卓正医疗 02677
新股中籤預測
22.5802.64%( +0.580 )
11月13日 · 收市數據，非即時 · 香港交易所
基於相似IPO匹配的期望中籤預測
新股中籤預測| 排名 | 券商 | 孖展資金 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  富途 |
475.6億 |
| 2 |  老虎 |
81.0億 |
| 3 |  辉立 |
56.0億 |
| 4 |  华泰 |
18.7億 |
| 5 |  华盛 |
10.1億 |
| 6 |  招银 |
6.8億 |
| 7 |  盈立 |
5.8億 |
| 8 |  致富 |
3.3億 |
| 9 |  长桥 |
3.1億 |
| 時間 | 倍數 |
|---|---|
| 2026-01-29T06:00:00+08:00 | 0 |
| 2026-01-29T10:31:23+08:00 | 0.0003160556257901391 |
| 2026-01-29T10:31:30+08:00 | 0.13369152970922882 |
| 2026-01-29T10:31:35+08:00 | 0.2917193426042984 |
| 2026-01-29T11:08:06+08:00 | 0.4548040455120101 |
| 2026-01-29T11:08:59+08:00 | 1.2790771175726927 |
| 2026-01-29T11:10:59+08:00 | 1.6197850821744626 |
| 2026-01-29T11:11:29+08:00 | 7.498419721871049 |
| 2026-01-29T12:09:30+08:00 | 7.513906447534766 |
| 2026-01-29T12:09:39+08:00 | 7.515170670037927 |
| 2026-01-29T12:10:06+08:00 | 7.578381795195955 |
| 2026-01-29T12:10:27+08:00 | 7.643173198482933 |
| 2026-01-29T12:10:45+08:00 | 8.495259165613147 |
| 2026-01-29T12:10:58+08:00 | 9.476611883691529 |
| 2026-01-29T12:11:18+08:00 | 11.309734513274336 |
| 2026-01-29T12:36:13+08:00 | 11.310366624525917 |
| 2026-01-29T13:41:33+08:00 | 11.369469026548673 |
| 2026-01-29T13:42:14+08:00 | 11.374525916561314 |
| 2026-01-29T13:42:28+08:00 | 12.243678887484197 |
| 2026-01-29T13:42:48+08:00 | 12.603666245259166 |
| 2026-01-29T13:43:16+08:00 | 15.38495575221239 |
| 2026-01-29T14:17:32+08:00 | 16.25474083438685 |
| 2026-01-29T14:18:17+08:00 | 16.68457648546144 |
| 2026-01-29T14:18:34+08:00 | 17.919089759797725 |
| 2026-01-29T14:18:53+08:00 | 19.436156763590393 |
| 2026-01-29T14:35:43+08:00 | 19.50031605562579 |
| 2026-01-29T15:11:01+08:00 | 19.580278128950695 |
| 2026-01-29T15:11:17+08:00 | 19.58407079646018 |
| 2026-01-29T15:11:52+08:00 | 19.81668773704172 |
| 2026-01-29T15:12:09+08:00 | 20.02528445006321 |
| 2026-01-29T15:12:34+08:00 | 23.944374209860936 |
| 2026-01-29T16:26:27+08:00 | 23.95385587863464 |
| 2026-01-29T16:27:06+08:00 | 23.895069532237674 |
| 2026-01-29T16:27:43+08:00 | 24.580910240202275 |
| 2026-01-29T16:28:11+08:00 | 25.153603034134008 |
| 2026-01-29T16:28:28+08:00 | 28.440581542351453 |
| 2026-01-29T16:30:35+08:00 | 29.43046776232617 |
| 2026-01-29T17:17:34+08:00 | 29.441529709228824 |
| 2026-01-29T17:18:05+08:00 | 29.529077117572694 |
| 2026-01-29T17:18:30+08:00 | 29.831542351453855 |
| 2026-01-29T17:18:54+08:00 | 29.918457648546145 |
| 2026-01-29T17:19:12+08:00 | 32.25726927939317 |
