梅卡曼德机器人 09615
新股中签预测
84.3501.80%( -1.550 )
11月13日 · 收市数据，非实时 · 香港交易所
基于相似IPO匹配的期望中签预测
新股中签预测| 排名 | 券商 | 孖展资金 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  富途 |
1829.2亿 |
| 2 |  辉立 |
866.0亿 |
| 3 |  老虎 |
333.3亿 |
| 4 |  华泰 |
144.5亿 |
| 6 |  致富 |
59.3亿 |
| 7 |  华盛 |
55.0亿 |
| 8 |  盈立 |
47.2亿 |
| 9 |  复星 |
44.5亿 |
| 10 |  信诚 |
30.0亿 |
| 11 |  熊猫 |
28.4亿 |
| 12 |  长桥 |
9.7亿 |
| 13 |  TradeGo |
7.8亿 |
| 14 |  东证 |
6.8亿 |
| 15 |  艾德 |
6.7亿 |
| 16 |  兴证 |
2.8亿 |
| 17 |  Funderstone |
4925万 |
| 18 |  盈宝 |
4677万 |
| 时间 | 倍数 |
|---|---|
| 2026-08-24T06:00:00+08:00 | 0 |
| 2026-08-24T10:06:41+08:00 | 0.6798674258519589 |
| 2026-08-24T10:06:48+08:00 | 0.8296082263958529 |
| 2026-08-24T10:06:55+08:00 | 1.2490864281465115 |
| 2026-08-24T10:07:18+08:00 | 1.413359394917991 |
| 2026-08-24T10:07:24+08:00 | 1.4346052519758647 |
| 2026-08-24T10:07:30+08:00 | 2.0634826208889265 |
| 2026-08-24T11:06:54+08:00 | 2.110733406985638 |
| 2026-08-24T11:07:06+08:00 | 2.213393388289284 |
| 2026-08-24T11:07:53+08:00 | 2.8936857312824 |
| 2026-08-24T11:07:56+08:00 | 3.0285544318857824 |
| 2026-08-24T11:07:58+08:00 | 3.190787796379706 |
| 2026-08-24T11:08:01+08:00 | 7.15 |
| 2026-08-24T12:22:48+08:00 | 7.19554686836067 |
| 2026-08-24T12:22:51+08:00 | 7.413104444633296 |
| 2026-08-24T12:22:55+08:00 | 8.484235574063058 |
| 2026-08-24T12:22:58+08:00 | 8.632786606611711 |
| 2026-08-24T12:23:02+08:00 | 8.888501742160278 |
| 2026-08-24T12:23:05+08:00 | 11.26 |
| 2026-08-24T13:48:39+08:00 | 12.63210673918586 |
| 2026-08-24T13:48:43+08:00 | 12.802073595648848 |
| 2026-08-24T13:48:50+08:00 | 12.910937367213393 |
| 2026-08-24T13:48:54+08:00 | 13.11430271097136 |
| 2026-08-24T13:48:58+08:00 | 13.23361944420838 |
| 2026-08-24T13:49:01+08:00 | 13.40817540579587 |
| 2026-08-24T13:49:04+08:00 | 14.674428486445143 |
| 2026-08-24T14:12:10+08:00 | 15.135548568029234 |
| 2026-08-24T14:12:13+08:00 | 15.241947820175065 |
| 2026-08-24T14:12:16+08:00 | 16.015212033653437 |
| 2026-08-24T14:12:19+08:00 | 16.20294042661681 |
| 2026-08-24T14:12:21+08:00 | 16.49698308829778 |
| 2026-08-24T14:12:24+08:00 | 18.766040622078695 |
| 2026-08-24T14:12:54+08:00 | 19.287413954278914 |
| 2026-08-24T14:43:23+08:00 | 19.29098325826464 |
| 2026-08-24T15:11:48+08:00 | 19.44055409195207 |
| 2026-08-24T15:11:50+08:00 | 19.594459080479307 |
| 2026-08-24T15:11:55+08:00 | 21.06594714030764 |
| 2026-08-24T15:11:58+08:00 | 21.133423982323446 |
