中际旭创 03308
新股中签预测
588.5009.39%( -61.000 )
11月13日 · 收市数据，非实时 · 香港交易所
基于相似IPO匹配的期望中签预测
新股中签预测| 排名 | 券商 | 孖展资金 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  富途 |
290.1亿 |
| 2 |  辉立 |
280.0亿 |
| 3 |  老虎 |
58.9亿 |
| 4 |  华泰 |
20.4亿 |
| 5 |  盈立 |
16.4亿 |
| 7 |  复星 |
15.0亿 |
| 8 |  致富 |
8.9亿 |
| 9 |  长桥 |
7.4亿 |
| 10 |  信诚 |
7.0亿 |
| 11 |  华盛 |
5.5亿 |
| 12 | 第一上海 | 3.0亿 |
| 13 |  熊猫 |
2.7亿 |
| 14 |  东证 |
2.4亿 |
| 15 |  兴证 |
1.2亿 |
| 16 |  TradeGo |
6478万 |
| 17 |  Funderstone |
1891万 |
| 18 |  盈宝 |
690万 |
| 时间 | 倍数 |
|---|---|
| 2026-07-22T06:00:00+08:00 | 0 |
| 2026-07-22T10:02:48+08:00 | 0.005837042419838314 |
| 2026-07-22T10:04:29+08:00 | 0.09298210555000454 |
| 2026-07-22T10:07:15+08:00 | 0.18599691161776727 |
| 2026-07-22T11:03:52+08:00 | 0.24668543918612046 |
| 2026-07-22T11:04:18+08:00 | 0.2960595876101372 |
| 2026-07-22T11:04:25+08:00 | 0.31255336542828593 |
| 2026-07-22T11:09:14+08:00 | 0.6168498501226269 |
| 2026-07-22T11:09:31+08:00 | 0.6509982741393405 |
| 2026-07-22T11:09:35+08:00 | 0.6701952947588337 |
| 2026-07-22T12:00:32+08:00 | 0.6951694068489418 |
| 2026-07-22T12:03:48+08:00 | 0.751252611499682 |
| 2026-07-22T12:03:53+08:00 | 0.7845235716232174 |
| 2026-07-22T12:09:54+08:00 | 0.7979162503406304 |
| 2026-07-22T12:10:17+08:00 | 1.1189263330002726 |
| 2026-07-22T13:45:45+08:00 | 1.1327059678444908 |
| 2026-07-22T13:45:54+08:00 | 1.2010391497865383 |
| 2026-07-22T13:45:57+08:00 | 1.207933508947225 |
| 2026-07-22T13:45:59+08:00 | 1.2264856026887092 |
| 2026-07-22T13:46:02+08:00 | 1.4077918067036062 |
| 2026-07-22T14:11:51+08:00 | 1.414028522118267 |
| 2026-07-22T14:11:54+08:00 | 1.5100971932055591 |
| 2026-07-22T14:11:57+08:00 | 1.5180488691070941 |
| 2026-07-22T14:11:59+08:00 | 1.525807975292942 |
| 2026-07-22T14:12:06+08:00 | 1.5657752747751839 |
| 2026-07-22T14:12:40+08:00 | 1.6005068580252522 |
| 2026-07-22T15:11:26+08:00 | 1.6042601507857208 |
| 2026-07-22T15:11:29+08:00 | 1.6304677990734853 |
| 2026-07-22T15:11:31+08:00 | 1.6351476065037696 |
| 2026-07-22T15:11:34+08:00 | 1.6421146334816967 |
| 2026-07-22T15:11:39+08:00 | 1.693708783722409 |
| 2026-07-22T15:55:24+08:00 | 1.7300426923426289 |
| 2026-07-22T16:03:25+08:00 | 1.755850667635571 |
| 2026-07-22T16:03:28+08:00 | 1.7769316014170224 |
| 2026-07-22T16:03:30+08:00 | 1.7810246162230903 |
| 2026-07-22T16:03:34+08:00 | 1.7870451448814606 |
| 2026-07-22T16:05:37+08:00 | 1.8241057316740847 |
| 2026-07-22T17:01:54+08:00 | 1.8309546734489963 |