| 2026-01-29T17:45:45+08:00 | 35.7338811630847 |
| 2026-01-29T18:00:21+08:00 | 35.738621997471554 |
| 2026-01-29T18:01:11+08:00 | 35.8334386852086 |
| 2026-01-29T18:03:31+08:00 | 36.59039190897598 |
| 2026-01-29T18:05:31+08:00 | 37.5031605562579 |
| 2026-01-29T18:05:58+08:00 | 37.7051201011378 |
| 2026-01-29T18:06:28+08:00 | 40.8972819216182 |
| 2026-01-29T19:47:06+08:00 | 40.991150442477874 |
| 2026-01-29T19:47:20+08:00 | 41.66403286978508 |
| 2026-01-29T19:47:39+08:00 | 42.07206068268015 |
| 2026-01-29T19:48:01+08:00 | 42.67256637168141 |
| 2026-01-29T20:03:02+08:00 | 42.67920353982301 |
| 2026-01-29T20:03:17+08:00 | 42.627370417193426 |
| 2026-01-29T20:03:37+08:00 | 42.664664981036665 |
| 2026-01-29T20:13:43+08:00 | 43.423198482932996 |
| 2026-01-29T21:35:30+08:00 | 44.73767383059418 |
| 2026-01-29T21:35:49+08:00 | 44.821744627054365 |
| 2026-01-29T21:36:13+08:00 | 45.26422250316055 |
| 2026-01-29T22:05:57+08:00 | 45.39886219974716 |
| 2026-01-29T22:06:18+08:00 | 45.813527180783815 |
| 2026-01-29T22:06:43+08:00 | 46.41403286978508 |
| 2026-01-30T08:56:14+08:00 | 46.669721871049305 |
| 2026-01-30T08:56:48+08:00 | 46.669721871049305 |
| 2026-01-30T08:56:57+08:00 | 49.486093552465235 |
| 2026-01-30T08:57:06+08:00 | 60.326801517067004 |
| 2026-01-30T08:57:17+08:00 | 60.82395701643489 |
| 2026-01-30T09:00:06+08:00 | 61.73103666245259 |
| 2026-01-30T09:01:38+08:00 | 62.04424778761062 |
| 2026-01-30T09:03:35+08:00 | 62.41182048040455 |
| 2026-01-30T09:03:42+08:00 | 63.0224399494311 |
| 2026-01-30T09:07:53+08:00 | 65.80372945638432 |
| 2026-01-30T10:13:47+08:00 | 66.11978508217446 |
| 2026-01-30T10:13:54+08:00 | 66.14791403286978 |
| 2026-01-30T10:14:00+08:00 | 66.17825537294564 |
| 2026-01-30T10:14:20+08:00 | 66.55246523388116 |
| 2026-01-30T10:14:28+08:00 | 66.90360303413401 |
| 2026-01-30T10:14:37+08:00 | 70.94911504424779 |
| 2026-01-30T11:07:20+08:00 | 71.44342604298356 |
| 2026-01-30T11:07:51+08:00 | 71.46207332490518 |
| 2026-01-30T11:08:15+08:00 | 72.26390644753477 |
| 2026-01-30T11:08:54+08:00 | 71.81890012642225 |
| 2026-01-30T11:09:12+08:00 | 74.6634007585335 |
| 2026-01-30T11:10:40+08:00 | 75.27149178255372 |
| 2026-01-30T11:12:37+08:00 | 78.43204804045511 |
| 2026-01-30T12:14:34+08:00 | 78.67983565107458 |
| 2026-01-30T12:14:58+08:00 | 78.71207332490518 |
| 2026-01-30T12:15:24+08:00 | 78.9614412136536 |
| 2026-01-30T12:15:38+08:00 | 79.93173198482933 |
| 2026-01-30T12:15:53+08:00 | 82.17572692793932 |
| 2026-01-30T13:42:54+08:00 | 82.34292035398231 |