| 2026-08-24T15:12:01+08:00 | 21.291493158834026 |
| 2026-08-24T15:12:03+08:00 | 23.671029149315885 |
| 2026-08-24T15:12:12+08:00 | 23.68 |
| 2026-08-24T16:14:13+08:00 | 23.706212288603723 |
| 2026-08-24T16:14:16+08:00 | 23.82263958528087 |
| 2026-08-24T16:14:19+08:00 | 24.20540494603552 |
| 2026-08-24T16:14:21+08:00 | 24.45134698733747 |
| 2026-08-24T16:14:24+08:00 | 24.877538879918415 |
| 2026-08-24T16:14:26+08:00 | 27.571513554856804 |
| 2026-08-24T16:14:29+08:00 | 27.911447267782783 |
| 2026-08-24T16:16:07+08:00 | 29.61111583241268 |
| 2026-08-24T17:04:59+08:00 | 31.006033823404437 |
| 2026-08-24T17:05:01+08:00 | 31.077079969405965 |
| 2026-08-24T17:05:04+08:00 | 32.012152630237104 |
| 2026-08-24T17:05:08+08:00 | 32.10801393728223 |
| 2026-08-24T17:05:13+08:00 | 35.379875924194785 |
| 2026-08-24T17:05:16+08:00 | 35.617574572958276 |
| 2026-08-24T17:06:03+08:00 | 39.1 |
| 2026-08-24T17:46:55+08:00 | 40.14719129769695 |
| 2026-08-24T18:02:02+08:00 | 40.232174725928445 |
| 2026-08-24T18:02:28+08:00 | 40.458400611880684 |
| 2026-08-24T18:02:37+08:00 | 41.96753633041557 |
| 2026-08-24T18:18:43+08:00 | 44.14013767315374 |
| 2026-08-24T18:20:18+08:00 | 45.329905668394666 |
| 2026-08-24T18:20:29+08:00 | 45.47505736381406 |
| 2026-08-24T18:20:38+08:00 | 45.57414804113198 |
| 2026-08-24T18:20:47+08:00 | 47.57975694739526 |
| 2026-08-24T20:40:30+08:00 | 47.74037562675278 |
| 2026-08-24T20:40:45+08:00 | 47.99685561315543 |
| 2026-08-24T20:40:55+08:00 | 48.94255120251551 |
| 2026-08-24T20:41:05+08:00 | 49.034418288433756 |
| 2026-08-24T20:41:14+08:00 | 51.80487804878049 |
| 2026-08-24T20:41:27+08:00 | 51.87660406220787 |
| 2026-08-24T20:41:31+08:00 | 52.494263618594374 |
| 2026-08-24T20:41:40+08:00 | 52.505481431120934 |
| 2026-08-24T20:41:55+08:00 | 53.8907113112943 |
| 2026-08-24T22:24:52+08:00 | 53.97756437494689 |
| 2026-08-24T22:25:03+08:00 | 54.181184668989545 |
| 2026-08-24T22:25:12+08:00 | 54.944505821364835 |
| 2026-08-24T22:25:22+08:00 | 56.75465284269568 |
| 2026-08-24T22:25:31+08:00 | 57.49358375116852 |
| 2026-08-24T22:25:41+08:00 | 57.55409195206935 |
| 2026-08-24T22:25:50+08:00 | 62.31 |
| 2026-08-25T08:41:09+08:00 | 62.245432140732554 |
| 2026-08-25T08:41:13+08:00 | 65.06076315118551 |
| 2026-08-25T08:41:15+08:00 | 78.24169286989037 |
| 2026-08-25T08:41:33+08:00 | 80.51083538709952 |
| 2026-08-25T08:41:43+08:00 | 80.51083538709952 |
| 2026-08-25T09:01:27+08:00 | 81.79230050140222 |
