2026-01-29T16:32:36+08:00 | 4.437403016572528 |
| 2026-01-29T17:16:52+08:00 | 4.437589224753274 |
| 2026-01-29T17:17:08+08:00 | 4.458279022613949 |
| 2026-01-29T17:17:31+08:00 | 4.4611135249208616 |
| 2026-01-29T17:18:46+08:00 | 4.48865164587342 |
| 2026-01-29T17:19:00+08:00 | 4.48867233567128 |
| 2026-01-29T17:19:16+08:00 | 4.749363788715784 |
| 2026-01-29T17:45:56+08:00 | 5.74247408602818 |
| 2026-01-29T18:00:15+08:00 | 5.751825874661205 |
| 2026-01-29T18:04:53+08:00 | 6.3549955516934595 |
| 2026-01-29T18:05:44+08:00 | 6.371299112407672 |
| 2026-01-29T18:06:10+08:00 | 6.3700370347381705 |
| 2026-01-29T18:06:33+08:00 | 6.314174580514348 |
| 2026-01-29T19:47:02+08:00 | 6.3216229077441914 |
| 2026-01-29T19:47:25+08:00 | 6.3525334657480395 |
| 2026-01-29T19:47:48+08:00 | 6.353588645438934 |
| 2026-01-29T19:48:06+08:00 | 6.535658866612873 |
| 2026-01-29T19:48:15+08:00 | 6.536196801357251 |
| 2026-01-29T20:03:27+08:00 | 6.552334843688577 |
| 2026-01-29T20:03:47+08:00 | 6.5806384871619805 |
| 2026-01-29T20:13:51+08:00 | 6.686156456251423 |
| 2026-01-29T21:35:40+08:00 | 6.705687625431899 |
| 2026-01-29T21:35:58+08:00 | 6.72194980655039 |
| 2026-01-29T21:36:18+08:00 | 6.815053896923427 |
| 2026-01-29T22:06:06+08:00 | 6.855750729315375 |
| 2026-01-29T22:06:30+08:00 | 6.885916454596239 |
| 2026-01-29T22:06:49+08:00 | 7.150745867212877 |
| 2026-01-30T08:54:00+08:00 | 7.188049572755674 |
| 2026-01-30T08:54:17+08:00 | 7.1804771067386675 |
| 2026-01-30T08:54:40+08:00 | 7.1804771067386675 |
| 2026-01-30T08:54:56+08:00 | 7.338981648149297 |
| 2026-01-30T08:55:02+08:00 | 7.42182359878344 |
| 2026-01-30T08:55:10+08:00 | 8.276312250429314 |
| 2026-01-30T09:01:02+08:00 | 8.316864254236236 |
| 2026-01-30T09:04:23+08:00 | 8.339726480872281 |
| 2026-01-30T09:04:32+08:00 | 8.350361036972668 |
| 2026-01-30T09:08:12+08:00 | 8.437258187987503 |
| 2026-01-30T10:12:41+08:00 | 8.458879026751909 |
| 2026-01-30T10:12:46+08:00 | 8.463803198642749 |
| 2026-01-30T10:12:58+08:00 | 8.464175615004242 |
| 2026-01-30T10:13:05+08:00 | 8.461258353505887 |
| 2026-01-30T10:13:12+08:00 | 8.478265367347362 |
| 2026-01-30T10:13:17+08:00 | 8.51964496306871 |
| 2026-01-30T10:13:26+08:00 | 8.550679659859723 |
| 2026-01-30T11:07:17+08:00 | 8.644652721742908 |
| 2026-01-30T11:08:20+08:00 | 8.915937351292078 |
| 2026-01-30T11:09:01+08:00 | 8.910744212029048 |
| 2026-01-30T11:09:16+08:00 | 9.08246953427265 |
| 2026-01-30T11:11:39+08:00 | 9.245918937371982 |
| 2026-01-30T11:30:57+08:00 | 9.26393975130863 |
| 2026-01-30T12:14:31+08:00 | 9.286284732998158 |
| 2026-01-30T12:15:29+08:00 | 9.311546976186042 |
