易控智驾 07687
新股中签预测
64.3001.83%( -1.200 )
11月13日 · 收市数据，非实时 · 香港交易所
基于相似IPO匹配的期望中签预测
新股中签预测| 排名 | 券商 | 孖展资金 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  富途 |
117.2亿 |
| 2 |  辉立 |
68.0亿 |
| 3 |  老虎 |
19.8亿 |
| 4 |  华泰 |
7.9亿 |
| 5 |  盈立 |
3.5亿 |
| 6 |  致富 |
3.3亿 |
| 7 |  华盛 |
3.0亿 |
| 8 |  复星 |
2.6亿 |
| 9 |  信诚 |
2.0亿 |
| 时间 | 倍数 |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-29T06:00:00+08:00 | 0 |
| 2026-06-29T10:11:58+08:00 | 0.0017410228509249185 |
| 2026-06-29T10:12:04+08:00 | 0.0026115342763873774 |
| 2026-06-29T11:01:22+08:00 | 0.03281828073993471 |
| 2026-06-29T11:02:08+08:00 | 0.03294885745375408 |
| 2026-06-29T11:04:45+08:00 | 0.05632208922742111 |
| 2026-06-29T11:05:55+08:00 | 0.06324265505984766 |
| 2026-06-29T11:07:20+08:00 | 0.3548639825897715 |
| 2026-06-29T11:41:55+08:00 | 0.38620239390642 |
| 2026-06-29T12:15:46+08:00 | 0.4347334058759521 |
| 2026-06-29T12:16:27+08:00 | 0.4401305767138194 |
| 2026-06-29T12:17:46+08:00 | 0.4621980413492927 |
| 2026-06-29T12:18:35+08:00 | 0.4713819368879216 |
| 2026-06-29T12:19:10+08:00 | 0.5801958650707291 |
| 2026-06-29T13:41:19+08:00 | 0.5831120783460283 |
| 2026-06-29T13:42:46+08:00 | 0.702981501632209 |
| 2026-06-29T13:44:00+08:00 | 0.7072034820457018 |
| 2026-06-29T13:44:52+08:00 | 0.7183460282916213 |
| 2026-06-29T13:45:38+08:00 | 0.8445701849836779 |
| 2026-06-29T14:01:46+08:00 | 0.8473558215451578 |
| 2026-06-29T14:05:05+08:00 | 0.8515778019586507 |
| 2026-06-29T14:05:48+08:00 | 0.8691621327529924 |
| 2026-06-29T14:07:10+08:00 | 0.8727747551686615 |
| 2026-06-29T14:08:29+08:00 | 1.0338193688792165 |
| 2026-06-29T14:11:36+08:00 | 1.1960391730141458 |
| 2026-06-29T14:58:12+08:00 | 1.4136670293797606 |
| 2026-06-29T15:00:26+08:00 | 1.418063112078346 |
| 2026-06-29T15:01:45+08:00 | 1.4275516866158868 |
| 2026-06-29T15:04:23+08:00 | 1.4434820457018498 |
| 2026-06-29T15:05:46+08:00 | 1.5481610446137106 |
| 2026-06-29T15:07:07+08:00 | 1.6917954298150164 |
| 2026-06-29T16:01:39+08:00 | 1.9014145810663765 |
| 2026-06-29T16:03:22+08:00 | 1.9149945593035909 |
| 2026-06-29T16:04:49+08:00 | 1.9818063112078346 |
| 2026-06-29T16:09:12+08:00 | 1.977366702937976 |
| 2026-06-29T16:11:59+08:00 | 2.2341675734494015 |
| 2026-06-29T16:12:55+08:00 | 2.255930359085963 |
| 2026-06-29T17:08:01+08:00 | 2.2691186071817193 |
| 2026-06-29T17:08:49+08:00 | 2.3459847660500546 |
| 2026-06-29T17:10:07+08:00 | 2.417410228509249 |
| 2026-06-29T17:11:21+08:00 | 2.456887921653972 |
| 2026-06-29T17:12:23+08:00 | 2.957431991294886 |
| 2026-06-29T18:00:59+08:00 | 3.740892274211099 |
| 2026-06-29T18:02:48+08:00 | 3.8678563656147986 |