| 2026-01-30T13:43:46+08:00 | 82.20606826801517 |
| 2026-01-30T13:44:24+08:00 | 87.67383059418458 |
| 2026-01-30T13:45:14+08:00 | 87.89823008849558 |
| 2026-01-30T13:45:33+08:00 | 87.9067635903919 |
| 2026-01-30T14:03:19+08:00 | 87.98957016434892 |
| 2026-01-30T14:04:04+08:00 | 88.19121365360303 |
| 2026-01-30T14:04:50+08:00 | 88.53792667509482 |
| 2026-01-30T14:05:36+08:00 | 88.66561314791403 |
| 2026-01-30T14:06:04+08:00 | 95.84007585335019 |
| 2026-01-30T14:08:51+08:00 | 97.10208596713022 |
| 2026-01-30T15:10:01+08:00 | 97.81163084702908 |
| 2026-01-30T15:10:51+08:00 | 97.69943109987358 |
| 2026-01-30T15:11:18+08:00 | 97.73672566371681 |
| 2026-01-30T15:12:04+08:00 | 97.88938053097345 |
| 2026-01-30T15:12:27+08:00 | 103.0094816687737 |
| 2026-01-30T15:47:57+08:00 | 104.3685208596713 |
| 2026-01-30T16:06:50+08:00 | 104.96049304677624 |
| 2026-01-30T16:07:27+08:00 | 105.63400758533501 |
| 2026-01-30T16:08:19+08:00 | 105.75916561314791 |
| 2026-01-30T16:09:04+08:00 | 105.79140328697851 |
| 2026-01-30T16:09:24+08:00 | 108.66750948166877 |
| 2026-01-30T17:10:53+08:00 | 108.77085967130215 |
| 2026-01-30T17:11:35+08:00 | 111.14159292035399 |
| 2026-01-30T17:12:06+08:00 | 111.18204804045511 |
| 2026-01-30T17:12:54+08:00 | 111.03097345132744 |
| 2026-01-30T17:13:25+08:00 | 117.38369152970922 |
| 2026-01-30T18:10:27+08:00 | 118.01580278128951 |
| 2026-01-30T18:10:31+08:00 | 123.54677623261693 |
| 2026-01-30T18:12:20+08:00 | 123.45670037926675 |
| 2026-01-30T18:12:57+08:00 | 123.45764854614413 |
| 2026-01-30T18:13:35+08:00 | 124.45101137800253 |
| 2026-01-30T18:14:08+08:00 | 124.47692793931732 |
| 2026-01-30T18:15:08+08:00 | 128.93331226295828 |
| 2026-01-30T18:20:42+08:00 | 129.61472819216183 |
| 2026-01-30T19:58:03+08:00 | 131.19500632111252 |
| 2026-01-30T19:58:30+08:00 | 131.27370417193427 |
| 2026-01-30T19:59:16+08:00 | 131.28697850821746 |
| 2026-01-30T19:59:32+08:00 | 131.05910240202275 |
| 2026-01-30T19:59:54+08:00 | 131.01485461441214 |
| 2026-01-30T20:00:27+08:00 | 132.24747155499367 |
| 2026-01-30T20:03:30+08:00 | 132.2594816687737 |
| 2026-01-30T20:04:00+08:00 | 132.80056890012642 |
| 2026-01-30T20:04:14+08:00 | 132.92825537294564 |
| 2026-01-30T20:05:24+08:00 | 135.51991150442478 |
| 2026-01-30T21:21:06+08:00 | 135.66434892541088 |
| 2026-01-30T21:21:35+08:00 | 136.3618836915297 |
| 2026-01-30T21:21:49+08:00 | 136.39538558786347 |
| 2026-01-30T21:22:16+08:00 | 139.1766750948167 |
| 2026-01-30T22:03:30+08:00 | 139.42414664981035 |