| 2026-01-30T12:15:43+08:00 | 9.291208904888999 |
| 2026-01-30T12:15:56+08:00 | 9.580866074938449 |
| 2026-01-30T12:41:10+08:00 | 9.589866137007842 |
| 2026-01-30T13:42:51+08:00 | 9.604390375106036 |
| 2026-01-30T13:43:18+08:00 | 9.593590300622763 |
| 2026-01-30T13:43:37+08:00 | 9.615997351705873 |
| 2026-01-30T13:44:27+08:00 | 9.675997765501831 |
| 2026-01-30T13:45:08+08:00 | 9.70812902157946 |
| 2026-01-30T13:49:54+08:00 | 9.713529058821095 |
| 2026-01-30T14:03:16+08:00 | 9.725467072186705 |
| 2026-01-30T14:04:13+08:00 | 9.781805391761322 |
| 2026-01-30T14:05:33+08:00 | 9.82370223242919 |
| 2026-01-30T14:06:01+08:00 | 9.962323878095711 |
| 2026-01-30T14:08:16+08:00 | 10.011420768419093 |
| 2026-01-30T15:10:10+08:00 | 10.05269691515114 |
| 2026-01-30T15:10:43+08:00 | 10.098979992965468 |
| 2026-01-30T15:12:08+08:00 | 10.111538700266898 |
| 2026-01-30T15:12:39+08:00 | 11.218442885813005 |
| 2026-01-30T15:48:01+08:00 | 11.239132683673681 |
| 2026-01-30T15:54:45+08:00 | 11.611549045165829 |
| 2026-01-30T16:06:42+08:00 | 11.627004324167753 |
| 2026-01-30T16:07:19+08:00 | 11.670349450685867 |
| 2026-01-30T16:08:24+08:00 | 11.680508141435459 |
| 2026-01-30T16:09:30+08:00 | 11.92671673597749 |
| 2026-01-30T17:10:57+08:00 | 11.93008917302878 |
| 2026-01-30T17:11:26+08:00 | 11.99478617093911 |
| 2026-01-30T17:12:45+08:00 | 11.992551672770157 |
| 2026-01-30T17:13:22+08:00 | 12.770488072331533 |
| 2026-01-30T18:09:36+08:00 | 12.765625969834275 |
| 2026-01-30T18:11:09+08:00 | 14.255291415802867 |
| 2026-01-30T18:11:14+08:00 | 15.703577266050111 |
| 2026-01-30T18:12:13+08:00 | 15.711129042269256 |
| 2026-01-30T18:13:01+08:00 | 15.71671528769164 |
| 2026-01-30T18:13:28+08:00 | 15.799039993379266 |
| 2026-01-30T18:15:04+08:00 | 15.95214449754826 |
| 2026-01-30T18:18:37+08:00 | 15.962944572031532 |
| 2026-01-30T18:21:53+08:00 | 16.511782839881654 |
| 2026-01-30T19:58:25+08:00 | 16.514886309560755 |
| 2026-01-30T19:59:49+08:00 | 16.507148325160863 |
| 2026-01-30T20:00:03+08:00 | 16.560569383237127 |
| 2026-01-30T20:00:32+08:00 | 16.659880412968366 |
| 2026-01-30T20:04:09+08:00 | 16.77274326029835 |
| 2026-01-30T20:04:23+08:00 | 16.779177787433017 |
| 2026-01-30T20:05:28+08:00 | 16.77710880764695 |
| 2026-01-30T21:21:44+08:00 | 16.78304677963296 |
| 2026-01-30T21:21:58+08:00 | 16.787039910620074 |
| 2026-01-30T21:22:21+08:00 | 17.03738646473424 |
| 2026-01-30T21:22:35+08:00 | 17.037572672914987 |
| 2026-01-30T22:03:46+08:00 | 17.058345229967102 |
| 2026-01-30T22:03:55+08:00 | 17.06221422216705 |
| 2026-01-30T22:05:50+08:00 | 17.405664866654252 |
| 2026-01-31T10:30:59+08:00 | 17.484617135290588 |