| 2026-07-22T17:06:40+08:00 | 1.8345971477881733 |
| 2026-07-22T17:06:43+08:00 | 1.839347806340267 |
| 2026-07-22T17:06:45+08:00 | 1.8406176764465438 |
| 2026-07-22T17:06:51+08:00 | 1.9210972840403306 |
| 2026-07-22T17:55:49+08:00 | 1.976168589335998 |
| 2026-07-22T18:00:19+08:00 | 1.9811172676900717 |
| 2026-07-22T18:00:38+08:00 | 2.5624598056135888 |
| 2026-07-22T18:01:08+08:00 | 2.6406031428830956 |
| 2026-07-22T18:03:52+08:00 | 2.6625651739485874 |
| 2026-07-22T18:03:55+08:00 | 2.667722772277228 |
| 2026-07-22T18:03:58+08:00 | 2.6689853756017805 |
| 2026-07-22T18:05:16+08:00 | 2.7496466527386683 |
| 2026-07-22T20:05:02+08:00 | 2.76039603960396 |
| 2026-07-22T20:05:09+08:00 | 2.761662276319375 |
| 2026-07-22T20:05:18+08:00 | 2.7825542737760016 |
| 2026-07-22T20:05:23+08:00 | 2.7836951585066765 |
| 2026-07-22T20:05:29+08:00 | 2.785520937414842 |
| 2026-07-22T20:05:38+08:00 | 2.824943228267781 |
| 2026-07-22T22:17:42+08:00 | 2.8328095194840586 |
| 2026-07-22T22:17:47+08:00 | 2.8361213552547917 |
| 2026-07-22T22:23:15+08:00 | 2.8619184303751477 |
| 2026-07-22T22:23:20+08:00 | 2.870277046053229 |
| 2026-07-22T22:23:25+08:00 | 2.8718430375147608 |
| 2026-07-22T22:23:37+08:00 | 2.9085402852211826 |
| 2026-07-23T08:38:28+08:00 | 2.9517431192660553 |
| 2026-07-23T08:38:36+08:00 | 2.9517431192660553 |
| 2026-07-23T08:38:39+08:00 | 2.9584249250613133 |
| 2026-07-23T08:38:45+08:00 | 3.1459078935416476 |
| 2026-07-23T09:03:50+08:00 | 3.1760614043055684 |
| 2026-07-23T09:04:01+08:00 | 3.1765609955490963 |
| 2026-07-23T09:04:03+08:00 | 3.188402216368426 |
| 2026-07-23T09:04:42+08:00 | 3.2159415024071216 |
| 2026-07-23T09:05:22+08:00 | 3.2215732582432555 |
| 2026-07-23T10:01:20+08:00 | 3.2285602688709236 |
| 2026-07-23T10:09:24+08:00 | 3.238884549005359 |
| 2026-07-23T10:09:27+08:00 | 3.2399654827868107 |
| 2026-07-23T10:09:30+08:00 | 3.264272867653738 |
| 2026-07-23T10:09:36+08:00 | 3.398163320919248 |
| 2026-07-23T11:06:49+08:00 | 3.402666908892724 |
| 2026-07-23T11:06:57+08:00 | 3.4033518030702155 |
| 2026-07-23T11:07:00+08:00 | 3.4142973930420566 |
| 2026-07-23T11:07:03+08:00 | 3.4179653011172677 |
| 2026-07-23T11:07:08+08:00 | 3.5220619493141974 |
| 2026-07-23T12:20:18+08:00 | 3.5235534562630577 |
| 2026-07-23T12:20:24+08:00 | 3.527270415114906 |
| 2026-07-23T12:20:30+08:00 | 3.5288963575256607 |
| 2026-07-23T12:20:33+08:00 | 3.531034608047961 |
| 2026-07-23T12:20:38+08:00 | 3.6480297938050685 |
| 2026-07-23T13:40:57+08:00 | 3.650079026251249 |
