飞速创新 03355中签预测
飞速创新（03355）中签预测
| 排名 | 券商 | 孖展资金 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  富途 |
1247.7亿 |
| 2 |  辉立 |
387.0亿 |
| 3 |  老虎 |
184.0亿 |
| 4 |  华泰 |
68.7亿 |
| 5 |  信诚 |
50.0亿 |
| 6 |  华盛 |
28.5亿 |
| 7 |  招银 |
22.0亿 |
| 8 |  盈立 |
14.1亿 |
| 9 |  熊猫 |
10.3亿 |
| 时间 | 倍数 |
|---|---|
| 2026-03-13T06:00:00+08:00 | 0 |
| 2026-03-13T10:01:58+08:00 | 0.010036057692307693 |
| 2026-03-13T10:03:17+08:00 | 0.7885817307692308 |
| 2026-03-13T10:05:36+08:00 | 1.8282451923076923 |
| 2026-03-13T11:07:47+08:00 | 1.9916466346153847 |
| 2026-03-13T11:08:33+08:00 | 2.4045673076923078 |
| 2026-03-13T11:08:57+08:00 | 6.238701923076923 |
| 2026-03-13T11:28:45+08:00 | 6.306490384615385 |
| 2026-03-13T11:53:07+08:00 | 6.787259615384615 |
| 2026-03-13T12:05:47+08:00 | 6.796153846153846 |
| 2026-03-13T12:07:03+08:00 | 7.650540865384615 |
| 2026-03-13T12:07:29+08:00 | 10.619290865384615 |
| 2026-03-13T13:50:22+08:00 | 10.78719951923077 |
| 2026-03-13T13:50:45+08:00 | 10.79483173076923 |
| 2026-03-13T13:51:28+08:00 | 11.142728365384615 |
| 2026-03-13T13:51:55+08:00 | 12.16436298076923 |
| 2026-03-13T14:20:12+08:00 | 12.16796875 |
| 2026-03-13T14:20:53+08:00 | 12.44765625 |
| 2026-03-13T14:21:13+08:00 | 14.058233173076923 |
| 2026-03-13T14:21:33+08:00 | 14.220132211538461 |
| 2026-03-13T14:22:45+08:00 | 14.520552884615384 |
| 2026-03-13T15:04:11+08:00 | 15.062139423076923 |
| 2026-03-13T15:05:02+08:00 | 15.528605769230769 |
| 2026-03-13T15:05:34+08:00 | 16.261778846153845 |
| 2026-03-13T15:11:07+08:00 | 16.348076923076924 |
| 2026-03-13T15:58:07+08:00 | 16.94903846153846 |
| 2026-03-13T16:01:20+08:00 | 17.282391826923078 |
| 2026-03-13T16:51:18+08:00 | 17.549338942307692 |
| 2026-03-13T16:51:41+08:00 | 19.183954326923075 |
| 2026-03-13T16:52:05+08:00 | 19.272716346153846 |
| 2026-03-13T17:05:32+08:00 | 19.299038461538462 |
| 2026-03-13T17:08:10+08:00 | 19.489002403846154 |
| 2026-03-13T17:08:25+08:00 | 20.462560096153847 |
| 2026-03-13T17:11:32+08:00 | 20.52734375 |
| 2026-03-13T17:31:06+08:00 | 20.948016826923077 |
| 2026-03-13T17:31:25+08:00 | 27.55859375 |
| 2026-03-13T18:20:00+08:00 | 27.584795673076922 |
| 2026-03-13T18:22:10+08:00 | 27.859435096153845 |
| 2026-03-13T18:23:09+08:00 | 30.02890625 |
| 2026-03-13T18:23:40+08:00 | 30.06346153846154 |
| 2026-03-13T18:25:32+08:00 | 32.13683894230769 |
| 2026-03-13T20:14:21+08:00 | 32.23197115384615 |
| 2026-03-13T20:15:41+08:00 | 32.98467548076923 |
| 2026-03-13T20:16:37+08:00 | 33.12331730769231 |
| 2026-03-13T20:17:01+08:00 | 34.199038461538464 |
| 2026-03-13T20:17:16+08:00 | 34.45144230769231 |