| 2026-01-31T10:31:14+08:00 | 17.484803343471334 |
| 2026-01-31T10:31:28+08:00 | 17.484803343471334 |
| 2026-01-31T10:31:45+08:00 | 17.585935075414312 |
| 2026-01-31T10:31:54+08:00 | 19.29284339891999 |
| 2026-01-31T10:32:04+08:00 | 19.301533114021478 |
| 2026-01-31T10:32:32+08:00 | 19.360312829743652 |
| 2026-01-31T10:32:40+08:00 | 19.391347526534666 |
| 2026-01-31T10:32:48+08:00 | 19.393809612480087 |
| 2026-01-31T10:33:14+08:00 | 19.420644280305382 |
| 2026-01-31T10:33:24+08:00 | 19.44365133552645 |
| 2026-01-31T10:33:34+08:00 | 19.5677901226905 |
| 2026-01-31T11:08:44+08:00 | 19.56905220036 |
| 2026-01-31T11:09:29+08:00 | 19.57391430285726 |
| 2026-01-31T11:09:53+08:00 | 19.601638631990564 |
| 2026-01-31T11:12:35+08:00 | 19.75474313615956 |
| 2026-01-31T13:32:09+08:00 | 19.75660521796702 |
| 2026-01-31T13:33:56+08:00 | 19.80441934082304 |
| 2026-01-31T13:35:11+08:00 | 19.81205387623363 |
| 2026-01-31T13:35:49+08:00 | 19.865847350671384 |
| 2026-01-31T13:36:26+08:00 | 19.92791674425341 |
| 2026-01-31T16:26:36+08:00 | 19.93871681873668 |
| 2026-01-31T16:28:04+08:00 | 19.941799598617923 |
| 2026-01-31T16:30:21+08:00 | 19.955765212173876 |
| 2026-01-31T16:31:24+08:00 | 20.012724225684316 |
| 2026-01-31T16:33:39+08:00 | 20.366519769101856 |
| 2026-01-31T16:33:57+08:00 | 20.654107959365238 |
| 2026-01-31T18:30:48+08:00 | 20.65479072269464 |
| 2026-01-31T18:33:09+08:00 | 20.662632156083834 |
| 2026-01-31T18:34:50+08:00 | 20.67773570852213 |
| 2026-01-31T18:35:27+08:00 | 20.909461444561686 |
| 2026-01-31T18:35:50+08:00 | 21.05429002958641 |
| 2026-01-31T20:25:21+08:00 | 21.063972854985206 |
| 2026-01-31T20:27:47+08:00 | 21.069103924854655 |
| 2026-01-31T20:29:06+08:00 | 21.081972979123993 |
| 2026-01-31T20:29:40+08:00 | 21.156456251422423 |
| 2026-01-31T20:30:00+08:00 | 21.324043614093892 |
| 2026-01-31T21:25:37+08:00 | 21.3328781577804 |
| 2026-01-31T21:26:02+08:00 | 21.3378230194691 |
| 2026-01-31T21:26:11+08:00 | 21.37920261519045 |
| 2026-02-01T10:25:18+08:00 | 21.37957503155194 |
| 2026-02-01T10:26:08+08:00 | 21.525210518693232 |
| 2026-02-01T10:30:54+08:00 | 21.532265739763723 |
| 2026-02-01T10:31:40+08:00 | 21.867171497734468 |
| 2026-02-01T10:34:40+08:00 | 23.363043883061263 |
| 2026-02-01T10:35:03+08:00 | 23.55339002337947 |
| 2026-02-01T13:27:28+08:00 | 23.571390147518258 |
| 2026-02-01T13:27:42+08:00 | 23.571224629135372 |
| 2026-02-01T13:28:22+08:00 | 23.57141083731612 |
| 2026-02-01T13:28:31+08:00 | 23.5745763763888 |
| 2026-02-01T13:28:39+08:00 | 23.57943847888606 |
| 2026-02-01T13:30:06+08:00 | 23.589183373678438 |