| 2026-06-29T18:04:34+08:00 | 3.964613710554951 |
| 2026-06-29T18:06:36+08:00 | 3.9822415669205657 |
| 2026-06-29T18:08:06+08:00 | 3.9852013057671383 |
| 2026-06-29T18:08:42+08:00 | 4.403046789989118 |
| 2026-06-29T18:13:13+08:00 | 4.490359085963004 |
| 2026-06-29T20:27:57+08:00 | 4.480609357997824 |
| 2026-06-29T20:29:12+08:00 | 4.50341675734494 |
| 2026-06-29T20:31:03+08:00 | 4.5357562568008705 |
| 2026-06-29T20:37:56+08:00 | 4.570272034820457 |
| 2026-06-29T20:41:46+08:00 | 5.0142328618063114 |
| 2026-06-29T21:09:35+08:00 | 5.045048966267682 |
| 2026-06-29T22:08:10+08:00 | 5.223329706202394 |
| 2026-06-29T22:09:14+08:00 | 5.2267247007616975 |
| 2026-06-29T22:10:05+08:00 | 5.479173014145811 |
| 2026-06-30T09:08:01+08:00 | 5.622763873775844 |
| 2026-06-30T09:10:54+08:00 | 5.626376496191512 |
| 2026-06-30T09:10:57+08:00 | 5.748726877040261 |
| 2026-06-30T09:11:01+08:00 | 5.7845048966267685 |
| 2026-06-30T09:12:49+08:00 | 6.798650707290533 |
| 2026-06-30T09:12:53+08:00 | 6.82689880304679 |
| 2026-06-30T09:12:58+08:00 | 7.444961915125136 |
| 2026-06-30T09:15:59+08:00 | 7.487181719260065 |
| 2026-06-30T09:17:56+08:00 | 7.487181719260065 |
| 2026-06-30T10:24:05+08:00 | 7.500239390642002 |
| 2026-06-30T10:24:10+08:00 | 7.535103373231774 |
| 2026-06-30T10:24:21+08:00 | 7.537323177366703 |
| 2026-06-30T10:24:32+08:00 | 7.727573449401524 |
| 2026-06-30T10:24:38+08:00 | 7.734102285092492 |
| 2026-06-30T10:24:56+08:00 | 7.76892274211099 |
| 2026-06-30T11:13:48+08:00 | 7.76069640914037 |
| 2026-06-30T11:13:53+08:00 | 7.759651795429815 |
| 2026-06-30T11:14:05+08:00 | 7.780718171926006 |
| 2026-06-30T11:14:11+08:00 | 7.99316648531012 |
| 2026-06-30T11:14:32+08:00 | 8.615582154515778 |
| 2026-06-30T11:48:19+08:00 | 8.812752992383025 |
| 2026-06-30T12:14:09+08:00 | 8.836082698585418 |
| 2026-06-30T12:18:54+08:00 | 8.94746463547334 |
| 2026-06-30T12:21:45+08:00 | 8.977236126224156 |
| 2026-06-30T12:23:58+08:00 | 8.977801958650707 |
| 2026-06-30T12:27:08+08:00 | 8.973449401523395 |
| 2026-06-30T14:03:21+08:00 | 8.976931447225246 |
| 2026-06-30T14:03:24+08:00 | 8.983068552774755 |
| 2026-06-30T14:08:17+08:00 | 8.984287268770403 |
| 2026-06-30T14:08:19+08:00 | 8.987377584330794 |
| 2026-06-30T14:13:30+08:00 | 9.010620239390642 |
| 2026-06-30T14:13:32+08:00 | 9.024504896626768 |
| 2026-06-30T14:17:36+08:00 | 9.029379760609357 |
| 2026-06-30T14:17:38+08:00 | 9.030076169749728 |
| 2026-06-30T14:19:24+08:00 | 9.191120783460283 |
| 2026-06-30T14:19:27+08:00 | 9.965875952121872 |
| 2026-06-30T14:29:48+08:00 | 10.467421109902068 |
| 2026-06-30T15:03:54+08:00 | 10.526093579978237 |