| 2026-08-25T09:01:55+08:00 | 82.66482535905499 |
| 2026-08-25T09:04:00+08:00 | 85.96345712586046 |
| 2026-08-25T09:04:34+08:00 | 85.9641369932863 |
| 2026-08-25T09:04:54+08:00 | 87.03152885187389 |
| 2026-08-25T09:05:03+08:00 | 87.92555451686921 |
| 2026-08-25T09:05:20+08:00 | 90.49205404946035 |
| 2026-08-25T09:35:02+08:00 | 90.55103254865301 |
| 2026-08-25T09:35:08+08:00 | 91.40086683096796 |
| 2026-08-25T09:35:13+08:00 | 91.25 |
| 2026-08-25T10:09:58+08:00 | 93.01453216622758 |
| 2026-08-25T10:10:04+08:00 | 93.31724313758816 |
| 2026-08-25T10:10:23+08:00 | 94.26327866066117 |
| 2026-08-25T10:10:33+08:00 | 95.30780997705448 |
| 2026-08-25T10:11:08+08:00 | 95.56310019546189 |
| 2026-08-25T10:11:18+08:00 | 95.6259879323532 |
| 2026-08-25T10:11:33+08:00 | 96.32081244157389 |
| 2026-08-25T10:11:44+08:00 | 105.2185773774114 |
| 2026-08-25T10:51:16+08:00 | 105.81346137503186 |
| 2026-08-25T11:14:10+08:00 | 109.52273306705193 |
| 2026-08-25T11:14:28+08:00 | 109.73391688620718 |
| 2026-08-25T11:14:38+08:00 | 111.4452281805048 |
| 2026-08-25T11:14:48+08:00 | 111.82484915441489 |
| 2026-08-25T11:15:05+08:00 | 112.29803688280785 |
| 2026-08-25T11:15:47+08:00 | 112.73349196906604 |
| 2026-08-25T11:15:56+08:00 | 118.65683691680123 |
| 2026-08-25T11:48:12+08:00 | 119.51 |
| 2026-08-25T12:05:12+08:00 | 119.80802243562505 |
| 2026-08-25T12:08:54+08:00 | 120.22061697968896 |
| 2026-08-25T12:09:05+08:00 | 121.70519248746494 |
| 2026-08-25T12:09:19+08:00 | 122.11217812526557 |
| 2026-08-25T12:09:44+08:00 | 122.70731707317073 |
| 2026-08-25T12:09:58+08:00 | 122.9940511600238 |
| 2026-08-25T12:10:13+08:00 | 131.60287243987423 |
| 2026-08-25T13:43:46+08:00 | 131.9584431035948 |
| 2026-08-25T13:43:49+08:00 | 132.288178805133 |
| 2026-08-25T13:43:52+08:00 | 133.40724058808533 |
| 2026-08-25T13:43:54+08:00 | 133.7439449307385 |
| 2026-08-25T13:43:58+08:00 | 133.98070876179145 |
| 2026-08-25T13:44:00+08:00 | 134.08702303050904 |
| 2026-08-25T13:44:02+08:00 | 139.79790940766551 |
| 2026-08-25T13:44:08+08:00 | 141.57 |
| 2026-08-25T14:08:27+08:00 | 140.34282314948584 |
| 2026-08-25T14:08:30+08:00 | 140.59063482620888 |
| 2026-08-25T14:08:33+08:00 | 141.50361179569984 |
| 2026-08-25T14:08:35+08:00 | 141.96073765615705 |
| 2026-08-25T14:08:38+08:00 | 142.18228945355656 |
| 2026-08-25T14:08:41+08:00 | 142.48007138607971 |
| 2026-08-25T14:08:44+08:00 | 149.40622078694653 |