| 2026-02-01T13:30:27+08:00 | 23.590279932965053 |
| 2026-02-01T13:31:01+08:00 | 23.60089379926758 |
| 2026-02-01T13:32:06+08:00 | 23.753377609500756 |
| 2026-02-01T13:32:29+08:00 | 23.78207435913351 |
| 2026-02-01T13:32:54+08:00 | 23.810605590383382 |
| 2026-02-01T13:36:45+08:00 | 23.889226822253946 |
| 2026-02-01T13:37:04+08:00 | 24.08577990193036 |
| 2026-02-01T13:37:24+08:00 | 24.228539507169014 |
| 2026-02-01T16:31:59+08:00 | 24.234105062793535 |
| 2026-02-01T16:38:59+08:00 | 24.42945813419403 |
| 2026-02-01T16:39:41+08:00 | 24.465458382471603 |
| 2026-02-01T16:40:19+08:00 | 24.46783770922558 |
| 2026-02-01T16:41:06+08:00 | 24.877495706866945 |
| 2026-02-01T16:41:29+08:00 | 25.330602280015725 |
| 2026-02-01T19:41:15+08:00 | 25.330622969813586 |
| 2026-02-01T19:41:26+08:00 | 25.330809177994333 |
| 2026-02-01T19:43:17+08:00 | 25.335650590693728 |
| 2026-02-01T19:45:09+08:00 | 25.358843854095547 |
| 2026-02-01T19:46:23+08:00 | 25.44687894399272 |
| 2026-02-01T19:46:58+08:00 | 25.935158173504647 |
| 2026-02-01T19:47:20+08:00 | 26.26826391906151 |
| 2026-02-01T21:32:48+08:00 | 26.268450127242257 |
| 2026-02-01T21:35:46+08:00 | 26.322057393499264 |
| 2026-02-01T21:36:35+08:00 | 26.327147083772992 |
| 2026-02-01T21:36:57+08:00 | 26.39358202470362 |
| 2026-02-01T21:37:20+08:00 | 26.745308588335092 |
| 2026-02-01T21:37:37+08:00 | 27.152897606190386 |
| 2026-02-02T08:50:46+08:00 | 27.167587362671465 |
| 2026-02-02T08:56:05+08:00 | 27.24035338174746 |
| 2026-02-02T08:57:49+08:00 | 28.024951896219974 |
| 2026-02-02T08:58:33+08:00 | 28.024951896219974 |
| 2026-02-02T08:59:23+08:00 | 28.28357436947841 |
| 2026-02-02T08:59:41+08:00 | 30.3463472161877 |
| 2026-02-02T09:00:05+08:00 | 30.35406451078973 |
| 2026-02-02T09:06:02+08:00 | 31.444416858047298 |
| 2026-02-02T09:08:04+08:00 | 31.469637721639458 |
| 2026-02-02T09:08:46+08:00 | 31.499327581569528 |
| 2026-02-02T09:09:14+08:00 | 31.49914137338878 |
| 2026-02-02T09:09:43+08:00 | 32.041214077338466 |
| 2026-02-02T10:13:02+08:00 | 32.165352864502516 |
| 2026-02-02T10:13:31+08:00 | 32.16700804833137 |
| 2026-02-02T10:13:40+08:00 | 32.1778288126125 |
| 2026-02-02T10:13:43+08:00 | 32.188670266691496 |
| 2026-02-02T10:14:30+08:00 | 32.57666604597273 |
| 2026-02-02T10:15:58+08:00 | 32.69188753025883 |
| 2026-02-02T10:16:22+08:00 | 32.69492893054435 |
| 2026-02-02T10:17:40+08:00 | 33.88666128731922 |
| 2026-02-02T10:18:00+08:00 | 33.88755094862723 |
| 2026-02-02T11:11:19+08:00 | 33.92179256408665 |
| 2026-02-02T11:11:26+08:00 | 33.92185463348023 |
| 2026-02-02T11:11:33+08:00 | 33.92526845012724 |
| 2026-02-02T11:12:14+08:00 | 34.005793143400986 |