| 2026-06-30T15:06:06+08:00 | 10.564396082698586 |
| 2026-06-30T15:08:54+08:00 | 10.54911860718172 |
| 2026-06-30T15:10:37+08:00 | 10.827682263329706 |
| 2026-06-30T15:17:06+08:00 | 10.850054406964091 |
| 2026-06-30T15:19:12+08:00 | 11.502937976060936 |
| 2026-06-30T16:28:48+08:00 | 11.534319912948858 |
| 2026-06-30T16:32:43+08:00 | 11.591425462459195 |
| 2026-06-30T16:37:29+08:00 | 11.619804134929272 |
| 2026-06-30T16:40:11+08:00 | 11.645353645266594 |
| 2026-06-30T16:41:21+08:00 | 13.538715995647443 |
| 2026-06-30T17:06:39+08:00 | 13.535669205658325 |
| 2026-06-30T17:08:47+08:00 | 13.55677910772579 |
| 2026-06-30T17:11:33+08:00 | 13.550293797606093 |
| 2026-06-30T17:14:40+08:00 | 13.637344940152339 |
| 2026-06-30T17:17:29+08:00 | 14.046485310119696 |
| 2026-06-30T17:49:19+08:00 | 15.656931447225245 |
| 2026-06-30T18:05:27+08:00 | 15.850359085963003 |
| 2026-06-30T18:11:59+08:00 | 15.9078563656148 |
| 2026-06-30T18:16:52+08:00 | 15.917475516866158 |
| 2026-06-30T18:20:39+08:00 | 15.937018498367792 |
| 2026-06-30T18:24:23+08:00 | 15.946594124047879 |
| 2026-06-30T18:25:27+08:00 | 16.068465723612622 |
| 2026-06-30T18:27:11+08:00 | 16.19904243743199 |
| 2026-06-30T20:08:27+08:00 | 16.236387377584332 |
| 2026-06-30T20:13:46+08:00 | 16.23538628944505 |
| 2026-06-30T20:14:57+08:00 | 16.25627856365615 |
| 2026-06-30T20:16:52+08:00 | 16.261414581066376 |
| 2026-06-30T20:18:56+08:00 | 16.888182807399346 |
| 2026-06-30T21:59:58+08:00 | 16.895973884657238 |
| 2026-06-30T22:06:45+08:00 | 16.90411316648531 |
| 2026-06-30T22:08:17+08:00 | 16.865593035908596 |
| 2026-06-30T22:10:29+08:00 | 17.122393906420022 |
| 2026-07-01T08:45:26+08:00 | 17.113427638737758 |
| 2026-07-01T08:45:29+08:00 | 17.266550598476606 |
| 2026-07-01T08:57:28+08:00 | 18.711599564744287 |
| 2026-07-01T09:01:49+08:00 | 18.711599564744287 |
| 2026-07-01T09:05:55+08:00 | 18.758258977149076 |
| 2026-07-01T09:10:24+08:00 | 18.822763873775845 |
| 2026-07-01T09:12:50+08:00 | 18.82742110990207 |
| 2026-07-01T09:14:15+08:00 | 18.853536452665942 |
| 2026-07-01T09:18:11+08:00 | 18.897410228509248 |
| 2026-07-01T09:19:43+08:00 | 18.967051142546246 |
| 2026-07-01T09:23:28+08:00 | 19.079782372143633 |
| 2026-07-01T10:18:01+08:00 | 19.11251360174102 |
| 2026-07-01T10:21:58+08:00 | 19.17575625680087 |
| 2026-07-01T10:24:45+08:00 | 19.18789989118607 |
| 2026-07-01T10:26:11+08:00 | 19.379412404787814 |
| 2026-07-01T10:28:25+08:00 | 19.384853101196953 |
| 2026-07-01T11:08:50+08:00 | 19.428248095756256 |
| 2026-07-01T11:10:18+08:00 | 19.43373231773667 |
| 2026-07-01T11:13:17+08:00 | 19.425027203482045 |