| 2026-08-25T14:09:40+08:00 | 154.99014192232514 |
| 2026-08-25T14:50:18+08:00 | 156.0099430611031 |
| 2026-08-25T15:16:39+08:00 | 156.04623098495793 |
| 2026-08-25T15:16:43+08:00 | 156.4039262343843 |
| 2026-08-25T15:16:45+08:00 | 158.57746239483302 |
| 2026-08-25T15:16:51+08:00 | 158.94714030764 |
| 2026-08-25T15:16:52+08:00 | 159.20633976374606 |
| 2026-08-25T15:16:55+08:00 | 159.49468853573552 |
| 2026-08-25T15:16:58+08:00 | 170.33857397807427 |
| 2026-08-25T15:17:51+08:00 | 171.93 |
| 2026-08-25T16:06:38+08:00 | 170.39500297441998 |
| 2026-08-25T16:06:41+08:00 | 170.7917056174046 |
| 2026-08-25T16:06:44+08:00 | 172.06926149400866 |
| 2026-08-25T16:06:47+08:00 | 172.98912212118637 |
| 2026-08-25T16:06:49+08:00 | 173.3437579671964 |
| 2026-08-25T16:06:53+08:00 | 173.97535480581286 |
| 2026-08-25T16:06:55+08:00 | 181.6918500892326 |
| 2026-08-25T17:02:00+08:00 | 181.7455596158749 |
| 2026-08-25T17:02:53+08:00 | 182.2936177445398 |
| 2026-08-25T17:03:34+08:00 | 184.61986912552052 |
| 2026-08-25T17:04:03+08:00 | 185.17158154159938 |
| 2026-08-25T17:04:08+08:00 | 185.42245262173876 |
| 2026-08-25T17:04:13+08:00 | 185.92037052774708 |
| 2026-08-25T17:05:24+08:00 | 192.77 |
| 2026-08-25T17:16:17+08:00 | 217.14 |
| 2026-08-25T17:25:34+08:00 | 215.88552732217218 |
| 2026-08-25T17:34:13+08:00 | 220.87 |
| 2026-08-25T18:05:00+08:00 | 218.45942041301947 |
| 2026-08-25T18:05:03+08:00 | 218.80555791620634 |
| 2026-08-25T18:05:07+08:00 | 221.40460610181015 |
| 2026-08-25T18:05:09+08:00 | 221.79060083283758 |
| 2026-08-25T18:05:12+08:00 | 222.01682671878984 |
| 2026-08-25T18:05:15+08:00 | 222.8046230984958 |
| 2026-08-25T18:05:20+08:00 | 231.85535820515 |
| 2026-08-25T18:06:06+08:00 | 236.02 |
| 2026-08-25T18:33:28+08:00 | 235.98376816520778 |
| 2026-08-25T20:39:11+08:00 | 236.00671369083028 |
| 2026-08-25T20:39:29+08:00 | 236.23820854933288 |
| 2026-08-25T20:39:46+08:00 | 238.5690490354381 |
| 2026-08-25T20:39:58+08:00 | 238.94544063907537 |
| 2026-08-25T20:40:08+08:00 | 239.68658111668225 |
| 2026-08-25T20:40:23+08:00 | 244.68360669669414 |
| 2026-08-25T20:40:37+08:00 | 245.3208124415739 |
| 2026-08-25T20:40:53+08:00 | 246.52230814991077 |
| 2026-08-25T20:41:04+08:00 | 247.02659981303646 |
| 2026-08-25T20:41:17+08:00 | 247.80768250191213 |
| 2026-08-25T20:41:28+08:00 | 252.4902693974675 |
| 2026-08-25T20:41:38+08:00 | 256.77 |
| 2026-08-25T21:17:14+08:00 | 253.19095776323616 |