| 2026-03-14T08:23:00+08:00 | 36.669591346153844 |
| 2026-03-14T08:24:39+08:00 | 36.914723557692305 |
| 2026-03-14T08:25:11+08:00 | 36.914723557692305 |
| 2026-03-14T08:25:42+08:00 | 38.35703125 |
| 2026-03-14T08:25:54+08:00 | 39.14429086538462 |
| 2026-03-14T08:26:04+08:00 | 42.81616586538462 |
| 2026-03-14T09:37:45+08:00 | 43.02746394230769 |
| 2026-03-14T09:38:27+08:00 | 43.28161057692308 |
| 2026-03-14T09:38:38+08:00 | 43.924639423076925 |
| 2026-03-14T09:38:52+08:00 | 43.98155048076923 |
| 2026-03-14T10:05:14+08:00 | 43.99098557692308 |
| 2026-03-14T10:06:13+08:00 | 44.11977163461538 |
| 2026-03-14T10:06:34+08:00 | 45.195492788461536 |
| 2026-03-14T12:47:48+08:00 | 45.32325721153846 |
| 2026-03-14T12:48:25+08:00 | 45.32800480769231 |
| 2026-03-14T12:49:30+08:00 | 45.53215144230769 |
| 2026-03-14T12:49:52+08:00 | 46.87229567307692 |
| 2026-03-14T12:50:02+08:00 | 47.30498798076923 |
| 2026-03-14T16:10:19+08:00 | 47.311478365384616 |
| 2026-03-14T16:12:06+08:00 | 47.39014423076923 |
| 2026-03-14T16:12:43+08:00 | 47.8453125 |
| 2026-03-14T16:13:35+08:00 | 50.27319711538462 |
| 2026-03-14T16:13:46+08:00 | 50.862139423076925 |
| 2026-03-14T18:33:15+08:00 | 50.86622596153846 |
| 2026-03-14T18:35:28+08:00 | 50.94543269230769 |
| 2026-03-14T18:36:09+08:00 | 51.11532451923077 |
| 2026-03-14T18:37:12+08:00 | 51.62013221153846 |
| 2026-03-14T18:37:22+08:00 | 51.83046875 |
| 2026-03-14T20:07:10+08:00 | 51.83239182692308 |
| 2026-03-14T20:08:10+08:00 | 51.85817307692308 |
| 2026-03-14T20:08:44+08:00 | 52.340384615384615 |
| 2026-03-14T20:09:10+08:00 | 53.99302884615385 |
| 2026-03-14T20:09:18+08:00 | 54.54591346153846 |
| 2026-03-14T22:05:41+08:00 | 54.55703125 |
| 2026-03-14T22:06:12+08:00 | 54.62379807692308 |
| 2026-03-14T22:06:23+08:00 | 54.93028846153846 |
| 2026-03-14T22:06:32+08:00 | 54.93551682692308 |
| 2026-03-14T22:06:47+08:00 | 55.09092548076923 |
| 2026-03-14T22:06:58+08:00 | 55.45751201923077 |
| 2026-03-15T10:26:29+08:00 | 57.34453125 |
| 2026-03-15T10:26:42+08:00 | 57.765204326923076 |
| 2026-03-15T10:26:57+08:00 | 57.975540865384616 |
| 2026-03-15T10:27:59+08:00 | 58.56039663461539 |
| 2026-03-15T10:28:03+08:00 | 58.93443509615385 |
| 2026-03-15T10:28:07+08:00 | 58.963701923076925 |
| 2026-03-15T10:28:11+08:00 | 59.13599759615385 |
| 2026-03-15T10:29:56+08:00 | 59.12475961538462 |
| 2026-03-15T10:30:00+08:00 | 59.12590144230769 |
| 2026-03-15T10:32:28+08:00 | 59.159134615384616 |
| 2026-03-15T10:32:31+08:00 | 59.21310096153846 |
| 2026-03-15T10:32:35+08:00 | 59.2421875 |
| 2026-03-15T10:32:38+08:00 | 59.26087740384615 |