| 2026-02-02T11:14:32+08:00 | 34.90462003186229 |
| 2026-02-02T11:15:26+08:00 | 34.96896530320899 |
| 2026-02-02T11:15:49+08:00 | 37.1889806136594 |
| 2026-02-02T12:25:20+08:00 | 37.60362485258519 |
| 2026-02-02T12:25:47+08:00 | 37.68638404402789 |
| 2026-02-02T12:26:07+08:00 | 37.70192208222126 |
| 2026-02-02T12:30:56+08:00 | 37.874371547389984 |
| 2026-02-02T12:31:21+08:00 | 37.927730536072666 |
| 2026-02-02T12:31:42+08:00 | 39.05118655990731 |
| 2026-02-02T12:32:29+08:00 | 40.273663956303146 |
| 2026-02-02T13:43:05+08:00 | 40.45308588335092 |
| 2026-02-02T13:43:31+08:00 | 40.46475492934434 |
| 2026-02-02T13:45:06+08:00 | 40.62187325429831 |
| 2026-02-02T13:45:26+08:00 | 40.68007365568038 |
| 2026-02-02T13:45:50+08:00 | 41.53663128711233 |
| 2026-02-02T13:52:12+08:00 | 41.65489417168394 |
| 2026-02-02T14:08:36+08:00 | 41.68454265201829 |
| 2026-02-02T14:10:00+08:00 | 41.706266939772 |
| 2026-02-02T14:10:27+08:00 | 41.78908820060828 |
| 2026-02-02T14:10:47+08:00 | 41.81745391347526 |
| 2026-02-02T14:11:08+08:00 | 42.845736867150805 |
| 2026-02-02T14:29:33+08:00 | 42.86032317464258 |
| 2026-02-02T15:07:09+08:00 | 42.93373057745226 |
| 2026-02-02T15:08:08+08:00 | 42.95475141207871 |
| 2026-02-02T15:09:29+08:00 | 43.334947137566466 |
| 2026-02-02T15:09:51+08:00 | 43.372685328864335 |
| 2026-02-02T15:10:05+08:00 | 43.37647156187284 |
| 2026-02-02T15:10:30+08:00 | 43.49821033248505 |
| 2026-02-02T15:12:35+08:00 | 44.52235532658846 |
| 2026-02-02T16:19:32+08:00 | 44.53497610328347 |
| 2026-02-02T16:19:36+08:00 | 44.65226656735564 |
| 2026-02-02T16:19:40+08:00 | 44.65408726956738 |
| 2026-02-02T16:19:44+08:00 | 44.65425278795026 |
| 2026-02-02T16:20:40+08:00 | 44.69072890157863 |
| 2026-02-02T16:21:53+08:00 | 46.22591190284071 |
| 2026-02-02T16:23:00+08:00 | 46.846605838660956 |
| 2026-02-02T17:17:27+08:00 | 46.85066103904165 |
| 2026-02-02T17:17:31+08:00 | 46.8699439306478 |
| 2026-02-02T17:17:35+08:00 | 46.892847536879565 |
| 2026-02-02T17:17:38+08:00 | 46.895288933027125 |
| 2026-02-02T17:19:37+08:00 | 47.7435706453148 |
| 2026-02-02T17:21:34+08:00 | 49.869881861254214 |
| 2026-02-02T17:22:24+08:00 | 61.31754701756564 |
| 2026-02-02T17:25:12+08:00 | 61.967620466348045 |
| 2026-02-02T17:33:07+08:00 | 61.97140669935655 |
| 2026-02-02T17:56:34+08:00 | 75.00597935158173 |
| 2026-02-02T18:14:16+08:00 | 77.48875509486273 |
| 2026-02-02T18:14:58+08:00 | 77.49092752363809 |
| 2026-02-02T18:15:41+08:00 | 80.00155173483955 |
| 2026-02-02T18:15:56+08:00 | 89.7485155070035 |
| 2026-02-02T18:23:19+08:00 | 91.85018517369085 |