| 2026-08-25T21:17:36+08:00 | 256.34205829863174 |
| 2026-08-25T21:17:46+08:00 | 256.6489334579757 |
| 2026-08-25T21:17:56+08:00 | 257.23761366533523 |
| 2026-08-25T21:18:08+08:00 | 265.76994985977734 |
| 2026-08-25T22:06:24+08:00 | 272.1580691765106 |
| 2026-08-25T22:06:35+08:00 | 272.4853403586301 |
| 2026-08-25T22:06:45+08:00 | 273.58026684796465 |
| 2026-08-25T22:06:55+08:00 | 288.16 |
| 2026-08-26T08:47:57+08:00 | 291.26421347837174 |
| 2026-08-26T08:48:00+08:00 | 291.842525707487 |
| 2026-08-26T08:48:03+08:00 | 291.842525707487 |
| 2026-08-26T08:48:06+08:00 | 299.43137588170305 |
| 2026-08-26T08:48:09+08:00 | 301.70561740460613 |
| 2026-08-26T08:48:17+08:00 | 348.1405625902949 |
| 2026-08-26T08:48:20+08:00 | 352.53 |
| 2026-08-26T09:31:35+08:00 | 348.3946630407071 |
| 2026-08-26T09:32:02+08:00 | 351.08838276536073 |
| 2026-08-26T09:32:12+08:00 | 354.23276960992604 |
| 2026-08-26T09:32:18+08:00 | 355.082603892241 |
| 2026-08-26T09:32:33+08:00 | 356.462564799864 |
| 2026-08-26T09:32:44+08:00 | 358.64944335854506 |
| 2026-08-26T09:33:03+08:00 | 362.0323786861562 |
| 2026-08-26T09:33:21+08:00 | 374.59292937877115 |
| 2026-08-26T09:34:28+08:00 | 389.03 |
| 2026-08-26T10:09:48+08:00 | 397.4145491629132 |
| 2026-08-26T10:10:11+08:00 | 398.7555876604062 |
| 2026-08-26T10:10:14+08:00 | 403.12560550692615 |
| 2026-08-26T10:10:17+08:00 | 404.6176595563865 |
| 2026-08-26T10:10:20+08:00 | 404.7785331860287 |
| 2026-08-26T10:10:22+08:00 | 442.7 |
| 2026-08-26T11:11:42+08:00 | 437.5141497408005 |
| 2026-08-26T11:12:12+08:00 | 438.54457380810743 |
| 2026-08-26T11:12:16+08:00 | 439.9524942636186 |
| 2026-08-26T11:12:21+08:00 | 446.46179994900996 |
| 2026-08-26T11:12:24+08:00 | 447.72601342738164 |
| 2026-08-26T11:12:29+08:00 | 448.4687685901249 |
| 2026-08-26T11:12:32+08:00 | 478.07699498597776 |
| 2026-08-26T11:12:40+08:00 | 486.25 |
| 2026-08-26T12:12:12+08:00 | 479.8926659301436 |
| 2026-08-26T12:12:15+08:00 | 481.14991076740034 |
| 2026-08-26T12:12:23+08:00 | 484.9614175235829 |
| 2026-08-26T12:12:25+08:00 | 486.46027024730176 |
| 2026-08-26T12:12:31+08:00 | 486.64230475057366 |
| 2026-08-26T12:12:33+08:00 | 509.290388374267 |
| 2026-08-26T12:12:51+08:00 | 519.33 |
| 2026-08-26T13:43:14+08:00 | 511.4149740800544 |
| 2026-08-26T13:43:53+08:00 | 512.2303050905074 |
| 2026-08-26T13:43:57+08:00 | 513.4697883912637 |
| 2026-08-26T13:44:00+08:00 | 518.2410979858928 |