| 2026-07-23T13:41:04+08:00 | 3.6568244163865926 |
| 2026-07-23T13:41:07+08:00 | 3.6587392133708785 |
| 2026-07-23T13:41:10+08:00 | 3.659327822690526 |
| 2026-07-23T13:41:16+08:00 | 3.7781397038786446 |
| 2026-07-23T14:05:36+08:00 | 3.80044872377146 |
| 2026-07-23T14:05:46+08:00 | 3.8049795621764013 |
| 2026-07-23T14:05:49+08:00 | 3.994866018711963 |
| 2026-07-23T14:05:51+08:00 | 3.996159505858843 |
| 2026-07-23T14:05:54+08:00 | 3.997342174584431 |
| 2026-07-23T14:05:59+08:00 | 4.019505858842765 |
| 2026-07-23T14:06:29+08:00 | 4.053383595240258 |
| 2026-07-23T15:08:44+08:00 | 4.054680715778 |
| 2026-07-23T15:08:50+08:00 | 4.060343355436461 |
| 2026-07-23T15:08:54+08:00 | 4.063836860750295 |
| 2026-07-23T15:08:57+08:00 | 4.0708511218094285 |
| 2026-07-23T15:09:03+08:00 | 4.129712053774185 |
| 2026-07-23T16:01:05+08:00 | 4.131307112362612 |
| 2026-07-23T16:07:11+08:00 | 4.132113725133982 |
| 2026-07-23T16:07:14+08:00 | 4.134548097011536 |
| 2026-07-23T16:07:16+08:00 | 4.135738032518848 |
| 2026-07-23T16:07:23+08:00 | 4.175160323371787 |
| 2026-07-23T17:01:54+08:00 | 4.211152693250977 |
| 2026-07-23T17:05:54+08:00 | 4.216564628939958 |
| 2026-07-23T17:05:57+08:00 | 4.218691979289672 |
| 2026-07-23T17:06:00+08:00 | 4.21929875556363 |
| 2026-07-23T17:06:06+08:00 | 4.255269325097648 |
| 2026-07-23T17:20:56+08:00 | 4.3097701880279775 |
| 2026-07-23T17:36:13+08:00 | 4.727610137160505 |
| 2026-07-23T18:01:13+08:00 | 4.727526569170679 |
| 2026-07-23T18:03:21+08:00 | 4.732604232900354 |
| 2026-07-23T18:03:24+08:00 | 4.731521482423472 |
| 2026-07-23T18:03:28+08:00 | 4.733948587519302 |
| 2026-07-23T18:05:17+08:00 | 4.762256335725316 |
| 2026-07-23T18:05:46+08:00 | 4.779333272776819 |
| 2026-07-23T20:11:08+08:00 | 4.794531746752657 |
| 2026-07-23T20:11:33+08:00 | 4.796199473158325 |
| 2026-07-23T20:11:38+08:00 | 4.807737305840676 |
| 2026-07-23T20:11:43+08:00 | 4.807477518394041 |
| 2026-07-23T20:11:55+08:00 | 4.870516849850123 |
| 2026-07-23T20:11:59+08:00 | 4.871819420474157 |
| 2026-07-23T20:12:04+08:00 | 4.875173040239804 |
| 2026-07-23T20:12:13+08:00 | 4.902968480334272 |
| 2026-07-23T22:10:51+08:00 | 4.904034880552276 |
| 2026-07-23T22:10:56+08:00 | 4.903417204105732 |
| 2026-07-23T22:11:05+08:00 | 4.909593968571169 |
| 2026-07-23T22:11:10+08:00 | 4.911363429920974 |
| 2026-07-23T22:11:14+08:00 | 4.91608320465074 |
| 2026-07-23T22:11:23+08:00 | 4.913539831047325 |
| 2026-07-24T08:36:36+08:00 | 4.907284948678354 |