| 2026-03-15T10:32:42+08:00 | 59.28491586538462 |
| 2026-03-15T12:52:50+08:00 | 59.29867788461539 |
| 2026-03-15T12:53:07+08:00 | 59.34981971153846 |
| 2026-03-15T12:54:32+08:00 | 59.453305288461536 |
| 2026-03-15T12:54:44+08:00 | 59.81039663461539 |
| 2026-03-15T12:55:13+08:00 | 60.32722355769231 |
| 2026-03-15T12:55:22+08:00 | 61.66736778846154 |
| 2026-03-15T12:56:47+08:00 | 61.66784855769231 |
| 2026-03-15T15:28:44+08:00 | 61.71400240384615 |
| 2026-03-15T15:28:48+08:00 | 61.74158653846154 |
| 2026-03-15T15:28:51+08:00 | 61.74759615384615 |
| 2026-03-15T15:29:21+08:00 | 61.91893028846154 |
| 2026-03-15T15:29:25+08:00 | 61.98118990384615 |
| 2026-03-15T15:29:29+08:00 | 62.10841346153846 |
| 2026-03-15T15:29:44+08:00 | 62.87764423076923 |
| 2026-03-15T15:29:48+08:00 | 63.61682692307692 |
| 2026-03-15T15:29:52+08:00 | 64.4701923076923 |
| 2026-03-15T15:30:15+08:00 | 64.471875 |
| 2026-03-15T15:30:19+08:00 | 64.4756610576923 |
| 2026-03-15T15:30:23+08:00 | 64.47890625 |
| 2026-03-15T19:29:51+08:00 | 64.50901442307692 |
| 2026-03-15T19:29:54+08:00 | 64.55024038461538 |
| 2026-03-15T19:29:58+08:00 | 64.5920673076923 |
| 2026-03-15T19:30:01+08:00 | 64.67367788461539 |
| 2026-03-15T19:30:25+08:00 | 65.05228365384616 |
| 2026-03-15T19:30:28+08:00 | 66.06189903846153 |
| 2026-03-15T19:30:32+08:00 | 66.68088942307692 |
| 2026-03-15T19:30:35+08:00 | 68.20132211538461 |
| 2026-03-15T19:31:02+08:00 | 68.20258413461538 |
| 2026-03-15T19:31:05+08:00 | 68.20426682692307 |
| 2026-03-15T19:31:09+08:00 | 68.20528846153846 |
| 2026-03-15T19:31:12+08:00 | 68.20787259615385 |
| 2026-03-15T19:34:42+08:00 | 68.3798076923077 |
| 2026-03-15T19:34:46+08:00 | 68.47626201923077 |
| 2026-03-15T19:34:50+08:00 | 68.49741586538461 |
| 2026-03-15T19:34:54+08:00 | 69.25024038461538 |
| 2026-03-15T22:47:38+08:00 | 69.40570913461538 |
| 2026-03-15T22:47:56+08:00 | 69.53227163461538 |
| 2026-03-15T22:49:06+08:00 | 70.66207932692308 |
| 2026-03-15T22:49:26+08:00 | 71.61760817307692 |
| 2026-03-15T22:50:00+08:00 | 73.39044471153846 |
| 2026-03-15T22:51:39+08:00 | 73.59026442307692 |
| 2026-03-15T22:51:58+08:00 | 73.89633413461539 |
| 2026-03-15T22:52:18+08:00 | 73.99483173076923 |
| 2026-03-16T08:39:33+08:00 | 74.34441105769231 |
| 2026-03-16T08:39:36+08:00 | 75.2125 |
| 2026-03-16T08:39:53+08:00 | 81.228125 |
| 2026-03-16T08:40:46+08:00 | 81.4092548076923 |
| 2026-03-16T08:40:54+08:00 | 81.74993990384615 |
| 2026-03-16T08:42:09+08:00 | 81.74993990384615 |
| 2026-03-16T09:23:09+08:00 | 81.76448317307693 |
| 2026-03-16T09:24:58+08:00 | 84.16832932692307 |
| 2026-03-16T09:25:21+08:00 | 84.11640625 |