| 2026-01-30T22:03:50+08:00 | 139.45290771175726 |
| 2026-01-30T22:05:46+08:00 | 141.25442477876106 |
| 2026-01-31T10:24:16+08:00 | 141.92541087231353 |
| 2026-01-31T10:24:42+08:00 | 141.92541087231353 |
| 2026-01-31T10:25:10+08:00 | 142.78666245259166 |
| 2026-01-31T10:25:24+08:00 | 153.88021491782553 |
| 2026-01-31T10:25:43+08:00 | 154.289190897598 |
| 2026-01-31T10:26:11+08:00 | 154.3362831858407 |
| 2026-01-31T10:26:26+08:00 | 154.5028445006321 |
| 2026-01-31T10:26:34+08:00 | 154.81321112515803 |
| 2026-01-31T10:26:45+08:00 | 156.5515170670038 |
| 2026-01-31T10:26:53+08:00 | 156.57079646017698 |
| 2026-01-31T10:27:04+08:00 | 156.58280657395701 |
| 2026-01-31T10:27:16+08:00 | 156.59102402022756 |
| 2026-01-31T10:27:24+08:00 | 156.80720606826802 |
| 2026-01-31T10:27:33+08:00 | 159.36725663716814 |
| 2026-01-31T11:08:49+08:00 | 159.37231352718078 |
| 2026-01-31T11:09:14+08:00 | 159.46618204804045 |
| 2026-01-31T11:09:19+08:00 | 159.47092288242732 |
| 2026-01-31T11:09:39+08:00 | 159.94532237673832 |
| 2026-01-31T11:09:57+08:00 | 162.50537294563844 |
| 2026-01-31T13:32:13+08:00 | 162.54013906447534 |
| 2026-01-31T13:32:45+08:00 | 162.69374209860936 |
| 2026-01-31T13:32:54+08:00 | 162.71523388116307 |
| 2026-01-31T13:33:47+08:00 | 163.14570164348925 |
| 2026-01-31T13:35:02+08:00 | 163.29235145385587 |
| 2026-01-31T13:35:45+08:00 | 164.0824905183312 |
| 2026-01-31T13:36:21+08:00 | 165.852402022756 |
| 2026-01-31T16:28:09+08:00 | 165.8618836915297 |
| 2026-01-31T16:29:18+08:00 | 165.86472819216183 |
| 2026-01-31T16:30:17+08:00 | 165.95954487989886 |
| 2026-01-31T16:31:14+08:00 | 166.85113780025284 |
| 2026-01-31T16:33:30+08:00 | 170.8334386852086 |
| 2026-01-31T16:33:52+08:00 | 171.40233881163084 |
| 2026-01-31T18:30:52+08:00 | 171.4070796460177 |
| 2026-01-31T18:32:13+08:00 | 171.4175094816688 |
| 2026-01-31T18:32:55+08:00 | 171.74873577749685 |
| 2026-01-31T18:34:40+08:00 | 171.72060682680151 |
| 2026-01-31T18:35:22+08:00 | 172.73198482932997 |
| 2026-01-31T18:35:42+08:00 | 174.43868520859672 |
| 2026-01-31T20:25:27+08:00 | 174.4364728192162 |
| 2026-01-31T20:26:39+08:00 | 174.50126422250315 |
| 2026-01-31T20:27:42+08:00 | 174.54361567635905 |
| 2026-01-31T20:28:55+08:00 | 175.44500632111252 |
| 2026-01-31T20:29:34+08:00 | 175.8558786346397 |
| 2026-01-31T20:29:55+08:00 | 176.23514538558786 |
| 2026-01-31T21:25:07+08:00 | 176.2367256637168 |
| 2026-01-31T21:25:21+08:00 | 176.2462073324905 |
| 2026-01-31T21:25:47+08:00 | 176.26011378002528 |