| 2026-07-24T08:36:51+08:00 | 4.907284948678354 |
| 2026-07-24T08:36:54+08:00 | 4.911815787083295 |
| 2026-07-24T08:37:01+08:00 | 5.021362521573258 |
| 2026-07-24T09:11:51+08:00 | 5.021482423471705 |
| 2026-07-24T09:12:00+08:00 | 5.040515941502407 |
| 2026-07-24T09:12:10+08:00 | 5.041725860659461 |
| 2026-07-24T09:12:16+08:00 | 5.072791352529748 |
| 2026-07-24T09:12:42+08:00 | 5.07308202379871 |
| 2026-07-24T09:54:17+08:00 | 5.082933963121083 |
| 2026-07-24T10:02:34+08:00 | 5.087215914251976 |
| 2026-07-24T10:06:19+08:00 | 5.089839222454356 |
| 2026-07-24T10:06:23+08:00 | 5.091377963484422 |
| 2026-07-24T10:06:28+08:00 | 5.093616132255427 |
| 2026-07-24T10:06:32+08:00 | 5.517269506767191 |
| 2026-07-24T11:09:34+08:00 | 5.519798346807158 |
| 2026-07-24T11:09:49+08:00 | 5.529722953946771 |
| 2026-07-24T11:09:52+08:00 | 5.539389590335181 |
| 2026-07-24T11:09:55+08:00 | 5.538628394949587 |
| 2026-07-24T11:09:58+08:00 | 5.617472976655463 |
| 2026-07-24T12:09:39+08:00 | 5.622143700608593 |
| 2026-07-24T12:09:47+08:00 | 5.681998364974112 |
| 2026-07-24T12:09:51+08:00 | 5.677173221909347 |
| 2026-07-24T12:09:56+08:00 | 5.6779653011172675 |
| 2026-07-24T12:10:04+08:00 | 5.7786102279952765 |
| 2026-07-24T13:42:53+08:00 | 5.779805613588882 |
| 2026-07-24T13:43:01+08:00 | 5.782728676537379 |
| 2026-07-24T13:43:11+08:00 | 5.791828503951312 |
| 2026-07-24T13:43:14+08:00 | 5.793601598691979 |
| 2026-07-24T13:43:18+08:00 | 5.794193841402489 |
| 2026-07-24T13:43:24+08:00 | 5.8417912616949765 |
| 2026-07-24T14:01:08+08:00 | 5.854838768280498 |
| 2026-07-24T14:01:33+08:00 | 5.875463711508766 |
| 2026-07-24T14:04:10+08:00 | 5.8955727132346265 |
| 2026-07-24T14:04:13+08:00 | 5.895438277772731 |
| 2026-07-24T14:04:20+08:00 | 5.896650013625216 |
| 2026-07-24T14:15:44+08:00 | 5.987121446089563 |
| 2026-07-24T15:06:59+08:00 | 5.980357888999909 |
| 2026-07-24T15:07:03+08:00 | 5.989078027068762 |
| 2026-07-24T15:07:06+08:00 | 5.989999091652284 |
| 2026-07-24T15:07:09+08:00 | 5.990487782723227 |
| 2026-07-24T15:07:15+08:00 | 6.03735852484331 |
| 2026-07-24T16:09:40+08:00 | 6.038811881188119 |
| 2026-07-24T16:09:51+08:00 | 6.118933599781997 |
| 2026-07-24T16:09:54+08:00 | 6.170954673448996 |
| 2026-07-24T16:09:59+08:00 | 6.469256063221001 |
| 2026-07-24T16:10:27+08:00 | 6.5055899718412205 |
| 2026-07-24T17:07:43+08:00 | 6.511476065037696 |
| 2026-07-24T17:07:45+08:00 | 6.500902897629213 |
| 2026-07-24T17:07:48+08:00 | 6.504897810882006 |
| 2026-07-24T17:07:54+08:00 | 6.577747297665546 |