| 2026-03-16T09:25:44+08:00 | 86.55631009615385 |
| 2026-03-16T09:26:08+08:00 | 87.32391826923077 |
| 2026-03-16T09:29:09+08:00 | 90.73022836538462 |
| 2026-03-16T10:01:52+08:00 | 90.72361778846154 |
| 2026-03-16T10:04:18+08:00 | 91.83960336538462 |
| 2026-03-16T10:11:36+08:00 | 98.84080528846154 |
| 2026-03-16T10:12:03+08:00 | 99.0173076923077 |
| 2026-03-16T11:05:40+08:00 | 101.17986778846154 |
| 2026-03-16T11:06:40+08:00 | 103.19693509615385 |
| 2026-03-16T11:07:23+08:00 | 109.17049278846154 |
| 2026-03-16T11:16:01+08:00 | 109.55138221153847 |
| 2026-03-16T12:20:50+08:00 | 110.60600961538462 |
| 2026-03-16T12:21:19+08:00 | 110.84501201923077 |
| 2026-03-16T12:23:26+08:00 | 111.44597355769231 |
| 2026-03-16T12:24:46+08:00 | 116.83659855769231 |
| 2026-03-16T12:25:08+08:00 | 116.89993990384616 |
| 2026-03-16T13:45:11+08:00 | 116.90558894230769 |
| 2026-03-16T13:45:47+08:00 | 118.21063701923077 |
| 2026-03-16T13:46:52+08:00 | 122.13491586538461 |
| 2026-03-16T13:47:11+08:00 | 122.20895432692308 |
| 2026-03-16T13:47:35+08:00 | 123.41087740384616 |
| 2026-03-16T14:01:03+08:00 | 123.46027644230769 |
| 2026-03-16T14:03:47+08:00 | 126.18070913461538 |
| 2026-03-16T14:05:14+08:00 | 127.82073317307692 |
| 2026-03-16T14:05:48+08:00 | 138.46376201923076 |
| 2026-03-16T14:29:25+08:00 | 138.56322115384614 |
| 2026-03-16T15:15:53+08:00 | 139.36520432692308 |
| 2026-03-16T15:16:33+08:00 | 141.46634615384616 |
| 2026-03-16T15:18:38+08:00 | 141.55853365384615 |
| 2026-03-16T15:19:26+08:00 | 151.94915865384615 |
| 2026-03-16T15:34:18+08:00 | 157.3578125 |
| 2026-03-16T16:08:33+08:00 | 157.4560096153846 |
| 2026-03-16T16:09:04+08:00 | 159.49278846153845 |
| 2026-03-16T16:09:35+08:00 | 170.18990384615384 |
| 2026-03-16T16:10:31+08:00 | 170.3342548076923 |
| 2026-03-16T17:05:08+08:00 | 170.32229567307692 |
| 2026-03-16T17:06:09+08:00 | 171.77878605769232 |
| 2026-03-16T17:06:42+08:00 | 182.51796875 |
| 2026-03-16T17:13:40+08:00 | 182.65715144230768 |
| 2026-03-16T18:06:28+08:00 | 219.91676682692307 |
| 2026-03-16T18:06:53+08:00 | 221.71965144230768 |
| 2026-03-16T18:07:15+08:00 | 222.68545673076923 |
| 2026-03-16T18:08:43+08:00 | 224.04903846153846 |
| 2026-03-16T18:09:08+08:00 | 232.24014423076923 |
| 2026-03-16T18:11:46+08:00 | 235.74681490384614 |
| 2026-03-16T18:12:51+08:00 | 235.9620793269231 |
| 2026-03-16T20:28:22+08:00 | 236.07025240384615 |
| 2026-03-16T20:59:03+08:00 | 236.34549278846154 |
| 2026-03-16T20:59:40+08:00 | 239.35745192307692 |
| 2026-03-16T21:00:12+08:00 | 245.69158653846154 |
| 2026-03-16T21:00:31+08:00 | 253.70841346153847 |