| 2026-07-01T11:16:28+08:00 | 19.44165397170838 |
| 2026-07-01T11:19:55+08:00 | 19.49823721436344 |
| 2026-07-01T12:13:32+08:00 | 19.48905331882481 |
| 2026-07-01T12:16:25+08:00 | 19.499978237214364 |
| 2026-07-01T12:17:53+08:00 | 19.528661588683352 |
| 2026-07-01T12:20:09+08:00 | 19.53379760609358 |
| 2026-07-01T12:21:33+08:00 | 20.191033732317738 |
| 2026-07-01T14:10:25+08:00 | 20.198084874863984 |
| 2026-07-01T14:10:27+08:00 | 20.21919477693145 |
| 2026-07-01T14:16:14+08:00 | 20.219412404787814 |
| 2026-07-01T14:16:17+08:00 | 20.21048966267682 |
| 2026-07-01T14:17:58+08:00 | 20.67621327529924 |
| 2026-07-01T14:18:01+08:00 | 20.880783460282917 |
| 2026-07-01T14:22:46+08:00 | 20.895364526659414 |
| 2026-07-01T14:22:49+08:00 | 20.895712731229597 |
| 2026-07-01T14:26:39+08:00 | 20.903939064200216 |
| 2026-07-01T14:26:42+08:00 | 20.919173014145812 |
| 2026-07-01T14:30:29+08:00 | 20.995168661588682 |
| 2026-07-01T15:09:30+08:00 | 20.980935799782372 |
| 2026-07-01T15:12:47+08:00 | 21.025418933623502 |
| 2026-07-01T15:15:42+08:00 | 20.844134929270947 |
| 2026-07-01T15:17:58+08:00 | 20.859586507072905 |
| 2026-07-01T15:19:38+08:00 | 21.06415669205658 |
| 2026-07-01T16:15:12+08:00 | 21.07455930359086 |
| 2026-07-01T16:17:51+08:00 | 21.08391730141458 |
| 2026-07-01T16:20:30+08:00 | 21.101501632208922 |
| 2026-07-01T16:22:22+08:00 | 21.432295973884656 |
| 2026-07-01T16:24:06+08:00 | 21.43499455930359 |
| 2026-07-01T17:02:08+08:00 | 21.56557127312296 |
| 2026-07-01T17:04:09+08:00 | 21.62119695321001 |
| 2026-07-01T17:06:44+08:00 | 21.68165397170838 |
| 2026-07-01T17:09:43+08:00 | 21.69001088139282 |
| 2026-07-01T17:10:44+08:00 | 21.981632208922743 |
| 2026-07-01T17:12:34+08:00 | 21.99373231773667 |
| 2026-07-01T18:02:07+08:00 | 22.033514689880306 |
| 2026-07-01T18:04:54+08:00 | 22.0359521218716 |
| 2026-07-01T18:08:06+08:00 | 21.998563656147986 |
| 2026-07-01T18:09:27+08:00 | 22.055146898803045 |
| 2026-07-01T18:10:58+08:00 | 22.06158868335147 |
| 2026-07-01T18:17:37+08:00 | 22.101371055495104 |
| 2026-07-01T20:55:01+08:00 | 22.12670293797606 |
| 2026-07-01T20:58:03+08:00 | 22.155603917301416 |
| 2026-07-01T20:59:36+08:00 | 22.140935799782373 |
| 2026-07-01T21:01:38+08:00 | 22.99403699673558 |
| 2026-07-01T21:03:42+08:00 | 23.033819368879218 |
| 2026-07-01T22:06:11+08:00 | 23.08278563656148 |
| 2026-07-01T22:09:51+08:00 | 23.27334058759521 |
| 2026-07-01T22:14:31+08:00 | 23.3038084874864 |
| 2026-07-02T08:43:28+08:00 | 23.310511425462458 |
| 2026-07-02T08:43:31+08:00 | 23.51038084874864 |
| 2026-07-02T08:52:37+08:00 | 24.34171926006529 |
| 2026-07-02T08:59:38+08:00 | 24.34171926006529 |