| 2026-01-31T21:26:06+08:00 | 177.55594184576486 |
| 2026-02-01T10:26:19+08:00 | 177.0189633375474 |
| 2026-02-01T10:28:18+08:00 | 177.02433628318585 |
| 2026-02-01T10:30:48+08:00 | 177.05625790139064 |
| 2026-02-01T10:31:45+08:00 | 179.54235145385587 |
| 2026-02-01T10:34:35+08:00 | 190.41466498103665 |
| 2026-02-01T10:34:59+08:00 | 192.46902654867256 |
| 2026-02-01T13:28:13+08:00 | 192.46997471554994 |
| 2026-02-01T13:28:26+08:00 | 192.4712389380531 |
| 2026-02-01T13:28:35+08:00 | 192.5063211125158 |
| 2026-02-01T13:28:56+08:00 | 192.50821744627055 |
| 2026-02-01T13:29:15+08:00 | 192.52812895069533 |
| 2026-02-01T13:30:11+08:00 | 192.53097345132744 |
| 2026-02-01T13:30:41+08:00 | 192.5388748419722 |
| 2026-02-01T13:31:06+08:00 | 192.54266750948167 |
| 2026-02-01T13:31:44+08:00 | 192.71049304677624 |
| 2026-02-01T13:32:20+08:00 | 193.04551201011378 |
| 2026-02-01T13:32:45+08:00 | 193.43204804045513 |
| 2026-02-01T13:36:41+08:00 | 195.6760429835651 |
| 2026-02-01T13:36:59+08:00 | 199.02623261694058 |
| 2026-02-01T13:37:20+08:00 | 202.0287610619469 |
| 2026-02-01T16:32:05+08:00 | 202.03761061946904 |
| 2026-02-01T16:37:41+08:00 | 202.14538558786347 |
| 2026-02-01T16:37:50+08:00 | 202.147597977244 |
| 2026-02-01T16:38:51+08:00 | 203.4361567635904 |
| 2026-02-01T16:39:36+08:00 | 203.22281921618205 |
| 2026-02-01T16:41:01+08:00 | 207.74241466498103 |
| 2026-02-01T16:41:24+08:00 | 211.3138432364096 |
| 2026-02-01T19:43:21+08:00 | 211.34134007585334 |
| 2026-02-01T19:43:52+08:00 | 211.35176991150442 |
| 2026-02-01T19:44:06+08:00 | 211.35303413400757 |
| 2026-02-01T19:44:19+08:00 | 211.3685208596713 |
| 2026-02-01T19:45:04+08:00 | 211.52749683944373 |
| 2026-02-01T19:46:15+08:00 | 213.06605562579014 |
| 2026-02-01T19:46:54+08:00 | 217.99652338811632 |
| 2026-02-01T19:47:16+08:00 | 218.6918457648546 |
| 2026-02-01T21:33:11+08:00 | 218.6946902654867 |
| 2026-02-01T21:33:20+08:00 | 218.72218710493047 |
| 2026-02-01T21:35:41+08:00 | 218.82364096080912 |
| 2026-02-01T21:36:26+08:00 | 218.96144121365361 |
| 2026-02-01T21:36:49+08:00 | 219.0515170670038 |
| 2026-02-01T21:37:15+08:00 | 222.9390012642225 |
| 2026-02-01T21:37:32+08:00 | 225.78350189633375 |
| 2026-02-02T08:56:02+08:00 | 225.9930467762326 |
| 2026-02-02T08:57:34+08:00 | 229.25726927939317 |
| 2026-02-02T08:58:26+08:00 | 229.25726927939317 |
| 2026-02-02T08:59:20+08:00 | 230.58470290771174 |
| 2026-02-02T08:59:38+08:00 | 251.98166877370417 |
| 2026-02-02T09:00:08+08:00 | 252.0382427307206 |