| 2026-03-16T21:48:38+08:00 | 256.93611778846156 |
| 2026-03-16T21:49:38+08:00 | 267.35078125 |
| 2026-03-16T21:49:59+08:00 | 267.5111778846154 |
| 2026-03-16T22:05:11+08:00 | 271.20504807692305 |
| 2026-03-16T22:05:35+08:00 | 285.8504807692308 |
| 2026-03-17T08:49:16+08:00 | 290.9066105769231 |
| 2026-03-17T08:49:21+08:00 | 297.6934495192308 |
| 2026-03-17T08:50:13+08:00 | 359.68864182692306 |
| 2026-03-17T08:50:31+08:00 | 359.9792668269231 |
| 2026-03-17T08:50:33+08:00 | 360.0731370192308 |
| 2026-03-17T08:50:36+08:00 | 360.5501201923077 |
| 2026-03-17T08:53:45+08:00 | 360.5501201923077 |
| 2026-03-17T09:05:12+08:00 | 363.4113581730769 |
| 2026-03-17T09:05:53+08:00 | 363.52932692307695 |
| 2026-03-17T09:06:29+08:00 | 381.85865384615386 |
| 2026-03-17T09:07:59+08:00 | 387.8802283653846 |
| 2026-03-17T09:22:33+08:00 | 388.03828125 |
| 2026-03-17T09:28:56+08:00 | 392.2450120192308 |
| 2026-03-17T09:44:44+08:00 | 395.24981971153846 |
| 2026-03-17T10:01:11+08:00 | 395.3110576923077 |
| 2026-03-17T10:11:15+08:00 | 398.5048076923077 |
| 2026-03-17T10:12:08+08:00 | 428.55288461538464 |
| 2026-03-17T11:05:49+08:00 | 430.9417668269231 |
| 2026-03-17T11:07:00+08:00 | 432.9032451923077 |
| 2026-03-17T11:07:43+08:00 | 457.50060096153845 |
| 2026-03-17T11:08:06+08:00 | 457.55546875 |
| 2026-03-17T12:15:42+08:00 | 458.93179086538464 |
| 2026-03-17T12:16:30+08:00 | 458.9427283653846 |
| 2026-03-17T12:16:45+08:00 | 458.9964543269231 |
| 2026-03-17T12:17:11+08:00 | 473.46760817307694 |
| 2026-03-17T13:46:11+08:00 | 473.47578125 |
| 2026-03-17T13:47:14+08:00 | 474.6765625 |
| 2026-03-17T13:47:36+08:00 | 486.93016826923076 |
| 2026-03-17T13:47:54+08:00 | 486.98834134615385 |
| 2026-03-17T14:00:41+08:00 | 487.0075120192308 |
| 2026-03-17T14:01:57+08:00 | 493.3896634615385 |
| 2026-03-17T14:03:44+08:00 | 495.7377403846154 |
| 2026-03-17T14:04:06+08:00 | 495.7979567307692 |
| 2026-03-17T14:05:46+08:00 | 504.09122596153844 |
| 2026-03-17T15:09:20+08:00 | 504.5199519230769 |
| 2026-03-17T15:10:08+08:00 | 505.4715745192308 |
| 2026-03-17T15:10:22+08:00 | 505.50210336538464 |
| 2026-03-17T15:10:47+08:00 | 517.1126802884615 |
| 2026-03-17T15:40:11+08:00 | 541.1511418269231 |
| 2026-03-17T16:14:08+08:00 | 542.6698317307693 |
| 2026-03-17T16:14:36+08:00 | 556.7082932692308 |
| 2026-03-17T16:15:04+08:00 | 556.742608173077 |
| 2026-03-17T17:16:17+08:00 | 556.7787259615385 |
| 2026-03-17T17:17:21+08:00 | 559.2801081730769 |
| 2026-03-17T17:17:39+08:00 | 572.0926081730769 |
| 2026-03-17T17:18:48+08:00 | 575.0974158653846 |
| 2026-03-17T18:06:47+08:00 | 700.6983774038462 |