| 2026-07-02T09:12:49+08:00 | 24.400087051142545 |
| 2026-07-02T09:18:50+08:00 | 24.468204570184984 |
| 2026-07-02T09:27:15+08:00 | 24.468378672470077 |
| 2026-07-02T09:29:20+08:00 | 24.567834602829162 |
| 2026-07-02T09:33:29+08:00 | 24.90298150163221 |
| 2026-07-02T09:50:59+08:00 | 25.05379760609358 |
| 2026-07-02T10:14:14+08:00 | 25.056539717083787 |
| 2026-07-02T10:17:22+08:00 | 25.08783460282916 |
| 2026-07-02T10:19:33+08:00 | 25.08683351468988 |
| 2026-07-02T10:21:43+08:00 | 25.120087051142548 |
| 2026-07-02T10:25:58+08:00 | 25.594515778019588 |
| 2026-07-02T11:10:17+08:00 | 25.557257889009794 |
| 2026-07-02T11:14:17+08:00 | 25.60818280739935 |
| 2026-07-02T11:15:34+08:00 | 26.36552774755169 |
| 2026-07-02T11:17:20+08:00 | 26.35151251360174 |
| 2026-07-02T11:19:07+08:00 | 26.322306855277475 |
| 2026-07-02T12:11:26+08:00 | 26.349771490750815 |
| 2026-07-02T12:17:10+08:00 | 26.393645266594124 |
| 2026-07-02T12:20:34+08:00 | 26.441305767138193 |
| 2026-07-02T12:21:32+08:00 | 27.53379760609358 |
| 2026-07-02T12:24:11+08:00 | 27.558563656147985 |
| 2026-07-02T14:09:55+08:00 | 27.564004352557127 |
| 2026-07-02T14:09:58+08:00 | 27.565788900979324 |
| 2026-07-02T14:14:16+08:00 | 27.67599564744287 |
| 2026-07-02T14:14:19+08:00 | 27.78885745375408 |
| 2026-07-02T14:18:37+08:00 | 27.82354733405876 |
| 2026-07-02T14:18:42+08:00 | 27.83468988030468 |
| 2026-07-02T14:25:08+08:00 | 27.843046789989117 |
| 2026-07-02T14:25:14+08:00 | 28.596039173014145 |
| 2026-07-02T14:25:17+08:00 | 28.62803046789989 |
| 2026-07-02T14:25:20+08:00 | 29.17210010881393 |
| 2026-07-02T14:36:06+08:00 | 29.430163220892275 |
| 2026-07-02T15:00:59+08:00 | 29.4336887921654 |
| 2026-07-02T15:03:34+08:00 | 29.463199129488576 |
| 2026-07-02T15:06:55+08:00 | 29.597431991294886 |
| 2026-07-02T15:11:34+08:00 | 29.62759521218716 |
| 2026-07-02T15:13:40+08:00 | 31.098759521218717 |
| 2026-07-02T16:05:34+08:00 | 31.34385201305767 |
| 2026-07-02T16:07:49+08:00 | 31.40918389553863 |
| 2026-07-02T16:10:51+08:00 | 31.460152339499455 |
| 2026-07-02T16:12:14+08:00 | 32.256670293797605 |
| 2026-07-02T16:14:55+08:00 | 32.28683351468988 |
| 2026-07-02T17:04:47+08:00 | 32.34084874863983 |
| 2026-07-02T17:06:36+08:00 | 32.38128400435256 |
| 2026-07-02T17:09:01+08:00 | 32.52587595212187 |
| 2026-07-02T17:11:47+08:00 | 32.56452665941241 |
| 2026-07-02T17:14:10+08:00 | 33.47421109902067 |
| 2026-07-02T17:15:26+08:00 | 33.79630032644179 |
| 2026-07-02T17:52:33+08:00 | 38.36648531011969 |
| 2026-07-02T18:08:39+08:00 | 38.6213710554951 |
| 2026-07-02T18:17:07+08:00 | 38.6485745375408 |