| 2026-02-02T09:01:22+08:00 | 252.34260429835652 |
| 2026-02-02T09:04:13+08:00 | 256.2300884955752 |
| 2026-02-02T09:08:28+08:00 | 258.6905815423515 |
| 2026-02-02T09:09:01+08:00 | 258.64254108723134 |
| 2026-02-02T09:09:39+08:00 | 270.49462705436156 |
| 2026-02-02T10:12:48+08:00 | 273.655183312263 |
| 2026-02-02T10:14:33+08:00 | 276.6640328697851 |
| 2026-02-02T10:15:19+08:00 | 276.83375474083437 |
| 2026-02-02T10:15:51+08:00 | 281.0221238938053 |
| 2026-02-02T10:16:16+08:00 | 281.2275600505689 |
| 2026-02-02T10:17:28+08:00 | 307.55499367888746 |
| 2026-02-02T11:12:17+08:00 | 308.1709860935525 |
| 2026-02-02T11:14:01+08:00 | 308.5344500632111 |
| 2026-02-02T11:14:25+08:00 | 311.78350189633375 |
| 2026-02-02T11:15:11+08:00 | 312.5139064475348 |
| 2026-02-02T11:15:45+08:00 | 335.1118836915297 |
| 2026-02-02T12:26:10+08:00 | 335.58438685208597 |
| 2026-02-02T12:26:44+08:00 | 335.8631479140329 |
| 2026-02-02T12:31:02+08:00 | 335.96238938053096 |
| 2026-02-02T12:31:39+08:00 | 347.43520859671304 |
| 2026-02-02T13:43:35+08:00 | 347.51201011378004 |
| 2026-02-02T13:44:33+08:00 | 347.7019595448799 |
| 2026-02-02T13:44:57+08:00 | 349.98830594184574 |
| 2026-02-02T13:45:12+08:00 | 350.4358407079646 |
| 2026-02-02T13:45:46+08:00 | 362.9832490518331 |
| 2026-02-02T14:08:41+08:00 | 363.4130847029077 |
| 2026-02-02T14:09:11+08:00 | 364.09039190897596 |
| 2026-02-02T14:10:18+08:00 | 365.3893805309734 |
| 2026-02-02T14:10:32+08:00 | 365.5483565107459 |
| 2026-02-02T14:11:04+08:00 | 378.88590391908974 |
| 2026-02-02T15:07:19+08:00 | 381.82237673830593 |
| 2026-02-02T15:08:22+08:00 | 382.045195954488 |
| 2026-02-02T15:10:35+08:00 | 382.5455120101138 |
| 2026-02-02T15:11:28+08:00 | 382.59386852085964 |
| 2026-02-02T15:12:40+08:00 | 390.4636536030341 |
| 2026-02-02T16:18:11+08:00 | 390.5875474083439 |
| 2026-02-02T16:18:45+08:00 | 391.02022756005056 |
| 2026-02-02T16:20:48+08:00 | 392.41814159292034 |
| 2026-02-02T16:21:57+08:00 | 406.45101137800253 |
| 2026-02-02T17:16:26+08:00 | 406.7746523388116 |
| 2026-02-02T17:17:17+08:00 | 406.80404551201013 |
| 2026-02-02T17:19:33+08:00 | 416.2857142857143 |
| 2026-02-02T17:21:19+08:00 | 454.81795195954487 |
| 2026-02-02T17:22:21+08:00 | 605.039190897598 |
| 2026-02-02T17:24:33+08:00 | 609.1747787610619 |
| 2026-02-02T17:55:58+08:00 | 650.1039823008849 |
| 2026-02-02T18:13:07+08:00 | 650.1754108723135 |
| 2026-02-02T18:14:21+08:00 | 650.5158027812895 |
| 2026-02-02T18:15:30+08:00 | 670.439633375474 |