| 2026-08-26T13:44:04+08:00 | 519.069006543724 |
| 2026-08-26T13:44:09+08:00 | 519.353870995156 |
| 2026-08-26T13:44:11+08:00 | 551.47 |
| 2026-08-26T14:09:14+08:00 | 541.1422622588595 |
| 2026-08-26T14:09:20+08:00 | 542.8242542704172 |
| 2026-08-26T14:09:31+08:00 | 547.1260304240673 |
| 2026-08-26T14:09:34+08:00 | 548.5546868360669 |
| 2026-08-26T14:09:39+08:00 | 548.8823829353277 |
| 2026-08-26T14:09:42+08:00 | 571.4794765020821 |
| 2026-08-26T14:11:02+08:00 | 604.8 |
| 2026-08-26T15:16:13+08:00 | 593.0817540579587 |
| 2026-08-26T15:16:17+08:00 | 594.6162148381065 |
| 2026-08-26T15:16:22+08:00 | 601.4323956828418 |
| 2026-08-26T15:16:25+08:00 | 603.9005693889692 |
| 2026-08-26T15:16:31+08:00 | 604.191297696949 |
| 2026-08-26T15:16:34+08:00 | 627.4767570323787 |
| 2026-08-26T15:17:23+08:00 | 640.83 |
| 2026-08-26T15:38:55+08:00 | 648.7226140902524 |
| 2026-08-26T15:39:30+08:00 | 662.09 |
| 2026-08-26T16:02:08+08:00 | 650.8471997960397 |
| 2026-08-26T16:02:31+08:00 | 650.9374521968216 |
| 2026-08-26T16:02:46+08:00 | 652.4546613410384 |
| 2026-08-26T16:04:19+08:00 | 658.4470978159259 |
| 2026-08-26T16:04:28+08:00 | 660.1405625902948 |
| 2026-08-26T16:07:01+08:00 | 701.82 |
| 2026-08-26T17:05:41+08:00 | 688.7884762471318 |
| 2026-08-26T17:05:44+08:00 | 695.1622333644939 |
| 2026-08-26T17:05:51+08:00 | 921.2181524602703 |
| 2026-08-26T17:06:23+08:00 | 928.8421857737741 |
| 2026-08-26T17:06:52+08:00 | 928.8878218747344 |
| 2026-08-26T17:06:54+08:00 | 930.2734766720489 |
| 2026-08-26T17:06:57+08:00 | 931.5651397977394 |
| 2026-08-26T17:07:03+08:00 | 984.27 |
| 2026-08-26T18:10:05+08:00 | 987.4964731877284 |
| 2026-08-26T18:10:56+08:00 | 992.2249511345287 |
| 2026-08-26T18:11:22+08:00 | 993.310189513045 |
| 2026-08-26T18:11:27+08:00 | 994.7549077929804 |
| 2026-08-26T18:11:38+08:00 | 1001.3095946290473 |
| 2026-08-26T18:11:48+08:00 | 1002.7249086428146 |
| 2026-08-26T18:12:04+08:00 | 1064.53 |
| 2026-08-26T20:32:52+08:00 | 1043.7946800373927 |
| 2026-08-26T20:33:11+08:00 | 1044.8966601512705 |
| 2026-08-26T20:33:23+08:00 | 1051.331520353531 |
| 2026-08-26T20:33:32+08:00 | 1051.8302031103935 |
| 2026-08-26T20:33:50+08:00 | 1088.8404861052095 |
| 2026-08-26T20:33:55+08:00 | 1090.2810401971615 |
| 2026-08-26T20:34:04+08:00 | 1099.5990481856038 |
| 2026-08-26T20:34:16+08:00 | 1101.052094841506 |
| 2026-08-26T20:34:34+08:00 | 1165.72 |
| 2026-08-26T21:30:03+08:00 | 1144.110138522988 |