| 2026-07-24T17:53:41+08:00 | 7.75859932782269 |
| 2026-07-24T18:08:15+08:00 | 7.768166045962395 |
| 2026-07-24T18:08:29+08:00 | 7.778988100644927 |
| 2026-07-24T18:08:48+08:00 | 7.777004269234263 |
| 2026-07-24T18:08:54+08:00 | 7.778105186665456 |
| 2026-07-24T18:09:05+08:00 | 7.798815514578981 |
| 2026-07-24T20:18:21+08:00 | 7.79665728040694 |
| 2026-07-24T20:18:27+08:00 | 7.818879098919067 |
| 2026-07-24T20:18:31+08:00 | 7.820922881278953 |
| 2026-07-24T20:18:41+08:00 | 7.8459932782269055 |
| 2026-07-24T20:18:46+08:00 | 7.85187755472795 |
| 2026-07-24T20:18:50+08:00 | 7.853490780270688 |
| 2026-07-24T20:18:55+08:00 | 7.853934053955855 |
| 2026-07-24T20:19:04+08:00 | 7.861382505222999 |
| 2026-07-24T22:11:05+08:00 | 7.860187119629394 |
| 2026-07-24T22:11:10+08:00 | 7.860570442365337 |
| 2026-07-24T22:11:15+08:00 | 7.882189117994368 |
| 2026-07-24T22:11:20+08:00 | 7.884523571623217 |
| 2026-07-24T22:11:25+08:00 | 7.88517576528295 |
| 2026-07-24T22:11:34+08:00 | 7.900799345989645 |
| 2026-07-25T09:32:27+08:00 | 7.903255518212371 |
| 2026-07-25T09:32:40+08:00 | 7.903255518212371 |
| 2026-07-25T09:32:44+08:00 | 7.9127822690525935 |
| 2026-07-25T09:32:53+08:00 | 7.953112907621037 |
| 2026-07-25T09:33:03+08:00 | 7.954595331092742 |
| 2026-07-25T09:33:08+08:00 | 7.959433191025525 |
| 2026-07-25T09:33:17+08:00 | 7.922917612862204 |
| 2026-07-25T11:10:10+08:00 | 7.930914706149514 |
| 2026-07-25T11:10:15+08:00 | 7.933274593514398 |
| 2026-07-25T11:10:20+08:00 | 7.951804886910709 |
| 2026-07-25T11:10:24+08:00 | 7.952035607230448 |
| 2026-07-25T11:10:29+08:00 | 7.955267508402216 |
| 2026-07-25T11:10:38+08:00 | 7.955449177945318 |
| 2026-07-25T13:17:21+08:00 | 7.955643564356436 |
| 2026-07-25T13:17:26+08:00 | 7.957778181487874 |
| 2026-07-25T13:17:35+08:00 | 7.961048233263694 |
| 2026-07-25T13:17:40+08:00 | 7.963393587065129 |
| 2026-07-25T13:17:45+08:00 | 7.963537106004178 |
| 2026-07-25T13:17:49+08:00 | 7.971530565900626 |
| 2026-07-25T15:48:21+08:00 | 7.937910800254337 |
| 2026-07-25T15:48:26+08:00 | 7.935941502407122 |
| 2026-07-25T15:48:30+08:00 | 7.94066491052775 |
| 2026-07-25T15:48:35+08:00 | 7.945326551003724 |
| 2026-07-25T15:48:40+08:00 | 7.947177763647924 |
| 2026-07-25T15:48:44+08:00 | 7.972429830138977 |
| 2026-07-25T19:00:40+08:00 | 7.9792951221727675 |
| 2026-07-25T19:00:44+08:00 | 7.979478608411299 |
| 2026-07-25T19:00:53+08:00 | 7.988743755109456 |
| 2026-07-25T19:00:57+08:00 | 7.983184667090562 |