| 2026-02-02T18:15:51+08:00 | 756.1223135271808 |
| 2026-02-02T18:21:59+08:00 | 766.1776232616941 |
| 2026-02-02T20:50:14+08:00 | 766.111567635904 |
| 2026-02-02T20:51:13+08:00 | 769.2585335018963 |
| 2026-02-02T20:53:01+08:00 | 796.1523388116309 |
| 2026-02-02T20:53:35+08:00 | 875.0714285714286 |
| 2026-02-02T20:54:03+08:00 | 935.7857142857143 |
| 2026-02-02T21:39:13+08:00 | 936.7114412136536 |
| 2026-02-02T21:39:59+08:00 | 944.263590391909 |
| 2026-02-02T21:40:14+08:00 | 1000.3318584070796 |
| 2026-02-03T07:53:03+08:00 | 1069.5480404551201 |
| 2026-02-03T07:53:30+08:00 | 1079.5164348925412 |
| 2026-02-03T07:53:35+08:00 | 1102.4993678887483 |
| 2026-02-03T07:55:25+08:00 | 1102.4993678887483 |
| 2026-02-03T09:13:47+08:00 | 1157.0139064475347 |
| 2026-02-03T09:14:05+08:00 | 1170.2932996207333 |
| 2026-02-03T09:16:25+08:00 | 1178.8037294563844 |
| 2026-02-03T09:17:50+08:00 | 1194.6065107458912 |
| 2026-02-03T09:18:23+08:00 | 1626.9706068268015 |
| 2026-02-03T09:18:49+08:00 | 1735.251264222503 |
| 2026-02-03T09:26:04+08:00 | 1772.0401390644754 |
| 2026-02-03T10:07:29+08:00 | 1783.4649178255372 |
| 2026-02-03T10:07:50+08:00 | 1940.6393805309735 |
| 2026-02-03T10:51:49+08:00 | 2067.061630847029 |
| 2026-02-03T13:51:57+08:00 | 2085.3928571428573 |
| 時間 | 倍數 |
|---|
| 時間 | 券商 | 孖展資金 |
|---|
以實際認購倍數 2730.73x 和當前分配手法 (甲組 α=0.514, 乙組 α=0.614) 為基準，對比各檔位的實際與預測期望中籤手數
| 申購手數 | 認購金額(HKD) | 實際期望中籤 | 預測期望中籤 | 偏差 |
|---|
卓正医疗中籤預測矩陣行為申購檔位，列為不同認購倍數，數值為期望中籤手數，綠色背景表示期望中籤≥1手；非預設倍數由相鄰網格插值估計。
機制B
《第18項應用指引》下的靈活發售機制。最低初訂分配份額爲發售股份的10%，不設回補機制。最高初訂分配份額爲發售股份的60%（因《第18項應用指引》規定發售股份總數至少40%須分配予配售部分投資者，基石投資者除外）。發行人可根據發售結構、市場狀況及散戶投資者利益，自行釐定公開認購部分的初訂分配份額。
α 為發行人分配偏好係數，描述發行人對不同申購規模的分配傾向。α 取值範圍 [0, 1]。
本頁面的「中籤率」定義與港交所配發結果公告完全一致：中籤率 = 該檔位獲配股份總數 ÷ 該檔位有效申請股份總數 × 100%。此為港交所官方口徑，與其他網站可能使用的不同定義（如「申購人數中籤比例」）有本質區別。
期望中籤手數 = 該檔位獲配總股數 ÷ 每手股數 ÷ 該檔位申購人數
例：某檔位獲配總股數 50,000 股，每手 100 股，申購人數 500 人 → 期望中籤手數 = 50,000 ÷ 100 ÷ 500 = 1.0 手。
本頁展示 卓正医疗（02677）的中籤預測：基於相似 IPO 匹配的期望中籤率、甲乙組資金效率對比。
默認認購倍數按「近期首日表現 → 參與人數 → 人均手數 → 認購倍數」鏈條推導，公式為 認購倍數 = 參與人數 × 人均手數 ÷ 公開發售手數；其中參與人數與人均手數以近期 IPO 的中位數為基準，再按發行規模、A+H 身份、H 股折溢價、行業、併發 IPO、保薦人歷史表現與恒指近期走勢等特徵調節。
認購窗口前期默認倍數以模型推導為準；隨認購進度推進逐步結合孖展倍數加權；臨近截止（進度約九成後）默認倍數以孖展倍數預測為準。
中籤率預測基於歷史 592 隻 IPO 的 22087 條配發檔位數據做迴歸擬合與 KNN 相似匹配，估計各申購檔位的期望中籤手數，並結合分配手法係數 α（人均分配至比例分配）給出區間。你可以自訂認購倍數與分配手法係數 α，覆蓋 cibo 的默認預測，查看不同場景下的期望中籤手數。中籤率的計算方式與回撥規則見港股中籤率怎麼算。
數據來源：港交所披露易平台公開發售配發結果公告、招股說明書、FINI 平台公告；孖展數據（孖展倍數、捷利預測倍數及券商明細）來自捷利交易寶（TradeGo），倍數僅覆蓋已上報券商，捷利預測倍數為全市場外推值。
孖展倍數盤中實時更新；中籤率預測模型隨新股配發數據入庫不定期迭代。