| 2026-03-17T18:07:07+08:00 | 703.1624399038461 |
| 2026-03-17T18:07:33+08:00 | 703.1754206730769 |
| 2026-03-17T18:07:43+08:00 | 712.18984375 |
| 2026-03-17T18:12:44+08:00 | 716.5649639423077 |
| 2026-03-17T21:03:15+08:00 | 718.6747596153846 |
| 2026-03-17T21:04:07+08:00 | 723.3076322115385 |
| 2026-03-17T21:04:57+08:00 | 723.4008413461538 |
| 2026-03-17T21:06:43+08:00 | 748.6231971153846 |
| 2026-03-17T21:06:58+08:00 | 763.8335336538462 |
| 2026-03-17T22:15:17+08:00 | 766.9609975961539 |
| 2026-03-17T22:15:41+08:00 | 766.9775841346154 |
| 2026-03-17T22:15:45+08:00 | 784.609795673077 |
| 2026-03-18T08:35:22+08:00 | 787.7567908653846 |
| 2026-03-18T08:35:36+08:00 | 802.5274639423077 |
| 2026-03-18T08:36:25+08:00 | 802.6240985576923 |
| 2026-03-18T08:36:38+08:00 | 802.7170072115384 |
| 2026-03-18T08:36:57+08:00 | 937.9634014423077 |
| 2026-03-18T08:38:35+08:00 | 937.9634014423077 |
| 2026-03-18T09:02:42+08:00 | 950.4450120192307 |
| 2026-03-18T09:04:11+08:00 | 956.7125 |
| 2026-03-18T09:04:27+08:00 | 956.7123798076923 |
| 2026-03-18T09:06:07+08:00 | 1014.4587740384616 |
| 2026-03-18T09:55:36+08:00 | 1018.6655048076923 |
| 2026-03-18T10:06:19+08:00 | 1024.171935096154 |
| 2026-03-18T10:06:49+08:00 | 1137.2067908653846 |
| 2026-03-18T10:07:40+08:00 | 1146.2212139423077 |
| 2026-03-18T10:36:49+08:00 | 1209.3221754807691 |
| 2026-03-18T16:58:32+08:00 | 1220.52 |
| 时间 | 倍数 |
|---|
| 时间 | 券商 | 孖展资金 |
|---|
以实际认购倍数 1579.71x 和当前分配手法 (甲组 α=0.539, 乙组 α=0.639) 为基准，对比各档位的实际与预测期望中签手数
| 申购手数 | 认购金额(HKD) | 实际期望中签 | 预测期望中签 | 偏差 |
|---|
飞速创新中签预测矩阵行为申购档位，列为不同认购倍数，数值为期望中签手数，绿色背景表示稳中（≥1手）
机制B
《第18项应用指引》下的灵活发售机制。最低初订分配份额为发售股份的10%，不设回补机制。最高初订分配份额为发售股份的60%（因《第18项应用指引》规定发售股份总数至少40%须分配予配售部分投资者，基石投资者除外）。发行人可根据发售结构、市场状况及散户投资者利益，自行厘定公开认购部分的初订分配份额。
α 为发行人分配偏好系数，描述发行人对不同申购规模的分配倾向。α 取值范围 [0, 1]。
本页面的「中签率」定义与港交所配发结果公告完全一致：中签率 = 该档位获配股份总数 ÷ 该档位有效申请股份总数 × 100%。此为港交所官方口径，与其他网站可能使用的不同定义（如「申购人数中签比例」）有本质区别。
期望中签手数 = 该档位获配总股数 ÷ 每手股数 ÷ 该档位申购人数
例：某档位获配总股数 50,000 股，每手 100 股，申购人数 500 人 → 期望中签手数 = 50,000 ÷ 100 ÷ 500 = 1.0 手。
本页展示 飞速创新（03355）的中签预测：基于相似 IPO 匹配的期望中签率、甲乙组资金效率对比。
默认认购倍数按「近期首日表现 → 参与人数 → 人均手数 → 认购倍数」链条推导，公式为 认购倍数 = 参与人数 × 人均手数 ÷ 公开发售手数；其中参与人数与人均手数以近期 IPO 的中位数为基准，再按发行规模、A+H 身份、H 股折溢价、行业、并发 IPO、保荐人历史表现与恒指近期走势等特征调节。
认购窗口前期默认倍数以模型推导为准；随认购进度推进逐步结合孖展倍数加权；临近截止（进度约九成后）默认倍数以孖展倍数预测为准。
中签率预测基于历史 356 只 IPO 的 10897 条配发档位数据做回归拟合与 KNN 相似匹配，估计各申购档位的期望中签手数，并结合分配手法系数 α（人均分配至比例分配）给出区间。
数据来源：港交所披露易平台公开发售配发结果公告、招股说明书、FINI 平台公告；孖展数据（孖展倍数、捷利预测倍数及券商明细）来自捷利交易宝（TradeGo），倍数仅覆盖已上报券商，捷利预测倍数为全市场外推值。
孖展倍数盘中实时更新；中签率预测模型随新股配发数据入库不定期迭代。
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