| 2026-07-02T18:19:00+08:00 | 38.65031556039173 |
| 2026-07-02T18:21:10+08:00 | 38.76013057671382 |
| 2026-07-02T18:22:19+08:00 | 38.781196953210014 |
| 2026-07-02T18:23:41+08:00 | 39.75616974972797 |
| 2026-07-02T20:41:26+08:00 | 39.7750598476605 |
| 2026-07-02T20:44:06+08:00 | 39.824635473340585 |
| 2026-07-02T20:46:22+08:00 | 39.87390642002176 |
| 2026-07-02T20:49:26+08:00 | 40.15778019586507 |
| 2026-07-02T20:51:38+08:00 | 41.45048966267682 |
| 2026-07-02T21:50:27+08:00 | 41.49048966267682 |
| 2026-07-02T22:06:35+08:00 | 41.611186071817194 |
| 2026-07-02T22:09:38+08:00 | 42.534058759521216 |
| 2026-07-02T22:11:39+08:00 | 45.789771490750816 |
| 2026-07-03T08:41:01+08:00 | 46.46620239390642 |
| 2026-07-03T08:41:04+08:00 | 48.72230685527747 |
| 2026-07-03T08:46:37+08:00 | 48.72230685527747 |
| 2026-07-03T08:48:49+08:00 | 61.536235038084875 |
| 2026-07-03T09:01:20+08:00 | 61.92796517954298 |
| 2026-07-03T09:07:19+08:00 | 62.081566920565834 |
| 2026-07-03T09:10:14+08:00 | 62.512383025027205 |
| 2026-07-03T09:12:30+08:00 | 63.064591947769316 |
| 2026-07-03T09:14:56+08:00 | 66.12443960826985 |
| 2026-07-03T09:18:46+08:00 | 67.73297062023939 |
| 2026-07-03T10:16:48+08:00 | 68.41771490750816 |
| 2026-07-03T10:20:51+08:00 | 75.76047878128401 |
| 2026-07-03T10:27:23+08:00 | 75.84117519042438 |
| 2026-07-03T11:13:52+08:00 | 76.29227421109903 |
| 2026-07-03T11:21:10+08:00 | 100.88 |
| 时间 | 倍数 |
|---|
| 时间 | 券商 | 孖展资金 |
|---|
以实际认购倍数 157.82x 和当前分配手法 (甲组 α=0.518, 乙组 α=0.618) 为基准，对比各档位的实际与预测期望中签手数
| 申购手数 | 认购金额(HKD) | 实际期望中签 | 预测期望中签 | 偏差 |
|---|
易控智驾中签预测矩阵行为申购档位，列为不同认购倍数，数值为期望中签手数，绿色背景表示期望中签≥1手；非预设倍数由相邻网格插值估计。
机制B
《第18项应用指引》下的灵活发售机制。最低初订分配份额为发售股份的10%，不设回补机制。最高初订分配份额为发售股份的60%（因《第18项应用指引》规定发售股份总数至少40%须分配予配售部分投资者，基石投资者除外）。发行人可根据发售结构、市场状况及散户投资者利益，自行厘定公开认购部分的初订分配份额。
α 为发行人分配偏好系数，描述发行人对不同申购规模的分配倾向。α 取值范围 [0, 1]。
本页面的「中签率」定义与港交所配发结果公告完全一致：中签率 = 该档位获配股份总数 ÷ 该档位有效申请股份总数 × 100%。此为港交所官方口径，与其他网站可能使用的不同定义（如「申购人数中签比例」）有本质区别。
期望中签手数 = 该档位获配总股数 ÷ 每手股数 ÷ 该档位申购人数
例：某档位获配总股数 50,000 股，每手 100 股，申购人数 500 人 → 期望中签手数 = 50,000 ÷ 100 ÷ 500 = 1.0 手。
本页展示 易控智驾（07687）的中签预测：基于相似 IPO 匹配的期望中签率、甲乙组资金效率对比。
默认认购倍数按「近期首日表现 → 参与人数 → 人均手数 → 认购倍数」链条推导，公式为 认购倍数 = 参与人数 × 人均手数 ÷ 公开发售手数；其中参与人数与人均手数以近期 IPO 的中位数为基准，再按发行规模、A+H 身份、H 股折溢价、行业、并发 IPO、保荐人历史表现与恒指近期走势等特征调节。
认购窗口前期默认倍数以模型推导为准；随认购进度推进逐步结合孖展倍数加权；临近截止（进度约九成后）默认倍数以孖展倍数预测为准。
中签率预测基于历史 592 只 IPO 的 22087 条配发档位数据做回归拟合与 KNN 相似匹配，估计各申购档位的期望中签手数，并结合分配手法系数 α（人均分配至比例分配）给出区间。你可以自定义认购倍数与分配手法系数 α，覆盖 cibo 的默认预测，查看不同场景下的期望中签手数。中签率的计算方式与回拨规则见港股中签率怎么算。
数据来源：港交所披露易平台公开发售配发结果公告、招股说明书、FINI 平台公告；孖展数据（孖展倍数、捷利预测倍数及券商明细）来自捷利交易宝（TradeGo），倍数仅覆盖已上报券商，捷利预测倍数为全市场外推值。
孖展倍数盘中实时更新；中签率预测模型随新股配发数据入库不定期迭代。