| 2026-08-26T21:30:30+08:00 | 1153.2371037647658 |
| 2026-08-26T21:30:41+08:00 | 1155.0960312739016 |
| 2026-08-26T21:30:50+08:00 | 1206.3495368403162 |
| 2026-08-26T22:08:49+08:00 | 1218.0755502676977 |
| 2026-08-26T22:08:59+08:00 | 1220.5075210333985 |
| 2026-08-26T22:09:13+08:00 | 1317.63 |
| 2026-08-27T08:43:41+08:00 | 1309.283079799439 |
| 2026-08-27T08:43:47+08:00 | 1360.132914081754 |
| 2026-08-27T08:43:53+08:00 | 1729.6833517464095 |
| 2026-08-27T08:44:03+08:00 | 1729.6833517464095 |
| 2026-08-27T08:44:16+08:00 | 1738.011727713096 |
| 2026-08-27T09:01:02+08:00 | 1740.942721169372 |
| 2026-08-27T09:01:30+08:00 | 1760.56462989717 |
| 2026-08-27T09:06:18+08:00 | 1786.0141072490865 |
| 2026-08-27T09:06:21+08:00 | 1792.6342313248917 |
| 2026-08-27T09:06:26+08:00 | 1937.1400526897255 |
| 2026-08-27T09:07:21+08:00 | 1995.4398742245262 |
| 2026-08-27T09:08:08+08:00 | 2007.3375541769356 |
| 2026-08-27T09:28:52+08:00 | 2009.8870570238803 |
| 2026-08-27T09:29:01+08:00 | 2041.22 |
| 2026-08-27T10:29:27+08:00 | 2013.573043256565 |
| 2026-08-27T10:29:55+08:00 | 2051.753378091272 |
| 2026-08-27T10:30:06+08:00 | 2434.1023200475906 |
| 2026-08-27T10:30:17+08:00 | 2946.47 |
| 2026-08-27T11:10:34+08:00 | 2950.76 |
| 时间 | 倍数 |
|---|
| 时间 | 券商 | 孖展资金 |
|---|
以实际认购倍数 3835.36x 和当前分配手法 (甲组 α=0.527, 乙组 α=0.627) 为基准，对比各档位的实际与预测期望中签手数
| 申购手数 | 认购金额(HKD) | 实际期望中签 | 预测期望中签 | 偏差 |
|---|
梅卡曼德机器人中签预测矩阵行为申购档位，列为不同认购倍数，数值为期望中签手数，绿色背景表示期望中签≥1手；非预设倍数由相邻网格插值估计。
18C特专科技
《主板规则》第18C章，为特专科技公司设立。机制A及机制B不适用。初订分配份额为5%，回补门槛：10倍至不足50倍→10%，50倍或以上→20%。根据第18C.08条，发售股份总数中至少50%须由配售部分的独立定价投资者认购。
α 为发行人分配偏好系数，描述发行人对不同申购规模的分配倾向。α 取值范围 [0, 1]。
本页面的「中签率」定义与港交所配发结果公告完全一致：中签率 = 该档位获配股份总数 ÷ 该档位有效申请股份总数 × 100%。此为港交所官方口径，与其他网站可能使用的不同定义（如「申购人数中签比例」）有本质区别。
期望中签手数 = 该档位获配总股数 ÷ 每手股数 ÷ 该档位申购人数
例：某档位获配总股数 50,000 股，每手 100 股，申购人数 500 人 → 期望中签手数 = 50,000 ÷ 100 ÷ 500 = 1.0 手。
本页展示 梅卡曼德机器人（09615）的中签预测：基于相似 IPO 匹配的期望中签率、甲乙组资金效率对比。
默认认购倍数按「近期首日表现 → 参与人数 → 人均手数 → 认购倍数」链条推导，公式为 认购倍数 = 参与人数 × 人均手数 ÷ 公开发售手数；其中参与人数与人均手数以近期 IPO 的中位数为基准，再按发行规模、A+H 身份、H 股折溢价、行业、并发 IPO、保荐人历史表现与恒指近期走势等特征调节。
认购窗口前期默认倍数以模型推导为准；随认购进度推进逐步结合孖展倍数加权；临近截止（进度约九成后）默认倍数以孖展倍数预测为准。
中签率预测基于历史 592 只 IPO 的 22087 条配发档位数据做回归拟合与 KNN 相似匹配，估计各申购档位的期望中签手数，并结合分配手法系数 α（人均分配至比例分配）给出区间。你可以自定义认购倍数与分配手法系数 α，覆盖 cibo 的默认预测，查看不同场景下的期望中签手数。中签率的计算方式与回拨规则见港股中签率怎么算。
数据来源：港交所披露易平台公开发售配发结果公告、招股说明书、FINI 平台公告；孖展数据（孖展倍数、捷利预测倍数及券商明细）来自捷利交易宝（TradeGo），倍数仅覆盖已上报券商，捷利预测倍数为全市场外推值。
孖展倍数盘中实时更新；中签率预测模型随新股配发数据入库不定期迭代。