| 2026-07-25T19:01:02+08:00 | 7.981709510400582 |
| 2026-07-25T19:01:06+08:00 | 7.998786447452084 |
| 2026-07-25T19:01:11+08:00 | 7.99906440185303 |
| 2026-07-25T19:01:15+08:00 | 8.003066581887547 |
| 2026-07-25T19:01:20+08:00 | 8.073917703696976 |
| 2026-07-25T20:31:53+08:00 | 8.071434281042784 |
| 2026-07-25T20:31:58+08:00 | 8.07112362612408 |
| 2026-07-25T20:32:10+08:00 | 8.08275047688255 |
| 2026-07-25T20:32:16+08:00 | 8.084093014806069 |
| 2026-07-25T20:32:20+08:00 | 8.08486874375511 |
| 2026-07-25T20:32:30+08:00 | 8.085958761013716 |
| 2026-07-25T22:06:27+08:00 | 8.07646107730039 |
| 2026-07-25T22:06:32+08:00 | 8.076544645290218 |
| 2026-07-25T22:06:43+08:00 | 8.082721409755655 |
| 2026-07-25T22:06:47+08:00 | 8.092544281951131 |
| 2026-07-25T22:06:52+08:00 | 8.093378145153965 |
| 2026-07-25T22:07:02+08:00 | 8.096103188300482 |
| 2026-07-26T10:43:23+08:00 | 8.096501044599872 |
| 2026-07-26T10:43:38+08:00 | 8.098003451721318 |
| 2026-07-26T10:43:51+08:00 | 8.123255518212371 |
| 2026-07-26T10:44:00+08:00 | 8.12251430647652 |
| 2026-07-26T10:44:05+08:00 | 8.121435189390498 |
| 2026-07-26T10:44:15+08:00 | 8.141055500045418 |
| 2026-07-26T10:44:26+08:00 | 8.140081751294396 |
| 2026-07-26T10:44:31+08:00 | 8.140931964756108 |
| 2026-07-26T10:44:40+08:00 | 8.148925424652557 |
| 2026-07-26T14:27:55+08:00 | 8.14997184122082 |
| 2026-07-26T14:28:00+08:00 | 8.15157234989554 |
| 2026-07-26T14:28:05+08:00 | 8.17137433009356 |
| 2026-07-26T14:28:09+08:00 | 8.16842765010446 |
| 2026-07-26T14:28:15+08:00 | 8.173172858570261 |
| 2026-07-26T14:28:26+08:00 | 8.18806976110455 |
| 2026-07-26T14:28:31+08:00 | 8.186652738668363 |
| 2026-07-26T14:28:36+08:00 | 8.187579253338178 |
| 2026-07-26T14:28:46+08:00 | 8.253525297483877 |
| 2026-07-26T14:28:50+08:00 | 8.257927150513217 |
| 2026-07-26T14:28:57+08:00 | 8.261687710055408 |
| 2026-07-26T14:29:06+08:00 | 8.275312925787992 |
| 2026-07-26T17:15:07+08:00 | 8.277333091107275 |
| 2026-07-26T17:15:12+08:00 | 8.280470524116632 |
| 2026-07-26T17:15:26+08:00 | 8.31498773730584 |
| 2026-07-26T17:15:33+08:00 | 8.31759106185848 |
| 2026-07-26T17:15:41+08:00 | 8.319182487056045 |
| 2026-07-26T17:15:54+08:00 | 8.322997547461169 |
| 2026-07-26T17:16:09+08:00 | 8.343348169679354 |
| 2026-07-26T17:16:15+08:00 | 8.35320737578345 |
| 2026-07-26T17:16:29+08:00 | 8.374099373240076 |
| 2026-07-26T19:29:26+08:00 | 8.379613043873194 |
| 2026-07-26T19:29:32+08:00 | 8.378245072213643 |
| 2026-07-26T19:29:43+08:00 | 8.446371150876555 |