| 2026-02-02T18:23:39+08:00 | 91.8503713818716 |
| 2026-02-02T18:23:44+08:00 | 92.26416733908509 |
| 2026-02-02T20:49:35+08:00 | 92.2656983841268 |
| 2026-02-02T20:53:10+08:00 | 94.801750356899 |
| 2026-02-02T20:53:40+08:00 | 102.0576624666377 |
| 2026-02-02T20:54:09+08:00 | 109.82461258353506 |
| 2026-02-02T21:40:08+08:00 | 110.99954482444707 |
| 2026-02-02T21:40:18+08:00 | 118.61752839674756 |
| 2026-02-03T07:51:05+08:00 | 118.63157676949496 |
| 2026-02-03T07:52:59+08:00 | 131.8420127035359 |
| 2026-02-03T07:53:19+08:00 | 134.3768646680322 |
| 2026-02-03T07:53:23+08:00 | 137.50969317029774 |
| 2026-02-03T07:55:16+08:00 | 137.50969317029774 |
| 2026-02-03T09:12:53+08:00 | 137.5120104276581 |
| 2026-02-03T09:13:14+08:00 | 137.5125483624025 |
| 2026-02-03T09:13:53+08:00 | 145.89646825150518 |
| 2026-02-03T09:14:11+08:00 | 147.78526058800406 |
| 2026-02-03T09:18:29+08:00 | 201.16907702811744 |
| 2026-02-03T09:18:52+08:00 | 216.5353898992407 |
| 2026-02-03T09:27:56+08:00 | 222.67140463037677 |
| 2026-02-03T09:28:30+08:00 | 224.84383340574763 |
| 2026-02-03T09:59:20+08:00 | 224.8454678997786 |
| 2026-02-03T09:59:28+08:00 | 224.8454885895765 |
| 2026-02-03T10:02:34+08:00 | 224.84764032855398 |
| 2026-02-03T10:07:38+08:00 | 225.85488175780523 |
| 2026-02-03T10:07:54+08:00 | 257.7461361802495 |
| 2026-02-03T10:52:01+08:00 | 313.8154883826785 |
| 2026-02-03T10:52:43+08:00 | 313.81567459085926 |
| 时间 | 倍数 |
|---|
| 时间 | 券商 | 孖展资金 |
|---|
以实际认购倍数 446.39x 和当前分配手法 (甲组 α=0.562, 乙组 α=0.662) 为基准,对比各档位的实际与预测期望中签手数
| 申购手数 | 认购金额(HKD) | 实际期望中签 | 预测期望中签 | 偏差 |
|---|
行为申购档位,列为不同认购倍数,数值为期望中签手数,绿色背景表示期望中签≥1手;非预设倍数由相邻网格插值估计。
机制B
《第18项应用指引》下的灵活发售机制。最低初订分配份额为发售股份的10%,不设回补机制。最高初订分配份额为发售股份的60%(因《第18项应用指引》规定发售股份总数至少40%须分配予配售部分投资者,基石投资者除外)。发行人可根据发售结构、市场状况及散户投资者利益,自行厘定公开认购部分的初订分配份额。
α 为发行人分配偏好系数,描述发行人对不同申购规模的分配倾向。α 取值范围 [0, 1]。
本页面的「中签率」定义与港交所配发结果公告完全一致:中签率 = 该档位获配股份总数 ÷ 该档位有效申请股份总数 × 100%。此为港交所官方口径,与其他网站可能使用的不同定义(如「申购人数中签比例」)有本质区别。
期望中签手数 = 该档位获配总股数 ÷ 每手股数 ÷ 该档位申购人数
例:某档位获配总股数 50,000 股,每手 100 股,申购人数 500 人 → 期望中签手数 = 50,000 ÷ 100 ÷ 500 = 1.0 手。
本页展示 大族数控(03200)的中签预测:基于相似 IPO 匹配的期望中签率、甲乙组资金效率对比。
默认认购倍数按「近期首日表现 → 参与人数 → 人均手数 → 认购倍数」链条推导,公式为 认购倍数 = 参与人数 × 人均手数 ÷ 公开发售手数;其中参与人数与人均手数以近期 IPO 的中位数为基准,再按发行规模、A+H 身份、H 股折溢价、行业、并发 IPO、保荐人历史表现与恒指近期走势等特征调节。
认购窗口前期默认倍数以模型推导为准;随认购进度推进逐步结合孖展倍数加权;临近截止(进度约九成后)默认倍数以孖展倍数预测为准。
中签率预测基于历史 592 只 IPO 的 22087 条配发档位数据做回归拟合与 KNN 相似匹配,估计各申购档位的期望中签手数,并结合分配手法系数 α(人均分配至比例分配)给出区间。你可以自定义认购倍数与分配手法系数 α,覆盖 cibo 的默认预测,查看不同场景下的期望中签手数。中签率的计算方式与回拨规则见港股中签率怎么算。
数据来源:港交所披露易平台公开发售配发结果公告、招股说明书、FINI 平台公告;孖展数据(孖展倍数、捷利预测倍数及券商明细)来自捷利交易宝(TradeGo),倍数仅覆盖已上报券商,捷利预测倍数为全市场外推值。
孖展倍数盘中实时更新;中签率预测模型随新股配发数据入库不定期迭代。