| 2026-07-26T19:29:47+08:00 | 8.450633118357707 |
| 2026-07-26T19:29:52+08:00 | 8.448465800708512 |
| 2026-07-26T19:30:03+08:00 | 8.449374148424017 |
| 2026-07-26T21:47:55+08:00 | 8.451821237169588 |
| 2026-07-26T21:48:00+08:00 | 8.452762285402851 |
| 2026-07-26T21:48:10+08:00 | 8.441317104187483 |
| 2026-07-26T21:48:24+08:00 | 8.436043237351258 |
| 2026-07-26T21:48:29+08:00 | 8.442939413207375 |
| 2026-07-26T21:48:38+08:00 | 8.451114542646925 |
| 2026-07-27T09:09:40+08:00 | 8.457760014533564 |
| 2026-07-27T09:09:46+08:00 | 8.460494141157236 |
| 2026-07-27T09:10:05+08:00 | 8.475572713234627 |
| 2026-07-27T09:10:10+08:00 | 8.493318194204742 |
| 2026-07-27T09:10:25+08:00 | 8.493318194204742 |
| 2026-07-27T09:10:28+08:00 | 8.549252429830139 |
| 2026-07-27T09:10:37+08:00 | 8.939841947497502 |
| 2026-07-27T09:10:45+08:00 | 8.991098192388046 |
| 2026-07-27T09:11:05+08:00 | 8.983731492415297 |
| 2026-07-27T09:11:08+08:00 | 8.983756926151331 |
| 2026-07-27T09:11:15+08:00 | 9.184138432191842 |
| 2026-07-27T10:13:20+08:00 | 9.192320828413116 |
| 2026-07-27T10:29:08+08:00 | 9.329117994368245 |
| 2026-07-27T10:29:33+08:00 | 9.88212008356799 |
| 2026-07-27T11:11:11+08:00 | 9.885789808338632 |
| 2026-07-27T14:13:11+08:00 | 13.07 |
| 时间 | 倍数 |
|---|
| 时间 | 券商 | 孖展资金 |
|---|
以实际认购倍数 16.84x 和当前分配手法 (甲组 α=0.546, 乙组 α=0.646) 为基准，对比各档位的实际与预测期望中签手数
| 申购手数 | 认购金额(HKD) | 实际期望中签 | 预测期望中签 | 偏差 |
|---|
中际旭创中签预测矩阵行为申购档位，列为不同认购倍数，数值为期望中签手数，绿色背景表示期望中签≥1手；非预设倍数由相邻网格插值估计。
机制B
《第18项应用指引》下的灵活发售机制。最低初订分配份额为发售股份的10%，不设回补机制。最高初订分配份额为发售股份的60%（因《第18项应用指引》规定发售股份总数至少40%须分配予配售部分投资者，基石投资者除外）。发行人可根据发售结构、市场状况及散户投资者利益，自行厘定公开认购部分的初订分配份额。
α 为发行人分配偏好系数，描述发行人对不同申购规模的分配倾向。α 取值范围 [0, 1]。
本页面的「中签率」定义与港交所配发结果公告完全一致：中签率 = 该档位获配股份总数 ÷ 该档位有效申请股份总数 × 100%。此为港交所官方口径，与其他网站可能使用的不同定义（如「申购人数中签比例」）有本质区别。
期望中签手数 = 该档位获配总股数 ÷ 每手股数 ÷ 该档位申购人数
例：某档位获配总股数 50,000 股，每手 100 股，申购人数 500 人 → 期望中签手数 = 50,000 ÷ 100 ÷ 500 = 1.0 手。
本页展示 中际旭创（03308）的中签预测：基于相似 IPO 匹配的期望中签率、甲乙组资金效率对比。
默认认购倍数按「近期首日表现 → 参与人数 → 人均手数 → 认购倍数」链条推导，公式为 认购倍数 = 参与人数 × 人均手数 ÷ 公开发售手数；其中参与人数与人均手数以近期 IPO 的中位数为基准，再按发行规模、A+H 身份、H 股折溢价、行业、并发 IPO、保荐人历史表现与恒指近期走势等特征调节。
认购窗口前期默认倍数以模型推导为准；随认购进度推进逐步结合孖展倍数加权；临近截止（进度约九成后）默认倍数以孖展倍数预测为准。
中签率预测基于历史 592 只 IPO 的 22087 条配发档位数据做回归拟合与 KNN 相似匹配，估计各申购档位的期望中签手数，并结合分配手法系数 α（人均分配至比例分配）给出区间。你可以自定义认购倍数与分配手法系数 α，覆盖 cibo 的默认预测，查看不同场景下的期望中签手数。中签率的计算方式与回拨规则见港股中签率怎么算。
数据来源：港交所披露易平台公开发售配发结果公告、招股说明书、FINI 平台公告；孖展数据（孖展倍数、捷利预测倍数及券商明细）来自捷利交易宝（TradeGo），倍数仅覆盖已上报券商，捷利预测倍数为全市场外推值。
孖展倍数盘中实时更新；中签率预测模型随新股配发数据入库不定期迭代。
